Archive for December 6th, 2009

Turning No Pair Into a Bluff

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($7800.50)
BB ($4029.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K
Hero bets $60, BB raises to $220, Hero raises to $499, BB calls $279

Flop: ($998) 2, 9, 10 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($998) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $500, Hero calls $500

River: ($1998) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1111, 1 fold

Total pot: $1998 | Rake: $0.50

Results:
Hero didn’t show A, K (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $1997.50

Villain is pretty good at making thin value bets and will probably bet any pair here after I check the flop. Of course on the flop I intended to play my hand as a bluff-catcher, but the sizing of his turn bet made me second-guess that. I decided I was better off trying to bet him off a pocket pair or maybe even a T. I’m sure I have best hand here somewhat often, but I think bluffing is slightly more profitable than just showing down. That would change if I thought Villain were often going for a check-raise (bluff or value, doesn’t really matter), and though it’s a decent spot, I didn’t think he was.