Archive for January 19th, 2009
A Boat I Can’t Bet
This is a pretty specific situation nearly 400 BB’s deep against a phenomenal player (CardRunner’s instructor/FTP red pro Eric “P3achy_Keen” Liu
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($1945)
UTG ($1015)
UTG+1 ($4483)
MP1 ($991.45)
MP2 ($3100)
MP3 ($1609.25)
Hero (CO) ($3782.50)
Button ($1000)
SB ($2473)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 3
, 3
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $35, 1 fold, MP2 calls $35, 1 fold, Hero calls $35, 3 folds
Flop: ($120) 3
, 10
, 10
(3 players)
UTG+1 bets $90, 1 fold, Hero raises to $277, UTG+1 calls $187
Turn: ($674) Q
(2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $470, UTG+1 calls $470
River: ($1614) A
(2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1111, UTG+1 raises to $3701 (All-In), Hero folds
Total pot: $3836 | Rake: $3
Results:
UTG+1 didn’t show
Outcome: UTG+1 won $3833
By the river, I’ve simply shown too much strength, on a scary board, to think that Eric is going to pay me off with a worse hand. Not to mention the fact that TT/QQ/AA are all very possible for him. Checking the turn and either calling or value betting the river might be a better line than this, given that the flush came in. On a non-club turn, I think betting is best, along with maybe bet-folding a non-club river. But with the flush getting there, it’s hard to put me on anything worse than what I have by the river.

