Friday, July 3, 2009

The Blog, It Is A-Changin'


My girlfriend's been working tremendously hard on a redesign of the Thinking Poker blog/website, and it's going to be going live tomorrow. By the time many of you read this post, it may be live already, in which case, don't panic- you're still in the right place!

If you happen to read this before the changeover, know that there could be some downtime/technical difficulty as we transition from Blogger to Wordpress. Hopefully there won't be any, but in any event, it will be well worth it. The new site design is amazing and about 1000 times better than this crap you've been looking at for the past 6 months.

Oh, and I'm playing the main event tomorrow, so remember to follow me at http://twitter.com/thinkingpoker. I'll keep you posted on my steadily rising chip count and all of the hopeless triple barrels I'm too disciplined to attempt. Positive thinking!

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Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Guy Accidentally Busts Me

We're about 3.5 hours into a 1K multi-table satellite for the WSOP main event. Blinds are 300/600/75. Short stack moves all in for 3600. Button doesn't realize there's someone all in ahead of him and says "call", planning to call just the blinds. I have 99 in the BB and a little under 10K in chips. I shoved, Button called with JQ. Short stack has 66 and Button ends up busting us both with a hand he didn't even mean to play.

I wonder if my better play isn't to call and shove any flop. I kind of doubt that Button was open limping any pocket pairs, so there's not much danger of chasing out the hands against which I have the best equity. He was pretty LAGgy though, so I wouldn't be surprised if he would play something like 87s or some other hand I've got in bad shape the same way. It might not matter too much in the grand scheme of things, but it probably would have won me this pot.

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Ten-Twenty-Five Live

I played about two hours of 10-25 NL at the Rio yesterday. The table wasn't full of spewmonkeys but I wasn't anticipating a lot of tough decisions. Mostly it was just a boring game. I say that, but I did actually bluff my entire $5K stack on my first hand.

Let me tell you another story first though. There was this wealthy Texan at the table who, when I first sat down, was on the phone placing sports bets. That's always a good sign. I later changed seats and ended up with him on my immediate left, meaning I was privy to the next two phone calls he made.

The first was to a woman named "Becky" whom he seemed to select somewhat arbitrarily from his address book. He hadn't seen her in a few months but turns out she was available for dinner on a few hours' notice.

His next call was a voicemail that I'll attempt to transcribe to the best of my memory: "Hey Jimmy, this is Dicky. Happy 20th birthday. That's a bit one. I'm sorry I won't be able to make it for your party tonight, I'm going to be tied up. I've got a little present for you, though- it's $50- you're mother will have that for you. You're growing into a fine young man. Hope you have fun."

Anyway, that big bluff I was talking about: I opened to $75 with AKs in late middle position and got 3-bet to $300 by a familiar-looking player on the button. I couldn't place where I'd seen him before, but he was young and serious-looking, which isn't a good sign. I assumed he was an internet pro whose face I'd randomly seen in a picture or something, but now that I think about it, I may actually have played with him at Foxwoods. It makes a huge difference which he is, but at the time, I was thinking internet, so anyway...

He 3-bets to $300, and I decided to make it $800 and fold to a 4-bet (he had me covered). He thinks for a while and calls. The flop comes down rags with two of my suit. I bet $1200, planning to unhappily call a shove. My hope was that he would just call and then I could shove the turn. That's exactly what happened. He tanked for a while but folded what was probably TT-QQ. I doubt anyone else at the table would make that fold, but then I wouldn't have 4-bet anyone else either.

So I made $2000 on my first hand, but I later misplayed a hand pretty badly and cost myself most of that profit. A new player had just joined the table, an older black man who seemed to be a regular in the Tunica games. He bought in deep enough to cover my nearly $7K stack.

I got AKs UTG+1 and raised to $75. Only the new guy called out of his BB. The flop came 862 and gave me my flush draw. He checked, I bet $125, and he raised to $400. I called. The turn was an off-suit 3, he checked, I bet $525, and he raised to $2000. I folded.

My turn bet is just atrocious. With less showdown value, it might be OK, like if I had a ten-high flush draw or something. But even then, I'm primarily relying on bluffing him off of bluffs, which assumes he's capable of check-raise bluffing the flop against an unknown early position raiser. With AK, I beat his bluffs anyway, so there's little value in betting and risking getting blown off a strong draw.

I ended up nearly dead even on the session and didn't play any other interesting pots.

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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

WSOP $5K 6-Max

It was down to the wire whether I was going to play this, but I managed to cash my check about 10 minutes before the start of the tournament. I ran down to the registration and found a line out the door. It was moving quickly, though, and I managed to register and get to the table at 12:04. The tournament was actually late getting started, so I hadn't missed anything. In fact, I was the first one there. Apparently we were in an overflow room they'd just opened up.

The next player to arrive was a guy I instantly recognized as Shaun Deeb. Two European guys, at least one of whom seemed to be an aggro Scandi, gave us the four we needed to start.

While we were still 4-handed, blinds 50/100, Scandi opens for 250 UTG and Shaun makes it 700 on the button. I find AK in the SB and 4-bet to 2400 planning to puke if Shaun shoves. They both folded quickly, but still, you know it's a tough table when you're cold 4-betting in your second orbit.

Things got a bit better when an older guy joined and started limping into pots. Early on, he open limped his button vs my BB, Shaun folded, and I checked with A4o. The flop came A34, I checked, he bet 150, and I raised 550. He called. The turn brought a 2, not ideal, but it's not real likely he has a 5. I bet 800, and he folded.

Next orbit, limpy old guy limps in for 100, Shaun calls 100, I make it 550 with T9o on the CO. Old guy calls, Shaun folds. The flop comes KQJ. Guy checks, I bet 1000, he raises to 3000. Against a better player, I'd probably just shove now, but live fish don't work like that. They don't think as much as they should about their stack size relative to the pot, but they do get scared by all in bets. So I raise to 7400, he shoves, I call, he has AT. I don't draw out to the chop, so I'm busted within half an hour. Fun.

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Hilarious 1K Single Table Satellite

Most of the money I brought to Vegas came in the form of a cashier's check, which apparently needs to be verified by the bank before I can cash it, so I'm pretty much broke until tomorrow. What else to do than play a 1K Single Table Satellite for the WSOP, then? Those are always a hoot.

The table looks perfect: one wannabe hotshot guy about my age, one middle-aged Israeli, 7 middle-aged white guys. A few of them are talking about having played 10-20 tournaments in the series, but they all suck. The two slightly less terrible guys are on my immediate left, but whatever.

I don't play a hand for the first hour, they are all splashing around a little bit but no one's playing big pots. Blinds 100/200, I have a little less than the 4K starting stack. Action folds to me in SB with hotshot in the big. I open limp, he raises to 825, I shove, he moans and groans and tells me how tight I've been, eventually folding an Ace face up like it's the greatest play ever. I casually show him a deuce, and the table goes wild.

Next orbit folds to me in the small, I open to 1200 with TT, hotshot shoves A9, my hand holds up and he's crippled.

Next orbit it's 150/300 he shoves for 1100 UTG action folds to dude in SB who calls. I shove in 8K with KJ on my BB, SB folds and says he had 76s. I get there vs. 55 to eliminate hotshot in 10th.

Button makes a small raise, I shove JJ in SB, Isreali goes on and on about he has the best hand but he's gonna be conservative and folds 66 face up. I show my JJ cuz now I want some fold equity on my shoves.

We play for a while, nothing much happens, eventually Israeli is getting sort. At 300/600, he shoves from early position for 3600. Action folds to me in the BB and I actually have a bit of a decision with AT. He seems to "get it" a little more than the others and recently lost a pot so I call. He has A6 but hits his 6 on the turn. Board is TT76 so I've got 8 outs on river but can't get there. I pass him his chips with no whining/fanfare.

This pot constitutes about 20% of the chips in play, but I'm still the chipleader even after losing it. I make a small CO raise with 99, SB shoves, naturally I call, but he has AQ and wins the flip.

Now I'm short, and a few hands later I shove 43s for 5x or so. Israeli goes on and on about he's gonna play to win and shoves over the top with KJo in the CO. He's ahead unimproved through the turn, then I bang a 3 on the river and he gets pissed, even though I'm in way better shape than he was with A6 and it's a smaller pot. I don't say a word, and eventually a few of his buddies come over and he recounts the story for them about the guy who goes all in with 4-high. I just shake my head.

Some other crap happened, I won some pots with pre-flop raises/shoves (and pots were tremendous at this point), I lost another flip to the Israeli, my AKs loses to 55, and then blinds are 600/1200. Israeli opens to 3000, guy to his left shoves 6400 total, Israel thinks for a while, which is funny in its own right, and finally folds!

There was also a hand, not involving Isreali, where the Button shoves for like 4BB, the SB reshoves 6BB, and the BB folds AQ face-up.

Action folds to me on Button, I shove 7BB or so with K9, Israeli wakes up with JJ in SB and holds up. Now I've got 1800 total, so there's no such thing as fold equity. I fold 73 and 72, and then I post the BB for 2/3 of my stack. CO shoves, I call blind, he flips K7, I have 74. Lovely. His hand holds, and I go out in 6th.

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Monday, June 29, 2009

Focking Marcel Luske

Edit: As I was drifting off to sleep last night, it occurred to me that I should have titled this post "Loosey Luske". In my defense, it was 3AM and I'd been playing Stud/8 for 8 hours, so my creative juices were a bit stymied.

Early in level 7, the Flying Dutchman joins our table, upside-down sunglasses and all. Almost immediately, he takes half my stack.

Action folds to me in middle position. I've got 8(72), hardly a premium hand, but there's nothing but junk behind me: two Queens, Marcel with a Jack, and an 8 on the bring-in. I raise, Marcel calls with the J, everyone else folds.

On 4th, I catch an A, Marcel catches a 4. I bet, he calls. Odds are good he's got a pair of Jacks (though maybe I should expect him to 3-bet that more often than call?), but I've got outs to both halves of the pot plus the A is a scare card.

On 5th, I brick, and Marcel catches a 3. I bet, he calls.

On 6th, I pair my 8, he catches 2. I bet, he raises. That was unexpected. I think for a while and can't figure what he has. A5 suited with the Jack seems most likely, or maybe rolled-up Jacks that he's been slowplaying. Somewhat less likely are 65 suited with the J or a smaller pair in the hole that's since made trips. I seriously consider folding but decide to call.

Thankfully I brick the river and check-fold. The guy on my right asks Marcel to show the suited A5. Marcel shows A5, but only the 5 is suited to the J. Obviously not a standard call on 3rd, but Marcel's almost certainly a better S/8 player than I am, so I don't want to write it off as an error. Possibly he put me on a steal and had a plan to take it away later if he didn't go runner runner runner perfect.

I could have sworn that they'd said we were only playing 7 levels, but there indeed 8, and I busted about halfway through the last level. I got it in on 5th with four to a low and a pair of Aces against an open pair of 7's and what turned out to be Kings up. They both made full houses on the river, and I missed my low.

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Friday, June 26, 2009

Imperial Palace, Here I Come!

So apparently Vegas isn't quite as dead as I thought and waiting until the day before my arrival to make hotel arrangements was not wise. The Rio is booked solid until Tuesday, so I'm spending my first three nights at the good old Imperial Palace. I stayed there last year, and honestly, I expected worse. Hopefully I didn't just get an abnormally non-crappy room.

Quick little Twitter update/clarification (sorry I am just learning how to use this): you don't actually have to have a Twitter account to get updates. Just go to http://twitter.com/thinkingpoker and you can you see my most recent Tweets.

I'll be using that for occasional chip count updates and reports on important hands, but I'll still try to post more substantive stuff on the blog as time permits. It shouldn't be a problem through the first few days of the main event, but should I make it to Day 3, I'll have a lot less free time from then on out.

Wish me luck!

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Monday, June 22, 2009

WSOPWSOP

Though I haven't played as many WSOP satellites this year as I did in years past, restricting myself only to those with $500+ buy-ins, I managed by yesterday to spend enough on satellites that I could have just bought in direct and paid myself the bonus money that comes with the FTP and Stars packages. Naturally, I hadn't yet won a seat.

Today, though, I played three satellites and won two of them! One was on Stars and one was, for the first time in my career, on FTP. The Stars sponsorship package sucks this year, and I haven't looked into FTP's but I doubt it's much better, so I'll probably go without and hope to negotiate something if I go deep.

I'm too tired to think through all the hands I played, but here's one moderately neat one against the most active player at the table:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $615+$35 Tournament, 700/1400 Blinds 175 Ante (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t28911)
UTG (t42460)
UTG+1 (t47562)
MP1 (t40961)
Hero (MP2) (t41997)
CO (t37399)
Button (t32798)
SB (t55403)

Hero's M: 12.00

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q, 7
3 folds, Hero bets t2888, 3 folds, BB calls t1488

Flop: (t7876) 2, J, 9 (2 players)
BB bets t3800, Hero raises to t8888, 1 fold

Total pot: t15476


Yeah, I'm representing a really narrow range, but what's he gonna do about it? Three-bet jam on me with air on the bubble of a satellite? I don't think he ever leads out here with a strong hand. For one thing, he's jamming anything that makes top pair good kicker or better pre-flop except for J9 (doubt he calls J2 or 92). If he has a draw or any pair, particularly at this stage of the tournament, he'd definitely prefer to be the one shoving in (ie by check-shoving) than the one calling by leading out to induce a shove from me.

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Saturday, June 20, 2009

How Twitter is Changing the World of Professional Poker

Yesterday's New York Times ran an article about how poker players are using Twitter. I can't say it's particularly thorough and insightful, in fact it seems to be based almost entirely on an interview with Joe Sebok of Poker Road, it's neat to see our little world getting some mainstream attention.

As reporter Marshall Kirkpatrick notes, "Big name players are Tweeting but small timers at the big show are too. Traditional poker reporting didn't shed much light on the experiences of amateurs, but Sebok says those players on the margins can now tell their families and friends to check Twitter for play by play accounts of their experiences in Vegas."

As it happens, I myself will be Tweeting from the WSOP on @thinkingpoker. So follow along!

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Thursday, June 18, 2009

WSOP Plans

Sorry for the recent lack of updates, but I haven't been playing all that much. Since I'll be in Vegas soon and devoting myself to poker nearly 24/7, I'm trying to get some other stuff done right now.

Speaking of Vegas, thanks to everyone who's asked what my plans are. I'm heading out there on the 27th and plan to play the $1500 Stud/8 tournament on the 28th. Should I somehow manage not to final table that, I'll play the $5000 6-max NLHE event on the 30th, then Day of the Main Event on July 3. That's likely to be it for major tournaments, as I do want to play some cash games and maybe a few of those juicy juicy satellites. I also want to meet/hang out with some people, so if you're going to be in Vegas during that time, by all means let me know (foucault82 (at) yahoo (dot) com) so we can grab a drink or something.

Also, while I'll continue to post daily updates here, I'm also going to try Tweating my chip counts and such during the tournaments. I know, I know, Twitter is largely a toolish thing to do, but it seems pretty ideal for poker tournament updates. You can follow me on @thinkingpoker.

Wish me luck!

