Tuesday, June 30, 2009

WSOP $5K 6-Max

It was down to the wire whether I was going to play this, but I managed to cash my check about 10 minutes before the start of the tournament. I ran down to the registration and found a line out the door. It was moving quickly, though, and I managed to register and get to the table at 12:04. The tournament was actually late getting started, so I hadn't missed anything. In fact, I was the first one there. Apparently we were in an overflow room they'd just opened up.

The next player to arrive was a guy I instantly recognized as Shaun Deeb. Two European guys, at least one of whom seemed to be an aggro Scandi, gave us the four we needed to start.

While we were still 4-handed, blinds 50/100, Scandi opens for 250 UTG and Shaun makes it 700 on the button. I find AK in the SB and 4-bet to 2400 planning to puke if Shaun shoves. They both folded quickly, but still, you know it's a tough table when you're cold 4-betting in your second orbit.

Things got a bit better when an older guy joined and started limping into pots. Early on, he open limped his button vs my BB, Shaun folded, and I checked with A4o. The flop came A34, I checked, he bet 150, and I raised 550. He called. The turn brought a 2, not ideal, but it's not real likely he has a 5. I bet 800, and he folded.

Next orbit, limpy old guy limps in for 100, Shaun calls 100, I make it 550 with T9o on the CO. Old guy calls, Shaun folds. The flop comes KQJ. Guy checks, I bet 1000, he raises to 3000. Against a better player, I'd probably just shove now, but live fish don't work like that. They don't think as much as they should about their stack size relative to the pot, but they do get scared by all in bets. So I raise to 7400, he shoves, I call, he has AT. I don't draw out to the chop, so I'm busted within half an hour. Fun.

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Sunday, June 14, 2009

I Am Adorable

I didn't have any kind of read that dude was gonna spaz out like this, but it's the kind of thing that happens when you make strange bets:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($885)
SB ($2165)
Hero (BB) ($2458)
UTG ($2519)
MP ($835)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, K
2 folds, Button bets $30, 1 fold, Hero raises to $111, Button calls $81

Flop: ($227) 5, 5, K (2 players)
Hero bets $166, Button calls $166

Turn: ($559) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $111, Button raises to $608 (All-In), Hero calls $497

River: ($1775) 9 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $1775 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had 9, J (two pair, nines and fives).
Hero had A, K (two pair, Kings and fives).
Outcome: Hero won $1772

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Wednesday, June 10, 2009

A Critical Bet Sizing Tell

Let me say up front that I do this whole "check and figure it out" thing entirely too often against good players, and I have to stop. That said, in this case something about his turn bet led me to conclude that I ought to call the river.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($2000.30)
Hero (UTG) ($2000)
MP ($1543.50)
CO ($1734.80)
Button ($2358.50)
SB ($2077.70)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 5, A
Hero bets $33, 2 folds, Button raises to $106, 2 folds, Hero raises to $266, Button calls $160

Flop: ($556) 6, A, Q (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($556) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $290, Hero calls $290

River: ($1136) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $1801 (All-In), Hero calls $1442.50 (All-In)

Total pot: $4021 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had 8, 9 (high card, Ace).
Hero had 5, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: Hero won $4018


Let me kick this one to you, dear readers. Can you figure out what it is about the sizing of his turn bet that led me to call his overbet shove on the river?

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Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Nice River

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($9000.50)
UTG ($16025)
MP ($5309)
Hero (CO) ($10269)
Button ($10000)
SB ($10391)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, J
2 folds, Hero bets $175, 1 fold, SB calls $150, 1 fold

Flop: ($400) J, 8, 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($400) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $269, SB raises to $1025, Hero calls $756

River: ($2450) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1669, 1 fold

Total pot: $2450 | Rake: $3


A big part of my reason for checking the flop is that I so rarely check back a flush draw, and this is one of the best flush draws to check (ie also having top pair to go along with it, so that the fold equity of a semi-bluff isn't worth much to you). This means that when the flush comes in on the turn, my opponent is going to think I can't have it.

So, OK, I get the raise I wanted, which is probably a bluff but could be two pair or a set that's comfortable bloating the pot since I'll rarely have the flush. When I call, I don't know how often he'll continue bluffing. Rivers that pair the board are definitely going to be scary for him, though, as are diamonds, since my likely holding for calling is either set/two pair or a pair with a diamond.

Given that there are so many rivers that discourage bluffing, plus the fact that he may not continue bluffing anyway, plus the fact that his river bluff wouldn't be that big, I might be better off 3-betting the turn. I imagine he'll bluff less often, but when he does, it will have to be a far bigger amount than a river bluff would be. Plus, if he's check-raising for value, I can win a much bigger pot from him.

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Thursday, June 4, 2009

Pot Odds!

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($1000)
SB ($1195.75)
Hero (BB) ($2396)
UTG ($1232)
MP ($1679)
CO ($1052)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, 10
2 folds, CO bets $30, Button calls $30, SB calls $25, Hero raises to $150, CO raises to $300, 2 folds, Hero calls $150

Flop: ($660) 8, J, 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($660) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($660) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $111, 1 fold

Total pot: $660 | Rake: $3


I hope he wasn't planning on folding to a pre-flop shove. Even putting him on a very strong range, I don't want to fold getting 3.5:1. The flop is a tough decision. I surely fold to a shove, but I can't very well open shove myself. I'm probably just calling if I get the right odds and folding otherwise.

Shoving the turn is probably best. For some reason, I had a feeling he was trapping. I guess it was just that I thought he was really strong pre-flop.

On the river, I just wanted to have some fun. Obviously I don't need him to fold often at all for this to show a profit, plus it just puts a smile on your face when it works.

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Thursday, May 28, 2009

Pretty Sure He Ought to Call Me Here

It's very unlikely he has a straight- I think he bets virtually every 8 on the turn, and doesn't 3-bet that many hands with 8's in them in the first place- but realistically I don't know how often I check an 8 on the turn either. Though it might be a sexy way to play something like 98 that can also catch bluffs. Cool that he folded though:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($7066)
Button ($5000)
Hero (SB) ($5000)
BB ($24469.50)
UTG ($3975)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, Q
3 folds, Hero bets $177, BB raises to $450, Hero calls $273

Flop: ($900) 9, 6, 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $400, Hero raises to $1111, BB calls $711

Turn: ($3122) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

River: ($3122) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $3439 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $3122 | Rake: $2

Results:
Hero didn't show A, Q (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $3120

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Wednesday, May 27, 2009

I Do Win the Big Ones Sometimes

I know I've whined about some big pots I've lost of late, so I figured I should reassure you all that I win some big ones too. It's actually been a pretty good month. Here's the biggest one of late:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($10916)
SB ($11889)
Hero (BB) ($11684)
UTG ($20794)
MP ($14585)
CO ($10344)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 10
3 folds, Button bets $150, 1 fold, Hero raises to $550, Button calls $400

Flop: ($1185) A, Q, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $799, Button calls $799

Turn: ($2783) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $1800, Hero calls $1800

River: ($6383) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $7757 (All-In), Hero calls $7757

Total pot: $21897 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had 8, J (one pair, Queens).
Hero had 10, 10 (full house, tens over Queens).
Outcome: Hero won $21894

To be honest, I actually took my time before calling, so much so that a few railbirds accused me of slowrolling. Most of the big pots I've lost this month have been cold decks where I have the smaller set/flush/quads, so I guess I'm just a little gunshy. Not only is a bluff possible, but this Villain is very capable of big, thin value bets. I wouldn't be shocked to see him show up with as little as AK, and he probably does this for value with any Q. The fact that he can do that makes a bluff like this one more effective.

I believe this is the second largest pot I've won, trailing behind this one which was actually from a 10/20 game.

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Friday, May 22, 2009

FTOPS $500 Main Event

Standard tournament garbage. Congratulations, though, to my long-time reader and former student Diego, who made the final table! Diego, why oh why did you back out of our staking deal?!!?

Obviously I'm planning a check-raise here, but given his bet sizing, I actually think I might be better off just calling:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 25/50 Blinds (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG+1 (t5040)
MP1 (t8905)
MP2 (t7335)
CO (t6325)
Button (t6880)
SB (t7750)
Hero (BB) (t10280)
UTG (t2575)

Hero's M: 137.07

Preflop: Hero is BB with J, 8
4 folds, CO bets t150, 1 fold, SB calls t125, Hero calls t100

Flop: (t450) 6, 8, Q (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets t200, 1 fold, Hero calls t200

Turn: (t850) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (t850) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t700, Hero raises to t1980, CO raises to t3910, Hero calls t1930

Total pot: t8670

Results:
Hero had J, 8 (flush, Queen high).
CO had A, 4 (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: CO won t8670


That one was far less annoying than this:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($7653.50)
MP ($1972)
CO ($9506)
Button ($4900)
SB ($5025)
Hero (BB) ($5075)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, K
3 folds, Button bets $150, 1 fold, Hero calls $100

Flop: ($325) 5, Q, 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($325) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $222, Button calls $222

River: ($769) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $555, Button raises to $1655, Hero raises to $4703 (All-In), Button calls $2873 (All-In)

Total pot: $9825 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had A, 9 (flush, Ace high).
Hero had 10, K (flush, King high).
Outcome: Button won $9822

Villain is usually a short-stacker, though he occasionally buys in full. He's definitely borderline scared money when he does, but I still can't see how this isn't a shove on the river (even though I had a sick feeling when he raised and had to force my fingers not to be weak-tight). The only thing is that he may be weighted towards the nuts because of the flop check, which he's far more likely to do with Ace-high than with a random suited connector. But given what he had here, it seems plausible he would play 98s or 65s the same way. I don't know though, come to think of it, he probably still has more combinations of Axs pre-flop then lower flushes. Ugh, maybe this isn't a good shove either.

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Thursday, May 14, 2009

Gross Spot Vs. Peter Eastgate

Yesterday, PeteEastgate was sitting at something like 8 25/50 tables on Stars. After confirming that this was the actual 2009 WSOP Champion and not some clever shark impersonating a tourney donk, I hopped on a few of the tables to try my luck. It was indeed trying:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($5122)
BB ($7944)
UTG ($5223)
MP ($15570)
CO ($5000)
Hero (Button) ($5824)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 4, 4
1 fold, MP bets $150, 1 fold, Hero calls $150, 2 folds

Flop: ($375) 2, 9, 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($375) 9 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $222, MP raises to $850, Hero calls $628

River: ($2075) 4 (2 players)
MP bets $14570 (All-In), Hero calls $4824 (All-In)

Total pot: $11723 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero mucked 4, 4 (four of a kind, fours).
MP had 9, 9 (four of a kind, nines).
Outcome: MP won $11720


I've made four or five royal flushes in my lifetime, but I'm pretty sure this is the first time I've been on either end of quads vs. quads. The worst part is that it's actually pretty tough to put him on anything but better quads given the way he played it. Not that I'm about to lose sleep over paying off with quads, but still.

It was even more frustrating coming on the heels of this, which was not against Eastgate:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($13257)
MP ($15487)
CO ($5000)
Button ($8292)
Hero (SB) ($5000)
BB ($6147)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 10, 10
UTG bets $150, MP calls $150, 1 fold, Button calls $150, Hero raises to $750, 1 fold, UTG calls $600, MP calls $600, Button calls $600

Flop: ($3050) 10, Q, 6 (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $1725, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4250 (All-In), 1 fold, MP calls $2525

Turn: ($11550) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($11550) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $11550 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
MP had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Outcome: MP won $11547


Well, this was not exactly not against Eastgate. He was the initial raiser, but not the guy who cold decked me. I'm actually a little surprised that the QQ didn't re-squeeze pre-flop. I'm pretty sure I would have stacked off anyway, and his hand's going to be a bitch to play in a multiway pot post-flop. Unless he flops set over set, of course.

Anyway, from what I could tell Eastgate was pretty solid. While I'm not yet convinced that he's 25/50 material, he had respectable stacks on nearly every table he was on, and he certainly wasn't enough of a mark to justify my continuing to sit frustrated against other very good players.

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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

FTOPS Event 13: $300 NLHE 6-Max Quad Shootout

I lasted no more than 15 minutes in this tournament and got 3-bet no fewer than four times. The final time, I raised 44 in the SB, shoved over a 3-bet from the BB, and lost the flip to AQ.

Poker Savvy's Dani "Ansky" Stern final tabled this one, but he finished a somewhat disappointing sixth. Still, nice finish!

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Sunday, May 10, 2009

FTOPS Event 1: $200 6-Max

I donked my way out of this one with a quickness, lost my ass with QQ on a 972 board with two clubs. Worse, it was to a guy who'd previously called KJ on a J74 flop, potted the turn when I checked to him, then made a half pot bet on the river (I had KJ also). Thing is, although he was kinda overvaluing top pair, he didn't raise it on the flop. So when he did raise the 972, I probably shouldn't have lost 100+ BB's with QQ. Oh well.

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Tuesday, April 14, 2009

SCOOP Event 20: FLHE 6-Max

I hate and suck at FLHE, so I didn't play this one. I just wanted to give a big congratulations to Terrence "Unassigned" Chan, who won both the $500 and $5000 tournaments. I had the privilege of meeting, playing with, and losing a big pot to Terrence in Barcelona. He was a very nice guy, and I've been following his blog ever since. He's also a phenomenal poker player, probably one of the best FLHE players in the world, and it's hard to think of a guy more deserving of a big win than Terrence.

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Sunday, April 12, 2009

SCOOP Event 14: 6-Max NLHE ($5000)

I had some fierce competition in this one, but I guess that's to be expected in a 5K. There was dpeters17, Timex, psyduck, and Poker Savvy's very own Christian "charder30" Harder, but the player who ended up giving me the most trouble was a Pocket Fivers guy named Wretchy. I don't think this was because Wretchy was the best of these players- quite the opposite- but he did make hands at the right times against me (or pull off some very well-timed bluffs, in which case there's egg on my face, but I'm pretty sure he had it).

The first big pot he won off of me, he flopped top pair top kicker and I flopped the nut flush draw in a multi-way pot. Unfortunately, that meant he had my Ace dominated, so I was drawing to fewer outs than I expected, and I didn't get there. None of the rest were that clean. I think this line is actually OK on my part and may have saved me some money:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $5000+$200 Tournament, 40/80 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button (t7804)
SB (t6930)
BB (t15071)
UTG (t4438)
Hero (MP) (t7982)
CO (t9352)

Hero's M: 66.52

Preflop: Hero is MP with 10, 10
1 fold, Hero bets t160, 1 fold, Button calls t160, SB raises to t777, 1 fold, Hero calls t617, 1 fold

Flop: (t1794) 3, 6, 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t555, SB raises to t1888, Hero calls t1333

Turn: (t5570) 5 (2 players)
SB bets t1999, Hero folds

Total pot: t5570


As long as I'm making this same flop bet-call with stuff like AA and trips, which I absolutely am, then I think this is a pretty effective way of playing TT. It has the potential to induce calls from worse and sometimes even spazzy bluffs (though hopefully not here!). It sucks, but I seriously doubt Wretchy is sophisticated enough to have a bluff here.

Then there was this smaller one where he took me off a hand. For some reason I had a feeling he was gonna 4-bet, but I sucked it up and 3-bet anyway:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $5000+$200 Tournament, 50/100 Blinds 10 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP (t6360)
CO (t8621)
Button (t14288)
SB (t16510)
Hero (BB) (t9682)
UTG (t9064)

Hero's M: 46.10

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, A
2 folds, CO bets t233, 2 folds, Hero raises to t699, CO raises to t1888, 1 fold

Total pot: t1508


For better or for worse, I probably would have shoved AQs here. I dunno, I just don't see tourney regs 4-betting without the goods very often, particularly when the 4-bet is less than all in. Then again, BelowAbove was cheering for this dude in chat, so who knows. Maybe I just don't play enough of the bigger buy-in weekly tournies to know what the regs are up to these days.

My bustout hand was another in my neverending series of "Goddammit this is not a cash game!" hands. This is maaaaybe an OK line against someone who is gonna float and bluff turns, but that's just not who I'm likely to be up against here. Even the 3-bet is pretty questionable, I think:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $5000+$200 Tournament, 50/100 Blinds 10 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP (t8670)
CO (t18710)
Button (t14753)
SB (t10410)
Hero (BB) (t8608)
UTG (t3374)

Hero's M: 40.99

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 10
1 fold, MP bets t275, 3 folds, Hero raises to t888, MP calls t613

Flop: (t1886) 2, 7, K (2 players)
Hero bets t910, MP calls t910

Turn: (t3706) K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets t2222, Hero raises to t6800 (All-In), MP calls t4578

River: (t17306) J (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t17306

Results:
Hero had 10, 10 (two pair, Kings and tens).
MP had K, A (three of a kind, Kings).
Outcome: MP won t17306


With a spade, it's a completely different story and an easy shove, I think.

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Saturday, April 11, 2009

SCOOP Event 14: 6-Max NLHE ($500)

I made a decent run in the $500 6-max on Wednesday, and though I didn't do as well in the $5K, there were interesting hands from both, so I'm going to do two different posts.

