Archive for March 3rd, 2010

My range for 3-betting an UTG raiser from UTG+1 isn’t going to be all that wide, and by the river, AK is probably closer to the bottom of it than the top:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($4925)
Button ($6246)
SB ($3023)
BB ($7794)
UTG ($5000)
Hero (MP) ($5000)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K, A
UTG bets $150, Hero raises to $450, 4 folds, UTG calls $300

Flop: ($975) J, 2, A (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $650, UTG calls $650

Turn: ($2275) J (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($2275) Q (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $2275 | Rake: $3

Results:
UTG had 10, A (two pair, Aces and Jacks).
Hero had K, A (two pair, Aces and Jacks).
Outcome: Hero won $2272

This check also assumes Villain is a good hand reader and all-around good player, capable of a disciplined fold and of checking hands stronger than AK here. I didn’t know any of that for sure, but I thought it was likely. He probably would have called the river with AT, though that doesn’t necessarily mean I should bet. Frankly, I don’t think his pre-flop call is all that good, and while AT is obviously the most likely hand to pay off a value bet, I wasn’t at all sure he even had it in his range.  Read the complete post...