I think this is one of the worst hands I’ve played in a while:
Hero (BB) ($1000)
Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
2 folds, CO bets $30, 2 folds, Hero calls $20
Flop: ($65) 10, 5, Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $50, Hero raises to $170, CO raises to $290, Hero raises to $970 (All-In), CO calls $680
Turn: ($2005) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($2005) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $2005 | Rake: $3
Hero had K, Q (two pair, Queens and sevens).
CO had 10, 10 (full house, tens over sevens).
Outcome: CO won $2002
This guy has a wide range for raising from this position and betting even a textured flop like this, and consequently I think I can check-raise KQ for value. He can call and possibly even make a big 3-bet with worse because he will expect me to have a lot of draws. I think his small 3-bet has to be strong, though, because I will so often have a draw good enough to jam. Even if he occasionally 3-bets as a bluff, I’m crushed by his calling range, which contains few if any draws. What I really need to do here is check-raise-shove good draws but check-raise-fold KQ, at least to a 3-bet of this size.