I lost about half my stack early on in the $500, but managed to recover. Then there was this hand that really gave me a boost:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $500+$30 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t11229)
BB (t7109)
UTG (t4199)
MP (t11233)
CO (t11561)
Button (t21931)

Hero's M: 24.95

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, A
3 folds, Button calls t200, Hero calls t100, BB checks

Flop: (t750) Q, A, K (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, Button bets t500, Hero calls t500, 1 fold

Turn: (t1750) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t2000, Hero calls t2000

River: (t5750) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t5200, Hero calls t5200

Total pot: t16150

Results:
Button had 9, 7 (high card, Ace).
Hero had 7, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: Hero won t16150


Not that his line makes a whole lot of sense anyway, but I'd previously seen him check the flop and lead out for half pot on the turn with a set, so I was even less inclined to believe his overbet. I doubt he's open limping AQ, AK, QQ, KK, or AA on the button, so JT is literally the only made hand I could expect him to have.

So things were going well, and I had a not-too-tough table, except for a guy some of you may know who plays under the handle teacuppoker. He's a good player who's been around for a while- I played with him in person at the 2007 WSOP, and recognized his screenname from before that. Sadly, I got into a tough spot against him and didn't play it brilliantly.

It just goes to show you how much it sucks to be out of position against a good player, when you can flop top pair top kicker and your first thought is "Shit, what am I going to do?" It's not that I was worried about getting beat, but just that I didn't know what line to take to get paid off without getting bluff out or paying off to much to the occasional better hand myself. I ultimately went for three streets of value, which in a cash game would be fine but is probably too optimistic in a tournament, even against a guy who does play MSNL and HSNL:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $500+$30 Tournament, 150/300 Blinds 40 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (UTG) (t19208)
MP (t26465)
CO (t23634)
Button (t9160)
SB (t5430)
BB (t11357)

Hero's M: 27.84

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A
Hero bets t777, 1 fold, CO calls t777, 3 folds

Flop: (t2244) 10, 4, K (2 players)
Hero bets t1111, CO calls t1111

Turn: (t4466) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets t2888, CO calls t2888

River: (t10242) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t6666, CO calls t6666

Total pot: t23574

Results:
Hero had K, A (one pair, Kings).
CO had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
Outcome: CO won t23574


Of course, I was destined to lose a big pot here. But check-folding the river might actually have been better. The most obvious draw got there, and although I'm sure he's capable, he doesn't have much reason to turn a pair into a bluff here.

Then I fought around for a while and eventually got sort of coolered in a blind battle, though based on how passive this guy had been on his big blind, I maybe could have just called flop. Even if I do, though, I don't see how we don't get it on this turn:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $500+$30 Tournament, 250/500 Blinds 60 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t13506)
BB (t19033)
UTG (t40954)
MP (t8136)
CO (t5030)
Button (t8595)

Hero's M: 12.17

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, J
4 folds, Hero calls t250, BB checks

Flop: (t1360) 7, 10, 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets t897, Hero raises to t2444, BB raises to t18473 (All-In), Hero calls t10502 (All-In)

Turn: (t27252) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t27252) K (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t27252

Results:
Hero had 9, J (one pair, nines).
BB had 9, 10 (two pair, tens and nines).
Outcome: BB won t27252

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Thursday, April 2, 2009

SCOOP Events 1 and 2: 6-Max NLHE with Rebuys and PLO8

Thankfully the cash games I was playing on the side went well, because the tournaments did not. I played the $50 and $500 rebuys, but decided to skip the $5. I was thinking it might be fun to play despite the small stakes, but then I saw that there were more than 25,000 people registered for it! I have to think this is the largest non-freeroll tournament ever held.

On top of the fact that the two I did play had good structures, they were rebuys, meaning getting eliminated in the first hour wasn't in action. I was in for the "minimum" and even managed to double up in the $50 thanks to making trips two hands in a row against a loose player. Nevertheless, I dusted off my stack in both within two and half hours.

Worse, I feel like I was probably at least somewhat wrong to lose my stack in both cases. Here's my bustout hand from the $50:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50+$5 Tournament, 40/80 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO (t3213)
Button (t18316)
Hero (SB) (t11211)
BB (t5965)
UTG (t13562)
MP (t11473)

Hero's M: 93.42

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A
3 folds, Button bets t240, Hero raises to t777, 1 fold, Button calls t537

Flop: (t1634) 6, 8, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets t1111, Button calls t1111

Turn: (t3856) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t1895, Hero raises to t9323 (All-In), Button calls t7428

River: (t22502) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t22502

Results:
Button had 7, 8 (full house, sevens over eights).
Hero had Q, A (one pair, sevens).
Outcome: Button won t22502

I doubt he's betting less than two pair when I check to him on the turn, especially for this amount. As much as it sucks, check-folding might be correct here.

And in the $500:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $500+$30 Tournament, 30/60 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) (t7271)
UTG (t8125)
MP (t19938)
CO (t10487)
Button (t11836)
SB (t8343)

Hero's M: 80.79

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, Q
1 fold, MP bets t180, 2 folds, SB raises to t600, Hero raises to t1555, 1 fold, SB raises to t8343 (All-In), Hero calls t5716 (All-In)

Flop: (t14722) J, J, 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t14722) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t14722) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t14722

Results:
SB had A, A (two pair, Aces and Jacks).
Hero had Q, Q (two pair, Queens and Jacks).
Outcome: SB won t14722


Note to self: six-max tournaments are not six-mas cash games. In my defense, this guy did seem a little loose pre-flop. He called one of my 3-bets out of position with A5s. That might justify calling his 5-bet shove, but I think flatting the 3-bet is probably best. I hate doing that against very good players because it defines your hand for them for free, but I doubt this guy was good enough to take advantage of that.

In general, though, there did seem to be a strong field in this tournament. My table at least was solid, with one player I've seen before at $25/$50.

To make matters worse, I misread the SCOOP schedule and ended up missing the PLO8 events, which my longtime readers will know I really enjoy. I thought they were tomorrow, but they were actually an event starting later in the afternoon today. Oh well, at least the cash games I was playing on the side well, netting me a handsome profit for the session despite the hefty tournament buyins.

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Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Don't Be a Hero (Except Now)

Most players just don't know how to execute a good bluff raise on the river and won't even try, and I probably play the Hero a little more than I should in "good spots" that my opponents probably don't even recognize. This was against a smarter opponent, though, and while he doesn't make a lot of moves, I caught him here:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($840)
CO ($1099.85)
Button ($1910.10)
SB ($2159)
BB ($796)
Hero (UTG) ($2323)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K
Hero bets $35, 3 folds, SB calls $30, 1 fold

Flop: ($80) 4, 3, 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $55, SB calls $55

Turn: ($190) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($190) 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $155, SB raises to $555, Hero calls $400

Total pot: $1300 | Rake: $3

Results:
SB had 7, 7 (two pair, sevens and fours).
Hero had K, K (two pair, Kings and fours).
Outcome: Hero won $1297


First off, this is a decent spot for him to bluff. My hand is pretty clearly defined as an overpair or worse. Since he's representing a flush or full house, my hand is just a bluff catcher, and as I said, most people just don't check-raise bluff the river as much as they should.

The thing that helped me to call is that I'm not sure he plays a flush draw like this, and even some of his full house combos are unlikely. He's calling my UTG raise from the SB, so I'm not expecting to see a lot of suited connectors. I guess something like As Qs makes sense- it helps that I have the Ks and can rule out AKs and KQs.

I also think he may not (or at least probably should not) be playing small pairs pre-flop, which makes 33, 44, and 55 less likely.

Really, I'm not sure calling 77 pre-flop is very good either. He's probably a bit of a dog to my UTG range, so he's losing something in immediate equity pre-flop. It's easy to be like "LOLSETODDS" but it's not going to be that easy to win a big pot from out of position just because he flops a set. Compared to all the times he gets forced off the best hand, plus the potential reverse implied odds spots (see above), I think he ought to just fold pre-flop. Playing out of position sucks.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009

Most Psychotic Bluff I've Ever Seen

Hmmm, 80:1 odds? I think I'll call:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) ($1802)
SB ($490)
BB ($1424)
UTG ($985)
MP ($1884)
CO ($1442.45)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6, 8
1 fold, MP bets $35, 1 fold, Hero calls $35, 2 folds

Flop: ($85) 5, 7, 8 (2 players)
MP bets $45, Hero raises to $122, MP raises to $320, Hero raises to $678, MP raises to $1200, Hero raises to $1722, MP raises to $1849 (All-In), Hero calls $45 (All-In)

Turn: ($3619) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($3619) Q (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $3619 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had 6, 8 (one pair, eights).
MP had J, 2 (one pair, twos).
Outcome: Hero won $3616


I tried to make the flop 3-bet kinda sketchy to maximize fold equity versus overpairs. Guess I was a little off there....

Not only is this an awful board to expect me to show up with air, but when he 7-bet bluffs (wow, what an awesome thing to be able to say), I have to call $45 into a $3600 pot. The best part is that I thought my 6-bet was all in. I just hit the raise button, but apparently that left me with just enough room to give him the illusion of fold equity.

You don't know you how nervous I was when that deuce rolled off on the turn.

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Back in Black

For the second time this year, I've dug myself out of a big old hole. Let's hope it's the last (that I need to). Here's the hand that did it:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($9411)
SB ($5550)
BB ($20776)
UTG ($5000)
Hero (MP) ($5444)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K, K
1 fold, Hero bets $150, 2 folds, BB calls $100

Flop: ($325) 5, 6, Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $222, BB raises to $950, Hero raises to $5294 (All-In), BB calls $4344

Turn: ($10913) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($10913) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $10913 | Rake: $2

Results:
BB had K, 5 (two pair, tens and fives).
Hero had K, K (two pair, Kings and tens).
Outcome: Hero won $10911


I actually thought for a bit on the flop about whether I wanted to ship it in or just call and look for a non-club turn. I think based on his bet-sizing he has clubs pretty much always, and most of the time he'll have other outs that will make him basically a coin flip with me (either a 5, an A, or a straight draw). That would seem to argue for a call, since I have position and this information about his hand.

Truthfully, though, I think a call gives him the advantage even though he's out of position. He knows his hand looks like a flush draw, and if I just call, he'll know that I'm looking for a non-club turn. So he has pretty much the same information that I do, but he also knows which other cards help his hand, which I do not.

Take this case, for instance. Say I just call. What if an Ace turns and he shoves? I could end up getting bluffed off the best hand. Better to suck it up, get it in, and hope I've got his kicker covered!

It was one of those nights where things were just going well. I was getting a lot of decisions right, even those I usually get wrong:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (4 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($1880)
Hero (SB) ($2047)
BB ($1005)
UTG ($5521)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
UTG bets $35, 1 fold, Hero raises to $123, 1 fold, UTG calls $88

Flop: ($256) J, J, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $188, UTG calls $188

Turn: ($632) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $410, Hero calls $410

River: ($1452) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $4800 (All-In), Hero calls $1326 (All-In)

Total pot: $4104 | Rake: $2

Results:
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and Jacks).
UTG had A, K (one pair, Jacks).
Outcome: Hero won $4102


Actually, I wasn't getting everything right. I made some big, questionable river bluffs in a heads up match. But, even that crazy image paid off eventually:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (2 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($2983.75)
Button ($2026.25)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
Button bets $15, Hero raises to $55, Button raises to $149, Hero raises to $444, Button raises to $852, Hero raises to $2983.75 (All-In), Button calls $1174.25 (All-In)

Flop: ($4052.50) 2, Q, 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: ($4052.50) 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($4052.50) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $4052.50 | Rake: $0.50

Results:

Button had K, A (one pair, twos).
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and twos).
Outcome: Hero won $4052


This was really the first time we'd gone to war pre-flop, too. I mean, there are times when it might be reasonable to stack off 340 BBs to me with AK pre-flop, but this wasn't one of them.

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Saturday, March 14, 2009

Suicidal Bluff

Although this worked, I think it's really awful play on my part. I am representing a ridiculously narrow range (like QQ and maybe KK) and even those don't necessarily make sense. This guy was just frustrating me because he wasn't folding to 3-bets ever and was just generally being a pain in the ass.

I knew he would float a continuation bet on this flop, so I was hoping that a delayed c-bet would get me more credit. When he bet the flop, I didn't think he was all that strong, but calling with down with AJ unimproved didn't quite feel right either. For what it's worth, I think he usually 4-bets AK and KK pre-flop, and if he doesn't 4-bet QQ, he probably doesn't bet the flop either. When he just calls the turn, clubs are probably a non-trivial portion of his range. He tanked for a really long time before folding the river, though, so it seems like he did fold some kind of made hand.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($3963)
Button ($6018)
Hero (SB) ($4937)
BB ($2357)
UTG ($2396)
MP ($2030)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, J
3 folds, Button bets $50, Hero raises to $188, 1 fold, Button calls $138

Flop: ($396) 3, 8, K (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $260, Hero calls $260

Turn: ($916) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $720, Hero raises to $1989, Button calls $1269

River: ($4894) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $2500 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $4894 | Rake: $3

Results:

Hero didn't show A, J (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $4891

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Deeeep Bluff

When you get to about the 2/4 or 3/6 level, an important goal to set for yourself is to make it hell for your opponents to show down marginal hands against you when they are out of position. The deeper you get, the wider the definition of marginal becomes, and here the stars really aligned nicely for me. The Villain is an occasional short stacker, and although he had a bunch of money spread out across a few 10/20 tables tonight, I still felt that he'd be a little uncomfortable with the idea of a $17K pot:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($6735)
UTG ($2000)
MP ($11444)
Hero (CO) ($8761)
Button ($3940)
SB ($6294)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 6, 9
1 fold, MP bets $70, Hero calls $70, 2 folds, BB calls $50

Flop: ($220) 10, 2, 8 (3 players)
BB checks, MP bets $160, Hero calls $160, 1 fold

Turn: ($540) Q (2 players)
MP bets $400, Hero raises to $1555, MP calls $1155

River: ($3650) 5 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $2977, 1 fold

Total pot: $3650 | Rake: $3


Honestly, my initial plan was not to bluff again on the river. I felt that the turn raise would be enough to threaten his stack and get him off of an overpair or AQ-type hand. He called so quickly, though, that I just felt he couldn't have a set. With the interest I'm showing in the pot and the draws on the board, I think he would at least consider jamming the turn with a big hand like that. So, I decided to throw a big river bluff at him to represent a set or straight.

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Sunday, February 22, 2009

Don't Make It So Obvious

Also, don't raise 52s in middle position.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($1033)
UTG ($1233.55)
MP ($3131.75)
CO ($1000)
Hero (Button) ($1150)
SB ($2026)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, A
1 fold, MP bets $30, 1 fold, Hero calls $30, SB calls $25, 1 fold

Flop: ($100) K, 6, 9 (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $44, 1 fold, MP raises to $3060, Hero calls $1076 (All-In)

Turn: ($2340) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($2340) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $2340 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had Q, A (one pair, Aces).
MP had 5, 2 (high card, Ace).
Outcome: Hero won $2337

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Wednesday, February 18, 2009

/Bankroll

I think this has been out for a few days, but I just noticed that Poker Stars has posted a tentative schedule for a yet-to-be-named tournament series in April. I love the format of offering a low-, medium-, and high-stakes option for every tournament and am frankly staggered that they think they will get sufficient interest in some of these events, especially the $2000 Triple Draw.

The 2+2 MTT community is mostly salivating over this, though some are a little concerned that the smaller events will actually discourage people from trying satellite into the bigger events. I don't think they're wrong, but I still expect the big events to be plenty soft thanks to tourney donks playing with relatively deep stacks for fairly big money.

The only issue for me is how to get enough money on Stars by April to enable me to play the ones I want without busting the bankroll. I may suck it up and make a wire transfer, which I've so far refused to do on principle since Stars makes the depositor pay the wire fees. It's really preposterous- I pay enough rake in 10 minutes to cover the fees, and it's clearly in their interest for me to have money on their site.

Anyway, the schedule:

Event 1 - 2 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - NL Hold'em with Rebuys [6-max]

Really looking forward to this one, will probably play the medium and the large.
  • 01-L: $5.50 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 01-M: $55 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 01-H: $530 buy-in, $500,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 2 - 2 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - PL Omaha Hi/Lo

I like PLO8 and will probably play the medium, maybe the large depending on what the field looks like. I'd probably even be willing to play the large if I thought I was slightly -EV.
  • 02-L: $11 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 02-M: $109 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 02-H: $1,050 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 3 - 3 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - PL 5-Card Draw

I might play the small or medium for fun, but definitely won't be playing the large.
  • 03-L: $11 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 03-M: $109 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 03-H: $1,050 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 4 - 3 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - NL Hold'em [2X Chance, turbo]

It's hard to turn down the great value that all of these NLHE tourneys represent, but I really hate turbos. In these, the tourney donks might actually have the edge on me.
  • 04-L: $16.50 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 04-M: $162 buy-in, $300,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 04-H: $1,575 buy-in, $1,000,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 5 - 4 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - NL Hold'em Shootout [10-max]

The large will probably be worth playing.
  • 05-L: $16.50 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 05-M: $162 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 05-H: $1,575 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 6 - 4 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - PL Omaha [1R1A, 6-max]

I might play the medium, but lately I've no interest in PLO.
  • 06-L: $22 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 06-M: $215 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 06-H: $2,100 buy-in, $400,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 7 - 5 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - H.O.R.S.E.