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Thursday, June 4, 2009

May

May was a solid month, though a bit bittersweet because it started off phenomenally and then took a pretty sour turn. I can't complain about the bottom line, but let's see what kind of progress I'm making on my yearly goals.

Resolution One: Keep Grinding NLHE Cash Games


Goal 1: Earn $X in NLHE Cash Games

Still chugging along at not-quite-on-track-but-satisfied-nonetheless. I've played about 165K hands, which I'm happy about as well.

Goal 2: Earn Supernova status on PokerStars

I'm on track anyway, having maintained by Platinum status for the month, but I'd really like to win a Poker Stars WSOP satellite for the cash overlay and the 100K VPPs.

Resolution Two: Diversify My Income Streams

Goal 3: Monetize This Blog

The WordPress upgrade I promised way back when is finally under serious development, thanks to minimal effort from myself and considerable work on the part of my girlfriend.

Goal 4: Get Back Into Coaching

I finished up the first group seminar and was very happy with how it went. All three participants have told me they were as well, and one of them has already arranged some individual sessions.

I'm not going to start another group seminar before the WSOP, but I am open to taking on a few new individual students. Cost for individual lessons is $250/hour. I probably won't run another group seminar until after the WSOP, but when I do, cost will likely be $100/student/hour. I generally aim to work with students for 5-10 hours over the course of a few weeks, and the lessons are designed to run very efficiently. There's a lot of content packed into every session, ensuring you a ton of value for your money.

I'd say my target audience is cash game players currently playing smaller stakes (50NL-400NL) who want to transition into bigger games. I can help you think about your game in a new way, identify leaks, and deal with the tough spots with which the more difficult opponents at higher stakes will surely confront you.

Hit me up at foucault82 (at) yahoo (dot) com if you're interested. Tell me a little about yourself, what you currently play, and what your goals are. Of course I'm happy to answer any questions as well.

Goal 5: Market My Writing

Well, select articles are now available in Finnish, which is pretty cool. Not much else to report, though.

Resolution Three: Improve My NLHE Skills

Goal 6: Use Poker Tracker More Effectively

I'm currently enjoying my free trial of Hold 'Em Manager. I feel like a total traitor for saying this, because I've long been a huge fan of Poker Tracker, and their support is out-of-this-world. That's not a trivial thing when dealing with database issues.

I must admit, though, that HEM seems to have much better functionality. I like their HUD, I like their filters and reports, and I like their graphs. I'm probably going to buy the full version and convert.

Goal 7: Finish the Year with a 4BB/100 Win-Rate at 5/10 NL.

My overall win-rate right now is 1.83 BB/100. More impressive, though, is that it's at 7 BB/100 over 17K hands at 25/50 and 8 BB/100 over 34K hands at 10/20.

Surprisingly, I'm barely breaking even over 100K hands at 5/10. I'm guessing that's some combination of game selection and luck, which have both been considerably better at the higher stakes.

Goal 8: Play 50,000 Hands of Heads Up NLHE

I only played about 2000 hands this month, but for the year I'm at almost 10BB/100 over 22K hands. I'm hoping that a recent policy change at Full Tilt Poker will make it easier to find action going forward:

"Due to increasing complaints of players occupying many tables alone, Full Tilt Poker will be introducing limitations on the number of heads-up cash games that a player can be sitting at while waiting for an opponent.

Effective immediately, a player is permitted to wait at only one table for each betting level and game type, and at most four tables in total.

For example, you may sit and wait for an opponent at $5-10 NL Hold'em, $5-10 PL Hold'em, $10-20 NL Hold'em, and $10-20 PL Hold'em, but you may not sit and wait at more than one table of any one type, and not more than four tables in total.

The limitations only apply to the practice of occupying many tables while waiting. If you are actively playing at a heads-up table, you may then begin waiting at another table of the same type. There is no restriction on the number of tables you may play (other than the normal limitations on active games)."

When I first received an e-mail from FTP with the subject line "Notification of Seating Limit Policy", my heart skipped a beat. I feared this might be some doomsday e-mail telling me I couldn't play more than four tables or something. Instead, it turns out to address a practice that majorly pisses me off, which is a bunch of regulars sitting alone at four or more heads up tables and refusing to play anyone but fish.

When I'm looking for a game, it's incredibly annoying to have to scroll through 60 open tables filled with the same 10 players who I know won't play with me hoping to find a single name I don't recognize. And of course since I refused to stoop to that level of douchery, the odds of a fish choosing to sit at my one open table were considerably lower. But that all ends today, woohoo!

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Monday, June 1, 2009

Dani "Ansky" Stern Finishes Fourth in the WSOP 40K!

Congratulations to Poker Savvy's Dani "Ansky" Stern, who finished fourth for better than half a million dollars in the special $40K NLHE WSOP anniversary event. I'm ashamed to say that I didn't even realize he was at the final table. I'd looked at an article about the final table that didn't mention him and never looked into it any further.

The field featured 201 players, including most of the best in the world, and the final table definitely represented that. Dani had to tangle with the likes of Ted Forrest, Greg Raymer, Justin Bonomo, Alec Torelli, and former Poker Savvy pro Isaac Haxton, who finished second to eventual winner Vitaly Lunkin.

Congratulations Dani!

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Sunday, May 31, 2009

Even Good Players Suck at Satellites

There were 61 players remaining in a Poker Stars $650 satellite, and 51 seats to be won. We were already at the point where we'd be getting our buyins back. I was in like 49th or so place with 25K chips at 1250/2500 and had a nice spot for stealing. On my right were a far too tight short stack and a guy with a huge stack who was just folding virtually everything. On my left were two stacks about equal to my own, and the guy two to my left was someone I knew to be a successful tournament player. Action folds to me on the button, I shove J9s, "decent" tourney player calls me with AT and wins the flip.

He had me covered, but barely, so it was very near to being a flip for his life. Even if he puts me on any two, which isn't correct but not an unreasonable assumption, he's only a 68-32 favorite. As a good player at this stage of the tournament, he's probably got at least a 70% chance of winning a seat if he folds this hand, and of course busting me doesn't guarantee him a seat anyway.

Thinking about this river play cheers me up a little though:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($4931.50)
Button ($8070)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, Q
Button bets $60, Hero raises to $222, Button calls $162

Flop: ($444) Q, J, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $240, Hero calls $240

Turn: ($924) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

River: ($924) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $420, Hero raises to $1444, Button calls $1024

Total pot: $3812 | Rake: $0.50

Results:
Button had 10, J (two pair, Jacks and fours).
Hero had A, Q (two pair, Queens and fours).
Outcome: Hero won $3811.50

This is a pretty optimistic value bet on his part on the river, though I actually don't mind calling the check-raise. There's actually an outside chance he was betting to induce a check-raise, which I would like far better than value betting (funny how the same play can be good or bad depending on the reasoning), but I doubt that's a play in his arsenal.

Anyway, for me, leading out on the river looks really strong. Not like "set or better" strong, but definitely like a value bet. I think checking is the only option for me, and between his turn check and his small bet sizing, I'm comfortable saying my hand is good 90% of the time here.

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Friday, May 29, 2009

Congratulations Todd!

Big congratulations to my friend and former student Todd, who just won a $12K WSOP package in a Poker Stars $10 rebuy satellite. Just days after completing my inaugural group seminar, he effectively quadrupled his bankroll. Naturally I take full credit.

In all seriousness, though, Todd's a bright, hungry player, and he definitely had a big score coming to him.

It's been a big month for my former students, with Diego also winning a WSOP package and final tabling the FTOPS main event. I wish I could play so good. I guess those that can, do...

By the way, I've just wrapped the first group seminar, which went very well, and I only have one individual student at the moment. So if you're interested in coaching, this is a good time for me to pick up a few new students.

Cost for individual lessons is $250/hour. I probably won't run another group seminar until after the WSOP, but when I do, cost will likely be $100/student/hour. I generally aim to work with students for 5-10 hours over the course of a few weeks, and the lessons are designed to run very efficiently. There's a lot of content packed into every session, ensuring you a ton of value for your money.

I'd say my target audience is cash game players currently playing smaller stakes (50NL-400NL) who want to transition into bigger games. I can help you think about your game in a new way, identify leaks, and deal with the tough spots with which the more difficult opponents at higher stakes will surely confront you.

Hit me up at foucault82 (at) yahoo (dot) com if you're interested. Tell me a little about yourself, what you currently play, and what your goals are. Of course I'm happy to answer any questions as well.

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Saturday, May 16, 2009

1K WSOP Satellite

Played the 1K WSOP satellite on Stars tonight. There were 21 runners, meaning 2 seats and a lot of cash paid out. I came into the final table in second place, and had the lead by the time we got down to 5. I was running roughshod over everyone, and with four left I had as many chips as the other three combined. I definitely felt I was the strongest of the remaining players, but there were two other guys (none of whom I recognized) who seemed to get satellite strategy pretty well and one guy who was awful. One of the good players busted the other, so we got down to 3-handed with me and the other good player in a substantial lead.

At some point the fish doubled through him, which wasn't ideal (I'd prefer the fish to bust and lock up my seat) but certainly an improvement. I took a shot at busting the now-short good player, but it didn't end well:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1000+$50 Tournament, 400/800 Blinds 100 Ante (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) (t36843)
SB (t39582)
BB (t16575)

Hero's M: 24.56

Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, 10
Hero bets t1600, SB calls t1200, BB raises to t16475 (All-In), Hero raises to t31350, 1 fold

Flop: (t34850) 9, K, J (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t34850) 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t34850) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t34850

Results:
Hero had 10, 10 (one pair, tens).
BB had J, K (two pair, Kings and Jacks).
Outcome: BB won t3485


I'm not 100% sure about this call. My range for raising the button here is like top 85%, and the fish is calling way wider than he should. I doubt he ever has a hand that calls a shove. If I am BB I am shoving any two here, and while he may not be quite that wide, he'd certainly shown a willingness to take advantage of good resteal spots before.

Then again, it sucks to gamble with the chiplead when three seats pay. But fishy as SB was, he was smart enough not to play a lot of big pots. It wasn't as though I was going to sit back and watch the two of them automatically butt heads. I wouldn't have called for all my chips, but since the worst case scenario is just that I have to hack it out, I went for it.

I did indeed manage to steal and then eventually double my way back into the chiplead, thanks to some godawful play from fishy:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1000+$50 Tournament, 400/800 Blinds 100 Ante (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) (t26068)
Button (t33182)
SB (t33750)

Hero's M: 17.38

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, A
Button bets t1600, 1 fold, Hero calls t800

Flop: (t3900) 10, 10, 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t1600, Hero raises to t3200, Button calls t1600

Turn: (t10300) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets t5555, Button calls t5555

River: (t21410) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets t11111, Button raises to t22222, Hero calls t4502 (All-In)

Total pot: t52636

Results:
Button had 7, 5 (full house, fives over tens).
Hero had 10, A (full house, tens over fives).
Outcome: Hero won t52636


Obviously I played this in a pretty non-standard way. Basically he had zero hand-reading skill and didn't like to fold. So I didn't worry about what I was representing but just tried to lay him the price that I felt would make me the most overall. On the river, I was still putting him on something less than a monster and figured he would be far more inclined to call less than all in than to call all in. Shockingly, he did the work for me with a low full house. I was also assuming that he'd be crippled whether I got the maximum or not, but that proved not to be true:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1000+$50 Tournament, 400/800 Blinds 100 Ante (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) (t53636)
SB (t6214)
BB (t33150)

Hero's M: 35.76

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, A
Hero bets t1600, SB raises to t6114 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero calls t4514

Flop: (t13328) J, Q, K (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t13328) 8 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t13328) 6 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t13328

Results:
Hero had Q, A (one pair, Queens).
SB had K, 10 (one pair, Kings).
Outcome: SB won t13328


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1000+$50 Tournament, 400/800 Blinds 100 Ante (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t48022)
BB (t13228)
Button (t31750)

Hero's M: 32.01

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, J
Button bets t2200, Hero calls t1800, BB calls t1400

Flop: (t6900) A, 4, 2 (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, Button bets t3200, Hero calls t3200, BB calls t3200

Turn: (t16500) 8 (3 players)
Hero bets t2222, BB calls t2222, 1 fold

River: (t20944) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets t40300 (All-In), BB calls t5506 (All-In)

Total pot: t31956

Results:
Hero had A, J (two pair, Aces and eights).
BB had 10, 9 (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: BB won t31956


On the turn I'm hoping to get it in with the fishy short stack and get the big stack out from behind me. On the river, I'm pretty sure he hit the flush, but at this point I don't think check-folding is an option, so value betting is best. Sucks, but what are you gonna do?


Finally, I had to take yet another coin flip against the good player:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1000+$50 Tournament, 600/1200 Blinds 150 Ante (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t25662)
BB (t30274)
Button (t37064)

Hero's M: 11.41

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, 9
Button bets t3000, Hero raises to t25512 (All-In), 1 fold, Button calls t22512

Flop: (t52674) 10, 10, K (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t52674) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t52674) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t52674

Results:
Button had K, A (two pair, Kings and tens).
Hero had 9, 9 (two pair, tens and nines).
Outcome: Button won t52674


Aaaaaaaaaaaaaand I snatched a bubble from the jaws of victory. :-(

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Thursday, May 14, 2009

Gross Spot Vs. Peter Eastgate

Yesterday, PeteEastgate was sitting at something like 8 25/50 tables on Stars. After confirming that this was the actual 2009 WSOP Champion and not some clever shark impersonating a tourney donk, I hopped on a few of the tables to try my luck. It was indeed trying:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($5122)
BB ($7944)
UTG ($5223)
MP ($15570)
CO ($5000)
Hero (Button) ($5824)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 4, 4
1 fold, MP bets $150, 1 fold, Hero calls $150, 2 folds

Flop: ($375) 2, 9, 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($375) 9 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $222, MP raises to $850, Hero calls $628

River: ($2075) 4 (2 players)
MP bets $14570 (All-In), Hero calls $4824 (All-In)

Total pot: $11723 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero mucked 4, 4 (four of a kind, fours).
MP had 9, 9 (four of a kind, nines).
Outcome: MP won $11720


I've made four or five royal flushes in my lifetime, but I'm pretty sure this is the first time I've been on either end of quads vs. quads. The worst part is that it's actually pretty tough to put him on anything but better quads given the way he played it. Not that I'm about to lose sleep over paying off with quads, but still.

It was even more frustrating coming on the heels of this, which was not against Eastgate:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($13257)
MP ($15487)
CO ($5000)
Button ($8292)
Hero (SB) ($5000)
BB ($6147)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 10, 10
UTG bets $150, MP calls $150, 1 fold, Button calls $150, Hero raises to $750, 1 fold, UTG calls $600, MP calls $600, Button calls $600

Flop: ($3050) 10, Q, 6 (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $1725, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4250 (All-In), 1 fold, MP calls $2525

Turn: ($11550) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($11550) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $11550 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had 10, 10 (three of a kind, tens).
MP had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
Outcome: MP won $11547


Well, this was not exactly not against Eastgate. He was the initial raiser, but not the guy who cold decked me. I'm actually a little surprised that the QQ didn't re-squeeze pre-flop. I'm pretty sure I would have stacked off anyway, and his hand's going to be a bitch to play in a multiway pot post-flop. Unless he flops set over set, of course.

