Saturday, March 15, 2008
Tricky Tournament Float
We were down to the final five in last night's $1000 WSOP satellite. We were all getting our entry fee back, but there was only one seat to be awarded (which was annoying as hell- just one or two more entrants, and there would have been two seats, which makes a world of difference in terms of a good player's satellite expectation).
This opponent was one of the weaker at the table. I thought there was a good chance he would check-raise all in with almost anything on this flop, and as you'll see, I don't need to be at it to represent a hand. As shallow as I am, checking with trips or a good pair would be very plausible here.
I didn't check the flop planning to make a move like this, but when I pick up a flush draw on the turn, I figure my hand is worth a call. My pair outs could be good, I may have some implied odds if I make the flush, and I may be able to bluff the river. A shove would surely fold out "bluffs" that were nonetheless better than my six high, but I figured I could fold those on the river anyway. This does give him the option to pre-empt me by "bluffing" again, but he can't expect me to fold much on the river and I didn't think he was aggressive enough for that anyway.
Poker Stars, $1,000 + $50 NL Hold'em Tournament, 200/400 Blinds, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter
SB: 15,861
BB: 34,722
UTG: 12,516
Hero (CO): 7,040
BTN: 49,861
Pre-Flop: (800) 5
6 dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, Hero raises to 1,000, 2 folds, BB calls 600
Flop: (2,400) A
2 A
(2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (2,400) J (2 Players)
BB bets 1,200, Hero calls 1,200
River: (4,800) 4
(2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets 4,800 and is All-In, BB folds
Results: 4,800 Pot
Hero mucked 5 6 and WON 4,800 (+2,560 NET)
I don't know if he's folding a pair here, but it's pretty unlikely for him to have one. My hand has so little showdown value that even if he only folds his unpaired holdings, I probably still get the 50% of folds I need to make this profitable.
The sad conclusion to this story is that this guy kept making bad calls against me and catching. I made it to the final three, but I kept losing medium-sized pots to him when his Q6s would out-flop my JJ and such. Finally, we got it all in pre-flop with AJs versus 66 (he made a huge shove over my button raise) and he flopped quads.
I didn't stick around for the conclusion, but I can't imagine this guy won. The third player was pretty solid and stacks were deep enough that my buddy here was almost certainly eaten for lunch.
Stumble It!
This opponent was one of the weaker at the table. I thought there was a good chance he would check-raise all in with almost anything on this flop, and as you'll see, I don't need to be at it to represent a hand. As shallow as I am, checking with trips or a good pair would be very plausible here.
I didn't check the flop planning to make a move like this, but when I pick up a flush draw on the turn, I figure my hand is worth a call. My pair outs could be good, I may have some implied odds if I make the flush, and I may be able to bluff the river. A shove would surely fold out "bluffs" that were nonetheless better than my six high, but I figured I could fold those on the river anyway. This does give him the option to pre-empt me by "bluffing" again, but he can't expect me to fold much on the river and I didn't think he was aggressive enough for that anyway.
Poker Stars, $1,000 + $50 NL Hold'em Tournament, 200/400 Blinds, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter
SB: 15,861
BB: 34,722
UTG: 12,516
Hero (CO): 7,040
BTN: 49,861
Pre-Flop: (800) 5
6 dealt to Hero (CO)UTG folds, Hero raises to 1,000, 2 folds, BB calls 600
Flop: (2,400) A
2 A (2 Players)BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (2,400) J
(2 Players)BB bets 1,200, Hero calls 1,200
River: (4,800) 4
(2 Players)BB checks, Hero bets 4,800 and is All-In, BB folds
Results: 4,800 Pot
Hero mucked 5
6 and WON 4,800 (+2,560 NET)I don't know if he's folding a pair here, but it's pretty unlikely for him to have one. My hand has so little showdown value that even if he only folds his unpaired holdings, I probably still get the 50% of folds I need to make this profitable.
The sad conclusion to this story is that this guy kept making bad calls against me and catching. I made it to the final three, but I kept losing medium-sized pots to him when his Q6s would out-flop my JJ and such. Finally, we got it all in pre-flop with AJs versus 66 (he made a huge shove over my button raise) and he flopped quads.
I didn't stick around for the conclusion, but I can't imagine this guy won. The third player was pretty solid and stacks were deep enough that my buddy here was almost certainly eaten for lunch.
Labels: NLHE, poker, poker strategy, session review, tournament, wsop
Stumble It!
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