Recently I've concluded that I may not be as good at HORSE as I thought, and/or everyone else is getting better. If I play, it will probably just be the low.
  • 07-L: $109 buy-in, $250,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 07-M: $1,050 buy-in, $500,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 07-H: $10,300 buy-in, $750,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 8 - 5 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - NL Hold'em [2-day]

Juicy! The medium will be fine, but it's probably not a good idea to burn so much time on a $300 tournament. I really want to play the large though.
  • 08-L: $33 buy-in, $250,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 08-M: $320 buy-in, $1,500,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 08-H: $3,150 buy-in, $3,000,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 9 - 6 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - FL Triple Draw 2-7

If I play, it would only be the low for fun. Whenever I play this game, I always end up screwing up and getting excited about an Ace or a straight.
  • 09-L: $22 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 09-M: $215 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 09-H: $2,100 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 10 - 6 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - NL Hold'em [Heads-Up Match Play]

Nice opportunity for heads up, will probably play medium and large.
  • 10-L: $16.50 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 10-M: $162 buy-in, $300,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 10-H: $1,575 buy-in, $500,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 11 - 7 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - Mixed Hold'em [6-max]


Meh. I really hate and suck at FLHE. I'll probably sit this one out.
  • 11-L: $33 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 11-M: $320 buy-in, $300,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 11-H: $3,150 buy-in, $800,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 12 - 7 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - 7-Card Stud Hi/Lo

I like this game, but I'm probably not good enought for the large. I'll likely play the medium though.
  • 12-L: $22 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 12-M: $215 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 12-H: $2,100 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 13 - 8 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - FL Razz

Same as above, only Razz is more frustrating. Maybe the medium, not the large.
  • 13-L: $22 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 13-M: $215 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 13-H: $2,100 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 14 - 8 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - NL Hold'em [6-max]

Tight! Medium and large are both high priorities, and I might even play the low.
  • 14-L: $55 buy-in, $250,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 14-M: $530 buy-in, $500,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 14-H: $5,200 buy-in, $1,250,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 15 - 9 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - 8-Game

I'm probably too bad at too many of these games to warrant playing even the medium.
  • 15-L: $44 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 15-M: $425 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 15-H: $4,175 buy-in, $250,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 16 - 9 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - 7-Card Stud

I don't really like and suck at 7-stud, so I won't be playing these.
  • 16-L: $33 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 16-M: $320 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 16-H: $3,150 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 17 - 10 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - NL Hold'em [1R1A]

I'll play the medium, and I'd like to play the high, but it'll stretch the bankroll. We'll see.
  • 17-L: $33 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 17-M: $320 buy-in, $500,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 17-H: $3,150 buy-in, $1,000,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 18 - 10 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - PL Omaha

Meh, probably skip all of these.
  • 18-L: $55 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 18-M: $530 buy-in, $300,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 18-H: $5,200 buy-in, $1,000,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 19 - 11 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - FL Omaha Hi/Lo

I'm not much on this game, will probably skip it.
  • 19-L: $55 buy-in, $50,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 19-M: $530 buy-in, $150,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 19-H: $5,200 buy-in, $400,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 20 - 11 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - FL Hold'em [6-max]

Definitely not playing these.
  • 20-L: $55 buy-in, $25,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 20-M: $530 buy-in, $200,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 20-H: $5,200 buy-in, $400,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 21 - 12 April 2009 @ 14:30 ET - NL Hold'em [Heads-Up Match Play]

I'll play the medium and maybe the low but definitely not the high.
  • 21-L: $270 buy-in, $100,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 21-M: $2,600 buy-in, $300,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 21-H: $25,500 buy-in, $800,000 guaranteed prize pool

Event 22 - 12 April 2009 @ 16:30 ET - NL Hold'em Main Event [2-day]

I'll play the medium for sure. I'd really like to play the high, but I don't know if it's going to be practical.
  • 22-L: $109 buy-in, $1,000,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 22-M: $1,050 buy-in, $3,000,000 guaranteed prize pool
  • 22-H: $10,300 buy-in, $5,000,000 guaranteed prize pool

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Saturday, February 14, 2009

FTOPS #20: $200 NLHE 6-Max

Not surprisingly, the quality of play in this was something like atrocious. Judging from the chat and general play, I was at a table full of clowns, which was cool. My favorite hand saw a guy raise pre-flop, and get two callers, and then bet 2x pot on A44 flop. The SB tanked forever and announced that he was folding AT. The better agreed that it was a tough but good fold.

Anyhow, with that in mind, I think I am fist-pump stacking off here even for like 170BBs. I mean, do we really see this guy playing TT any differently?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button (t5050)
SB (t5585)
Hero (BB) (t5115)
UTG (t5430)
MP (t4775)
CO (t4045)

Hero's M: 113.67

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, K
1 fold, MP raises to t90, 3 folds, Hero raises to t300, MP calls t210

Flop: (t615) 4, 7, 7 (2 players)
Hero bets t615, MP calls t615

Turn: (t1845) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t1200, MP raises to t3860 (All-In), Hero calls t2660

River: (t9565) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t9565

Results:
Hero had K, K (two pair, Kings and sevens).
MP had A, A (two pair, Aces and sevens).
Outcome: MP won t9565

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Thursday, February 12, 2009

FTOPS $17: $300 Rebuy 6-Max NLHE

Given the deep stacks, short-handed format, and substantial buy-in, this was probably the FTOPS event I was looking forward to the most. Sadly, the other players at my table were giant nits during the rebuy period. I got AK on the first hand and open shoved, then shoved a more times just trying to get up a kinda crazy image, but no one would play along. I even tried trash talking in the chat box, but they kept folding anyway.

Finally I got 22 in the SB and open raised 3x. The player in the BB re-raised, and I shoved because for like 40 BB's in a rebuy I really ought to be able to get 22 in pre-flop profitably in a blind battle, but of course nitbag showed up with TT. I'm pretty sure mine was the only rebuy our table had- most players didn't even double buy initially, and at least one didn't take the add-on.

After the rebuy period was over, I tightened up for half an hour or so until the blinds got appreciable and then started min-raising a lot of hands. I'm increasingly convinced that, especially in 6-max tournaments, that's the way to go. People are already not adjusting well to the short-handed format, and smaller raises is the best way to exploit their excessive tightness. When people did re-raise me, it was usually some amont like a full 3x my raise which was way larger than it needed to be. Basically no one was calling as light as he should out of the BB, and even when they did call, they sucked enough at post-flop play that it was fine anyway.

I built up a nice stack this way, though there were two guys on my right doing something kind of similar. I was making money picking spots to 3-bet them until someone behind woke up with a hand and cold 4-bet shoved.

After a few of those re-raises, this happened:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 170/340 Blinds 25 Ante (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP (t20502)
CO (t18250
Button (t5100)
Hero (SB) (t8221)
BB (t5270)
UTG (t9409)

Hero's M: 12.46

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
1 fold, MP raises to t750, CO calls t750, 1 fold, Hero raises to t2000, 2 folds, CO calls t1250

Flop: (t5240) 8, Q, 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (t5240) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets t6196 (All-In), CO calls t6196

River: (t17632) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t17632

Results:
Hero had A, A (one pair, Aces).
CO had 9, 7 (straight, nine high).
Outcome: CO won t17632

If the BB had been any good, I would have just called pre-flop and counted on him to shove over the three of us. I wasn't confident he would recognize what a good spot it was for him, though, so I had to re-raise myself.

On the flop, there was only one pot-sized bet left in my stacks. I figured that most hands that would call a flop shove would call a turn shove as well- maybe even more. Plus I give Villain the chance to bluff shove. This is exactly the kind of hand I wanted him to shove, though, and instead he drills the gutter on the turn. Bah.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Right Line, Wrong Guy

I like this line a lot in this spot, but not against the table fish:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($2000)
CO ($1850)
Button ($1329)
SB ($8366)
Hero (BB) ($2197)
UTG ($2274)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, K
3 folds, Button raises to $40, 1 fold, Hero raises to $144, Button calls $104

Flop: ($298) J, A, 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($298) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $203, Button calls $203

River: ($704) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $550, Button calls $550

Total pot: $1804 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had A, 10 (one pair, Aces).
Hero had Q, K (high card, Ace).
Outcome: Button won $1801


Most of the time that I check this flop after 3-betting pre-flop, I'm going to have something with some showdown value. And if I then bet hard at the turn and river, it will be because I was slowplaying a monster or at least pot controlling something pretty good like AK.

So, I like a similar line with a big draw, as compared to just betting the flop and then making a pot-committing turn bet. Maybe I'll get to check-raise the flop if Villain throws out a feeler bet/bluff, or make a concealed flush (since he probably wouldn't expect me to check a flush draw on the flop)- with all my outs, I certainly don't mind seeing a free turn card.

AT is exactly the kind of hand I'd expect a better player to drop on the river. But this was not a better player, and I should have known better.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Oh You Wanna Get Stubborn?

I'll get you off of it eventually...

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($4886.05)
BB ($300)
UTG ($600)
Hero (MP) ($1311.80)
CO ($1318.60)
Button ($1711.10)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 10, A
1 fold, Hero raises to $21, CO calls $21, 1 fold, SB raises to $84, 1 fold, Hero raises to $190, 1 fold, SB calls $106

Flop: ($407) 7, 3, Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $166, SB calls $166

Turn: ($739) 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $255, SB calls $255

River: ($1249) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $700.80 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $1249 | Rake: $3


I like this because the value of my opponent's hand is so clearly capped (if he had a QQ+ or AK, he'd have shoved pre-flop, if he had a set he'd have shoved before the river) while I've shown strength at every opportunity. The river K is icing on the cake, connecting with AK, the single most plausible hand he was still beating on the turn with whatever pocket pair he had.

I imagine he realized all of this as well, because he tanked for a really long time but eventually gave it up.

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Saturday, January 24, 2009

How Not to Overplay Bottom Set

A few days ago I posted a hand where we were very deep and I feared I may have overplayed a small set/full house. Once again I was deep here against a pretty good player. Were I to fire a third barrel, I'd be showing a ton of strength, so much so that he could probably to fold all worse hands. More importantly, I felt that he wouldn't expect me to check any strong hand since I already had the betting impetus. Thus, not only can I induce bluffs, but I can also probably get him to value bet most hands that would have called the river anyway:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($864.80)
Button ($2075.80)
SB ($603)
Hero (BB) ($2065.20)
UTG ($428.70)
MP ($2007.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 7
1 fold, MP raises to $21, 1 fold, Button calls $21, 1 fold, Hero calls $15

Flop: ($66) 10, A, 7 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $44, Button calls $44, Hero raises to $199, 1 fold, Button calls $155

Turn: ($508) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $345, Button calls $345

River: ($1198) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $800, Hero calls $800

Total pot: $2798 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had K, J (high card, Ace).
Hero had 7, 7 (three of a kind, sevens).
Outcome: Hero won $2795


Also important is the fact that I think my river checks are in general far too exploitable. For the most part, if I've bet the flop and turn but then check the river, it means I'm giving up. Thus, I've been on the look-out for opportunities to bet (or raise) the flop and turn then check the river when out of position with a big hand.

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I Got One Right

Since I just posted a bunch of whines, here's a brag. The SB was the table fish, the BB is a very tough and aggressive opponent. I could just 4-bet pre-flop but I think he'd find a way to own me. I decided I was just going to play my position and go with the assumption that he didn't have much:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($2753)
MP ($1837)
CO ($4028.25)
Hero (Button) ($2697)
SB ($2045.70)
BB ($2032)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, J
3 folds, Hero raises to $35, SB calls $30, BB raises to $170, Hero calls $135, 1 fold

Flop: ($375) 4, 2, Q (2 players)
BB bets $210, Hero calls $210

Turn: ($795) 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $333, BB calls $333

River: ($1461) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1984 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $1461 | Rake: $3


I like floating the flop because even if he fires a second barrel there's a lot of ways I can continue. If I turn a pair, I'll call him down, and if I turn a draw, I'll shove. The turn bet was calculated to set up a roughly pot-sized river shove (Villain had like $1300 left) and/or win the pot immediately. It doesn't give him a great price to check-raise, so I think he's mostly going to raise only when he has a legit hand. The small bet also works as a feeler to show me that he probably doesn't have a legit hand, which means it'll be tough for him to call a river shove. He tanked forever, which was pretty nerve-racking, but eventually went away.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Some Shit Spots

These are all from tonight. Fair warning: this is pretty much a whine post, but I'm trying to include at least some insight into how precisely running bad can lead to playing bad (aside from the obvious straight-up frustration/tilt). This is the worst one of the night, one of two gin cards falls on the river:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($1000)
Hero (UTG) ($4229)
MP ($2197)
CO ($4117.25)
Button ($3109)
SB ($5835)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, 10
Hero raises to $70, 2 folds, Button calls $70, 2 folds

Flop: ($170) A, 2, 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($170) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $111, Button calls $111

River: ($392) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $288, Button raises to $1000, Hero calls $712

Total pot: $2392 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had 8, 9 (straight, ten high).
Hero had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
Outcome: Button won $2389


Honestly I was pretty unhappy about the river raise but in this case my hand is so under-repped and this opponent is generally an aggro monkey, though I didn't think it was too likely he was bluffing here. Pretty much just shit luck and a spot where he's going to get paid. Rightly or wrongly, it probably did contribute to my folding here (different opponent, I just mean that it may have made me a little gunshy):


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($1723.05)
MP2 ($175)
CO ($154.25)
SB ($1060.50)
Hero (BB) ($2340.50)
UTG ($1010)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3, 3
1 fold, MP1 raises to $22, 3 folds, Hero calls $12

Flop: ($49) 3, 7, 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $18, Hero raises to $88, MP1 calls $70

Turn: ($225) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $188, MP1 calls $188

River: ($601) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $477, MP1 raises to $1425.05 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $1555 | Rake: $3

Results:
MP1 didn't show
Outcome: MP1 won $1552


To be honest, though, I think this is actually a very good and disciplined fold, not a bad play. I can't imagine he's shoving anything worse for value, and I just don't think a bluff like this is in his repertoire. My range is pretty polarized to either a busted draw or a boat, and I don't he'd try to bluff me off of either.

Trying to bluff your opponent off of quads is generally not a good idea:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($1114.75)
Hero (Button) ($1000)
BB ($1092)
UTG ($1394)
UTG+1 ($516)
MP1 ($2003)
MP2 ($176.35)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, 6
4 folds, CO raises to $30, Hero raises to $100, 1 fold, CO calls $70

Flop: ($210) A, J, 3 (2 players
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($210) 8 (2 players)
CO bets $120, Hero calls $120

River: ($450) J (2 players)
CO bets $250, Hero raises to $780 (All-In), CO calls $530

Total pot: $2010 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had A, 6 (two pair, Aces and Jacks).
CO had J, J (four of a kind, Jacks).
Outcome: CO won $2007


I thought this would be a good spot for me to bluff my opponent off of a better Ace. There are far more Jacks in my range than in his, because I don't think he's betting a bare pair of Jacks on the turn. That means he has to have AJ or JJ to call the river.

This is the kind of thing I have in mind when I say that run bad leads to play bad. This probably is a good spot to bluff, but when you're just constantly running into the nuts, it's hard to keep pulling the trigger on thin plays. Of course, that can save you money, when your opponents really do always have fucking quads:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (3 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($5702)
Hero (Button) ($5197)
SB ($4411)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 5, 4
BB raises to $60, Hero calls $60, 1 fold

Flop: ($140) 5, 3, 2 (2 players)
BB bets $120, Hero raises to $322, BB calls $202

Turn: ($784) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $615, BB calls $615

River: ($2014) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $2014 | Rake: $1

Results:
Hero had 5, 4 (two pair, Kings and fives).
BB had K, K (four of a kind, Kings).
Outcome: BB won $2013


I really think I should have bluffed this river, since my opponent will often have something like a big pocket pair with one diamond that isn't going to call. Obviously in this case I'm glad I chickened out though.