Anyway, from what I could tell Eastgate was pretty solid. While I'm not yet convinced that he's 25/50 material, he had respectable stacks on nearly every table he was on, and he certainly wasn't enough of a mark to justify my continuing to sit frustrated against other very good players.

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Saturday, October 4, 2008

WSOP Trip Report Conclusion

The finale of my trip report from the 2008 WSOP is now appearing in the October issue of 2+2 Internet Magazine. I must say, getting down to the final tables of this huge tournament is a pretty thrilling experience, at once exciting and surreal:

"On Day 6 of the main event, the Amazon Room was empty. Nine tables were collected in one corner of the immense room, 80% of which was utterly vacant. A single cocktail waiter patrolled between tables. Floor staff and press chatted idly as they waited for something to happen. Tensile cord stretched an oval around the 79 remaining players, so that every table was on the perimeter and observers could easily watch any of them."

If you haven't read them already, you should probably start with Part 1 and Part 2.

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Friday, October 3, 2008

September

Despite a pretty rough WCOOP (or maybe because of- it did compel me to put in a lot of hours), September was a solid month. Even after some of those long sessions, though, I barely averaged twenty hours a week. I just don't think I'm going to hit my goal of averaging 25 hours per week. Thanks to the WSOP, though, I've already hit my monetary goal for the year, so I guess that's alright. then again, I crossed that line back in July as well but ended up sliding pretty substantially back under it and only recently dug myself back out. Nothing's guaranteed, of course, but I'm feeling pretty good at the moment.

I played about 28K hands of NLHE ring games online, and despite losing money at the highest stakes I was playing (10/20), I was at 8 BB/100 for the month, so no complaints there.

There are no major tournament series coming up this month, and I'm starting to have less responsbility with the BDL, so hopefully this will be a good opportunity to grind some higher stakes cash games. I've pretty much obtained my goal of becoming a winning regular at 10/20, so with a little work, I think I can definitely be there by the end of the year.

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Tuesday, September 30, 2008

ESPN Tonight

ESPN tells me that I'm scheduled to be on one of tonight's broadcasts, though they've been wrong about that before. My best guess is that it will be the 8PM eastern one, which focuses on Day 3, as that was when I rivered a two outer on the bubble that cost some poor bloke $22K. If I am on, I'll try to post a YouTube clip here as soon as I can find one.

I was impressed, by the way, with the producer who called me. He asked for my online screenname, and when I told him Foucault, he said, "Oh, like the philosopher?" It's not a reference that a lot of people in the poker world get, and arrogant ivory tower denizen that I am, I didn't expect an ESPN producer to be on the short list.

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Monday, September 1, 2008

WSOP Trip Report Days 3 and 4

My latest poker article, a strategy-filled narrative from my third and fourth days at the World Series of Poker Main Event, is now appearing in the September Issue of 2+2 Internet Magazine. Here's an excerpt from early on Day 4:

At this point, I was rolling along with a very nice stack, and there were just a few hundred competitors left in the tournament. My girlfriend was about to fly out to Las Vegas to support me. She had just passed through security when it happened.

I raised to 15K first to act with K-J of clubs and got called by a grizzled man who looked to be in his late 50’s or early 60’s. The flop came A-Q-6 with two clubs, giving me a flush draw and a one-card straight draw. Even without all my draws, this is a good flop to bet at, because as the pre-flop raiser, I am more likely to hold an Ace than my opponent who just called a raise. I bet out 35K, and he raised to 75K. I moved all in, and he called with Ace-Queen for top two pair. None of my draws got there, and just like that I was crippled, down to about 150K.

“Nice hand,” I muttered as I pushed my chips to the winner. His withered old man jaws stopped smacking on a wad of gum long enough to thank me.

I stepped away from the table to cool my head and call my girlfriend. I told her what had happened.

“We’re going to be boarding in twenty minutes,” she advised me.

“I’m not sure what to tell you. I have no way of knowing how long I’ll last. It’s going to be touch or go until I either get some more chips or get knocked out.”

If you'd prefer a more visual summary of the tournament, check out Poker Savvy Plus, where I'm working on a series of videos covering these and other hands I played in the 2008 Main Event.

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Saturday, August 2, 2008

WSOP: The First Two Days

I'm going to be publishing my trip report from my 35th place finish at the 2008 World Series of Poker Main Event in three installments in the Two Plus Two Internet Magazine. The first installment, covering Days 1 and 2, has just been published in the August issue.

You can read trip reports from other events, including the 2006 and 2007 WSOP, in their entirety on my website.

Oh and for those of you who have been getting e-mails from me, there is some additional information in this version of the trip report, though not a lot.

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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Dallas SWAT Raids Poker Game

This incident occurred a while ago, but I just came across this first-hand account from a hired chef who was not playing in the game posted on The Agitator:

The raid occurred around 7:40 p.m. I was in the kitchen area which was just inside the front door when suddenly there was loud banging from the door. Within seconds, the room was full of Dallas SWAT officers yelling for everyone to put their hands in the air. Behind the Dallas SWAT team came many more law enforcement officers and several camera crews for the A&E reality show, Dallas SWAT. The camera crew’s chests were clearly marked as “A&E Film Crew.”

Bear in mind that, prior to police entering, the place was virtually quiet. There was the sound of poker chips in the air, but not much else. The players were essentially professionals and working stiffs having fun…there were doctors, lawyers, accountants, and other professionals. There was hardly anything “dangerous” about the place at all. In fact, the cops found no weapons in the facility or on anyone there. The show of force and weaponry brought by the cops was simply outrageous and unjustified, given the circumstances, but, then again, are they enforcing the law or making a TV show?

Among other things, I think this is an interesting comparison with the way decisions made by Harrah's and the hosts of World Poker Tour events are driven by camera crews and the needs of the networks that broadcast poker.

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Tuesday, July 22, 2008

WSOP 2008 Trip Report

Thanks to everyone who's asked about these, and especially to Nick from London who prompted me to make this post I've been meaning to make. I'm really flattered that you all are so eager to read a trip report from the WSOP. I'm going to be publishing the trip report, probably in three parts, in lieu of my usual strategy articles for 2+2 Internet Magazine. Of course there will still be strategy content, but I hope also to maintain some of the "flavor" of my reporting from earlier WSOPs. The first installment, covering days 1 and 2, should be appearing August 1st- I'll post the link when it's published. If you haven't already, may I suggest reading my reports from the 2006 WSOP and 2007 WSOP in the meantime?

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Thursday, July 17, 2008

Brags

I'll lead off with the big one. My girlfriend pointed out to me that although a few people posted it as a comment, I hadn't actually made a post that included my finish at the World Series of Poker. Out of 6,844 players, I finished 35th and won $193,000. How sexy is this?


The check is for $191,000 because I left a $2000 tip for the dealers. That might seem like a lot, but 1% is pretty standard, and remember that you only tip when you cash, so in some sense the 10% who make the money are tipping for the 90% who did not as well as for themselves. It's kind of a screwy system, but that's how it works.

The other big news, which would have been the lead item any other week, is that as of August 4th I will no longer be the director of the Boston Debate League. The League is getting larger, serving more students and schools, and partnering with the central administration of the Boston Public Schools. Running it is turning into a full time job for which I have neither the time nor the inclination.

We're very fortunate that the chairman of our Board is also the founder and managing partner of Isaacson, Miller, an international executive search firm for nonprofits. Ordinarily they work with big organizations like museums and universities, but one of their associates, who is also a Board member, helped us conduct a nationwide search for a director. We hired a great candidate who is frankly more qualified than I thought we were going to find. I'll still be working with the League, having a paid, full time employee is going to make a world of difference for us.

July's been an exciting month. I went from being way behind pace for hitting my yearly goal for poker income to being just a hair's breath away. I probably won't end up meeting my goal for hours played since I won't feel like forcing myself to put in hours when I don't feel like playing. On the plus side, I probably will play more non-hold 'em games, and I may even hire a PLO coach.

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Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Shameless Self-Promotion

Frankly, I didn't do a very good job of courting/attracting media attention despite my deep run in the WSOP. But here are a few links to coverage of my play:

Interview with Poker Stars

O By the Way Blog 1

O By the Way Blog 2

PokerNews Photos

Poker Savvy/Cardplayer Round Table

And honorable mention goes to the Hendon Mob, who reported that:

"Only five players -- Andrew Brokos, Pat Dattilo, Marc Friedman, Vinod Jadav, and Stefan Mattsson -- cashed in both the 2006 and 2007 Main Events. All were going for their third consecutive cash this year. However, only one player survived (and is guaranteed to cash). He is Stefan Mattsson, from Stockholm, Sweden – currently in 308th place)."

Really, 308th place? Sick run, Stefan. I'm really surprised there were only five of us who cashed in '06 and '07.

Also according to Hendon Mob, the record for consecutive cashes is held by Bo Sehlstedt, who cashed in 2004-2007 but failed to cash this year. C'mon, Stefan, we can take him.

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Sunday, July 13, 2008

Day 6 Table

Seat 1: Craig Stein – 440,000
Seat 2: Niklas Flisberg – 1,264,000
Seat 3: Mark Wilds – 485,000
Seat 4: Andrew Brokos – 4,444,000
Seat 6: Lisa Parsons – 581,000
Seat 7: Peter Neff – 1,275,000
Seat 8: Darus Suharto – 1,057,000
Seat 9: Owen Crowe – 1,050,000

Owen Crowe is Ocrowe online, he actually busted me out the final table of a $1000 WSOP satellite on Stars a few months ago. Definitely a strong player. I don't anything about the others, but I'm happy with their chip counts: big enough to be worth stacking, but not so big that any of them can cripple me. Seems like a favorable draw.

Thanks for all the comments. Don't worry about that "not reporting" thing, for some reason the dealer took a copy of my paperwork before I wrote in my chip count, not a big deal.

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Day 5 Recap

Thanks for all the support guys. Today was ridiculous, such a tough table for most of the day, fought tooth and nail to get up to 2 mil then got moved to softer table and picked up quick 2 mil. Alex is an amazing player, had some awful luck today and kept coming back. Even on my right he was ridiculously tough to play against. He deserved to finish higher, but for selfish reasons, not sorry to see him go. Roothlus and Gbecks on my left, also very solid of course. Raptor got moved to table at end of day, but then I was moved not long after. Gah I feel like I've been dangling by the seat of my pants for four days now.

Sorry I don't have a pic with chips stacked up, but believe me that bag was heavy as hell and weighted down with beautiful green chips worth 25K each. I look forward to ripping it open and stacking it all up tomorrow while the rest of my table drools with jealousy.

Here's a wild hand: Alex on my right is super LAG, has been opening like 30% of pots. I've 3-bet a couple of times, recently he called OOP with 87s, check-raise bluffed a K-high flop, and showed when I folded. He told me to stop 3-betting him. I did.

Few orbits later, blinds 10K/20K/3K, he opens to 55K UTG+1, I call, tight player in HJ raises to 200K, Alex calls, I shove for 1 million, tight guy tanks and folds K's face up. Alex folds and tells me he had AK. Deliberately not revealing my hand here, but what do you think of their folds?

Another one, late in the day, I have 3M. Fat middle-aged guy from GA with like 1.5M opens to 80K at 12/24/3, I flat with AKo, everyone else folds. Flop Q44 he bets 125K I call. Turn A he bets 300K I call. River blank he bets 500K I tank. He doesn't seem like the type to triple barrel bluff, and I can't imagine I beat anything he's value betting. I'm afraid he has AQ. I tank some more and try to talk to him.

"Aren't you afraid I have a 4? Did that cross your mind?" No response.

"I wish I knew more about you sir. All I know is you are from Georgia." No response.

Finally I call, he tables KQ. I show AK, and he mucks angrily and asks, "How do you call the flop when I fire?"

I ignore him.

"You call with nothing on the flop?" he asks again.

"Sorry sir, but you wouldn't answer any of my questions," I tell him as I stack his chips.

I'm second overall, with 79 remaining. $77,000 locked up.

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Saturday, July 12, 2008

Day 5 Table

Seat 1: Garrett Beckman – 515,000
Seat 2: Allen Carter – 413,000
Seat 3: Brad Johnson – 237,000
Seat 4: Reagan Silber – 671,000
Seat 5: Brent Sheirbon – 919,000
Seat 6: Pontus Khosravi – 629,000
Seat 7: Alexander Kostritsyn – 1,137,000
Seat 8: Andrew Brokos – 678,000
Seat 9: Anthony Clark – 397,000

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Friday, July 11, 2008

Day 4

I'm listed as Andrew Brooks on Poker News, finished the day with 566,500. That's down a fair bit from my peak of 750K but a hell of a lot better than the 65K I started with. I finished level 1 still at 65K, then won a flip for my life against Brandon Adams AK >JJ. After that I won two more big pots against Brandon when he bluffed into my top pair and another with top pair against another really aggressive guy on Brandon's right. I 4-bet AA pre-flop against the same dude, maybe not the best way to play it, but got a decent pot regardless. Then I busted one guy QQ > TT, then busted Mike Mercedes (whom I later learned was MikeyMer- we dropped the ball on that one, research team) with shoving Q9 over his check-raise on a 984 flop to bust his A8. That was all during level 2.


After that I mostly just played good until the bubble, then dropped a brutal beat on some poor bastard named Mitch. We were hand for hand with 668 players left, I raised to 9K (at 1500/3000/400) UTG with 87s because this shorter stack was in the BB. He called, and we saw a Q87 flop. He lead out, I shoved, he called and flipped 77. I'm a sonofabitch and rivered an 8 to bubble him.

Last level I dropped nearly 200K, but I don't think I did anything spewy. Just raised decent hands pre-flop and either missed flops or folded to 3-bets or called 3-bets in good spots but missed flop. No regrets, and still in good shape for today.

We don't start until 1:00, but I'm going for breakfast now. Here's my table draw, looks favorable at first glance, though I haven't googled anyone yet. I'll be doing some research of my own after breakfast, but anything you want to e-mail to me would be greatly appreciated.


245 Huyen Vo Houston Texas 224000 O22 1

174 Graddus Terwiss Cha Van 0 DNR 318000 O22 2

299 Randy Benton Rolla Missouri 176000 O22 3

89 Hai Bo Chu Melbourne Australia 453500 O22 4

18 James Mills Downey California 757000 O22 6 (2_2)

467 Aleksandar Rasic Troy New York 35000 O22 7

255 Cedric Kolstad Mesa Arizona 217000 O22 8

50 Andrew Brokos 566,500 9

Thank to everyone who's been leaving comments as well. It's great to know people are cheering for me, and I'm flattered to have fans I didn't even know existed!

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Thursday, July 10, 2008

Day 3 Preview

Here's my Day 3 lineup. I've never played with Brandon Adams, but from what I've heard, he's very good. I played with Liv last night, she tells me she's a professional, but I didn't think she was especially tough. Very nice, though, and achingly beautiful. I can't say I mind having her at the table one bit. Benvenuti is apparently a pretty successful internet tournament player, though with his current chip stack he won't be a big threat. Peter Hedlund and Michael Meredith have played several big tournaments around the world this year, but hasn't done anything significant in any of them.

