As you’ve probably figured out right now, there was no new podcast this week. We’ve got one coming tomorrow (Monday February 1) though! In the meantime, here’s another free strategy video from last month’s fundraising campaign. I realized all the videos so far have been from MTTs, so this one looks at some big bluffs from cash game play. Enjoy!
8 thoughts on “Free Cash Game Bluffing Strategy Video”
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At the ~50 min mark, you have Ts8s in the HJ, call a three bet PF, call a flop bet, and when villain fires the turn you say something like “betting here is a mistake for villain”. I’ve been reading and rereading Ed Miller’s One percent, which I know you’ve been complimentary of, and it’s led me to believe villain actually needs to be betting quite frequently here to avoid being exploited. This is all new to me, so it’s likely I’m misunderstanding something. Can you help me understand?
Briefly, somewhere in 1%, Ed addresses this topic of special situations where one player has such a large range advantage that you should simply do one thing with your entire range rather than utilizing frequency-based strategies. The spot in the hand you’re referring to is one of those. Villain is unlikely to have any hand better than one pair, while Andrew can have all of the very best hands. Therefore, the best strategy Villain can have is to check his whole range, and allow Andrew to have profitable bluffing opportunities. It isn’t a strategy likely to do well, but it will do better than Villain’s alternatives.
Thanks Matt. The section to which you refer I believe is title “Could it be worse?”. Would it be fair to say the flop itself is the “bad card”? I say this because it seems like there are a host of cards on the turn that make villain’s life tough. I’m thinking any card T and under.
Good answer, Matt, thanks. And Deryl, your follow-up question is a good one. Some of those cards are worse than others, but I can see a case for checking the flop with less vulnerable overpairs.
I watched the entire video (thanks!) and wrote my personal 10 Commandments of Bluffing.
10 Commandments of Bluffing
1. Thou Shalt Consider Thy Opponent Carefully
2. Thou Shalt Balance Thy Bluffs In Thy Range With Value
3. Thou Shalt Represent a Plausible Hand
4. Thou Shalt Not Bluff for the Sake of Bluffing
5. Thou Shalt Pay Attention to Relevant Blockers
6. Thou Shalt Plan Thy Barrels Ahead
7. Thou Shalt Not Bluff With Real Showdown Value
8. Thou Shalt Size to Get The Job Done
9. Thou Shalt Bluff More With Draw Equity
10. Thou Shalt Give Up on Hopeless Bluffs
What do you think?
Interesting. Nothing there to disagree with, though I might quibble that there are some spots where bluffing with showdown value can be best (though you’re caveat “real” may address some of that). If you’ve seen my Bluffing series on TPE, I address a lot of these same points.
In hand #2, with JT, once you decide to call the flop raise, I think a more credible bluff that also packs the punch of having to call a turn bet and a river all-in would be to lead the turn. Most over-pairs are likely folding by the river. You say that its unlikely that your opponent has an 8. True, but its also not likely that you have an 8. You are narrowly representing either a flush (that checked the turn) or 98. Not only is this a narrow hand, its also a hand that is more likely to check-call the flop, or bet-fold the flop. I think many opponents are calling with K9+. Wouldn’t it be better to bet the turn fairly large instead of making a small bet on the river that only must be correctly called a small percentage of the time for your opponent to be right? Your thoughts?
In the A2s hand at 32:30 — did you consider check-raising the flop? I can see myself checking a lot of my range on that flop (T87 smacks a cold-caller much harder than it does an UTG opener, so I’ll be check-folding my KQ/AQ/KJ type hands), and if so then I should have hands that continue as well as fold, and some of those continuing hands should be calls and some should be raises, and for the raises they can’t all be monsters. So why not check-raise a draw like this, which a) has some good fold equity when he just bet/folds his 44/55/A7 type hands, and b) can improve on a lot of turns. What am I missing? (Not that I don’t also like your plan of bet/3-betting, which is perfectly fine).