Last but not least, here's another thin play, this time a value bet, where I got burned:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($985)
SB ($3062.75)
Hero (BB) ($2029)
UTG ($1516)
MP ($1089.50)
CO ($1136.25)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
1 fold, MP calls $10, 2 folds, SB calls $5, Hero raises to $50, MP calls $40, SB calls $40

Flop: ($150) K, 9, 6 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $99, MP calls $99, 1 fold

Turn: ($348) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $100, Hero calls $100

River: ($548) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $330, MP calls $330

Total pot: $1208 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had K, Q (one pair, Kings).
MP had K, 2 (two pair, Kings and twos).
Outcome: MP won $1205

The guy, obviously, was a total fish. I wouldn't take such a transparent line against a good player, but I'm sure that he pays off with way worse on the river. It's really tough to keep plugging away and to maintain confidence in your decisions when you're just constantly getting raised, re-raised, called down, and shown monster hands. I think maybe I'm going to go play some PLO.

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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Dealing With an Aggressive 3-Better

Both of these hands are against a real 3-betting fiend. He's ridiculously loose and aggressive pre-flop, especially when he has position. Even though I think he's taken it to the point of exploitability, it's still a tough and high-variance playstyle to combat. There are a lot of adjustments you need to make against a player like this, but one is just to call down with more medium-strength hands than you ordinarily would. Basically you are going to make money off of his bluffs, so you need to set him up to bluff and then be prepared to catch bluffs with weaker hands than your ordinarily would. Two examples:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($1000)
Hero (MP2) ($1000)
MP3 ($1316)
CO ($1035)
Button ($1000)
SB ($1069)
BB ($440)
UTG+1 ($160)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9, 9
2 folds, Hero raises to $35, 1 fold, CO raises to $95, 3 folds, Hero calls $60

Flop: ($205) K, 10, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $135, Hero calls $135

Turn: ($475) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $365, Hero raises to $770 (All-In), 1 fold

Total pot: $1205 | Rake: $3


I didn't necessarily expect a fold here, but I did think my 9's would have enough equity against his range, which probably includes a TON of semi-bluffs, to get it in.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($1018.50)
BB ($1088.50)
UTG ($440)
UTG+1 ($104.50)
MP1 ($953.75)
Hero (MP2) ($1177)
CO ($1417)
Button ($760)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, J
3 folds, Hero raises to $35, 2 folds, SB raises to $115, 1 fold, Hero raises to $250, SB raises to $1018.50 (All-In), Hero calls $768.50

Flop: ($2047) 7, 3, 8 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: ($2047) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($2047) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $2047 | Rake: $3

He had Jacks here, so I lost. I'm less confident about this one, as it was my first 4-bet of the night, but I think that could also increase his bluff frequency because he knows I know he's been running me over. With a suited AJ, I'd definitely just call pre-flop. Even here, it might have been better to flat and then jam a lot of flops or something just to induce an additional bluff. But this is the kind of thing you need to do against overly aggressive opponents.

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Saturday, January 17, 2009

Aces Suck

As of today, I am in the red for the year. Obviously not a big deal just two weeks in, but it's annoying. It has a lot to do with my pocket Aces never winning the damn pot. In fact, I am in the red for the year with specifically that hand as well:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($16395.35)
MP ($5000)
CO ($11776)
Button ($5609)
Hero (SB) ($6300)
BB ($3437)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
3 folds, Button raises to $150, Hero raises to $555, 1 fold, Button raises to $1400, Hero raises to $6300 (All-In), Button calls $4209 (All-In)

Flop: ($11268) Q, 4, 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: ($11268) 6 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($11268) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $11268 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Hero had A, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: Button won $11265


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($12792)
SB ($5000)
BB ($5000)
Hero (UTG) ($6736)
MP ($12400)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, A
Hero raises to $175, MP calls $175, 1 fold, SB raises to $700, 1 fold, Hero calls $525, MP calls $525

Flop: ($2150) 2, 8, J (3 players)
SB bets $1350, Hero calls $1350, 1 fold

Turn: ($4850) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $2950 (All-In), Hero calls $2950

River: ($10750) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $10750 | Rake: $3

Results:
SB had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
Hero had A, A (one pair, Aces).

Outcome: SB won $10747


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($2292)
CO ($2000)
Button ($2000)
SB ($828.85)
BB ($2773)
Hero (UTG) ($1904)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, A
Hero raises to $60, MP raises to $200, 4 folds, Hero raises to $555, MP calls $355

Flop: ($1140) J, Q, 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $500, Hero raises to $1349 (All-In), MP calls $849

Turn: ($3838) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($3838) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $3838 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had A, A (one pair, Aces).
MP had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Outcome: MP won $3835


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($925)
SB ($13384)
BB ($15243)
UTG ($5000)
Hero (MP) ($5797)
CO ($9200)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
1 fold, Hero raises to $175, 2 folds, SB calls $150, 1 fold

Flop: ($400) 8, 10, J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $288, SB calls $288

Turn: ($976) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $678, SB calls $678

River: ($2332) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $1488, Hero folds

Total pot: $2332 | Rake: $3

Results:
SB didn't show
Outcome: SB won $2329


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($4000)
UTG ($2101)
MP ($2000)
Button ($2612)
SB ($6337)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A
3 folds, SB raises to $60, Hero raises to $180, SB calls $120

Flop: ($360) 3, Q, 10 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $270, SB raises to $700, Hero raises to $3820 (All-In), SB calls $3120

Turn: ($8000) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($8000) Q (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $8000 | Rake: $3

Results:
SB had Q, Q (four of a kind, Queens).
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and Queens).

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Thursday, January 15, 2009

Just a Sexy Value Bet

There were nine 25/50 cap games going tonight! And I was playing all of them. This is against a guy who can't read hands very well and never believes me:

Full Tilt $1500.00 Cap No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (4 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($6815)
Hero (SB) ($3572)
BB ($10062)
UTG ($4057)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4, A
1 fold, Button raises to $100, Hero calls $75, 1 fold

Flop: ($250) Q, K, K (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($250) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

River: ($250) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $122, Button calls $122

Total pot: $494 | Rake: $2

Results:
Button had J, A (one pair, Kings).
Hero had 4, A (two pair, Kings and fours).

Outcome: Hero won $492

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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

You Got Potrippered!

Of course I couldn't actually see my opponent's hold cards, but it sure looks like I could when you see the results:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($3706.55)
MP ($1875)
Hero (CO) ($3852)
Button ($4474)
SB ($1325)
BB ($2872.95)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 10, J
1 fold, MP raises to $35, Hero calls $35, Button raises to $140, 3 folds, Hero calls $105

Flop: ($330) K, 2, 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $225, Hero raises to $777, Button calls $552

Turn: ($1884) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

River: ($1884) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Total pot: $1884 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had 8, 10 (one pair, tens).
Hero had 10, J (one pair, tens).
Outcome: Hero won $1881


This is the sort of hand that I think just looks crazy to people who aren't very adept at reading poker situations. I'll try to translate. First off, we're really deep. It's a decent spot for the Button to squeeze pre-flop, and I make a light call with a big implied odds/semi-bluffing hand given how much money is still behind.

Villain's pre-flop range is fairly wide, and I think he bets nearly all of it (excluding some of his good but not great hands, which is actually good for me because it means more air in his range) on this flop. I check-raise, knowing that he probably has nothing.

I'm also aware that my line doesn't make a lot of sense, but I've got a plan for that. He may well call me light, both with a lot of marginal hands that he thinks are best and also, as here, with air hoping to take it away on a later street. But there are a lot of ways for me to turn a draw. I'm going to fire another barrel at most turns, and if I do pick up a draw, we're going to get the money in.

As it happens, I turned a pair. That changed my plans completely, and I checked. To be honest, I'm not sure what I was going to do if he bet, but I do think we'll often check it through. Whether he has a better or a worse hand, I don't expect him to bet many hands that have showdown value since I represented either a monster or air on the flop.

Thankfully, the turn card not only made my hand but also convinced my opponent to give up on his bluff. We checked it down, and I looked like a psychic when the hands were revealed. Sweet value check-raise on the flop huh? A river value bet would have really been sick....

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Sunday, January 11, 2009

Check-Folding AA for 100BB in a 3-Bet Pot

At least I wish I did...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($2292)
CO ($2000)
Button ($2000)
SB ($828.85)
BB ($2773)
Hero (UTG) ($1904)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, A
Hero raises to $60, MP raises to $200, 4 folds, Hero raises to $555, MP calls $355

Flop: ($1140) J, Q, 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $500, Hero raises to $1349 (All-In), MP calls $849

Turn: ($3838) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($3838) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $3838 | Rake: $3


Obviously it's not too often that I'm check-folding AA for a single pot-sized bet on the flop. In this case, though, I think I can put Villain on a very narrow range of hands. To be generous, I'd say he almost always has JJ+ or AK, and given that he didn't 5-bet, I'm inclined to weight that towards JJ-QQ. In any event, he also puts me on a similarly narrow range, meaning that if has AK he probably isn't going to bluff and if he has KK he can't bet because what can he expect action from? I thought about all of that but then said, "Fuck it, it's one pot-sized bet" and was promptly shown QQ.

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Wednesday, January 7, 2009

2009 Poker Resolutions

Resolution One: Keep Grinding NLHE Cash Games

This is my bread and butter game, and even if I don't do anything to improve, just maintaining my current winrate and putting in hours will be very valuable to me. Of course I do want to get better, but my general focus will be on playing rather than doing stuff to improve (posting hands, watching instructional videos, etc.).

Also, I'm not going to worry too much about non-NLHE games. I tried to do it last year, but it didn't prove too productive. I'll play/study them when I feel like it, but it's not going to be a priority. I'm confident in my ability to pick them up quickly should that become necessary/desirable and I choose to devote all my time to it, such that I don't think I need to prioritize working on them now.

Goal 1: Earn $X in NLHE Cash Games

It's very tough to predict or control what you earn playing tournaments. With cash games, though, it's mostly a question of game selection and putting in hours. My goal for 2009 is to earn in NLHE cash games what I made playing any form of poker in 2008, so that anything from tournaments is just a perk. Hopefully this will help me to keep my focus even if I do make a big tournament score, since that won't count towards the goal.

Goal 2: Earn Supernova status on PokerStars

This shouldn't be tough, and I'm already off to a good start. Basically I need to earn 100,000 VPP's (PokerStars' frequent player reward) over the course of the year. Having earned 3200 already, I'm on course to do this by September.

Last year, I played on Full Tilt almost exclusively because they have rakeback. My understanding is that the Stars VPP program is actually worth more if you devote the time to getting into the top tiers of it, though. Plus bigger games seem to go more frequently and are maybe a little softer.

There are a couple of drawbacks, though. For one thing, I have way more money on FTP than on Stars and it's not that easy to reload. At the moment I'm mostly grinding up my balance playing 5/10 full ring games, and that's going OK, so hopefully this won't be a barrier. But I've already passed on a few potentially good 25/50 games for lack of funds.

Also, Stars doesn't have Deep tables, which are getting really popular on FTP. They do have some tables with a 50BB minimum buy-in, which helps with the short-stacking problem, but I really like playing deep. There are a lot of regulars who can handle a 100BB stack very well but make mistakes playing 200BB deep. Since the bigger games are comprised mostly of regulars, that makes a big difference.

Still, I don't think Supernova status will be tough to get, so I'm going to go for it. The next level, Supernova Elite, require 10 times as many VPP's, though, and I don't think I have any prayer for that.

Resolution Two: Diversify My Income Streams

I laid the foundation for this last year, but I really haven't capitalized on it yet. Now that I'm starting to get a higher profile in the poker world, I think there are ways for me both to generate passive income and to combine poker with some of my other interests, such as writing and teaching.

Goal 3: Monetize This Blog

I was surprised by how much I made off of blog ads last year with virtually no effort. In general do find internet ads to be tacky and intrusive, but in this case I am giving away a lot of very valuable information at no cost to you, so I hope my dear readers will understand if there are a few ads on the page. I'll try to keep it minimally intrusive, and the plus side for you will likely be a nicer layout and better content. Expect to see a new look later this month.

Goal 4: Get Back Into Coaching

I'm not going to set an hourly goal for this because I don't want to force it, but I think I ought to do some more coaching. With the right students, it is in fact very enjoyable and rewarding. Plus, Poker Savvy tells me I can offer my students a free three-month subscription, which hopefully will sweeten the value of the package without costing me any more time. I may also consider doing group sessions that lower the costs for any individual person while helping to get me an hourly rate comparable to that of actually playing poker. Expect to see more information about this soon.

Goal 5: Market My Writing

I'm still just doing the easy stuff, writing for the occasional people who approach me. I think I want to get my name out there a little bit more and publish in some more high-profile ways. I don't know about writing my own book, but I'm in discussions with a well-known player now about contributing a chapter to a book he's doing.

Resolution Three: Improve My NLHE Skills

This is a lower priority than just putting in hours. Then again, practice is the single best way to improve, so I want to do what I can to maximize the learning value of my time at the tables.

Goal 6: Use Poker Tracker More Effectively

I barely use Poker Tracker for anything beyond record keeping, and I know I'm only getting like 10% of its value. I often don't even use the HUD because it distracts me when I'm playing a lot of tables. But I want to be able to do at least some basic evaluation of my play to try to identify some leaks, such as I found with suited connectors in one of my year-end posts. Plus I want to put together a HUD layout that is truly useful for me.

Goal 7: Finish the Year with a 4BB/100 Win-Rate at 5/10 NL.

This is somewhat beyond my control because I won't play a large enough sample size (there are good players who have had 100K hand break-even streaks), but if I can maintain this win-rate, which I think is about twice what my "true" rate is now, I'll be in great shape.

Goal 8: Play 50,000 Hands of Heads Up NLHE

If I'm not going to do PLO, heads up is probably the next best game for me to get better at. At stakes above 10/20, it's often the only way to get action, and that's even more true the higher you get. Not to mention that thinking through heads up situations makes you better at playing marginal hands in general. Maybe I'll read and review Moshman's new book as well....

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Thursday, January 1, 2009

2008 Resolution One: Focus on Short-Handed NLHE Cash Games

At the beginning of last year, I set some poker resolutions and goals for myself. It's time now to see how I've fared during the course of 2008.

Resolution 1: Focus on Short-Handed NLHE Cash Games

I pretty well kicked the tournament habit, but my focus wasn't exclusively on short-handed play. I played a fair bit of full ring NLHE as well when the games were good, and I don't regret it. Over about 170K hands played at 6-max tables at Poker Stars and Full Tilt Poker (Poker Tracker 3 doesn't collect UB stats), I ran at about 2 BB/100. This covers stakes from $.5/$1 (for a Poker Savvy video I was recording) to $50/$100, which is the biggest I've played.

Over 27K hands of heads up NLHE, I ran at nearly 4 BB/100. Sadly, a few ill-fated forays into 25/50 heads up nevertheless left me down about $35,000.

I say that I don't regret expanding into full ring because over 60K hands I ran at about 4 BB/100.

As most of you know, tournaments did still prove profitable for me thanks to a very deep run in the main event of the WSOP. For the year, I had an ROI of just over 100%, which is in line with what I hear the best tournament players tend to expect. Of course, with a sample size of 261 mostly huge-field tournaments, that's not a very meaningful number. It's scary to think how much a single card could have changed the course of my year. Change a few rivered Aces to deuces and I leave Las Vegas penniless. Then again, gimme an Ace on the river against Scott Montgomery and maybe I leave Las Vegas a millionaire. That's tournament poker.

The real issue with tournaments is that they are mostly a lot less interesting than cash and it's much harder to put an equivalent amount of money in play. Basically I could either chase the circuit around the gruddiest parts of the US (Reno! Atlantic City! Tunica!) or spend less time playing more money 8-tabling 5/10 NL Deep in the comfort of my own apartment (and underwear, if I damn well please).

Goal 1: Play no more than 400 tournaments (Achieved)

This one wasn't even close. I played just 261 tournaments, almost exclusively big buy-in, large-field events. In fact, the average prize pool in the tournaments I played was over $900,000. I still enjoy playing the biggest events like the Sunday majors, the FTOPS, and the WCOOP. However, I no longer feel any urge to play something like the 100K Guarantee on a random Thursday night.

The one good thing about tournaments is that they force me to put in hours. If I'm playing one or two tournaments, I'll generally have 6-8 cash games going on the side for 4-5 hours whereas playing exclusively cash I'd probably play 8-10 tables for just 2-3 hours before getting bored.

Goal 2: The average buy-in of the tournaments I play will be at least $500. (Failed)

I missed this one, coming in at an average buy-in of $427. If you disregard four freerolls that I played, I can get this number up to about $460, but I still played too many small buy-in events. I was also thinking I would play at least one other big B&M event besides the WSOP, which I didn't end up doing.

Goal 3: Play at least 250,000 hands of NLHE cash. (Achieved)

This was a very modest goal, and I would have been pretty ashamed if I couldn't hit it. There are people who play this much in a month. In fact, a guy from 2+2 recently won a prop bet that required him to play 600,000 hands in November! Granted I have no desire to 24-table 50NL for 13 hours a day every day, but still I really ought to play more.

Not even counting UB or the occasional live game, I played 256, 587 hands. Over that sample, I came out at 2.54 BB/100, which is good but far from spectacular. Even in the biggest games the best players are making twice that.