Brandon Adams 353,600 O04 01
Mirza Nagji 109,200 O04 02
Irvin Hoffman 31,000 O04 03
Michael Benvenuti 21,400 O04 04
Dominic Prunko 86,500 O04 05
Andrew Brokos 65,100 O04 06
Peter Hedlund 61,300 O04 07
Liv Boeree 36,000 O04 08
Michael Meredith 83,000 O04 09

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Going to Day 3

Wow crazy today. Climbed steadily to 145K by dinner, got 100K in drawing dead, pulled out AK > JJ for a 90K coin flip, sucked out 6c 3c > AQ on a Qc 4c 4x flop (running straight, baby!), won 12K 22 > AK to get up to 180K, then got rivered for 20K, made some bluffs and a bad call, didn't adapt well to my image and kept getting re-raised, finally ended day with 65K. Average is probably like 100K, blinds going to be 800/1600/200. So I'm not in great shape, but very much in the fight.

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Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Day 2B

The numbers are in, and 6,844 players entered the 2008 World Series of Poker Main Event. Fewer than half survived Day 1, and only about 1/3 of those will survive Day 2. Hopefully I will be among them.

I've done some research to learn my Day 2 seating assignment along with the players and chip stacks against whom I'll be competing. Here's the table:

George Price 35,700
James Viglizzo 10,900
Bernd Hirschberg 32,750
Thomas Wayne 11,125
Andrew Brokos 67,125
Drew Matheson 64,925
Steve Wong 43,350
Duane Woolsey 44,850
J McLane 16,525

There's a lot of good news here. I've got the most chips of anyone and far more than most. Google wasn't able to turn up much on most of these players, suggesting that they are probably amateurs with limited poker knowledge/experience.

The bad news is that the players who are 2nd, 3rd, and 4th in chips are all lined up on my left. This means I will have to act before them in most pots, putting me at a distinct disadvantage against them. There are also not that many chips at our table. While that means there are fewer threats to my survival, there are also fewer chips for me to win. There's no prize for surviving Day 2, and if I do survive, I'm going to need every chip I can get for future days.

The only recognizable player here is Steve Wong. Steve is a professional originally from Hoofdorp, outside of Amsterdam. He was a very successful tournament player online and has now had a lot of live success as well. There's an interview with him on Youtube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7F9YV6vC6cM.

Be sure to check out the comments to this post throughout the day, as I'm going to ask a few friends to post comments with update chip counts and maybe some key hands as well.

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Tuesday, July 8, 2008

Quite the Upgrade

Even though I eventually won a WSOP seat through Stars, they were out of hotel rooms at the Palms, so my only option was to take $1000 in exchange for their sponsorship. Cheapskate that I am, I spent my first few nights at the Imperial Palace. The room was nothing special, but it was better than I expected. It even had a little balcony with a decent view of Caesar's and Bellagio:


Having survived Day 1, I decided to treat myself on subsequent days. I booked a suite at the Rio, which was remarkably cheap (I'm paying barely more than I did at AP), and is way bigger and more badass:


It has a slightly better view as well:

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Monday, July 7, 2008

My First Day in Vegas

I came out to Vegas a few days early to get into the swing of things, to see some friends with whom I play and talk poker regularly online but rarely see in real life, and to take care of some business. This will be my third time playing in the main event, and it amazes me how much has changed since I first came to Las Vegas two years ago. In 2006, I was a nervous kid who knew no one, was known by no one, and was in awe of every famous player I'd seen on TV.

I can't claim to be a poker celebrity, but yesterday I got a taste of what that would be like. After waking early, going for a swim, having breakfast, and putting in some non-poker work at my computer, I made my first trip to the Rio. I wasn't going to play but to meet up with Bill Ordine, a reporter from my hometown paper, the Baltimore Sun, who is working on an article on poker and philanthropy. He'd already interviewed Barry Greenstein, who's known as “the Robin Hood of Poker” for donating over a million dollars in tournament winnings to a children's charity, and Annie Duke, who organized a $5000 buy-in charity tournament called Ante Up for Africa to coincide with the WSOP.

My own story is a little different. I've donated only a little more than 5% of my poker winnings to the non-profit organization that I founded, the Boston Debate League (BDL). My real contribution is all of the time and work that I put into it. Poker is what enables me to do that. I average 20-25 hours of work per week for each, and I make enough playing poker that I can afford to put that kind of time into the BDL.

It's great that Bill is doing this article, because poker sometimes gets a bad rap among the general public. People tend to believe, not entirely without reason, that poker encourages a cut-throat, every-man-for-himself mindset and that it rewards lying, treachery, and deceit. Hopefully an article in a major newspaper that focuses on the good that poker enables people to do will help to clean up that image.

Poker hasn't just given me the financial freedom to do “good work”. It's also taught me valuable skills that a liberal arts education did not. To paraphrase Ms. Duke, poker isn't fundamentally a game of lying, it's a game of pricing and negotiation. I do feel it's given me some business sense that has proven useful in meetings with foundations, prospective donors, the Boston Public Schools, and other individuals and institutions with which the BDL works.

Largely, the interaction between my poker “work” and my urban debate work has been a one-way street. That is, poker gave me the skills and financial freedom to grow the Boston Debate League, but the latter didn't do much for my poker game, except maybe making me feel less of a leech on society by gambling for a living.

Recently, however, that's started to change. In addition to playing, I now make money by coaching poker as well. Sometimes this is with individual students who pay me by the hour, but I also work for a video training site called Poker Savvy Plus. They pay me to record videos of myself playing or talking about poker and then offer these videos on a subscription basis to people who want to improve their game. My experience teaching debate and working with professional teachers has definitely made me a more successful and popular poker coach.

Yesterday, I got to meet my co-workers at Poker Savvy for the first time (in most cases- there were a few I already knew). But first, I had about an hour to kill between my interview with Bill and my meet-up with Poker Savvy. So, I headed down to the Amazon Room, the convention center at the Rio Hotel & Casino where the WSOP is held. I was hoping I might see someone I knew, but the odds were slim. Actually, the odds were good that I'd see someone I knew but slim that I'd recognize them. Since I play poker almost exclusively online, I plenty of people by their screen names but have no clue what most of them look like.

As luck would have it, though, I was spotted by my friend Richard almost immediately. Richard goes by Shorty both because of his last name is and because he is immensely tall. He was just starting a 20-minute break from a tournament he was playing, so I accompanied him for a quick bite at the WSOP Poker Kitchen while he told me how things had been going for him so far in Las Vegas. Mostly he raved about how soft and juicy the side games were and asked what I was planning on playing.

I told him the truth, which is that I had exactly $10,000 in cash on me, which I needed to buy into the main event. My plan was to play $5/$10 or $10/$25 games, hope for the best, and then find a Bank of America (there are none on the Strip, so I'd have to take a cab there and back) to withdraw more if I didn't win. Shorty told me that he was leaving town that night and would be happy to lend me some cash since he wouldn't need it. We exchanged phone numbers so that we could meet up when he was finished playing that night, and then he got back to his tournament.

I wandered around for a bit longer and then headed up to the suite in the Rio that Cardplayer magazine had converted into a studio for the duration of the WSOP. This is where I'd be meeting everyone else from Poker Savvy to record a roundtable Q&A session where we discussed poker topics submitted by Cardplayer readers.

Since I arrived about fifteen minutes early, I had some time to hang out with the Cardplayer crew, including the main reporters/hosts for their internet content: Shawn Green and Lizzie Harrison. Those of you who follow the poker scene may know these two, and those of you who don't probably won't be surprised to learn that Lizzie is an attractive and buxom twenty-something. Her looks have earned her a bit of a cult following on internet poker forums, and I can assure you that she is at least twice as hot in real life. But she, Shawn, and the rest of the Cardplayer crew were also very down to earth and fun to shoot the breeze with.

After about twenty minutes, the other Poker Savvy people started to arrive: Justin “Jurollo” Rollo, Dani “Ansky” Stern, Isaac “Ike” Haxton, Chris “Tribefan” Rhodes, Tony “Bond18” Dunst, and some of the behind-the-scenes guys. We took our seats and waited for the star of the show, Mike “The Mouth” Matusow, to join us during his break from the Ante Up for Poker tournament.

For those who don't know, Mike is, to understate the matter, a character. Though he's had tremendous success as a poker player, winning multiple WSOP bracelets and several six-figure prizes, he's also lost a lot of money to compulsive gambling and spent some time in jail for possession of cocaine. He's called “The Mouth” because he talks non-stop at the table, often berating his opponents' play, singing his own praises, or just generally calling attention to himself.

Lately, he's made some impressive gains in getting himself together. In the last year, he's dropped over sixty pounds, motivated by a $100,000 prop bet to get from 241 lbs down to 179. Just recently, he won his third WSOP bracelet in the $5000 rebuy 2-7 single draw rebuy event.

So we are all sitting in front of the cameras and waiting for Mike when suddenly there is a loud thump on the door. Someone opens it, and The Mouth comes crashing into the suite like a stampeding rhinoceros. “You all wouldn't believe how f---ing fast I f---ing ran to get up here,” he pants, nostrils flared. “Let's do it! Let's go! Let's get this thing f---ing started!” he shouts, clapping his hands. He takes the last available seat, which is in the back.

I'm wondering if the most famous guy here shouldn't be seated more prominently, but it turns out not to matter, because Mike makes himself the center of attention no matter what. He fields the first question enthusiastically and then interrupts whomever is speaking when he decides he has something to add. When he isn't shouting over us, he is gesticulating wildly to the people off-camera that he has to go in a minute or that he would like a bottle of water. We pass it to him, and he consumes the entire thing in a single ten-second chug, then tosses it haphazardly aside.

I don't imagine that much strategy content slipped past Mike's antics, but the clip should at least be good for comedic value. It doesn't appear to be up on Cardplayer's website yet, but I'll let you know when it is.

After the taping, we went out for drinks sans Mike. Truthfully, an afternoon with a bunch of internet poker players is not generally something I'd look forward to. Most are brash, self-absorbed, whiny, and otherwise annoying. But I must say that to a person, my co-pros at Poker Savvy were a great bunch. They are all very successful at poker and have a lot to brag about, but they don't come across as stuck up or anything, and they have some good stories.

For the full-time professionals, the WSOP is a magical time of year. Groups of guys, from four to ten or more, rent palatial houses in Las Vegas and spend weeks playing poker and partying their asses off. I don't think any of the best stories were intended for public consumption, but you can probably imagine the sort of debauchery that a bunch of guys in their early twenties with way too much money can get up to in Las Vegas. I'm only a few years older than most of them, but that whole lifestyle has never really been my scene. There are times when I feel little pangs of regret and a sense that I could be living a seriously crazy life, but for the most part it doesn't appeal to me. I do love hearing the stories, though.

We left the bar around seven, and I got a ride back to the Rio. I'd had only one drink in anticipation of putting in some hours at the tables that night. As I was waiting for a seat to open up, I ran into Shorty again. He had just been eliminated from his tournament and was going to go pack his bags then bring me some cash before leaving for the airport.

About an hour later, I was seated in a tight but not particularly tough 10/25 game when I spotted Shorty wandering the cash game section. I stood up and waved to catch his attention, played one more hand, then walked away from the table for a minute to speak with him. “Here's $7500,” he greeted me, handing me a roll of $100 bills. I pocketed it as he shared some intel on players at my table whom he'd played with in the last few days, then I wished him a good flight and returned to my game.

This really underscores the value of reputation in the poker community. I've known Shorty for about three years online, but we've met only two or three times in real life. Yet, just as a favor, he's willing to lend me $7500 in cash on the understanding that I'll send him a check when I get back to Boston. It's just a reality of high stakes poker that people often need access to large sums of cash, and now to money on various online poker sites as well, and it's infinitely easier to manage the logistics of moving this money among friends than to deal with the hassle and expense of wire transfers, getting to an off-Strip bank, or withdrawing from an ATM.

Poker friends can also help you raise money by staking you in a juicy game that's beyond your bankroll. They reduce your risk by putting up some of the money you need. Then if you lose, they eat the loss, and if you win, they get a cut. In fact, I was up on the WSOP before I even got to Las Vegas as a result of buying 10% of a friend who has had a phenomenal run, making two final tables.

Of course there are scumbags who take advantage of people, borrow money they can't or won't pay back, and rip off their investors. But reputation spreads quickly, and these people can quickly be cut off from the world of poker financing. Because I have been an active and ethical member of the poker community for several years, I know many people who would lend me money in a pinch, stake me for nearly any tournament I wanted to play, or help me transfer funds between online poker sites. And there are plenty of people for whom I would do the same.

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Sunday, July 6, 2008

Still Alive

I finished my first day at the WSOP with 67,125. I think the average is like 40-50K, so I can't complain. But I was up over 100K with 30 minutes to go and got myself in a really bad spot. I raised K4s to 1100 UTG (tight table, end of the day, especially tight BB) and got called by the CO, who called me fairly often and had nearly 50K in chips.

Flop was Kc 4c 5s, I bet 2000, he called. Turn 2s, I bet 6000, he raised to 24,000 with about 12,000 behind. I had a bad feeling, but 55/44, a total of four combinations, was about the only thing I could plausibly put him on that beat me. I tried talking to him, and he seemed kind of confident but I didnt' feel like he wanted a call either. Eventually I stuck the rest in, and he called so reluctantly that I thought I was good. But he did have 55, and I did not hit my two outer. The more I think about it, the more I think this was a fold.

Oh well, still in good shape. I play again Wednesday. Need to sleep now, but I'll post more later.

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Friday, July 4, 2008

All I Said Was Wow

After working most of the morning, I got to the Rio about 4:30 and wandered through the Gaming Life Expo. It was pretty disappointing, way fewer scantily clad women than in past years. There were long lines to meet Chris Moneymaker and Doyle Brunson, but there was no wait for Dario Minieri or David Sklansky. I elected to meet no one.

I planned to get dinner in about an hour, and rather than spend half that time waiting for a cash table, I decided to play a $1K one table satellite, figuring that would take about an hour. Two and a half hours later, I busted in 4th. The blind levels seemed longer than last year, which ordinarily I'd be fine with, but this time I played specifically because I wanted it to be short.

Before we got started, a loud fat guy with a deep voice and unkempt facial and chest hair collected $300 from six of us for a last longer. Two of the six were the first two to bust, which was nice, and they both busted to non-participants.

A few seats to my left was a dude from Indianapolis who owned a business selling sports jerseys. He was talking about how bad the first guys to bust had played and how the pros back in Indiana had warned him there would be terrible play in Las Vegas. In these spots, I am always torn between commiserating because he's right or recognizing that in all likelihood he is also pretty bad.

A couple of hands later, a guy limps in with K2s, overcalls a raise, and ends up stacking KQ when he turns two pair. Indianapolis starts snickering and talking none too subtly about how bad it was to limp-call K2s.

"Oh man [chortle]. Wow. Wow, that is ridiculous. I mean [chuckle] gawd damn, K2s. That's crazy. Whoo. Well, buddy, at least you can get one of those shirts from the gift shop that says, 'But they were suited.' [pause] Wow."

I am glowering at him, and when I catch his eye, I shake my head disapprovingly.

"What?" he asks.

