Archive for September 5th, 2010

I expect Villain’s flop raise to be his only barrel if he is bluffing. That is, he’s usually going to check down his air and bet only if the river improves his hand to one that beats mine.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (4 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($709.80)
BB ($4005.10)
UTG ($413)
Button ($798.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, 7
2 folds, Hero bets $16, BB calls $12

Flop: ($32) 9, 7, 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $24, BB raises to $72, Hero calls $48

Turn: ($176) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

River: ($176) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $124, Hero raises to $621.80 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $424 | Rake: $2

Results:
Hero didn’t show K, 7 (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $422

Does he have the best hand when the Q falls? Often enough that I can’t call with a pure bluff catcher, I think. But can he call a shove, even with AQ? We’ll see…