Of the limits where I spent most of my time, here's how it shook out:

30K hands at 10/20 NL 6-max at 3.9 BB/100

50K hands at 5/10 NL FR at 3.9 BB/100

66K hands at 5/10 6-max 0.4 BB/100

31K hands at 3/6 6-max, 1.1 BB/100

13K hands 2/4 6-max 4.9 BB/100

And for those who are curious about my play style, here are a few of my numbers with exactly 6 players at the table:

VP$IP 21 PFR 16 W$WSF 45% WTSD 24% W$SD 53%

For those who don't speak Poker Trackerese, I played 21% of my hands, open raising or 3-betting a raiser 16% of the time. This is just slightly on the tight passive side. I think a style like 22/18 would be a little better, and in general I probably call too many raises.

When I saw the flop, I won 45% of the time, which is on the low end of acceptable. Again, this could be a result of calling raises with too many speculative hands, of giving up too easily, or of not playing aggressively enough.

I went to showdown in 24% of the hands that I played and had the best hand at showdown 53% of the time. The latter figure is good, but the former is a little high and suggests that I am not bluffing or value betting quite as much as I should.

My ten most profitable hands, in order: AA, KK, AKs, TT, AKo, 33, QQ, JJ, AJs, 99. This is pretty much what I'd expect, though obviously TT belongs behind JJ and I've probably just been running good with it. And of course AQs probably belongs up there ahead of 33, again just a result of variance I suspect. Actually I do tend to use AQ as a pre-flop semi-bluff quite a bit to 4- or 5-bet all in, and when called I'm usually dominated, so that could also be what's holding AQ down.

I think the more interesting thing to see is my ten least profitable hands: 86s, A3s, 98s, AQs, 42s, 97s, 43s, 65s, JTs, 54s. I was surprised to see that they are all suited. Probably this is because I generally don't play the off-suit versions, but apparently I am not playing my suited connectors so well either. Again, this corroborates the theory that I may be calling too many raises. I'll have to work on that.

The other confounding factor here is that, as with AQ above, I tend to use suited connectors as range-balancing hands. This can be tough to conceptualize, but the fact that I am 5-betting all-in with AQ may make my entire 5-betting range more profitable because it generates additional action for my AA and KK even though it costs me money in isolation. The same could be said for the suited connectors. This is what makes it so difficult to analyze poker hands discretely.


Tomorrow, I'll discuss my progress towards my second resolution for 2008: Keep Getting Better at Other Games.

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Thursday, December 25, 2008

Misclicking for Fun and Profit

It never ceases to amuse me when my mistakes make me money. Here I meant to bet $99 on the river and accidentally bet $9. The result was inducing a huge check-raise bluff from a hand that almost certainly would have folded to my intended bet:

Full Tilt Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: $705
SB: $1,359.35
Hero (BB): $1,230
UTG: $1,336.25
MP: $600
CO: $1,828

Pre-Flop: A 7 dealt to Hero (BB)
4 folds, SB calls $3, Hero raises to $18, SB calls $12

Flop: ($36) 3 9 4 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($36) 8 (2 Players)
SB bets $13, Hero raises to $42, SB calls $29

River: ($120) 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $9, SB raises to $234, Hero calls $225

Results: $588 Pot ($3 Rake)
SB showed T Q (a pair of Threes) and LOST (-$294 NET)
Hero showed A 7 (a flush, Ace high) and WON $585 (+$291 NET)


Unfortunately, I decided to flush the profits and then some on an ill-conceived river check-raise bluff of my own:

Full Tilt Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $998
BTN: $597
Hero (SB): $1,713.20
BB: $352.10
UTG: $1,896.60

Pre-Flop: 8 8 dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, CO raises to $21, BTN folds, Hero calls $18, BB folds

Flop: ($48) 2 J 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $35, Hero calls $35

Turn: ($118) 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $111, Hero calls $111

River: ($340) 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $200, Hero raises to $1,546.20 and is All-In, CO calls $631 and is All-In

Results: $2,002 Pot ($3 Rake)
CO showed J J (a full house, Jacks full of Fives) and WON $1,999 (+$1,001 NET)
Hero showed 8 8 (two pair, Eights and Fives) and LOST (-$998 NET)


First off, I hate the turn call. My thinking was that his range when he near-pots it is polarized to bluffs and boats, but it's probably so waited towards boats that I don't belong in the hand anyway. Then I disregard that read on the river and decide based on his bet-sizing that he has an overpair after all and maybe I can take him off of it. Pure sloppiness on my part.

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Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Folding Kings

This is from my laptop, so sorry for the lack of converted HH. It was from a 5/10 deep game, people's stack sizes are in parentheses after their names:

UTG ($2000) raises to $40, UTG+1 ($2000) re-raises to $120, CO folds, I ($2000) call the $120 cold, SB folds, BB ($1200) 4-bets cold to $300, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, action is back to me. I have to call $180 into a $700 pot with $900 or so left in the effective stacks. I contemplated folding right here cuz it's hard to put BB on anything but AA. But I hate making tight folds like this and set odds were close anyway so I called. Flop came Q75 he shoved and I folded. Doubt he shoves AK and QQ just got there.

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Thursday, December 18, 2008

Nitnitnit

Gah how does this not value bet the river?!?!

Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $3,800
Hero (UTG): $4,340
MP: $4,151
CO: $2,000
BTN: $4,026
SB: $3,853

Pre-Flop: A 8 dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $70, 2 folds, BTN calls $70, SB folds, BB calls $50

Flop: ($220) A K 7 (3 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $100, BB folds, Hero calls $100

Turn: ($420) 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $275, Hero calls $275

River: ($970) 2 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Results: $970 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed A 8 (a flush, Ace high) and WON $967 (+$522 NET)
BTN showed A 8 (two pair, Aces and Eights) and LOST (-$445 NET)

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Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Heroic Call

This was an interesting one:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $1,050
UTG: $2,182
BTN: $1,186
SB: $1,018.90

Pre-Flop: T A dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, BTN raises to $20, SB folds, Hero raises to $75, BTN calls $55

Flop: ($155) 6 J 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $111, BTN calls $111

Turn: ($377) T (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($377) Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $404, Hero calls $404

Results: $1,185 Pot ($2 Rake)
Hero showed T A (a pair of Tens) and WON $1,183 (+$593 NET)
BTN showed 7 A (Ace Queen high) and LOST (-$590 NET)


I was looking to check-shove the turn because I think his flop calling range is really wide and my T's will be good often enough but if I check-call I'll be in a bad spot on river. Given that the turn checked through and the river was another overcard to my pair (and AK got there), I don't think I can expect to be called by worse if I bet.

I was intending to check-call the river but his overbet threw me off. On the one hand, it makes no sense for him to have a straight, but a lot of guys just don't overbet the river without a monster. There was an outside chance he rivered a set (or slowplayed one, which I guess makes more sense except that it's odd he would then overbet it). I tanked down to one second left, mostly because I was on a bunch of other tables, and finally made a kind of impulsive call.

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Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Quads Get Paid

The frustrating thing about monster hands like Quads is that they rarely get paid off, since it's so hard for your opponents to make second best hands. But I managed to win two stacks with quads tonight:

Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $4,802
BTN: $5,473
SB: $2,040
BB: $3,671
UTG: $3,813

Pre-Flop: A A dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG raises to $60, Hero raises to $210, 3 folds, UTG calls $150

Flop: ($450) A 8 A (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $277, UTG calls $277

Turn: ($1,004) 5 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($1,004) K (2 Players)
UTG bets $740, Hero raises to $4,315 and is All-In, UTG calls $2,586 and is All-In

Results: $7,656 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed A A (four of a kind, Aces) and WON $7,653 (+$3,840 NET)
UTG mucked K K (a full house, Kings full of Aces) and LOST (-$3,813 NET)


Obviously this is a pretty cold deck for Villain. I think I have to check the turn just because it's far too likely I have trips or better if I bet. Honestly Villain can almost find a fold on the river, and in fact he did tank for a long time. It's just so unlikely I'm jamming here with less than Aces full.

Naturally the other hand was a cold deck as well:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $1,826
Hero (BTN): $2,042
SB: $2,333
BB: $3,868
UTG: $4,341
MP: $561.55

Pre-Flop: 3 3 dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, Hero raises to $35, SB raises to $130, BB folds, Hero calls $95

Flop: ($270) 9 3 A (2 Players)
SB bets $140, Hero calls $140

Turn: ($550) T (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $277, SB calls $277

River: ($1,104) 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $777, SB raises to $1,786 and is All-In, Hero calls $718 and is All-In

Results: $4,094 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed 3 3 (four of a kind, Threes) and WON $4,091 (+$2,049 NET)
SB showed J Q (a flush, Queen high) and LOST (-$2,042 NET)

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Monday, December 15, 2008

Big Triple Barrel

I guess this is fairly standard and notable mostly for the sum of money involved:

Full Tilt Poker, $25/$50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $12,483
BTN: $16,645
Hero (SB): $10,000
BB: $17,688
UTG: $5,000
MP: $9,875

Pre-Flop: 9 8 dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, BTN raises to $150, Hero raises to $555, BB folds, BTN calls $405

Flop: ($1,160) 7 4 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $777, BTN calls $777

Turn: ($2,714) J (2 Players)
Hero bets $1,888, BTN calls $1,888

River: ($6,490) 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $6,780 and is All-In, BTN folds

Results: $6,490 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero mucked 9 8 and WON $6,487 (+$3,267 NET)


Naturally I double barrel when I turn the gut shot and a potential overcard to whatever pair my opponent may have. I do wish I had bet a hair more so that river would be a slightly less than pot shove rather than slightly more. Basically I think without history and at stakes that are higher than either of us usually play, I am getting called only by AQ or better (and even AQ is close). Given that the deuce on the river makes sets less likely and Villain is probably 4-betting QQ-AA a decent amount of the time pre-flop, I think this is a highly profitable shove in a vaccuum. Of course, a reputation for stuff like this will get you called down by 66- which then again is not bad at all as long as you can adjust.

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Sunday, December 14, 2008

The Spaz Factor

Villain was some random I'd never seen before and knew nothing about:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $534.20
MP: $2,144.40
CO: $2,000
Hero (BTN): $2,000
SB: $2,215
BB: $1,015

Pre-Flop: J J dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, MP raises to $30, CO folds, Hero raises to $105, 2 folds, MP calls $75

Flop: ($225) 2 J T (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero bets $177, MP calls $177

Turn: ($579) 4 (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero checks

River: ($579) 9 (2 Players)
MP bets $214, Hero raises to $888, MP raises to $1,862.40 and is All-In

Results: $2,355 Pot ($2,355 Rake)
MP showed AQo and LOST (-$1,170 NET)
Hero showed J J and LOST (-$1,170 NET)


I generally don't give even fairly good players, let alone a random, credit for being able to 3-bet bluff the river for such a small amount, even though this is a decent spot for it. However, when playing against randoms, you do need to allow for the spaz factor. Because they generally are not thinking through a hand in a disciplined and systematic way, there is always the chance that they will go and do something crazy for reasons that they couldn't explain if they tried. In this case, I think the guy just decided I had nothing and then refused to change that read even when I raised him on the river. Whereas a better player would revise the range of hands he assigns me and contemplate whether he should call, fold, or raise (whether for value or as a bluff), the spaz factor causes a player to say, "pfft, he's got nothing, I'm all in".

Incidentally, checking the turn was an accident. I had big pots on a few other tables and timed out. It's nice when such an error, which usually causes substantial frustration, actually plays to my favor to the tune of nearly $2000.

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Thursday, December 11, 2008

Big Night

Last night was my biggest to date playing exclusively cash games, topped only by the WSOP (obviously- not sure that even counts since it took two weeks) and my win in the UB 200K last November. Funny thing is while I wasn't playing badly I don't think I was playing particularly great poker either. There were just a lot of cards falling my way. For once I won the vast majority of my flips at 25/50 Cap, which was nice since I was playing as many as four tables of it. The big night was also despite getting thoroughly owned by a very good player in this hand:


Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $2,227
BB: $4,711
UTG: $7,963
Hero (CO): $7,237.50
BTN: $1,144.50

Pre-Flop: J 9 dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $70, 2 folds, BB raises to $260, Hero calls $190

Flop: ($530) 3 T K (2 Players)
BB bets $375, Hero calls $375

Turn: ($1,280) 8 (2 Players)
BB bets $875, Hero calls $875

River: ($3,030) 5 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2,222, BB raises to $3,201 and is All-In, Hero folds

Results: $7,474 Pot ($3 Rake)
BB mucked and WON $7,471 (+$3,739 NET)


Pre-flop we're nearly 300 BBs deep plus he'd been 3-betting me a ton from out of position so I was looking to get tricky on him. The reason I say I was owned is that I feel in retrospect that he was just inside my head. He was simply thinking on a higher level than I was and knew what I was up to. He knew I was trying to mess with him and he knew how I was going to do it. Whether he was bluffing or not on the river, it's a great check-raise.

I was thinking I could steal because you so rarely see people bet flop and turn then check river witha monster. Either he had the As and knew I couldn't call but would bluff or he had nothing but knew I'd often be bluffing and made a sick re-bluff. In retrospect, this is a clear turn shove, and I'm pissed at myself for getting fancier than was necessary.

Honestly the best hand I can point to where I played well was a pretty thin value bet against a cap game fish:

Full Tilt Poker, $25/$50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, $1500 Betting Cap, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $5,987
Hero (UTG): $10,000
BTN: $5,437
SB: $5,816

Pre-Flop: 9 9 dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $122, BTN folds, SB calls $97, BB folds

Flop: ($294) Q K 2 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($294) 8 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($294) 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $123, SB calls $123

Results: $540 Pot ($2 Rake)
Hero showed 9 9 (a pair of Nines) and WON $538 (+$293 NET)
SB mucked 5 5 (a pair of Fives) and LOST (-$245 NET)


I'd taken this check-down line against him before and was pretty sure that he would have made a blocking bet with almost anything that beat my 9's. Plus the guy was a station so I definitely thought he could call with worse, maybe even A-high if I bet small enough.

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Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Standard River 3-Bet Bluff

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $1,154
Hero (UTG): $2,707
BTN: $1,072
SB: $5,637.50

Pre-Flop: 2 2 dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $35, BTN folds, SB calls $30, BB folds

Flop: ($80) 5 8 Q (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $55, SB calls $55

Turn: ($190) A (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($190) J (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $144, SB raises to $622, Hero raises to $2,617 and is All-In, SB folds

Results: $1,434 Pot ($2 Rake)
Hero mucked 2 2 and WON $1,432 (+$720 NET)


To the extent that there is a "standard" spot for such a play, this is it. Opponent is either bluffing with a hand that is better than mine (hard to put him on air when he calls out of position on a dry flop) or trying to value raise something like two-pair, but it's extremely unlikely that he has the nuts or something close to it (doubtful he calls pre-flop or flop with KT or T9, strange line with JJ/QQ/AA as well).

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Saturday, November 29, 2008

Pull the Trigger!

There was a great 25/50 deep game going last night, with two really big fish sitting on $10,000+ each. I had to compete with three very good players for them, but it was still a great spot. Unfortunately, I missed a pretty important bluff against one of the sharks.

The less good of the two fish doubled up the other one and quit not long after. For some reason, one of the good players left as well- apparently one soft spot wasn't enough for him. The button in this hand is the fish, the SB a good player:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (4 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($16848)
SB ($16386)
Foucault (BB) ($10799.80)
UTG ($11847)

Preflop: Foucault is BB with J, 10
1 fold, Button raises to $175, SB calls $150, Foucault calls $125

Flop: ($525) K, 2, Q (3 players)
SB bets $405, Foucault calls $405, 1 fold

Turn: ($1335) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $905, Foucault calls $905

River: ($3145) J (2 players)
SB checks, Foucault checks

Total pot: $3145 | Rake: $2

Results in white below:

SB had K, A (one pair, Kings).

Foucault had J, 10 (one pair, Jacks).

Outcome: SB won $3143

This isn't a standard call pre-flop but with a fish in the hand I'm trying to get into pots. While I suspect SB has something, there are very few strong hands I would expect him to play like this. Especially on the turn, I'm calling not just for my draw but because I think I can sometimes steal on the river. Basically I was thinking SB would sometimes have something like a flush draw.

When the flush came in on the river but he checked, it confused me. I didn't think he'd check a flush, and he probably would have bluffed if he had nothing, so I can concluded that my pair doesn't have much show down value. More importantly, the bet bet check line means he probably isn't calling. It was a great spot to turn my hand into a bluff but I just didn't pull the trigger. Granted AK was a little stronger than I expected from him but I still think there's a good chance he folds it.

Why no off-suit A on the river?!?!