"Don't talk about people who are still at the table."

He laughs at me. "All I said was, 'Wow.'" I sighed and turned up my Ipod. Thankfully I got to bust him when he shoved KQ for 12x UTG and I woke up with AK in the BB. I also won a big flip with JJ > AK to come into a commanding chip lead with five players remaining.

The hairy fat guy was the only other one left in the last longer, and he started talking deal. "You want to each take back our $300?"

I shake my head no. I have more than twice as many chips as he does.

"OK, OK, you take 300, I take 200."

"Whatever. Fine." I shrug and let him have it. He's been going on and on about how he's a professional parimutuel gambler and he makes so much money playing dogs and blah blah blah but he is begging for $200. Whatever.

Then we get down to four-handed, I still have a nice lead, and he wants to talk deal in the tournament. I'm not even engaging him in conversation, just shaking my head no. There's an old Brit at the table who doesn't want it either, so Hairy Fat Fat and the K2 Fish bond over how ridiculous and cheap the Brit Nit and I are.

Blinds go up, some chips change hands, and now Brit Nit is short but the three of us have roughly the same. "Can we take back 1K each now?"

I shake my head.

"Come on, jesus. We have the same number of chips. Just, like, I mean, psychologically, I don't know, I don't like to leave with my tail between my legs. Come on, man. Just take your $1K back then you're playing for profit."

"He's too short," I say, pointing at the Brit.

"Come on, that's like $300 we're giving him. You're being stubborn over $300? OK, can we at least chop up the last longer?"

Jesus, will you shut up with your deals? This guy wasn't awful, but I was clearly better than he was, and I was pretty sure he wasn't going to play well when blinds were big either. I kept shaking my head, and the guy was getting angrier and angrier. "I'm going to enjoy busting you," he tells me. "I'm going to enjoy coming from behind to bust you."

Honestly, I think the retarded deals that people will make increase the EV of these satellites. But that only helps when you are on the good end of them. If you can get someone to let you take your buyin back when you are the short stack, or to chop it 50/50 heads up no matter how big a deficit you're in, that's awesome. But it's annoying as hell when these guys won't shut up about deals that hurt my equity.

Blinds jump from 400/800 to 600/1200, Brit Nit folds, and the other three of us all have 13-16K. K2 Fish open limps the button, which isn't garbage but is far from exclusively primo holdings. I look at Q2 in the SB and decide to shove for 13K. It was the first big move I'd made, having played extremely tight thus far. Unfortunately, Hairy woke up with AJ in the BB, agonized for a while, and called.

I was hoping he would brag or express shock that I had Q2 or something, but instead, the three of them instantly started talking deal. I think my shove is perfectly fine/good, just sucks that he woke up with AJ. I imagine he calls AT and probably folds A9. As for the fishy, I don't know what his calling standards were be, but I'm sure he folds often enough to make the shove profitable.

After dinner I played some 5/10 cash, since there wasn't a 10/25 going. It was a more aggressive table than my 10/25 had been, but I enjoyed that. The first big pot I won, there were two limps and some Asian kid who was constantly on his cell phone or eating or getting a massage or talking to his mom and never paying attention to the game casually tossed in $50. Some old dude called, and I made it $250 with Th9c in the CO. UTG smirked at me, said "Let's get this heads up," and made it $500. I was 99% sure he had AA. The others folded, and I obviously called, as I was getting better than 3:1 and there was nearly $2500 behind.

The flop was Kh 9h 5h, which I was happy to see. Even better, the dude asked how much I was playing then checked. I was happy to check it back. The turn brought another heart, and he bet $300. I called with the fourth nuts. The river was a blank, he checked, and I showed my Th to win the pot. He flipped his black Aces and sighed. I feel like I may actually have missed a small value bet here, since I was so sure he had AA and didn't think he would check the nuts on the river. People just hate to fold AA, especially live.

Anyway, the other big pot I won, there was a Mississippi straddle, and I made it $60 UTG with 43s. I think we were 8-handed at the time. The straddle and the SB calls. The flop comes Ts 4c 3s. SB checks, I bet $150, Button folds, SB calls. Turn pairs the 3, SB checks, and I think. I want to build the pot, but I'm not sure what he'll call with. I don't thin he's folding top pair to me on the turn for anything, but I'm not sure how often he has that, and I definitely don't want to blow him off of a flush draw. I opted for $250, which he called after some though.

The river brought a beautiful spade, and he led $400. Oh beautiful day. I thought for a minute and then shoved another $1400 or so. He tanked and leaned over to get a better look at me. I did my best to drop the occasional twitch or adjustment in my seat, but it probably wasn't even necessary. Live players don't fold flushes. He called, I flipped my boat, and he walked away from the table.

I finished up about $2000 in the cash game, $1000 on the night. The only disappointment was that I spent 20 minutes in line to register for the main event only to learn that they weren't letting people register for Day 1C or Day 1D. Apparently they are concerned about attendance tomorrow and are trying to force people to register for 1B. Well Christ did they not anticipate that this might be a problem with having the tournament during the 4th of July? I am calling their bluff and returning to register tomorrow after Day 1B has started. There's no way in hell they are closing registration for good, especially since they are reported to be below their target numbers already.

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Thursday, July 3, 2008

First Day in Vegas

My first day in Vegas was a blast. I'll get into more detail tomorrow, but basically I got to pretend I was a big shot for a day. I had an interview with a reporter doing a story on poker and philanthropy, then a taping for Cardplayer with the Poker Savvy folks, then out for drinks with them (just one beer for me because I'm getting over a cold and wanted to play later), then 10/25 NL at the Rio with $7500 on the table. I'll get into more detail on the other stuff tomorrow, but here are two quick hands from the cash game. It was a pretty tight/boring but not very tough table.

The first one, I opened for $100 with AJo in the CO, and both blinds called. The flop came Jd 7d 4d, and unfortunately, I did not have the Ad. They checked to me, I bet $200, and the SB called. I hadn't been in the table long, but I'd already seen him make one very loose call for a pretty big bet on the turn. He checked a 4c on the turn, I bet $500, and moved all in for $1600 total. I hadn't realized he was that short, and while I didn't feel great about my hand, I felt priced in. It was definitely borderline, though- I would have folded KJ. He flipped 77 and I was drawing to 2 outs, which I didn't hit. Kind of a cooler, though I don't think stacking off was mandatory. Maybe a smaller turn bet and folding to a raise would have been better.

The next one, I opened to $100 with 97s in MP3, the SB called, and the BB, a Finn who was new to the table, made it $410. He covered me, and I had well over $5000, so I called, again not realizing how short the other player in the pot was. The BTN shoved for $675 total, and thankfully the Finn just called, so I called as well. I was pretty shocked the Finn didn't reraise there, because it was pretty obvious I didn't have a monster. The flop came J98, he checked, and I opted to check behind. Scandinavians are known to be aggressive in weird spots, so I wanted to see what developed. The turn brought 5, giving me a double bellybuster. He checked again, so I bet $1100, and he folded. The river 6 gave me a straight and won me the pot to put me pretty much even on the night.

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Thursday, June 26, 2008

Can't Win 'Em All

I was having trouble getting the ESPN360 feed to work. I finally got it streaming just in time to hear, "There are eight players left, Tom Chambers has busted out." Whoops. I don't know the full story, but apparently he got all in with top set and lost to a rivered flush. 20K's nothing to sneeze at, though. Nice run, Tom.

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Tom Chambers Scores Another WSOP Final Table

My buddy Tom (LearnedFromTV), who's already been tearing up the 2008 WSOP with a second place finish for $140K in the $2500 Stud/8-O/8 Mixed event and a shallow cash in the $1000 Razz, has made his second final table of the series, this time in the $1500 PLO/8. Once again, I'm very excited for Tom and for myself, the proud owner of 10% of Tom's winnings. It's nice to be freerolling the WSOP before I've even arrived in Las Vegas.

The Final Table:

Martin Klaser: 345,000
Erik Seidel: 320,000
Michael Fetter: 290,000
Tom Chambers: 283,000
Jonathan Maren: 210,000
Casey Kastle: 170,000
Larry Wright: 150,000
Joseph Haddad: 135,000
Chad Burum: 120,000

Average Stack: 216,000

Payouts

1 $216,219

2 $137,985
3 $83,538
4 $68,304
5 $56,019
6 $44,206
7 $34,389
8 $27,027
9 $19,656

This is going to be broadcast live ("with no hole cards and horrible commentary", Tom warns) on ESPN360 at 2PM Vegas time today. I've got a ton of work to do before leaving town tomorrow, but I'll probably have this on in the background anyway.

One Two times, dealer!

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Monday, June 23, 2008

WSOP Here I Come!

After spending more than enough money to buy in directly, I finally won a freaking main event seat in one of the last $650 satellites Stars will be running. Counting the spending money and sponsorship deal that comes with the package, I think that I ended up breaking even on satellites almost to the dollar.

It wasn't a particularly interesting tournament, but I did make one tight fold fairly early on. I raised QQ UTG, and the BB min-re-raised me. I didn't have quite the right odds to chase a set, but I called anyway and then folded when he bet half his stack on a ragged flop. Obviously I'm not 100% sure I was beat, and the guy did turn out to be a pretty aggressive player, but I still have my doubts about just how wide his range is for min-re-raising an UTG raise.

I also found myself folding both AK and KK preflop much later in the tournament, but those were actually trivially easy situations. In both cases I had a safe stack, we were one player away from the bubble, and there was a massive chipleader open shoving every hand. There was just no reason to get involved, even with AA.

Speaking of which, here was an interesting spot that I saw at another table on the bubble:

Poker Stars, $615 + $35 NL Hold'em Tournament, 3,500/7,000 Blinds, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: 42,162
UTG+1: 52,824
UTG+2: 56,370
MP1: 88,111
MP2: 84,791
CO: 12,672
BTN: 169,828
SB: 18,412
BB: 59,926

Pre-Flop: (16,800)
5 folds, CO raises to 11,972 and is All-In, BTN calls 11,972, SB folds, BB calls 4,972

Flop: (45,716) T 8 8 (3 Players - 1 is All-In)
BB checks, BTN checks

Turn: (45,716) 6 (3 Players - 1 is All-In)
BB checks, BTN checks

River: (45,716) T (3 Players - 1 is All-In)
BB checks, BTN checks

Results: 45,716 Pot
CO showed A A (two pair, Aces and Tens) and WON 22,858 (+10,186 NET)
BTN mucked and LOST (-12,672 NET)
BB showed A A (two pair, Aces and Tens) and WON 22,858 (+10,186 NET)


It's to the BB's credit that he played this correctly. I think a lot of people would have reshoved with AA there, but he's much better guaranteeing that the BTN goes to showdown and increasing the odds of the short stack getting eliminated.

Feels good to win this, because now I don't have to waste time and effort booking a hotel, finding someone to pay me to wear their clothing, etc. Just nice to have all that stuff taken care of.

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Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Tony "Bond18" Dunst Final Tables WSOP $3000 NLHE

Man I was around Vegas for most of the WSOP last summer and nothing spectacular happened. Then I sit it out this summer and all of my best poker buddies start kicking ass. Guess I am a jinx.

Payouts

1 $434,789
2 $277,452
3 $167,973
4 $137,343
5 $112,641
6 $88,927
7 $69,165
8 $54,344
9 $39,523

Seats and Chip Counts

Seat 1: Sebastian Segovia (Guatemala) -- 128,500
Seat 2: Alex Bolotin (Brooklyn, New York) -- 534,000
Seat 3: David Singer (Las Vegas, Nevada) -- 334,000
Seat 4: Thuy Doan (Williamsburg, Virginia) -- 369,500
Seat 5: John Phan (Stockton, California) -- 396,500
Seat 6: Matt "Plattsburgh" Vengrin (Red Hook, New York) -- 1,007,500
Seat 7: Stewart Newman (Coral Gables, Florida) -- 398,000
Seat 8: Johnny "Schwah" Neckar (Madison, Wisconsin) -- 796,000
Seat 9: Tony "Bond18" Dunst (Melbourne, Australia) -- 333,000

There are a few other notable players here as well, including FTP pro David Singer, who recently won the $25,000 heads up tournament on that site, Thuy Doan, who posts as Shes on 2+2, Matt "Plattsburgh" Vengrin, who's been backed and ghosted to some big internet scores by the infamous JJProdigy, and Johnny Neckar, who's well-known to 2+2 MTT community as Schwah.

Play is scheduled to start in about an hour. Good luck Tony!

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Sunday, June 8, 2008

Tom Takes 2nd

Sweet run, bro, congratulations. Rouhani wins it, but Chambers down 140K for 2nd. Not too freaking shabby.

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Saturday, June 7, 2008

Tom Chambers at Final Table of $2500 WSOP S8/O8 Tournament!!!

Tom Chambers, 2+2's LearnedFromTV, has just made the final table of WSOP Event 10! It's a $2500 tournament that alternates between Omaha 8-or-better split and Stud 8-or-better split. Tom is a former math teacher and a mixed games expert (he's got a win in the Stars $200 Sunday HORSE under his belt), so it's no surprise that he kicks ass at these games. He's also a good friend of mine, so I'd be pulling for him regardless, but I'm especially excited because I have 10% of his action!

Here's the final table chip counts according to CardPlayer:

Farzad Rouhani - 513,000
Greg Pappas - 304,000
"Miami" John Cernuto - 285,000
Tom Chambers - 235,000
Michael "The Grinder" Mizrachi - 231,000
John Racener - 180,000
Daniel Mowczan - 122,000
Yueqi Zhu - 87,000

At 4 p.m., the eight of them will battle it out for the bracelet and $232,911 first prize. Stakes start at 10K/20K and the average stack is 195K, so Tom's 235K puts him in pretty good shape.

One time, dealer!

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Sunday, May 4, 2008

Competing Views on WSOP Final Table Delay

I complained recently that I felt Harrah's was improperly prioritizing ESPN and other sponsors over the players in its decision to delay the final table of the WSOP main event. At the risk of boring everyone to death on this issue, I'm going to share some recent, competing thoughts from prominent poker players/bloggers.

First off, Michael Craig, editor of the FTP Strategy Guide, argues that in fact this will cost Harrah's (which apparently is now called Caesar's) money and should be seen as a far-sighted gamble rather than mere pandering to ESPN:
This move is the opposite of slapping a logo on the final table for a few million bucks. Caesars makes no money off this change in the presentation of the final table in the short term and, in fact, it has to spend more money. Caesars has three years to run on its contract with ESPN and the contract doesn’t provide more money for better ratings or more advertiser money. The Rio has to tear down the World Series and put it back up in November, probably shutting down some revenue-producing showroom for a crowd that doesn’t have to pay. That’s not a huge additional expenditure but it’s worth noting: this is no cash-grab.
Craig also strongly disagrees with my claim that tournaments ought to cater to the players simply because we pay entry fees:
Even though we’re still playing for our own money in nearly all tournaments, not to mention paying for the privilege of playing for our own money, we benefit from poker’s popularity in the form of more entries (usually newer, presumably less-skilled players) and potential secondary sources of income (e.g., endorsements, product placements, media opportunities). That we are still making a living off the boom times of 2004 and 2005 does not mean that poker is still hot. WSOP ratings on ESPN are down. WPT ratings have plummeted. Hasn’t Celebrity Poker Showdown - a good barometer of how interested the general public is in watching poker on TV - left the air for good?
Daniel Negreanu similarly argues that poker, in the US anyway, badly needs a shot-in-the-arm such as this:
I don't have any idea how much money Harrah's makes off the WSOP. I'm guessing, though, that the number people assume is far greater than the actual amount.

