This hand is from the first level of the $1080 Battle of the Bay tournament that I went on to win. I don’t have any specific reads on particular players, but the field in general is quite amateurish, with lots of satellite qualifiers and shot takers. My default expectation for such players is that they will be quite loose and splashy as long as the bet does not represent a significant chunk of their current stack but much more tight and cautious once the bets get large.
I don’t have any history with the Villain, but if he’s a Lucky Chances regular, he may know that I’m a 5/10 regular, that I have the podcast and blog, etc. In the previous (first) orbit, I opened T9s, called a 3-bet, and ended up making a flush against someone else’s Aces. That’s the only pot that Villain has seen me play.
Blinds are 50/100, Villain has about 20K (starting stack), and I have about 25K. Only six players (including both blinds) have claimed their seats so far. I have black Aces first to act and open to 300. In a game like this, I will limp some hands in early position if the table is full, and AA may well fall into that limping range. When we’re six-handed, though, I’m never open limping anything.
Villain calls from the SB, and everyone else folds.
Flop (700 in pot) Jc 8c 6h. Villain checks. Hero?
In the comments section below, please share your preferred action, your reasoning, your general plan for future streets, etc. If you want to bet, be sure to specify the size and the reason for that size.
I’ll do my best to respond to comments and will post again later in the week, probably Wednesday, with my own thoughts and action, as well as the next decision point.