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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

A Random Call, Part Two

Eugene asked a great question about my recent post, A Random Call, which reminded me that I'd meant to post this hand as well. It happened not long after I snapped off a 2x pot river bluff with top pair, weak kicker. This was against the same opponent but on a different table:

Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $4,732.50
BTN: $4,231
SB: $4,144.50
BB: $5,019.50
UTG: $2,000
MP: $7,734.50

Pre-Flop: 9 9 dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, Hero raises to $70, BTN raises to $240, 2 folds, Hero calls $170

Flop: ($510) 4 2 2 (2 Players)
Hero bets $222, BTN raises to $700, Hero raises to $1,178, BTN calls $478

Turn: ($2,866) 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2,813 and is All-In, Hero calls $2,813

River: ($8,492) 6 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: $8,492 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed 9 9 (two pair, Nines and Twos) and LOST (-$4,231 NET)
BTN showed K K (two pair, Kings and Twos) and WON $8,489 (+$4,258 NET)


I chose this line to induce as many bluffs as possible, but in light of my recent call I think trying to play my hand as a bluff-catcher is a bad idea. Villain is probably not expecting me to make a big fold after he'd just shown down a big bluff, which means he's not going to try to bluff me off an overpair. Of course I could get into the whole, "but does he know that I don't expect him to bluff?" thing, but in this case I don't think he knows enough about me to expect that. He's probably just not going to bluff much in this spot, which means I ought to be playing the 99 with the intention of folding to heavy pressure.

In general, catching an opponent in a big bluff will induce one or both of the following dynamics for at least the near future:

1. Villain will stop bluffing in spots where he can only represent a narrow range or where you clearly have a relatively strong hand (ie better than top pair).

2. Villain will try to restore his ego and/or take advantage of the new table dynamic by running another big bluff.

These are not necessarily mutually exclusive, because the former only assumes he will stop bluffing in certain situations. When you appear to have a relatively weak hand, he may actually bluff with renewed vigor in order to reassert his castrated manhood.

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Saturday, November 15, 2008

A Random Call

I am a strong advocate of exploitive poker strategy. That is, I believe that you ought to tailor your play to exploit specific mistakes that you believe your opponents will make, even if this means that you are yourself open to exploitation. By definition, the more skillful player will do a better job of exploiting his opponents than they will do of exploiting him.

However, should you find yourself in a sticky spot against a player whom you believe to be more skillful than you are, you may occasionally prefer to employ game theory to help you avoid getting exploited rather than focus on exploiting that opponent.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($2087)
Button ($4197)
SB ($4659)
Hero (BB) ($8452)
UTG ($6115)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, A
2 folds, Button raises to $70, 1 fold, Hero calls $50

Flop: ($150) A, 3, 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $120, Hero calls $120

Turn: ($390) K (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $372, Hero calls $372

River: ($1134) 4 (2 players)

Hero checks, Button bets $2200


The way I've played my hand so far makes it pretty clear that I have a weak Ace. The question is what my opponent will do about that. I generally don't give my opponents credit for being able to overbet bluff the river, at least not with a good frequency. They might do it occasionally, but the vast majority of the time that they overbet the pot, they will have the nuts or very close to it. So in this spot, I would expect them to be overbetting for value, daring me to call with my weak top pair, but not to try to bluff me off of top pair, at least not with an overbet.

This is an easy strategy to exploit. With top pair weak kicker facing a bet like this from a standard opponent, I fold.

Notice how exploiting this tendency of my opponents leaves me open to exploitation as well. If my opponents were to stop overbetting their strong hands and overbet the river any time they don't have a strong hand, I would be in trouble. But for the most part I trust in my ability to adapt to my opponents more quickly than they adapt to me.

Against this particular opponent, however, I didn't feel so confident. I knew him to be smart, creative, and daring. I was sure he put me on exactly the kind of hand that I had, but I didn't know what he would try to do about it. Thus, I was lost as to what I ought to do on the river.

Because he's capable of betting for value or bluffing like this, my decision to call has to be based on what percentage of the time he will be bluffing. His bet lays me odds. If he will bluff here more than 33% of the time, I should call. Otherwise, I should fold.

The problem is that I don't know how often he is bluffing. The best that I can do, then, is choose a calling frequency that cannot be exploited. Since the pot is laying me 2:3, I should call 1/3 of the time.

No matter how often my opponent bluffs in this spot, then, he cannot exploit me. If he bluffs more than 1/3 of the time, he'll steal a few more pots but he'll lose too much on his bluffs. If he bluffs less than 1/3 of the time, he'll win more on his value bets but won't steal as many pots as he could.

If I knew that he was making one or the other of these mistakes, I could adapt my calling frequency to take advantage of them more fully. But then if he figured out what I was doing he could adapt his bluffing frequency to exploit me. Since I was not confident in my ability to win this battle of wits, I decided to default to an unexploitable calling strategy. I would look at the clock, and if the last digit was 7-9, I would call. If it was 1-6, I would fold. If it was 0, I would look at the next digit.

The time was 9:47. I called. He showed K8o, and I won the pot. But that's not the important part.

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Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Eight High is Good

OK I paired the river but 8-high would have been good anyway:

Full Tilt Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $600
CO: $1,712.40
Hero (BTN): $1,495
SB: $1,992.90
BB: $318
UTG: $1,206

Pre-Flop: 7 8 dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, MP raises to $21, CO folds, Hero calls $21, SB folds, BB calls $15

Flop: ($66) 6 Q 5 (3 Players)
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $44, BB calls $44, MP folds

Turn: ($154) K (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1,430 and is All-In, BB calls $253 and is All-In

River: ($660) 8 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: $660 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed 7 8 (a pair of Eights) and WON $657 (+$339 NET)
BB showed 3 4 (King Queen high) and LOST (-$318 NET)

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Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Triple Barrel Bet Sizing

A triple barrel bluff will by definition involve at least three bets. Especially when dealing with a player who can read hands well, sizing these bets will often be the difference between success and failure.

As I discussed in a previous post, your objective on early streets may actually be to get called. Since you are going to be bluffing later anyway, it behooves you to build a bigger pot to steal. Your other objective on early streets is to lay the groundwork that will enable you to represent a monster by the river. That means your betsizing must be consistent with the hand(s) you want to represent.

On the river, your objective is to make the most +EV bluff that you can. Remember that this is not always the bluff that succeeds most often. Tripling your bet size to double your fold equity is not a winning proposition.

Let's start by looking at how not to do that. I played this hand against a very good player, one of the best at these stakes:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $1,022
Hero (BTN): $2,349.75
SB: $2,169
BB: $3,128
UTG: $779.75
MP: $1,309

Pre-Flop: 8 T dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, Hero raises to $35, SB folds, BB raises to $130, Hero calls $95

Flop: ($265) 4 K 6 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $111, BB calls $111

Turn: ($487) 4 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $333, BB calls $333

River: ($1,153) 2 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1,275, BB calls $1,275

Results: $3,703 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed 8 T (a pair of Fours) and LOST (-$1,849 NET)
BB showed K Q (two pair, Kings and Fours) and WON $3,700 (+$1,851 NET)


First off, this isn't the greatest spot for a triple barrel bluff. My opponent is announcing that he has a medium-strength hand, but he's also playing it in a way that will invite bluffs. And this particular opponent definitely has the hand-reading skills and the stomach to call down.

Since there aren't any plausible two pair combinations, the river overbet represents either a full house or air (or 53 for a straight, I suppose). And Villain probably expects me to 4-bet KK pre-flop often, so really I can only have three combinations of 66, one combination of 44, or the rare 22 that was bluffing and then backed into a boat. Since he's played his hand to entice a bluff, he's got an easy call with KQ.

I like this one better, even though it didn't work:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 2 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $2,203.50
Hero (SB): $6,798

Pre-Flop: 7 9 dealt to Hero (SB)
Hero raises to $30, BB calls $20

Flop: ($60) 4 2 8 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $44, BB raises to $144, Hero raises to $366, BB calls $222

Turn: ($792) Q (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $444, BB calls $444

River: ($1,680) J (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $888, BB calls $888

Results: $3,456 Pot ($0.50 Rake)
BB showed 7 7 (a pair of Sevens) and WON $3,455.50 (+$1,727.50 NET)
Hero showed 7 9 (Queen Jack high) and LOST (-$1,728 NET)


First off, my range is intrinsically much wider because we are heads up. It's not inconceivable that I have 84, 82, or 42 for two pair. My smallish bet sizing on future streets is consistent with this; by the river, 82 can expect to be best but can't expect worse hands to call a big bet. I also felt this bet sizing would be consistent with air that turned or rivered a pair and is now making a thinnish value bet.

Unfortunately, this was another poorly chosen opponent. He wasn't so much a good hand-reader as he was just plain old-fashioned stubborn. Oh well.

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Friday, October 10, 2008

Building a Pot to Bluff

Generally when we think of manipulating pot size, we think of playing pot control when we have a hand that we want to showdown cheaply or trying to inflate the pot when we have a monster. But there are times when you might want to build the pot in anticipation of a bluff on a later street.

For example, let's say you raise 76 on the button and the BB calls. The flop comes AKx, and you decide that unless he check-raises the flop, it would be a good time to double barrel him. He'll fold a lot of better hands on the flop and even more on the turn. What's the correct bet size for the flop?

Strange as it may seem, even though you are bluffing, you want to minimize your fold equity on the flop. This is because you know you are going to fire a second barrel on the turn. Thus, any time your opponent calls the flop with a hand that will check-fold the turn, even if that hand is better than yours (which it pretty much always will be), then you gain. You should choose the bet size that will get the most money out of your opponent's range for check-calling the flop and check-folding the turn.

Here's another example from a hand I played at a 3/6 deep table today:

I opened to $21 with 5s 4s on the button, and the SB raised to $66. We were $1200 deep, and he'd been 3-betting me a lot, so I called with intention of messing with him on a lot of flops.

The flop was Js 9s 9c, which was pretty good for my purposes. It was tough for my opponent to hit, and even if he did call me, I had outs. With $138 in the pot, stacks were a little awkward for me to shove over a flop bet, but that was my play. Then my opponent made a small bet of just $78. It was now out of the question for me to shove, the risk/reward just wasn't right, but I wanted to get the money in on the flop, with me making the last bet, of course.

So I decided to min-raise to $156. If my opponent did choose to call with a pair, there was a decent chance that I could take the pot away later or hit my flush. But if he had nothing, which I figured he would most of the time, then I thought he would either fold or 3-bet bluff me. Sure enough, he clicked it back to $234. Now, the pot was plenty juicy, and I moved all in with my flush draw. He folded, and I took down a nicer pot than I would have gotten if I'd just tried to maximize my fold equity on my first bluff raise.

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Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Strange Play in a Four-Bet Pot

Here's a pretty interesting spot where I made what might be called a pre-emptive blocking bet:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $2,184
BB: $2,000
UTG: $1,000
MP: $1,000
CO: $2,413
Hero (BTN): $4,150

Pre-Flop: K K dealt to Hero (BTN)
2 folds, CO raises to $35, Hero raises to $120, 2 folds, CO raises to $320, Hero calls $200

Flop: ($655) A T 6 (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets $333, CO folds

Results: $655 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero mucked K K and WON $652 (+$332 NET)


First off, let me cover the pre-flop. CO was a decent regular, definitely capable of 4-betting light. However, we didn't have a sufficiently aggressive history that I could expect to get action if I 5-bet him. Calling is very clearly best, then, to maintain some deception about my range.

When he checks the flop as the pre-flop aggressor, I'm putting him on one of three things, from least to most likely:

1) A slowplayed monster- With AA, this is definitely a good time to check; however, that's a small part of his range, checking with TT is a lot less good (because I could well have top pair), and it's not a guarantee he would do it;

2) Air that is giving up- I'd expect him to fire once when an Ace flops if he has nothing, but then again people do tend to play pretty straight-forwardly in 4-bet pots;

3) An underpair playing for pot control- With QQ or JJ, he's definitely checking this flop to show down cheaply and induce bluffs.

4) Top pair playing for pot control/value- With something like AJ, he has a very strong hand that still probably does not want to play for stacks. By checking the flop, he can try to keep the pot smaller, induce bluffs, and get value on a later street from hands that might fold to a flop bet.


This may seem like a bad bet, then. After all, I'm only expecting a narrow category of worse hands to call, and overall I'm expecting to be behind his calling range. I do think I should have bet a little less, but in all likelihood, I'm going to have to pay off at least one bet to hands that are beating me anyway. Unless he does something crazy like overbet shove, I'm going to call at least one street. I think that betting now is the best way to get value from the occasional underpair, as a bet on a later street is going to look stronger than a flop stab.

Plus, this lets me control the size of the bet that I pay off to his Ax and deter the occasional double barrel bluff that I can't pay off. If he check-calls the flop, I'll be very comfortable folding if he leads out on the turn, or if he leads out on the river after the turn checks through. However, if I check now, I'd probably call the turn and fold the river. That means I'd pay off a turn bet of like $450-$500, often to Ax, and then fold to a river bet, which might occasionally be a bluff.

In looking over this now, I think I could accomplish all of this with a slightly smaller bet, probably in the $250-$300 range. But nevertheless, I think it's an interesting spot where position and narrowly defined ranges in a 4-bet pot greatly influence my play.

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Monday, September 29, 2008

Cardplayer Interview

I did a little interview with Cardplayer Online's Shawn Green Friday night. Shawn actually contacted me initially to see if I had Tony "Bond18" Dunst's phone number, because they were trying to do an interview with him. But I didn't have it, and they didn't have any other way of reaching him, so they talked to me about some cash game hands instead. I didn't have much time to find good hands to discuss, so I ended up choosing two that I've written about before. If you're a long-time reader, you'll probably recognize them. Regardless, it was a fun time. Shawn asked good questions and is generally a fun guy to talk to, and I think the final product came out pretty well.

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Friday, September 26, 2008

Those who do not learn from history...

Here are two fun hands played in pretty close succession. Although I finished down over all, I feel like I owned Villain pretty hard in both:

Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $2,391
CO: $7,159.50
BTN: $3,358
SB: $2,000
Hero (BB): $4,850
UTG: $5,768

Pre-Flop: K 6 dealt to Hero (BB)
4 folds, SB raises to $60, Hero calls $40

Flop: ($120) 4 3 Q (2 Players)
SB bets $85, Hero raises to $240, SB raises to $455, Hero calls $215

Turn: ($1,030) T (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $555, SB calls $555

River: ($2,140) 9 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Results: $2,140 Pot ($3 Rake)
SB showed J 9 (a pair of Nines) and WON $2,137 (+$1,067 NET)
Hero showed K 6 (King Queen high) and LOST (-$1,070 NET)


Sooooo frustrating to bluff-call with the best hand and end up losing the pot on a "bad beat". It would have been so sick if the river had gone check-check and I'd won the pot with K-high. But I got the guy back the next orbit:


Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $8,688.50
BTN: $3,389
SB: $5,115
Hero (BB): $5,580
UTG: $10,411

Pre-Flop: 8 T dealt to Hero (BB)
3 folds, SB raises to $60, Hero calls $40

Flop: ($120) 4 Q 5 (2 Players)
SB bets $88, Hero raises to $222, SB raises to $455, Hero raises to $999, SB folds

Results: $1,030 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero mucked 8 T and WON $1,027 (+$512 NET)


Stack sizes were just perfect for this. There was like 4K left in the effective stacks. Villain's options if he has air here are pretty much to shove 200BB or fold. He can easily shove continue with sets and open-ended straight draws, but I think everything else is even kind of tough for him. Like, even if he thinks I'm full of it, shoving on me with JJ kind of sucks cuz I am never calling with worse.

Plus there's the whole leveling thing going on where each of us knows the other knows he's very capable of having air here. I kind of win that battle by making the best use of leverage. I have position and my bet-sizing risks only about 1K to put 5K of Villain's money at risk.

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Wednesday, September 24, 2008

When in Doubt, Pull the Trigger

Here's a fun hand against a smart and very aggressive player who was playing pretty strangely tonight:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $1,643
BB: $1,399
UTG: $2,084.75
Hero (MP): $2,363
CO: $2,040
BTN: $1,000

Pre-Flop: 7 A dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG raises to $20, Hero raises to $75, CO folds, BTN calls $75, SB folds, BB calls $65, UTG raises to $255, Hero raises to $2,363 and is All-In, 3 folds

Results: $665 Pot
Hero mucked 7 A and WON $665 (+$410 NET)


He was minraising a ton pre-flop and making a lot of small flop bets. I'd been playing back at him quite a bit, and he'd been playing back at my play backs, etc. So there's a lot of interesting stuff going on here:

1. His UTG range is way wider than your average UTG raising range.

2. This means I can profitably 3-bet a wider range for value and make more bluff 3-bets.

3. But, I've been 3-betting him a lot and I know he knows that and he knows I know he knows so there is the whole leveling thing going on.

4. BTN is kind of a LAGtard and is probaby calling more hands than he should here but also is probably not cold calling with KK or AA.

5. BB is getting a decent price and also probably not playing KK or AA like this.

6. There's a lot of money in the pot now, and UTG can be pretty sure that two of his three opponents are going to fold to a 4-bet. I'm the only x-factor, but given the price he's getting and the fact that there is at least some reason to think I am going to go away, it's a great spot for him to squeeze.

