I think the decision comes down to 1) whether he will c/c twice with A high and 2) how often will he bluff when checked to, or bluff shove when bet into

I think a player like Shannon is definitely capable of bluffing a ton on the river here, whether you check or bet, which would make c/c preferable over b/f. You’re hand’s strength is super super disguised, so it’s possible he’ll call off the river lightish, but because your hand looks fairly weak I think it’s also very possible that he can just blast away on the river with both his missed draws and his pure air turn-floats.

He may not be value betting worse as often as I initially thought, but considering that he basically never has a 9 I’m just not sure value b/f is going to be >+EV than c/c or b/c (which I do think is actually a viable option, considering that he will be shoving with air some of the time and tht your hand is super under-repped)

It’s a good question, and I’m not 100% sure betting river is correct. I think a check flop-call turn line looks most like a hand that’s trying to show down cheaply. That’s based more on deep-stacked play, though. I guess with shallower stacks he’ll check draws more often since he can’t call a check-raise. I’m pretty confident he’s not value betting with worse if I check, though. To be honest, I wasn’t expecting a shove. Knowing that that’s a possibility, a check is more appealing, though I’m still not sure it’s best.

I didn’t, thanks for letting me know!