As a poker community we need to wake up a bit and realize the situation we are in, specifically in the U.S. Attendance is down in most tournaments, ratings for the premiere poker shows has also dipped. Poker is no longer seen as this "gold mine stock" amongst the mainstream public. There has been a lull in mainstream interest (a lot of that can definitely be credited to the UIGEA to some degree).

The poker players DON'T hold all the cards, despite the fact that many of us would like to believe that. We don't have a ton of well funded companies chomping at the bit to get in on the poker craze at the moment.
I daresay my own initial reactions may have been a big misguided.

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Saturday, May 3, 2008

Off the Deep End

My latest article, Off the Deep End, is now appearing in the May issue of 2+2 Internet Magazine. It's designed to help tournament specialists adapt to playing deeper stacks such as those prevalent in the WSOP main event. Here's an excerpt:
With deeper stacks, blind defense is less important but button defense is more important. The button is like a gold mine that you have to share with eight other prospectors. When it’s your turn to reap the gold, you can’t let the others beat you to it. An aggressive player on your right who regularly raises the pot ahead of you needs to be discouraged with frequent calls and re-raises.
If you have any questions or comments about the article, please leave them here or in the 2+2 Magazine Forum.

If you enjoy this article, you may be interested in my other poker articles, especially Your First WSOP, which is also about preparing for the biggest poker tournament of the year.

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Friday, May 2, 2008

More on the WSOP Final Table Delay

I've been reading some good comments here, on other blogs, and in the 2+2 thread about the final table delay that I mentioned yesterday. I want to clear up a few things, clarify my own opinion a bit, and share some of the better discussions I've seen elsewhere.

First, a couple important details. My understanding is that everyone at the final table will be paid 9th place money in July. The rest of the prize pool will be kept in a CD, and the interest will be added to the payouts. Harrah's has tried to make it sound like this is akin to adding bonus money to the prize pool, but really it's the least they could do and possibly even their legal obligation.

Furthermore, according to the official press release,
"Each of the players who make it to the WSOP Main Event Final Table will receive ninth place prize money on July 14, when the finalists are determined. Harrah’s will then provide each of those players with an all expense paid trip for two for their return to Las Vegas in November to play the final portion of the tournament.

From July 14 to November 9, a span of 117 days, players will have an opportunity to line up sponsorships, coaches, review the play of all their competitors, participate in other tournaments, and take advantage of the new publicity and promotional opportunities that will be available."

I still think this is kind of tacky and crassly commercial, but I do like the idea of the WSOP gaining popularity as a world-class sporting event. Suspense about the outcome should increase the excitement of earlier WSOP broadcasts, and if Harrah's/ESPN do a good job of publicizing the final table contestants, they could be minor celebrities by November. Obviously the player themselves will have mixed feelings about that, but it will probably be good for poker in general. I found Daniel Negreanu's analogy on this point compelling:
The way the WSOP main event airs now, the public is usually already aware of who won. The final episode plays out more like a documentary, a la, this is "how they won." That will now change. Everyone will know who is at the final table, but for three months, the question will change to "who will win" which I think is more exciting.
On the other hand, the delay greatly increases the likelihood that players will make a deal and/or sell off their equity, which could actually decrease the excitement of the final table. Harrah's understandably refuses to assist players in deal-making, and in past years there's been very little time for players to bargain amongst themselves. But four months raises all sorts of possibilities, including the involvement of lawyers, insurance firms, and other professional deal-makers. The players may well end up playing for five rather than seven figures when the dust settles.

More troubling is the risk of collusion. It would not be difficult at all for two or more of the final tablists to become friends over the course of four months and reach an informal agreement to softplay each other. Of course, more large scale cheating is a possibility as well. Several members of the media who were on a conference call with WSOP commissioner Jeffrey Pollack found his response to these concerns lacking. He basically said there would be a new code of conduct and that punishments would be "severe" (no elaboration) in the event of collusion.

Overall, I appreciate the potential benefits, though I'm a bit skeptical since the higher-ups seem not to have given ample consideration to the drawbacks. Most troubling, though, is that such a drastic decision was made primarily for the interests of ESPN rather than the players. If the WSOP is going to be run for ESPN, as this and previous decisions have suggested it is, then the players should not be paying for it. The full $10,000 entry should go into the prize pool, and ESPN, Milwaukee's Best Light, and the other sponsors should be the ones paying for staff, space, etc.

But I suppose it could be worse. If the WPT were doing this, they'd probably claim exclusive rights to market the final tablists themselves the way American Idol does.

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Thursday, May 1, 2008

WSOP ME Final Table Delay

The main event of the World Series of Poker starts on July 3, with the second-to-last day scheduled for July 15. Thanks to a recent decision by Harrah's and the WSOP, the final table will be played on... November 11th!

Granted, anyone who makes the final table should be excited enough to put up with this. But that doesn't make it any better of an idea.

The idea is to enable ESPN to broadcast the final table within hours of its conclusion. I suppose that's a good thing insofar as they are treating poker like other sports, where the excitement of seeing who wins is a big part of the audience's enjoyment. But if Harrah's is going to inconvenience (to understate the matter) the players for the sake of sponsors and a broadcast audience, the players should see something out of it.

In the past, ESPN has been accommodated at the players' expense in a variety of ways. Play has been extended so that camera crews do not need to incur the expenses of returning for another day. Tables have been broken to allow ease of movement of camera people. And now players anticipating the biggest game of their lives are required to wait four months, return to Las Vegas, and presumably perform for the cameras in the interim. (According to USA Today, "ESPN will air a special Nov. 4 showing what the players have done between the July determination of the final nine and the final table.")

In many cases, of course, "what the players have done" will include hiring coaches, studying each other's play, and changing up their own games. Reads that players have gathered will be lost or diminished and skill differentials will shrink.

In some ways, I suppose, that's good for the game. It's indisputable that televising the WSOP led directly to the current poker boom from which I have benefited. Presumably, a more dramatic and competitive final table might give the game more legitimacy and make it more interesting to a wider audience of sports fans. If that means more people playing and watching poker, then indirectly it's good for my bottom line.

At the same time, this is a major pain in the ass for all of the players and a blow to the equity of every strong player who enters the main event. A substantial portion of your equity is tied up in the off-chance that you make the final table, and knowing that weaker players will have months to diminish your skill edge there definitely reduces the expectation of every strong player in the tournament.

Most laughable is Harrah's "solution" in the unlikely event that a player is unavailable for the final table:
"What if something happens that precludes a player from playing at the final table? The WSOP has accounted for that. A player who does not appear will have his chips "blinded off," which means they will be paid into mandatory bets for each hand. When a competitor's last chip is played, he will be paid for where he finishes."
That's not a solution, that's standard operating procedure that absolutely tanks the equity of the affected player. Do I have a better idea? No, but I'm not the one who wants to delay the final table.

As I said, this isn't all bad news for the professional player. Presumably there will be opportunities for the players to seek sponsorship and endorsement in the interim as well. Nevertheless, it's preposterous that Harrah's continues to favor the interests of ESPN over those of its players without compensating those players in any way.

If the tournament is going to be run for ESPN, then ESPN's sponsorship should pay the costs of running the tournament. No portion of the prize pool should be withheld to pay for staff, space, equipment, etc. As long as the players are the ones paying for the event, then the players' interests deserve more consideration than they currently get.

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Saturday, March 15, 2008

Tricky Tournament Float

We were down to the final five in last night's $1000 WSOP satellite. We were all getting our entry fee back, but there was only one seat to be awarded (which was annoying as hell- just one or two more entrants, and there would have been two seats, which makes a world of difference in terms of a good player's satellite expectation).

This opponent was one of the weaker at the table. I thought there was a good chance he would check-raise all in with almost anything on this flop, and as you'll see, I don't need to be at it to represent a hand. As shallow as I am, checking with trips or a good pair would be very plausible here.

I didn't check the flop planning to make a move like this, but when I pick up a flush draw on the turn, I figure my hand is worth a call. My pair outs could be good, I may have some implied odds if I make the flush, and I may be able to bluff the river. A shove would surely fold out "bluffs" that were nonetheless better than my six high, but I figured I could fold those on the river anyway. This does give him the option to pre-empt me by "bluffing" again, but he can't expect me to fold much on the river and I didn't think he was aggressive enough for that anyway.

Poker Stars, $1,000 + $50 NL Hold'em Tournament, 200/400 Blinds, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: 15,861
BB: 34,722
UTG: 12,516
Hero (CO): 7,040
BTN: 49,861

Pre-Flop: (800) 5 6 dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, Hero raises to 1,000, 2 folds, BB calls 600

Flop: (2,400) A 2 A (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (2,400) J (2 Players)
BB bets 1,200, Hero calls 1,200

River: (4,800) 4 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets 4,800 and is All-In, BB folds

Results: 4,800 Pot
Hero mucked 5 6 and WON 4,800 (+2,560 NET)

I don't know if he's folding a pair here, but it's pretty unlikely for him to have one. My hand has so little showdown value that even if he only folds his unpaired holdings, I probably still get the 50% of folds I need to make this profitable.

The sad conclusion to this story is that this guy kept making bad calls against me and catching. I made it to the final three, but I kept losing medium-sized pots to him when his Q6s would out-flop my JJ and such. Finally, we got it all in pre-flop with AJs versus 66 (he made a huge shove over my button raise) and he flopped quads.

I didn't stick around for the conclusion, but I can't imagine this guy won. The third player was pretty solid and stacks were deep enough that my buddy here was almost certainly eaten for lunch.

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Friday, February 29, 2008

Famous Players Play Better

Terrence Chan recently made the humorous observation that not only is the hand reporting from major poker tournaments largely inaccurate (this is well-known) but that the reporters tend to reconstruct the details in ways that make "name players" look good. He cites two recent examples from his own experience, one in which he was the lesser known player and one where he was the more famous.

Although I thought this was funny and probably not without some truth, it doesn't gel with my own limited experience. For instance, this blurb about me busting Barry Greenstein from the 2007 WSOP main event makes it seem like he made an overly large re-raise with QQ:

"Andrew Brokos made it 6,000 to go and Barry Greenstein raised it to 33,000. Brokos made the call and saw a flop of {J-Diamonds}{10-Diamonds}{7-Clubs}. Greenstein found himself all-in on the flop with pocket queens against Brokos pocket aces. The aces held up and Greenstein was eliminated. After the hand, Brokos is up to 285,000."

In fact, my raise had already been called in front of him, so there was something like 20,000 in the pot already, making his reraise to 33,000 perfectly reasonable.

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Friday, February 22, 2008

WSOP Rules Changes

Poker Managers Hall of Famer Matt Savage, writing for Pokernews, reports that in a recent lunch with WSOP Tournament Director Jack Effel, he learned of some of the rules changes that will be in effect at the 2008 WSOP:

One new rule that I like is Rule #36 which states: "Excessive celebration through extended theatrics, inappropriate behavior, or physical actions, gestures, or conduct may be subject to penalty. Hevad Khan and Humberto Brenes could be in real trouble in 2008.

Rule #43 (i) states: "Advertising a .com gaming site that conducts business with U.S. residents" refers to the once-blanket ban against "dot-com" appearances. That ban goes away, and it will again open up the logo wars to many online companies around the world. However, online poker sites that accept US business (such as Full Tilt and PokerStars) will not be allowed to use the ".com" suffix, and must use ".net" advertising instead.

Make sure you get a good look at Rule #88, the new "Cell Phone Rule": "Penalties will be given for using the phone at the table, whether in a hand or not." Also, note Rule #89: "iPods, iTouch, Treos, Blackberrys with headsets are not allowed."
Elsewhere, he mentions that the "show one, show all" rule, which required a player to show both of his cards if he chose to show one of them after a hand, has also been eliminated. I never much cared about this one one way or the other, but it was very unpopular, and Daniel Negreanu in particular has been actively working to get it eliminated for some time.

Like Savage, I am glad to see the penalty for excessive celebration. Not only is this rude and unsportsmanlike, but it wastes the time of everyone at the table. I'd rather get dealt an extra hand or two than watch Brenes' shark psychologically devour his opponent.

There should be more tomorrow, including information about "changes to the facility" that will hopefully be welcome news to anyone who had to play in the tent last year.

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Wednesday, December 12, 2007

2008 WSOP Schedule

Harrah's has released the schedule for the 2008 World Series of Poker. There's not a lot of information about the structures of the preliminary tournaments, but since they are almost all listed as 4-day events, it's hopefully more generous in the past. Looking over the schedule now, there's a ton of stuff I'm interested in, but we'll have to see what those structures turn out to look like. Of course, the state of my bankroll will be a factor as well. Possibly I'll look into staking so that I can play more of the mid-level prelims, especially in games other than NLHE.

The other disappointment is that it's still being held at the Rio. I'd heard rumors that it might not be, but I guess that was just wistful thinking. Satellites will probably be starting in a month or so. Those were such a cash cow last year. I'll probably still play the biggest ones, ie the $300+ entries, but I don't know that it will be worth my time to do double shootouts and such. I should be more diligent about checking out the satellite schedule for FTP, since last year I played Stars almost exclusively.

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Monday, July 16, 2007

WSOP Main Event: Day 3

I should be on my way to the Rio right now, preparing to nurse a sickly stack into a monster as I did on Tuesday. Instead, I am sitting in front of my computer trying to decide how to explain to all of you how it all came crashing down.

Yesterday morning, I felt on top of the world. I had undecupled my chips on Day 2 of the World Series of Poker and put myself in great shape to go deep at the biggest poker tournament of the year. Within a few hours, I’d have $20,000 locked up and a shot at much more. My starting table was going to be tough, with at least two strong players I knew fairly well from an internet poker forum. Nonetheless, I had 80,000 chips more than the next largest stack at my table, and my seat position was good as well, with the strongest players and biggest stacks on my right and the shorter, unknown players on my left.

Like any self-respecting white man in America, I am constantly seeking out ways to appropriate black culture for my own financial gain. Listening to some Jay-Z in the car, I hoped, would get me pumped up and help me perform my best. This morning, I intended to bring a knife to a fist fight and hold triggers to crews... metaphorically... at the card table.

I started the day in the 6 seat, which is right in the middle of the table and afforded me a nice view of all the action. Justin Rollo, a moderator of the 2+2 poker tournament forum and a really fantastic tournament player, was in the 2 seat. Matt Sterling, another 2+2 member and one of the top-ranked online tournament players, was in the 4 seat. A mid-stakes cash game player named Andy had the most chips after me and was seated to my immediate right in the 5 seat.

We were rapidly approaching the money bubble, the point at which the lowest cash prizes are awarded. This year’s payout structure is less top-heavy than it was last year, meaning that there is more money for the lower places. The top 621 finishers were all guaranteed about $20,000, which isn’t a lot relative to the $10,000 entry fee, but since many players won satellites into the tournament and didn’t actually invest $10,000 in it, I knew that quite a few would be very worried about busting out in, for instance, 625th place and winning nothing.

