Good question, John, and good answer, Chris (and thanks for the compliments). I feel like my hand is sufficiently transparent as not a monster, and his value range sufficiently thin, that I need to call down once he bets the flop. That’s not to say that I’m hoping he goes bet-bet-bet once I check the flop.

Our hand is face up as a non-monster, but were sorta at the top of our range once we c/c flop with KK.

Qx is a card people are going to bluff / value-bet thin if they get to the river with Qx or a missed draw, so I can’t really see folding.

That being said, he has to fire turn a pretty high % with semi-bluffs/air for river call to be good, i’d think.

Once we c/c flop our hand is normally 88-JJ in villains eyes. If he’s the type to 3 barrel us off our perceived weak range, i think c/c river is mandatory. If he’s going to give up on turn once we call flop w/ air, river is probably closer to a fold.

My .02c

No you are just smarter than me 🙁

Thanks for the questions, Sean and Jordan. I certainly don’t expect to be good here 100% of the time, but I was expecting him to have a pretty thin value range for bet-bet-betting. Sets are certainly possible, and a straight or flopped two pair are also not out of the question. Still, I think a lot of the time he bets three streets he’s bluffing. I mean, if he’s calling a 3-bet with 87, making a flopped straight possible, he’s probably also calling with QJ, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him player the latter this way as well.

If I bet the flop, I think he’s folding a lot of second best hands and also rarely bluffing (not that I necessarily want to stack off if he calls or raised a flop bet anyway). I don’t know whether my line should change if I know he can value bet more thinly here, but based on my assumptions at the time, I’m pretty happy with how I played this.

Thanks for the comments, and please keep reading and responding!

Sean