7. Naturally he is playing JJ+ and AK like this for value. Nothing I can do about that. But recognizing (7), and that there's a lot of money in the pot and that I have 30% equity against his calling range, I'm sticking it in.

I also tend towards a maxim of "when in doubt, pull the trigger". Not only does this encourage you to experiment and grow as a player, but it also gives you a good image. When my opponents are contemplating a 4-bet, they have to fear not only that I will actually have a hand but also that I will re-bluff them. Even if a play turns out to be -EV in a vaccuum, it can make future hands easier to play by forcing opponents to play more straight-forwardly against you. And that's worth a lot.

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Saturday, September 20, 2008

WCOOP Event 29: $500 NLHE Rebuy 6-Max

I'm skipping past some of the other WCOOP events I played because I've fallen behind on them and don't remember much of what happened, which is because there really wasn't much of interest anyway. The $500 rebuy 6-max did produce some neat hands, though. My table wasn't soft, but that's to be expected in a big event like this. There were a few good tournament players, most notably Timex, who weren't making huge mistakes but weren't necessarily going to play great deep stack 6-max poker either.

The X-factor was Poker Stars pro William Thorson, who's been a long-time cash player on that site. I've never seen him sitting in the bigger NLHE games, so I wasn't sure what to make of or expect from him. He was definitely too loose and aggressive at times, but overall he was pretty decent, especially when we were deep. In particular, he was doing a good job of betting big, as is often called for in deep stack poker. He won a huge pot againt the table fish because he overbet the pot all the way with a flopped set.

But he was only and always betting big when he had big hands, which made him a little too easy to read sometimes. For example, he once made a small 3-bet out of the SB against my CO raise. Even though we weren't all that deep, he had priced me in to call with 98o, since I was pretty sure he didn't have a big pair. Then he bet out small on a QJx flop, and I decided to float him. Sure enough, he check-folded to a small turn bet.

My next float didn't work out so well. We were down to the last 25% or so of the field, and I was rolling along in pretty good shape. There was another of those tournament specialists on my right, and he was opening a lot of pots. Effective stacks were good for me to 3-bet him occasionally, which I'd been doing. So at 200/400, he opened to 1100, and I made it 3000 with A9s on the button. He called for something like 8% of the effective stacks. Giving him too much credit, I assumed he would pretty much only do this with a decent pair: maybe a slow-played AA/KK, or maybe something lik 88, but I didn't think he'd call out of positon with a suited connector or Ax.

The flop came QQ5, and we both checked. Remember, I was putting him on a pair, which I didn't think he would fold. The turn was a King and put a diamond draw on the board. He bet out something weird like a third of the pot. I called, putting him squarely on a pair lower than Kings that he would have to check-fold on the river. The river was a third diamond, and he requested time before finally betting one-half the pot, or about 25% of the remaining stacks. Still stuck in this mindset of moving him off a pair, I shoved all in, and he called pretty quickly with Ad 4d for the nut flush.

I'm not a fan of his pre-flop call, but I really hate myself for shoving that river. I didn't do enough to re-evaluate his range when he bet out there. I seriously doubt he's doing that with something like 88, and he's probably calling pretty much always. Thankfully I was having a pretty huge cash session, so I was still well up on the day, despite another failed bluff shove that occurred almost simultaneously at a Stars 5/10 full-ring table:

UTG+1 raised to $40, and I called in early middle position with Ac Kc. The flop came 844 with two clubs, and I called his bet. He bet again on a 5 turn, and I shoved in my stack drawing dead to his 88. I actually like this shove though, because usually he has a pair when he bets again here and even with AA he can't be thrilled when I shove into him, and of course if he does decide to call with a smaller pair I'll have 15 outs. So I don't hate this shove, even though it didn't work out here.

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Thursday, September 18, 2008

WCOOP Event 22: $530 O/8 Mixed 6Max

This was a great idea for a tournament format, with half the hands playing as O/8 and half as PLO8. Many people are going to be good at one game but not the other. Personally, I'm pretty strong in PLO8 but not so good at O/8. Naturally, plenty of people suck at both as well.

I got off to a nice start, playing well in PLO8 and running well at O/8. There was an awful player on my left who was giving me a lot of chips, but eventually he monkeyed his way into winning a huge pot:

Poker Stars
Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo Tournament
Blinds: t25/t50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t6903
UTG+1: t2857
CO: t2540
Button: t3590
Hero: t12500
BB: t6035

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with :ah :ks :6h :3h
4 folds, Hero raises to t150, BB calls t100 (pot was t200).

Flop: :2d :qh :7h (t300, 2 players)
Hero bets t250, BB raises to t1050, Hero raises to t3450, BB raises to t5850, Hero raises to t8250, BB calls all-in t35.
Uncalled bets: t2365 returned to Hero.

Turn: :tc (t12070, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t12070)

River: :3d (t12070, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t12070)

Results:
Final pot: t12070


I flopped the nut flush draw and the nut low draw with counterfeit protection, and this guy got it all in with me for 120 BB's with the second nut low draw and an underpair to the board: Td As 4s 4c. The board bricks out, and I lose a pot that would have put me in top 1%.

I did get him back eventually though:

Poker Stars
Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo Tournament
Blinds: t40/t80
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t7156
UTG+1: t2234
CO: t8584
Button: t8394
Hero: t5035
BB: t11526

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with :6h :ah :3c :7c
3 folds, Button raises to t240, Hero calls t200 (pot was t360), BB calls t160 (pot was t560).

Flop: :js :3h :as (t720, 3 players)
Hero checks, BB bets t80, Button raises to t160, Hero raises to t1280, BB calls t1200 (pot was t2240), Button folds.

Turn: :4s (t3440, 2 players)
Hero bets t2515, BB calls t2515 (pot was t5955).

River: :qc (t8470, 2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks.

Results:
Final pot: t8470


I couldn't believe it when I scooped this pot. There was only about 1000 left in the effective stacks, but I was so sure I was smoked that I didn't even think I had good equity against his checking range. I was just hoping he would check it back and I could escape with half. Turns out he had 4d Qh 3d 5s, having called the turn with nothing but a bad low draw and two pair.

I lasted for about 6 hours, which only got me through 75% of the field or so, before getting pretty short and busting in some nondescript way.

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Saturday, September 13, 2008

WCOOP Event 17: $530 PLHE

I continued my poor luck with table draws and got Steve Paul-Ambrose on my left in a tournament where the field in general was a giant donkfest. Steve didn't get too out of line, but his presence alone deterred me from a few hands I otherwise would have played. You just can't play as many hands from any position with a good player still to act behind you.

Anyway, I don't think anything too interesting happened. Eventually I ran AK into AA for the last of my chips.

I was also playing the weekly FTP $300 6-max, where I fired a second barrel in a spot where I would ordinarily never attempt such a thing.

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 100/200 Blinds, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: 17,658
MP: 6,912
CO: 5,030
Hero (BTN): 8,630
SB: 14,724
BB: 1,078

Pre-Flop: (300) 2 A dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, Hero raises to 530, SB calls 430, BB folds

Flop: (1,260) T 9 7 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets 750, SB calls 750

Turn: (2,760) K (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets 1,850, SB calls 1,850

River: (6,460) 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Results: 6,460 Pot
Hero showed 2 A (Ace King high) and LOST (-3,130 NET)
SB showed K J (a pair of Kings) and WON 6,460 (+3,330 NET)


Ordinarily, I would put SB on like a small-mid pair or a suited connector. However, because the BB was short and fairly likely to shove, re-opening the betting, I didn't think SB would call here with such an "implied odds" hand. Instead, I put him on big cards that could take a little more heat. There was some chance he was trapping with a big pair- it was a good spot for it- but I thought his range would be much wider than that.

When he didn't check-raise the flop, I eliminated the big pairs from his range as well as two pair, sets, and big draws. That didn't leave much except for one pair hands and weak draws. In addition, the K is a good scare card for me to bet again.

Although the bluff didn't work, the results really don't contradict my read at all. He did have a broadway hand as I suspected. It just happened to be one that could call the flop. And I was right that he had only a weak draw on the flop- it just happened to be the only one that could be improved by a K on the turn. So in conclusion, I am never wrong. I am not always right, I admit it, but I am never wrong.

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Thursday, September 11, 2008

WCOOP Event 12 $320 Mixed Hold 'Em 6-Max

I am just not very good at FLHE. The generic advice I've gotten about this game is to make tons of thin value bets and calls, which I try to do, but I think I'm choosing bad spots. My opponents yesterday did not even seem particularly good, but they were owning me left and right. A few examples:

I raise AK on the button, BB calls. Flop 776 with two hearts, I bet, he check-raises, I call. Turn 9 he bets I call. River 2 he bets I think his range is busted heart draw or trips+ so I call and he takes me on a tour of Valuetown with his 55.

Another one, guy raises UTG, I 3-bet JJ, and he calls. Flop 664, he checks, I bet, he calls. Turn blank, he checks, I bet, he raises, I call. River blank, he checks, I bet, he raises, I puke and call, he shows me 65o. Pretty questionable UTG raise even in 6max, but I must admit that he owned me pretty hard with the double check-raise. It's humiliating to get served like this by fish.

I wasn't catching much in the NLHE portion, certainly not enough to compensate for my fishiness in FLHE, so I was out pretty quickly. I did like the structure of this event. Instead of alternating between games at the level change, as happens in most mixed game tournaments, they alternated every fifteen minutes. Since there were half hour levels, that meant playing both game at every level instead of going back and forth between them. It was a good idea, though it probably wouldn't work as well in tournaments with shorter blind levels.

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Friday, August 15, 2008

FTOPS Event 17: $300 Rebuy NLHE 6-Max

Once again I had some rough table draws, ending up with a lot of high-stakes cash players. As I previously explained, this is bad in an FTOPS tournament for a number of reasons. One of them took me to valuetown on the first hand of the tournament:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: 1,500
BB: 3,000
Hero (UTG): 3,000
CO: 3,000
BTN: 3,000

Pre-Flop: (45) 9 9 dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to 90, CO folds, BTN raises to 315, 2 folds, Hero calls 225

Flop: (675) 8 T Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (675) 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 450, Hero calls 450

River: (1,575) Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 1,250, Hero calls 1,250

Results: 4,075 Pot
Hero mucked 9 9 (two pair, Queens and Nines) and LOST (-2,015 NET)
BTN showed A T (two pair, Queens and Tens) and WON 4,075 (+2,060 NET)


I got him back a bit by stealing this pot from him:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: 2,835
SB: 3,150
Hero (BB): 3,065
UTG: 2,845
CO: 4,605

Pre-Flop: (45) 7 5 dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG calls 30, CO raises to 135, BTN folds, SB calls 120, Hero calls 105, UTG calls 105

Flop: (540) 9 T 8 (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks

Turn: (540) K (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets 360, SB folds, Hero raises to 980, 2 folds

Results: 1,260 Pot
Hero mucked 7 5 and WON 1,260 (+765 NET)


He virtually never has more than one pair here, and I think he has nothing at all a fair amount of the time. Most importantly, I don't think he ever expects me to be bluffing here. Plus I do have some outs if called.

I briefly got up a decent stack, but then another 25/50 NL player got seated on my immediate right. He raised from the SB, I re-raised 88 from the BB, and called his shove. He had AK and got there.

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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

FTOPS Event 12: $1000 NLHE 6-Max

I knew Monday night's FTOPS was a 1K NLHE, but I was pleasantly surprised when I was "seated" to find only five other players at my table. I had no idea it was a 6-max! I was less pleasantly surprised to find two other regulars in the FTP 10/20 games at my table. Dammit, I play tournaments because I want to play with fish! Not only were these guys ten times better than the average player in the tournament, but I knew they were also going to be much more aggressive when stacks were deep. That meant I would have to play high variance poker, which I'd much prefer to avoid in such a well-structured event.

Thankfully, my table broke pretty quickly and I was moved to a softer one. This time, I got to be the undisputed aggressor. For a while, I was getting no respect:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 20/40 Blinds, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: 8,010
Hero (MP): 6,890
CO: 7,410
BTN: 7,380
SB: 4,930
BB: 4,130

Pre-Flop: (60) J A dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to 120, CO calls 120, BTN calls 120, SB folds, BB raises to 520, Hero raises to 1,240, 2 folds, BB raises to 4,130 and is All-In, Hero folds

Results: 2,740 Pot
BB mucked and WON 2,740 (+1,500 NET)


Eventually, that reputation got me a big payday, though:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 60/120 Blinds, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: 4,820
Hero (BB): 5,841
UTG: 7,055
MP: 9,651
CO: 6,488
BTN: 4,895

Pre-Flop: (180) A 4 dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG raises to 240, MP calls 240, 3 folds, Hero calls 120

Flop: (780) 8 9 T (3 Players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks

Turn: (780) K (3 Players)
Hero bets 601, UTG raises to 1,920, MP folds, Hero raises to 5,601 and is All-In, UTG calls 3,681

River: (11,982) 3 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 11,982 Pot
Hero showed A 4 (a flush, Ace high) and WON 11,982 (+6,141 NET)
UTG showed J K (a pair of Kings) and LOST (-5,841 NET)


But it wasn't to last. I lost two medium-sized pots on bad beats to short stacks, then Valuetowned myself against a guy who I still think may have been loose enough to show up with worse Aces here:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 140/280 Blinds, 25 Ante, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: 54,174
Hero (MP): 11,705
CO: 11,010
BTN: 10,714
SB: 19,723
BB: 5,384

Pre-Flop: (570) A J dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to 780, CO calls 780, 3 folds

Flop: (2,130) T 5 A (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets 1,320, Hero calls 1,320

Turn: (4,770) T (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (4,770) 9 (2 Players)
Hero bets 2,580, CO calls 2,580

Results: 9,930 Pot
Hero showed A J (two pair, Aces and Tens) and LOST (-4,705 NET)
CO showed A Q (two pair, Aces and Tens) and WON 9,930 (+5,225 NET)


Finally, I shoved A9 on the button over a raise from the chipleader in the CO, but he had AQ and it was lights out for me.

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Sunday, August 10, 2008

FTOPS Event 8

This was a $200 6-max tournament with a $40 bounty on each player. I lasted a few hours but only won one bounty. Because it was 6-max, I was able to accumulate chips without a lot of big hands. Eventually JCarver got moved to my left, which cramped my style. I started getting blinded down, then flatted his UTG raise with AA on my BB. I check-raised all in on an 855 flop, but he had 88 for a full house. Bah.

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Thursday, July 31, 2008

Second Nuts in PLO

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with :9d :9s :8c :8h
UTG calls, CO raises to $11, Button calls, Hero calls, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: :6d :ks :9c ($55, 5 players)
Hero bets $39, BB folds, UTG raises to $172, 2 folds, Hero raises all-in $389, UTG calls all-in $190.8.

Uncalled bets: $26.2 returned to Hero.

Turn: :2h ($780.6, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $780.6)

River: :5d ($780.6, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $780.6)

Results:
Final pot: $780.6
Hero showed 9d 9s 8c 8h
UTG showed Tc Qc Kh Kc


This might actually be a fold on the flop. The fact that I'm holding two 8's makes it less likely he's on a draw here. Bottom set is an easy fold. I was thinking he could have bottom set, but in retrospect KK is much more likely for him. I'm also not sure this is good pre-flop. I definitely wouldn't play a random two pair like JJ66, and I definitely would play 9988 if it were double suited. With nothing suited, I'm thinking it's close, but I don't really know. I posted it on 2+2.

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with :4s :7d :qc :as
3 folds, Hero raises to $14, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: :7h :7c :ad ($32, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $32, SB calls.

Turn: :3d ($96, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $80, SB calls.

River: :6s ($256, 2 players)
SB bets $128, Hero raises all-in $275.6, SB calls.

Results:
Final pot: $807.2
Hero showed 4s 7d Qc As
SB showed 2h Ah Ac 9h

I think this one is OK, there are plenty of worse boats that seem plausible for him, and it's tough to put him on AA with no 3-bet pre-flop.

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Wednesday, July 30, 2008

So Was I Right?

This was against some random in the weekly FTP 100 rebuy. I felt like although he probably was dumb enough to shove pocket pairs here, he'd raise most of them pre-flop. I felt like random diamonds, often with a dominated Ace, or just Ace-high would be his most likely holding. Didn't even consider this, but I guess it suggests he could at least show up with like AJ here:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 50/100 Blinds, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): 5,000
UTG: 7,430
MP: 5,026
CO: 8,530
BTN: 1,773
SB: 4,741

Pre-Flop: (150) Q A dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP calls 100, 3 folds, Hero raises to 500, MP calls 400

Flop: (1,050) T T 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets 666, MP raises to 4,526 and is All-In, Hero calls 3,834 and is All-In

Turn: (10,050) 7 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: (10,050) J (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 10,050 Pot
Hero showed Q A (a pair of Tens) and LOST (-5,000 NET)
MP showed K A (a pair of Tens) and WON 10,050 (+5,050 NET)


Also, if he does have a small pair, note that I have some backdoor outs, including a flush and a running pair that would counterfeit him. Those probably add up to almost 5% extra equity and were definitely a consideration.

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Saturday, July 19, 2008

Big Laydown

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $2,517
SB: $1,000
BB: $1,888.75
UTG: $5,702.90
CO: $1,017

Pre-Flop: A T dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, Hero raises to $30, SB raises to $90, Hero calls $60

Flop: ($180) K A K (2 Players)
SB bets $180, Hero calls $180

Turn: ($540) K (2 Players)
SB bets $540, Hero folds

Results: $540 Pot ($3 Rake)
SB mucked and WON $537 (+$267 NET)


I knew nothing about this player, but I don't really ever expect a random to be bluffing here. So basically I'm either chopping or losing to quads/Aces full, and a chop isn't that much more likely.

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Friday, July 18, 2008

Back in the Saddle

I played my first online session in weeks tonight, and it went great. Mostly just running well, though I do think I chose my spots well. I also may not have gotten paid off on the river here if I hadn't gotten tricksy:

Poker Stars, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $2,187.50
Hero (CO): $2,327
BTN: $2,909
SB: $2,22
BB: $2,000
UTG: $380

Pre-Flop: 7 5 dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, MP calls $20, Hero calls $20, BTN raises to $120, 2 folds, MP calls $100, Hero calls $100

Flop: ($390) 5 2 8 (3 Players)
MP checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $260, MP folds, Hero calls $260

Turn: ($910) 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets $444, BTN calls $444

River: ($1,798) 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $400, Hero raises to $1,503 and is All-In, BTN calls $1,103

Results: $4,804 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero showed 7 5 (three of a kind, Fives) and WON $4,801 (+$2,474 NET)
BTN mucked T T and LOST (-$2,327 NET)


MP was a fish and I wanted to get into the pot with him. If this were heads up with the button, I'd have folded to the pre-flop raise. I led the turn because I expected BTN to check back damn near 100% of his range. I also thought it might look weak if I bet kind of small.

On the river, then, I expect him either to have a float or a pair. If he's got a float, he's obviously not calling a river shove, but he'll bluff at it if I check. If he's got a pair, he may or may not call a shove, but he'll almost certainly bet it for value if I check. This is why it's important to notice players who will make thin value bets. When playing live, I think you have to bet this on the river because plenty of people won't even value bet Kings here. So I felt like I'd get one bet in for sure on the river, and then he could either call me or not when I shoved.

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Thursday, July 3, 2008

Sample Video on Cardplayer

There's a free sample from one of my Poker Savvy videos up on Cardplayer this week:
Some of the scenarios that Brokos goes over include how to play a strong hand like A-Q after missing the flop or hitting a flop that leaves your A-Q weak. He discusses what kinds of flops are perfect for continuation-bets (C-bets) and when it is better to check and see what develops.

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Saturday, June 21, 2008

ewiofhlshfdsfakjf You Knew What I Had!!!

Full Tilt Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: $1,249.10
SB: $600
BB: $1,385.25
Hero (UTG): $1,542.65

Pre-Flop: Q J dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $21, BTN calls $21, SB folds, BB calls $15

Flop: ($66) 9 3 K (3 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $66, BTN raises to $180, BB folds, Hero calls $114

Turn: ($426) 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($426) 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $300, Hero raises to $1,341.65 and is All-In,

BTN: kings full
BTN: %$&$
BTN has requested TIME
BTN calls $748.10, and is all in

Results: $2,522.20 Pot ($2 Rake)
BTN showed 9 A (a flush, Ace high) and WON $2,520.20 (+$1,271.10 NET)
Hero showed Q J (a pair of Sevens) and LOST (-$1,249.10 NET)


I can't really fault him for this call, because the nut flush is the best hand he could possibly have after this line and folding the top of his range is obviously super-exploitable. But at the same time, he had no reason to think I was capable of floating the flop with a gut shot and then check-raise bluffing the river when he had obviously made a flush. I really don't think he put me on a bluff, especially based on the chat, he just didn't want to let go of the flush. Of course trying to bluff people off of flushes at 3/6 (or in general really) is not good poker, but I really thought this guy would be "good" enough to let it go.

Then again I don't need to be floating the flop out of position with a gutshot, either, but I was pretty sure he had a flush draw and I could take it away on a non-spade river. I think that was correct, but when the board paired, I decided to go with this.

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Thursday, June 19, 2008

Top Pair No Good?

More often than not I end up regretting big moves like this in tournaments, but I think this one is alright. It worked, anyway.

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 120/240 Blinds, 25 Ante, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: 25,020
CO: 25,268
BTN: 3,120
SB: 6,095
Hero (BB): 6,510
UTG: 7,269

Pre-Flop: (510) 2 A dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP raises to 720, CO calls 720, 2 folds, Hero calls 480

Flop: (2,430) K J 5 (3 Players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks

Turn: (2,430) A (3 Players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets 960, Hero calls 960, MP calls 960

River: (5,310) 9 (3 Players)
Hero bets 4,805 and is All-In, 2 folds

Results: 5,310 Pot
Hero mucked 2 A and WON 5,310 (+3,605 NET)


MP was new to the table, but so far he'd been pretty tight/straightforward. CO was a giant calling station, especially pre-flop. He was in like 70% of pots, rarely as the aggressor. He pretty much always potted it when he liked his hand, but would call with as little as a gutshot.

Preflop and flop are pretty standard. Leading the turn is an option, but really I'm still not happy with my hand, and I want to see what happens behind me. If MP bets or if CO pots it, I'm folding. I wasn't sure what to make of CO's bet, but getting nearly 4:1, I think it's a call. When MP overcalls, I decide my hand is probably not good. If I'm lucky, I'll get a chop.

But when the river falls, I think a flush is a very reasonable holding for me, and more importantly, I wasn't too concerned about anyone else having it. MP passed up two opportunities to bet, which makes me think he probably didn't have a flush draw. And CO's range is so wide that flushes can only be a small piece of it. I also don't think he has something really strong like top two or a set that would be tempted to spite call, because we would have heard from him sooner.

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Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Ramping Up the Aggression

With deeper stacks (these hands are all from deep tables), you need to be, not necessarily more aggressive, but aggressive in more situations. With 100 BBs's, a 4-bet squeeze will almost always commit your stack, which means there's only a narrow range of hands with which you can make this play. Showdown equity is always important.

But as stacks get deeper, there is more room to maneuver. You can put in more bets in more spots and still have room to fold. That doesn't mean you can go crazy against just anyone. Reads are important, as you need to know that your opponents are capable of letting go of a hand and/or having a less-than-stellar hand in the first place.

In this first one, MP and CO were both very aggressive pre-flop. I was certain they'd fold often enough to make this profitable. The only x-factor was the Button. I wasn't sure what would be his standards for cold calling a 3-bet. But he was also deep, and I figured that coming in cold for the fourth bet would get him off of even some pretty strong holdings:

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $458
UTG: $400
MP: $1,303.30
CO: $1,099
BTN: $827.40
Hero (SB): $915

Pre-Flop: T 8 dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, MP raises to $14, CO raises to $48, BTN calls $48, Hero raises to $210, 4 folds

Results: $162 Pot
Hero mucked T 8 and WON $162 (+$114 NET)



In this second one, the SB and I had both been aggressive, and this was the second time I'd seen the BB put in a cold 4-bet. This is definitely a riskier play to make, but for that reason I think it will also have better fold equity. BB and I have some history together, but I still think this is a tough spot for him if he holds QQ.

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $1,033.75
Hero (MP): $3,620
CO: $2,026
BTN: $1,010
SB: $2,005
BB: $4,111

Pre-Flop: J 9 dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $35, 2 folds, SB raises to $125, BB raises to $350, Hero raises to $1,000, SB folds, BB calls $650

Flop: ($2,125) 3 A K (2 Players)
BB bets $700, Hero folds

Results: $2,125 Pot ($3 Rake)
BB mucked and WON $2,122 (+$1,122 NET)


While waiting for BB to act, I regretted raising quite so much. I wished I had made it 900 instead of 1000. I felt it would have put him to essentially the same decision, as I really didn't think he would ever flat call this raise. When he did, that confused me. I think he definitely would have shoved or folded AK pre-flop, and probably would have shoved in with AA and KK as well.

At the same time, this is a really bad board for him to lead out on as a bluff, and it's hard to put him on a hand that would need to bluff pre-flop. Maybe he was doing this as a probe with QQ? I don't know, it was tempting to shove in, and maybe with second pair or a gut shot or something with even a little equity against his calling range, I would have. In retrospect, floating seems like a good option, looking to bet the turn if he checks. I really don't think he could fire a second bluff if I called the flop. Meh, folding can't be that bad.

Reads didn't play as big of a role in this one, I think my hand pretty much plays itself here:

Full Tilt Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $692.70
CO: $1,659
BTN: $1,142.25
Hero (SB): $1,725.25
BB: $691.60
UTG: $813

Pre-Flop: A K dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG raises to $21, MP calls $21, CO folds, BTN raises to $72, Hero raises to $225, 4 folds

Results: $192 Pot
Hero mucked A K and WON $192 (+$120 NET)


If the Button shoves in, it's a crappy spot, but with AK and 20% of the effective stacks in pre-flop against an aggressive opponent (I've seen him shove in some dumb spots before), I think I've got to call it off. The more important thing is that that won't happen that often, and there really isn't a better option than re-raising with AK. Flat calling and playing out of position isn't appealing, nor is folding.


That doesn't mean I'm incapable of 4-bet/folding AK pre-flop- it just depends on the opponent:

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $800
BB: $523.30
UTG: $974.30
MP: $936.40
CO: $150.50
BTN: $1,771.40

Pre-Flop: K A dealt to Hero (SB)
2 folds, CO raises to $12, BTN raises to $44, Hero raises to $155, 2 folds, BTN raises to $1,771.40 and is All-In, Hero folds

Results: $326 Pot
BTN mucked and WON $326 (+$171 NET)


My only regret here is that if I'm going to fold, I ought to raise a little less. $125 would probably do the trick.

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Friday, June 13, 2008

I Finally Ran a Brunson on Someone!

Doyle Brunson's Super/System was the first poker book I ever read, and one part that has always stuck out in my mind is a play that he suggests to bluff an opponent off of a chop when you both a one-card straight. Essentially, he suggests that if your opponent makes a bet or raise and you are sure he has the straight, and you also have it, you can just call (Brunson suggests some drama but it's hard to do that online) and then try to represent a full house if the board pairs on the river. You've got nothing to lose, since even if he calls you still chop the pot.

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $784.80
Hero (BB): $800
UTG: $1,563.55
BTN: $824

Pre-Flop: 5 A dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, SB raises to $14, Hero calls $10

Flop: ($28) K Q T (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($28) J (2 Players)
SB bets $24, Hero calls $24

River: ($76) K (2 Players)
SB bets $50, Hero raises to $262, SB folds

Results: $176 Pot ($2 Rake)
Hero mucked 5 A and WON $174 (+$86 NET)


Obviously this isn't exactly the same situation. With my redraw, I would have a lot to gain by getting it in against a straight on the turn, but at that time I wasn't sure he had a straight. Even on the river, I can't be sure, but I am glad I got the chance to make this play. He tanked for a while before folding, so I really do think I got him off the straight.

One important thing to point out here is that I was nearly certain he didn't have a boat. I didn't think he would check two pair or a set on the flop, and if the J gave him two pair or a set, I don't think he would bet that when there was a four-straight on the board. So I wasn't worried about having him shove over this raise.

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Tuesday, June 3, 2008

May

15K hands at -2.5 BB/100 is the short version of the story. And despite a final table appearance in an FTP $100 rebuy, I lost money on tournaments as well, thought I didn't play that many. I very nearly rallied on the last day of the month, only to get myself into some flush trouble. This first one may just be bad luck. It was against Jason Strasser. Though we'd never sat together before, I have some idea of how he plays, and I'm pretty sure this is a reasonable line to take against him. Guess I'm just going to lose some money when I hold the third nuts to his nuts:

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $20 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB ($3338.50)
BB ($2272)
Hero ($5000)
MP ($4314)
Button ($11909)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Ks, Kd.
Hero raises to $70, 1 fold, Button calls $70, 2 folds.

Flop: ($170) 8s, Qs, Js (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $120, Hero calls $120.

Turn: ($410) 3s (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $320, Hero calls $320.

River: ($1050) 7s (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $800, Hero calls $800.

Final Pot: $2650

Results in white below:

Button has 9s Ts (straight flush, queen high).

Hero has Ks Kd (flush, king high).

Outcome: Button wins $2650.



This one I believe I played badly, though not for the reasons you might think:

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $20 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG ($5459.50)
MP ($6787)
Hero ($9459.75)
Button ($1582)
SB ($4198)
BB ($3796)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 2s, 4s.
1 fold, MP calls $20, Hero raises to $90, 3 folds, MP calls $70.

Flop: ($210) Qs, As, Jc (2 players)
MP bets $200, Hero raises to $819, MP calls $619.

Turn: ($1848) Kh (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1550, MP calls $1550.

River: ($4948) Ts (2 players)
MP bets $2020, Hero raises to $7000.75 (All-In), MP calls $2308 (All-In).

Final Pot: $16276.75

Results in white below:

MP has 9s 6s (flush, ace high).

Hero has 2s 4s (flush, ace high).

Outcome: MP wins $13604. Hero wins $2672.75.


Note that we are nearly 350 BB deep here. You'll also need to know that my opponent was absolutely terrible and loved to play loose and passive from out of position. I was happy to oblige by raising roughly 90% of his limps, potting most flops, and then proceeding from there. So I think raising him with 42s is actually fine/good.

He didn't lead into me that often, though, and I'm not a fan of my flop raise. He isn't very likely to fold, and he'll probably pay off if I hit my flush, so I'm almost surely better off calling and keeping stacks deeper for later streets. Having raised flop, I guess the turn bet is OK. There's probably a good-sized gap between his range for calling the flop and his range for continuing on this turn, and I'm 99% sure he's not raising with anything less than a pretty unlikely straight.

Alarm bells went off when he led the river, though. I really hadn't been thinking enough about his range, but this is very consistent with his having a flush draw. Yes, I'd seen him check call pot on the turn with a bare flush draw and no plans for bluffing the river. If there weren't a straight on the board, I wouldn't even thinking about jamming on him. But here there is both a plausible reason for him to bet this river without a flush (even if I do call he's probably chopping, since my hand doesn't look very much like a flush) and a good reason for him to call a shove with less than a flush, since a chop is so likely.

That's what should be the case. But this guy was bad and predictable and I was just pretty damn sure he had a better flush. But I convinced myself I was being a wuss and shoved the last 100 BB into the pot. I got to tell you, as much getting bad beat out of a big pot sucks, losing a monster because of your own mistakes is ten times worse. Ugh, if I had just called the flop, I could have avoided such a catastrophe.

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Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Suicide Bluffs

I like trying to bluff into multiple players. Not only do I sometimes surprise myself with the fold equity I have, but it's also nice for balancing my ranges and helping me to get paid off the many times that I have big hands in these spots. Here are two from tonight's session:

Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP2: $2,916.40
CO: $492.60
BTN: $579.50
SB: $1,813.20
Hero (BB): $2,057
UTG: $1,002
UTG+1: $1,803
MP1: $470

Pre-Flop: 7 A dealt to Hero (BB)
4 folds, CO raises to $28, BTN folds, SB calls $23, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($84) 8 9 K (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($84) 5 (3 Players)
SB bets $49, Hero raises to $229, CO calls $229, SB calls $180

River: ($771) J (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $550, CO calls $235.60 and is All-In, SB raises to $1,100, Hero folds

Results: $2,106.60 Pot ($2,106.60 Rake)
CO showed Jd 9d and LOST
SB showed Th 7h and WON

On the river here I'm bluffing into two people, one of whom is getting better than 3:1 to call given his stack size. But based on the turn action and CO's stack size, I was very sure they were both looking to catch on the river. If CO liked his hand on the turn, he would have stuck the rest of his chips in. And if SB liked his, he would have done the same, since CO was clearly drawing and going to call. The Jc on the river missed all the obvious draws, but unfortunately my opponents had some non-obvious draws. That's the price of doing business.


Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $2,000
BB: $1,975
UTG: $501
MP: $4,509
Hero (CO): $2,895.50
BTN: $2,030

Pre-Flop: J 9 dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, Hero raises to $70, BTN folds, SB calls $60, BB calls $50

Flop: ($210) 4 Q K (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $175, SB calls $175, BB calls $175

Turn: ($735) 2 (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $550, 2 folds

Results: $735 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero mucked J 9 and WON $732 (+$487 NET)


This one really isn't suicidal at all. BB never has a monster here, and SB could have 44 or KQ, but it's way more likely he's got one pair. I don't think either of them is going any further with less than two pair, and obviously I've got plenty of outs even if I am unlucky enough to run into a big hand (or a stubborn opponent).

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