With my big stack, I’d hoped to get a table full of scared players whose blinds I could steal with abandon. There were a few at the table, but unfortunately I had to compete with Justin, Matt, and Andy, who all also recognized and wanted to take advantage of this dynamic. My plan for the day was to come out of the gate with guns blazing. I was going to be the one stealing blinds, and if the other good players at the table wanted a piece of the action, they’d have to get through me.

I knew that Justin in particular was pretty aggressive, and I planned to reraise him at the first opportunity. As it turned out, his first raise was against my big blind, and I had Ace-Queen, so it was how I would have played the hand anyway. He folded, though later told me he was contemplating a re-re-raise with Jack-Ten, and if he had, I would seriously have considered moving all in. That’s just how it goes when two aggressive players with a history lock horns.

Reraising Matt didn’t go over so well. At the 1200/2400/400 level, he opened to 6000 from late position, and I made it 20,000 to go with A9 in the small blind. He called and called a bet of 30,000 on Ks Ts 5d flop. I checked and folded the turn, my stack suddenly 50,000 chips lighter.

Stacks were still pretty deep though, so I took a few flops in position with speculative hands like small pairs and suited connectors, but I never connected with anything and had to keep folding to flop bets.

Andy, on my right, had also been playing a very loose and aggressive style. He was calling a lot of raises from Justin and Matt, and I’d been looking for a chance to punish him. Finally, at the 1500/3000/500 level, Justin opened for 9000, Andy called, and I reraised to 35,000 with Q4 on the button. They both folded. “Nobody can read you dudes like we do.”

On my next big blind, Andy raised to 8000 from the small blind, and I called with Js Ts. He was very aggressive post-flop, so I knew I could win a big pot if I caught well against him. The flop was Kd 6s 5s, and sure enough he fired a big bet of 18,000. I called with my flush draw, counting on either winning another big bet if I hit or maybe taking the pot away on the turn if he showed weakness. Unfortunately, it was a blank, and he fired 64,000 at me. I really felt like he was just pushing me around on a board where it would be tough for me to have a big hand, but at this point I wasn’t even sure I had enough chips left to make him fold if he had anything. There was also the danger that he was semi-bluffing with a better flush draw than mine, in which case I’d be in terrible shape. I threw away my hand angrily, leaving myself with only about 200,000 chips.

Desperate to pick up a pot, I raised to 9000 with 66 first to act. Not surprisingly, Andy called on his big blind, and we saw a flop of QT5. He checked and called a bet of 15,000. The turn was a J, and he checked again. I couldn’t expect my 6's to be good here, but this is a board where I, as an early position raiser, could easily have a monster hand like QQ, JJ, or TT for three of a kind or even AK for a straight. Since Andy didn’t reraise pre-flop, it was rather unlikely that he had a hand this strong. So I fired 35,000 at him, and he thought for a long time before finally folding. “Your reach ain’t long enough, dunny.”

Blinds jumped again to 2000/4000/500, and I was planning on slowing down with the reraises, which I probably should have done, but I found myself in kind of a weird spot. Matt raised the blind of a pretty weak player to 10,000, and Andy called. I had Ace-Nine on the button, and I felt like I could have the best hand here and regardless it was a decent spot to squeeze. I made it 40,000, Matt called instantly (that was very worrisome), and Andy folded.

I got an AJ7 flop, which gave me top pair, but my nine kicker meant that most likely any action I got on this board would be bad action, so when Matt checked, I was happy to check as well. The turn was a T, he bet 40,000, and I called. I would have been very unsure of what to do if he bet the river, but thankfully he checked. I checked as well, and he looked disappointed. I was hoping that was because I had caught him bluffing on the turn, but it turned out he was hoping to induce a bet from me on the river, because he showed me TT for a turned set. Ouch, down to 140,000. I’m lucky he played this the way he did or I could have lost even more.

At this point we were about 10 players away from the bubble and playing hand for hand, which meant that the dealer had to pause after every hand we played and wait for all 70 other tables to finish playing the hand as well before we could deal the next one. This was to ensure that the right players got paid, but it made the game move at an excruciating pace. I think we played maybe 15 hands in two hours before the bubble finally burst.

I had come into the day thinking that I was virtually a lock to make the money, but now I found myself with a below average stack and a bit of a conundrum. I wanted the $20,000, but I also wanted to take advantage of the many profitable situations that the bubble created for players willing to take risks. Andy had accumulated a ton of chips with his aggressive play and was now raising every single hand, so I wasn’t going to be able to steal cheaply from the scared players. My best bet to pick up chips was going to be to turn Andy’s aggression against him, but that would mean putting my neck on the line and risking elimination myself.

Hand for hand was so boring that Andy would sometimes get up and leave the table for a few minutes, since that was how long we generally waited between hands. He once failed to make it back to the table in time to steal, which meant I finally had the opportunity. I raised to 12,000 with Qc 3s, and a loudmouth kid from Florida named Randall called from the small blind. D’oh.

The flop was Jc 5c 2c, giving me a decent flush draw but not much else. Randall bet out 16,000. I felt like he was just trying to steal cheaply from me and didn’t have a hand that could call all in. But if I was wrong, it was likely to cost me $20,000. “All in.”

“Nice flush draw,” he commented as he threw his hand away. Phew. ”Don’t let me do it to you dunny cuz I overdo it.”

A minute later, Andy returned to the table. I told him he missed a hand and that I got to steal the blinds for once. He seemed genuinely upset about this. The very next hand, it was back to business as usual, with a 12,000 raise from Andy. Except this time, I had a pair of Jacks. The safe way to play them would be to move all in for about 140,000 now. Andy would almost certainly fold, and I could win about 20,000 chips with very little risk of getting knocked out on the bubble.

But Jacks were the best hand I had seen all day, and I really needed to win more than 20,000 chips with them. The smart thing to do was to give Andy some rope and let him hang himself, so I just called the raise. I was going to call a bet on any flop, even if three overcards to my pair came. Thankfully, I got a very safe 854 flop. He bet 24,000, and I moved all in. “I have a pair,” he told me. I stared silently straight ahead. “I think you were trapping me with a big pair. Were you trapping me” I’m behind. I’m sure I’m behind. But I want the table to know they can’t bluff me. I’m going to call if I’ve got a pair,” he told the table at large. “I call.”

“All in and call, table 26!” the dealer shouted for the benefit of the camera crews. Reporters from ESPN and various internet sites, plus random players from other tables, swarmed around us. We turned our hands face up, but had to wait for ESPN to set up the shot before seeing the turn and river. Andy showed K5 for middle pair, making me a solid 79% favorite to win a 300,000 chip pot. This also meant, however, that there was a 21% chance I would be eliminated right here, agonizingly close to a $20,000 payday, and go home empty handed.

The ESPN producer finally gave the signal, and the dealer showed us the turn, a harmless 9c. My odds of winning just improved by 9.5%. I breathed a sigh of relief when the river was neither a K nor a 5, giving me the best hand and a much needed double up. “No, you’re not on my level, get your breaks tweaked.”

“Do you think we’ll be on TV?” Andy asked me a little despondently.

I shook my head. “Only if you had caught a 5.”

Undeterred, Andy was right back at it next hand, raising to 12,000. This time I called with Js Ts. The flop was Qh 9h 6d, giving me an open-ended straight draw. Andy bet his usual 24,000, and I called. The turn was the Ac, he checked, and I bluffed him out with a bet of 55,000.

The hand after that, he called a raise from Matt, called a flop bet, bet 90,000 on the turn when Matt checked, and folded to check-raise all in. Just like that, he went from table chipleader with 500,000 chips to having barely 150,000. “Had a spark when you started but now you’re just garbage. Fell from top ten to not mentioned at all.”

Finally, the bubble burst, and the room erupted with cheers. I visited the restroom during the ensuing break, and a man at the urinal next to me remarked, “Nothing like a $20,000 piss.”

With their money locked up, the previously scared short stacks were suddenly very willing to double up or go home. We busted out a couple people from our table very quickly and got some new faces, including a somewhat well-known pro named Chip Jett. Chip had an artificial tan, frosted hair slicked back with a heavy gel, and a complete inability to sit still. He was constantly rocking from side to side in his chair, stacking and shuffling chips, and glancing nervously around the table. Despite all this, he actually turned out to be a pretty friendly guy.

To my left was a white guy in his early fifty’s who lived in Seoul, South Korea. He had won some Korean championship with like 600 players, but I have no idea how, because, though a hell of a nice guy, he was the most predictable player ever. He only played really big hands, and he always came in for huge raises that generally resulted in him winning nothing more than the blinds and antes. If he ever flopped top pair or better, or ever had Ace-King pre-flop, he would instantly move all in without regard for the size of the pot relative to his bet.

Naturally, this guy was a prime target for blind theft, but infuriatingly, he kept getting dealt the 1% of hands he would actually play whenever I raised him. On three occasions, he reraised my steal, ultimately showing me KK or AK. The fourth time, he just called me and then moved all in on a Q-high flop, showing me AQ. Damn it, man, how do you always have big cards?!?! He was very apologetic and kept showing me his monster holdings, assuring me he wasn’t trying to pick on me. Well you should have been, sir, because it was certainly my intent to rob you blind.

I gave him such a hard time about catching well against me that I’m pretty sure he let me steal from him once just out of pity. It was the fifth time I’d raised him, and before I did, I warned him, “If you have AK again, I might have to call you just out of spite.” He looked at his cards, smiled, and folded an Ace face up. Piece of advice, sir: if a guy raises you five times in a row, your Ace is probably good.

The entire 2500/5000/500 level was bad for me. Having to back down to the Korean constantly was costly, and Justin re-raised me twice as well, once showing Ace-King. I was pretty sure he was bluffing the other time, but I had 5-4 and didn’t feel like putting him to the test for all my chips, so I just folded. I never had any big hands and lost some money at showdown with JT versus AJ on a J high flop in a blind battle.

By the time we got to the last hour of the day, where stakes were 3000/6000/1000, and I was back down to about 220,000 and in a bad mood. I felt like I had played pretty well for most of the day, taken some big risks when appropriate, and still I had lost more than 100,000 chips. Everyone else was catching cards and hitting flops and I just kept getting dealt garbage or getting bad flops for whatever promising hand I held. Finally, I got Ad Qd in first position. It was the best hand I’d seen in ages, and I decided that since I was in first position and had been pretty tight for a while, I was going to represent an overpair post-flop if I got called. I raised to 16,000, and only the big blind, a young guy in Full Tilt Poker gear who had been pretty quiet, called. The flop was Ts 4s 2h. He checked, I bet 25,000, he raised me 25,000 more, and I moved all in for his last 175,000 chips. He called so quickly and so eagerly that I knew not only was I beat but that I couldn’t win even if I caught an Ace or a Queen.

“All in and call, table 26!” the dealer shouted, but now the bubble was over, and ESPN was no longer rushing to cover every all in confrontation, so thankfully this embarrassment was not preserved for posterity by video camera.. My opponent turned over 44 for three of a kind. He was a 99.6% favorite to win. My only hope was to catch either a 3 or a 5 on the turn, followed by the other card on the river to make a running straight. A 6 on the turn cut my odds down from .4% to 0%, and just like that, I had 27,000 chips, barely enough to pay the big blind of 6,000, which hit me on the next hand.

Action folded to Matt in late position, who raised to 16,000. The small blind called, and I threw in the last of my chips without looking at my cards. There was already 46,000 in the pot, so I was getting better than 2:1 on my money ,and it was very likely that Matt would re-re-raise to knock out the small blind get the pot heads up with me. If I could win at showdown versus him, I would triple up and have a workable stack again. “All in and call!” the dealer went through the motions of muttering, but it was such a small pot that he knew no one would care.

Matt showed Ace-Jack, and I turned over my hand to find King-deuce. Not bad for a blind hand. I had about a 35% chance of winning. My Korean friend patted me on the back. “King is coming. Just watch,” he told me. Sure enough, the flop was K85, and suddenly I was way ahead. The turn was a T, but an Ace on the river crushed my comeback.

“Nice hand,” I told both Matt and the guy on my right. I shook hands with my friends at the table, wished them luck, and stood up. “Get zipped up in plastic when it happens that’s it.”

Except that wasn’t it. I would have preferred go like Tony Soprano, a sudden black-out and then roll credits. Instead, I had to stand beside my empty seat like a rotting corpse while the dealer tossed the next round of cards to those still playing until a floorperson arrived to escort me to the payouts area.

It was after midnight, I was tired, disappointed, frustrated and angry at myself for making a stupid move. So what did I most want to do after busting out of the main event? If you guessed, “Spend an hour filling out paperwork and waiting in queues,” well, you were wrong, but you may be qualified to work at the Rio.

I’ve played enough tournaments to know the importance of patience, especially when it comes to my last few chips. The old adage is that ’a chip and a chair’ are all that is needed to win a tournament, and I had so recently made a big come back after getting short stacked that I really should have known better than to make a crazy, desperate bluff.

Now I had to sit, back against a wall, shoulder to shoulder with all the other losers, to wait for some crocodile-skinned bureaucrat to call my name. “Anthony Brooks?” It took me a minute to figure out that meant me. I was somewhat consoled by the fact that a fairly strong player showed up on bust out row right around the time I did. Although his name will be well-known to most poker enthusiasts, to the career paper shuffler behind the scenes at the Rio, he was just “Robert... Miz-arky?”

I finished 361st and won $34,664, showing a tidy profit even after deducting the $10,000 entry fee, which was itself a prize I’d won in another poker tournament. By any account, I’m very fortunate to make this kind of money playing a card game, and it’s always my goal to do something valuable with the money and free time that poker affords me. In the next month or so, I’ll be organizing and teaching at a free summer debate camp for public high school students and teachers in Boston, and then traveling to Chicago for a week to volunteer at a similar camp.

Thanks again to everyone who’s followed along and offered your encouragement and congratulations. Hopefully we can do this again next year!

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Saturday, July 14, 2007

WSOP 2007 Main Event: Day 2A, Part 2

Barry and goleafsgoeh were the two players who most concerned me at the table, and with one gone and one crippled, I was ready for total table domination. Except that we didn’t get to play even a single hand after the second break. No sooner had the tournament director announced “shuffle up and deal” than a guy known as the Grim Reaper, because he walks around breaking tables, deposited an armful of plastic chip racks in the center of our table and started passing out new seat assignments. I will say, though, that it was a pretty cool feeling carrying four full racks of chips across the convention center floor and feeling the envious eyes of every player in the room burning into my back.

There was no one I recognized at the new table and several weak looking players to my left, so I decided to carry on with my plans for domination. Blinds were now 800/1600/200, and a guy who seemed pretty aggressive moved all in for 24,000. Not on my table! I called with a pair of Tens. He turned over a pair of Jacks. Whoops. A flop of J55 left me dead to running quads, which I did not catch.

But no worries. A few hands later, I raised to 4500 with AA. The big blind raised to 12,000, leaving about 25,000 behind. Hoping to look like a bully, I grabbed a stack of orange chips and shoved it into the pot. He shrugged and called with KK. My hand held up, and I took down another good-sized pot and eliminated my third player of the tournament.

