Archive for December 18th, 2009

Counterfeited on the River?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($5124.50)
SB ($6237.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 6
SB bets $60, Hero calls $40

Flop: ($120) 6, 7, 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $80, Hero raises to $299, SB calls $219

Turn: ($718) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $555, SB calls $555

River: ($1828) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $950, Hero calls $950

Total pot: $3728 | Rake: $0.50

Results:
SB had 2, 8 (one pair, tens).
Hero had 7, 6 (two pair, tens and sevens).
Outcome: Hero won $3727.50

In theory, Villain should not be value betting at all thin in this spot. I am virtually always either checking to give up or checking to trap/induce with a monster. It’s virtually impossible for me to show up with a medium-strength hand here- the counterfeited two pair is really just about the only way it could happen.

The question is whether Villain realizes this, or whether he will try to value bet something like JJ (which is usually good but virtually never getting called by worse). I decided there were enough busted draws to call given the pot odds I was getting.

As an added bonus, it helped to set up this hand: