What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway on the Turn

This is a continuation of a multi-street What’s Your Play? For discussion of the pre-flop action, please see this post. Flop action is here.

You’re at a 9-handed $2/$5 NLHE table with $600 effective stacks. UTG is very loose, especially pre-flop, and the whole table is salivating over him. UTG+2 is tight-aggressive bordering on nitty.

UTG limps for $5. UTG+2 raises to $20, and the action folds to Hero in the CO with Qs Ts. Hero raises to $50, UTG waffles a bit and then calls, and UTG+2 quickly puts in another $30.

Flop ($151 in pot after rake) Ks 8d 6d. UTG and UTG +2 both check without much hesitation. Hero bets $75, UTG folds, and UTG +2 calls.

Turn ($301 in pot) Jd. UTG2 checks, $475 remain in the effective stacks. Hero?

Leave a comment below with your thoughts and preferred action. I’ll do my best to respond to comments over the next few days and will post the next decision point on Monday.

What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway on the Flop Results

Thanks for all the comments on What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway on the Flop. Thanks also to Vookenmeister for pointing out that I forgot to add the big blind to the pot. Not that it makes a huge difference, but with a $5 rake and a $1 bad beat jackpot drop the pot would be $151.

Pre-Flop Ranges

Don’t get too bogged down in trying to assign exact ranges to each opponent. It’s mostly guesswork, and I don’t think precision will greatly influence the correct play in most situations anyway. Do recognize, though, that the absence of a four-bet greatly reduces the likelihood of either of these players holding KK, AA, or AK. I’m less comfortable making assumptions about what AQ, QQ, or anything weaker would do, but I’m not too worried about running into an overpair here.

UTG’s range is surely wider than it should be (then again, who knows what a range for limping UTG and then cold calling a 3-bet “should” look like), but it may be stronger than you think. Even loose players usually have some standards for cold calling 3-bets.

I doubt UTG2 has much of a folding range considering the odds he’s getting once the action is back on him.

Episode 111: Nate and Andrew Talk About Some Hands

A quick show that almost didn’t happen, this one features Nate and Andrew talking through an online NLHE hand and a live NLHE hand.

You can hear Andrew and his grandmother talk about her brother on Episode 21.

Be sure to pick up The Thinking Poker Diaries Volume 3 from nitcast.com or in the Amazon Kindle Store.

Strategy Hand 1

Villain raises to $3 from CO, BTN folds, Hero 3 bets to $10 from SB with AQcc, BB folds, Villain calls.

Flop: 7d 7c 8d
Hero bets $12.5 into $20 (after rake). Villain calls.

Turn Qh
Hero checks, Villain bets 24.5 into 43, leaving 64 behind. Hero shoves, Villain folds.

Strategy Hand 2

MP opens to $15, two calls, Hero calls 6c 5c in BB

Flop Ts 7s 4d. Hero bets 40 into 60, original raiser folds, one call, last player folds.

Turn 2s. Hero bets 80 into 140.

River brick. Both players check, Villain shows As 7h.

What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway on the Flop

This is a continuation of What’s Your Play? that began last week. For discussion of the pre-flop action, please see this post.

You’re at a 9-handed $2/$5 NLHE table with $600 effective stacks. UTG is very loose, especially pre-flop, and the whole table is salivating over him. UTG+2 is tight-aggressive bordering on nitty.

UTG limps for $5. UTG+2 raises to $20, and the action folds to Hero in the CO with Qs Ts. Hero raises to $50, UTG waffles a bit and then calls, and UTG+2 quickly puts in another $30.

Flop ($146 in pot after rake) Ks 8d 6d. UTG and UTG +2 both check without much hesitation. $550 remain in the effective stacks. Hero?

Leave a comment below with your thoughts and preferred action. I’ll do my best to respond to comments over the next few days and will post the next decision point next week.

What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway Preflop Results

Thanks for all the comments on What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway Preflop. You all came up with some really diverse suggestions, and some interesting conversation resulted. I do think that changing the game conditions and player profiles (including, as some of you astutely mentioned, those of the players still to act behind you) could swing this to a fold, a call, or a raise.

The Case For Folding

This is the least appealing option, and in practice I probably just wouldn’t sit in a game where the conditions that would cauto pse me to fold this would be likely to arise. Against two top-notch opponents, and especially with more tough opponents behind you, I’d fold. Even under these conditions, deeper stacks could compel me to call or three-bet, but with these stacks you need an appreciable post-flop edge that is not merely positional because you figure to be in bad shape against their ranges for entering the pot in such early position. Thankfully, we are not playing against such players, and against weaker opponents this is exactly the sort of hand you want to use to exploit their mistakes.

The Case For Calling

UTG is the mark at the table, and we’d like to play pots with him. Calling gives us the best chance of bringing him along and keeps the stacks nice and deep which maximizes our positional advantage.

Thinking Poker Diaries Volume 3 On Sale Now!

The latest and greatest volume in my Thinking Poker Diaries is now available at nitcast.com or in the Amazon Kindle Store. This third volume in the series follows the same format as the first two, interspersing anecdotes from the tournament with strategy essays that discuss topics that came up during my play. Longer than the first two volumes combined, this one tells the story of my 35th place finish in the 2008 WSOP Main Event. Please check it out and let me know what you think!

Episode 110: The Computer Poker Research Group Solves HULHE!

Dr. Michael Bowling and PhD candidate Mike Johanson from the University of Alberta Computer Poker Research Group, who first appeared on Episode 79 of the podcast, return to discuss Cepheus, their “essentially” unexploitable heads up limit hold ‘em AI and its implications for both poker and artificial intelligence. Plus Nate and Andrew discuss playing top pair on a draw-heavy board.

Timestamps

:30 Hello & Welcome
16:42 Strategy
44:24 Interview: Computer Poker Research Group

What’s Your Play? Suited Broadway Preflop

This is the beginning of a multi-street What’s Your Play? Unlike many of these, it’s not an actual hand I played, but it illustrates some common situations that I think a lot of people get wrong.

You’re at a 9-handed $2/$5 NLHE table with $600 effective stacks. UTG is very loose, especially pre-flop, and the whole table is salivating over him. UTG+2 is tight-aggressive bordering on nitty.

UTG limps for $5. UTG2 raises to $20, and the action folds to you in the CO with Qs Ts. What’s your play and why?

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