Next orbit, a hotshot looking British player raised to 5000 first to act. He had a stack of about 75,000, and I decided not to reraise him with my pair of Jacks because if he moved all in, I would feel like throwing up. We went heads up to a 5s 5h 4s flop. He bet 10,000, and I grabbed the trusty stack of orange chips (there were twenty of them in the stack, so this single pillar of my mountain of chips was worth 100,000) and moved it into the pot. He thought for a long time before folding. I may have lost some value here with the big raise, but there were a lot of turn cards I did not want to see (ie I did not have the Js), and I wanted the whole table to get the message: if you play a pot with me, you may well be playing for all of your chips.

I got to talking with another Poker Stars qualified at the table who turned out to be internet player Teacuppoker. His real name was Casey, so that’s what I’ll call him. Then a clean cut middle aged guy got seated to Casey’s left. The man glanced at my Poker Stars hat and asked me what my screen name was. I told him and asked him his. He pursed his lips. “Yeah, I don’t so much give that out.” What the [censored]? That’s fine if you don’t want to out yourself, but don’t ask for my screenname and then refuse to give me yours.

“So you’re one of those guys?” Casey asked him, seemingly bothered by the same discourtesy I was.

“Well there’s only a small pool of people who play 200/400, and game selection is a big part of my game.” 200/400?!?! This guy is big time.

“Am I at least allowed to know your real first name?”

“Adam. Adam Richardson.” That made him Admo from the 2+2 internet poker forum. I still didn’t know what name he played under online, but this was enough info for me that I didn’t feel slighted any more.

We talked a bit about the highest stakes poker games online, and I asked him if he ever played Brian Townsend, the high stakes player who showed up at my first table on Friday. He shuddered and laughed. “I quit Brian almost a year ago. You can ask my wife, I have a recurring nightmare where there’s a glitch in the software so that I can see his cards, and I still lose!” Good Lord, I am glad I got off that kid’s table.

I never played a big pot with Admo, but he did get me into some trouble. He opened for 4500, I reraised to 15,000 with AK in the small blind, and then the old man in the big blind, I think he was Greek, started counting his chips. He looked annoyed, and, and this was important, I don’t think he knew I was looking at him. I was in the 9 seat and he the 1 seat, so the dealer was between us. If he knew I was looking and looked annoyed, there would be a chance that he was acting with a monster holding like KK or AA. If he is genuinely annoyed, he’s more likely to have a slightly less strong hand like JJ, QQ, or AK. “All in,” he finally said.

Now Admo thought for a minute or two before folding. That still wasn’t enough time for me to make up my mind. There was now about 40,000 in the pot, and it was going to cost me 75,000 more to call. Although I’d have an above average stack if I called and lost, this was still the single biggest decision I’d had to make so far in the tournament. My gut was telling me to call, but in general you don’t make money by calling big bets from unknown old men with Ace-King.

I closed my eyes and recounted the pot. I took a deep breath. I opened my eyes and looked at the old man. He was staring straight back at me over his bulbous nose. It was an aggressive stare, another sign of weakness. When people want a call, they will try to look non-threatening or nervous. This time he definitely knew I was watching him, and now he was trying to look strong. I sighed and stood up. “Call.”

“Let’s see ‘em,” the dealer said. I turned over my Ace-King. The guy kept his cards face down. This is an annoying thing about live poker, no one ever wants to show his hand and at showdown there is always this big production over who is going to show first. Just turn your [censored] hand over. “Sir?” she prompted him.

He grunted something.

“What was that?”

“Keep them low,” he said in a heavy accent, and flipped TT. I breathed a sigh of relief. I had made the right call. Against a pair of T’s, my AK has 43% equity. I needed 39.5% to make the call correct. Flop Q85. Turn 5. River 7. TT is good.

The Greek beamed and shook my hand. “Nice hand,” I told him, nodding sagely and returning the hand shake. I sat back down, remarkably unflustered. So this is what it feels like to flip a coin for $100,000. And lose.

A few minutes later, I went over to talk to my girlfriend, who was standing in the spectator area about fifty feet away. “I just lost a monstrous flip.”

She gave me a sympathetic frown. “I saw you stand up, so I knew it was something big, but I couldn’t tell if you won or lost. The guy sat back down, so I didn’t think you eliminated him, but you were smiling.”

I took that as a big compliment. One of the toughest things about being a serious poker player is learning to deal with bad results. The goal is always to focus on making the right decisions, because in the long run, the money follows the odds and the best players win. In the short run, things can and do go wrong all the time. I can control my decisions, but I can’t control the cards, so there is no sense in getting upset over them. If I can accept a bad outcome in a gigantic pot at the World Series of Poker so well that my girlfriend of six years cannot tell from my body language whether I won or lost, then I am in the right mind set.

Hopefully, the table got another lesson: I’m willing to make a big call if you play back at me. Soon thereafter, I opened Qd Td against a weak player’s big blind, and he called. The flop came 8h 6h 3d, and he bet into me for 7500. When someone bets into me on a board like this, it’s often because he’s unsure of his hand and wants to take the pot down before you put in any more money and get more committed to your hand. Hell, I’ve two over cards, a backdoor flush draw, and a read. I call.

The turn was the Ad, a scare card for my opponent and a flush draw for me. He checked and folded to a bet of 15,000.

Despite losing the huge pot, I went into break with 280,000 chips. I’m 90% sure I would have been chip leader for the entire tournament if an Ace or King had fallen.

After break, a French player named Paolo was seated at our table. Blinds were now 1000/2000 with a 300 ante, meaning that there were 5700 chips in the pot before cards were dealt. I was really looking forward to stealing from the tight players on my left, and was already envisioning all those chips getting pushed my way when I heard a little French voice on my right say, “Raise.”

Whaaaaaaaaaat?!?!? Those are supposed to be my blinds to steal. We can’t have this. Paolo had put 7000 chips in the pot. I pretended to look at my cards and then announced, “Re-raise”, shoving 21,000 chips into the pot. Someone needed a lesson in etiquette.

The action folded back to Paolo, who quickly said, “All in.” Damn it. I looked at my cards, praying to see Aces. Instead, I tossed a Nine and a Seven into the muck. Paolo must have had a monster hand, to risk all chips like that against an unknown player with so little thought.

My next aggressive re-raise was against Casey, who raised to 5500 when I was small blind and the Greek was big. I made it 16,500 with King-Queen, and he folded.

Dominance at the table finally (and expensively) established, I started stealing like mad and meeting very little resistance. Only Casey showed a willingness to play back at me, and he had really bad timing such that I usually had hands when we tangled. Somehow, I finished the level with barely more than the 280K I had when it started.

After break, blinds were 1200/2400/300. My plan was to tighten up for the last level of the day and take advantage of my aggressive image to get paid off on any big hands now that the antes were smaller relative to the blinds. Unfortunately, my plans were once again spoiled by an untimely table break. On the plus side, this meant I got to run over a new table that didn’t know how aggressive I was.

Once again, I was already envisioning the pot getting shipped my way when some annoying guy on my right beat me to the punch, raising to 7200. Annoyed, I made it 21,000 with 54 off-suit on the button. Even if he suspects I’m up to something, this is a rough spot for my opponent. I’m brand new to the table, he’s got no idea how I play, he’s out of position, and his entire stack of 150,000 is at risk if he makes a bad read. He folded.

I put the same guy in another tough spot about half an hour later. He opened for 7200, and I just called with Ace-Jack offsuit. The flop was 965, all different suits. He bet 9000, which is a pretty weak bet for a board that coordinated. I had no piece of the flop, so I raised to 32,000. I’m representing two pair or better here, and if my opponent decides not to believe me, he’s either going to have to call and risk a big bet on a scary turn or shove his stack in a spot where he’s only going to get called by monster hands. There weren’t even any good draws on the board for him to semi-bluff all in with. After a long session of irritated chip shuffling, he folded, and I finished the day with 344,100 chips. Quite a long way from the 30,000 I had at the start.

There were 6,358 entries in this year’s main event. We stopped for the night with 351 remaining. Day 2B will probably have a few more than that, but when everyone plays together for the first time, there will likely be around 800 competitors remaining. First prize is $8.5 million, and I honestly feel I have as good a chance as anyone at winning it.

Oh, this will probably be meaningful to some of you. I later found out that the guy I bluffed in those last two pots was Robert Mizrachi, brother of Michael “The Grinder” Mizrachi.

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Friday, July 13, 2007

WTF am I doing on the Sports page?

I got a mention on the Baltimore Sun sports page today from a blogger named Bill Ordine. He didn't know much about me at the time, but here's what he had to say:

"The only other Maryland player who appeared to cash-in at the main event who was listed as from Baltimore but actually went to high school in Catonsville and is currently living in Boston. Brokos was a late round three bust-out at 384th and had a $34,664 payday. This is his second cash in a row at the main event. Last year, he finished 279th and collected almost $39,000."

I actually placed 361st, but other than that he's got it all right. I've since spoken with Bill on the phone (he seemed like a cool guy, and rather knowledgeable about poker), so hopefully he'll have a little more to say about me in his next post!

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WSOP 2007 Main Event: Day 2A, Part 1

I ended my Day 1 report by bemoaning my measly 30,000 chips but predicting that, “A lot will depend on how things go in the first few hours. If I can get off to a good start, I could easily double or triple up and be right back in contention.” Let’s just say I got off to a good start.

I was in the 1 seat, to the immediate left of the dealer, at my starting table. In the 2 seat was a young, pretty woman of Indian descent named Jigna. She was a little too loose, especially from out of position, but she was also tricky and kind of aggressive, which actually made her kind of tough to have on my left. She was generally very friendly and made the table fun.

To her left was Barry Greenstein. Many of you will recognize the name, but in case you don’t, Barry is one of the best and best known poker players in the world. He’s a regular in the largest cash games played anywhere in the world (I overheard him telling a guy he’d played with the night before that losing “twenty” wasn’t even worth mentioning), which is where he makes a very nice living. When he plays tournaments, he usually donates anything he wins to charity, which has earned him the nickname, “The Robin Hood of Poker”.

In the last year, I’ve developed a healthy disrespect for anyone whom ESPN tries to convince me is a good poker player. I’m not going to name names, but a lot of the people you see on TV are actually rather bad at poker, or at least far from world class. That is definitely not the case with Barry, though. I’m not thrilled to have him on my left, but it is an honor to play with him, and he’s a very friendly, humble, classy guy, which is much more than can be said about a lot of TV pros.

The only other person of note is a young guy who turns out to be internet player ‘goleafsgoeh’. We’ve played together online a few times, and he recognized me as soon as I told him my screen name. Also a very nice guy.

The first big pot I played, a kind of doofy looking guy opens for 3000 from middle position, and I reraise to 10,000 from the SB with Ace-King. He calls quickly, which worries me a little, but then I get a great A83 flop. The problem is that there aren’t a lot of hands that call my reraise and continue to give me action on this flop. He had previously folded an Ace face-up to a raise on an Ace high flop, so I didn’t think he’d pay off with a lot of worse hands here. If I bet now, I think he’ll correctly fold a lot of the time. I decided to check after a long pause, hoping to make him think I have a big pair like QQ or KK and am afraid of the Ace. He bets 15,000, which I call after a minute’s thought. The turn is a 6, and we both check. I checked again on a T river, figuring he was more likely to bluff than to call with a worse hand. He bet 15,000 again, I called, and he showed me A5. Oh wow. Calling my reraise with A5 is beyond awful. This guy is going to be good to have at the table.

Winning that pot put me back above average and gave me enough chips that I could start playing aggressively again. The next orbit, I raised to 3000 with AT in early position, and Greenstein called. Ooooh, my first pot with Robin Hood. Nothing fancy, he folded to a bet on a Q76 flop.

A little while later, the doofy guy raised to 3000 and got called by three players. Seems I wasn’t the only one to notice how bad he was. It was pretty clear those two didn’t have big hands, or they would have reraised him. Why not, if he will call with A5? And if he’ll open with A5, he clearly doesn’t need a big hand here either, which means this is a good spot for a squeeze play. I reraised to 16,000 with A4o on my big blind, and everyone folded.

Barry must have been quite card dead, because he was playing very tight, which is not usually his style. Then again, every time he did get enter a pot, everyone got involved, so I guess there wasn’t much else he could do. In the best example of this, he raised to 3000 first to act, and got called by no fewer than five different people. Having already made one squeeze play, I wasn’t going to attempt another in such an obvious spot, but then I found a pair of Jacks in the small blind. I re-raised to 20,000, prepared to call an all-in (unhappily) from anyone because I knew it would look like I was just making a play at the pot.

About ten minutes before the break, goleafsgoeh lost well over half his stack to a guy who made an unlikely three of a kind on the river. I felt kind of bad for him, but that’s poker. “I need the break, but I kind of wish it weren’t coming so soon,” Jigna whispered to me. I stared back at her, puzzled, and she nodded in GLGE’s direction. I looked over, and his face was bright red. He was actually on the verge of tears, but it kind of looked like he was, and he was clearly very upset. “He’s ready to tilt away the rest of his money now, but he’ll calm down during break,” she explained.

I’ve heard a lot of speculation about why there are so few female poker players. In my opinion, the rampant sexism in the poker community is a big part of it, but one common explanation is that many women lack the aggressive drive that’s so important to playing good poker. Clearly not Jigna’s problem, huh? Talk about a shark sniffing blood in the water. Conversely, some women have told me that they feel they have an advantage because they are more adept at reading and interpreting people’s emotional state than men are. It wasn’t hard to tell GLGE was upset, but Jigna certainly noticed it before I did.

After the first break, blinds were up to 600/1200/200. A guy in early position called the blind, I called with Qs Js, and then Jigna raised to 6000 in position. The first guy called, so I did too. The flop was all low cards, something like 853 with only one spade. We both checked to Jigna, who checked as well. Should have taken it when you had the chance, J. The turn was the As, giving me a flush draw and a good scare card to represent. The first guy checked, I bet 10,000, and they both folded.

By now I was up around 100,000 and feeling great. I opened to 3500 with a pair of 5's in early position and got called by both the A5 guy and the big blind. I fired 7500 at a Q73 flop and only the first guy called. The turn was another 7, and remembering the top pair I’d seen him fold, I thought maybe I could knock him off of pairs better than mine but lower than queens or even off of a pair of queens with a weak kicker by betting 21,000. Well, he either hit the 7 or didn’t believe me, because he shoved his last 60,000 into the pot, and I had to fold.

On the one hand, it certainly sucks to bluff off 30% of your chips. But plays like these have hidden payoffs down the line, especially at a tournament like the WSOP where you play with the same people for hours on end and most everyone is paying careful attention. A little while later, a pretty active player came in for a call of 1200, and a few others called as well. I had a pair of Queens in the small blind and raised 7000 more. Jigna folded her big blind, but the first caller quickly announced, “All in.”

Everyone else got out of the way, and I had a decision to make. Queens are a very strong hand, but some players do like to get trappy by just calling the blinds when they have Kings or Aces. This was a really big bet, something like 60,000 chips. If he wanted to be trappy, wouldn’t he have made a smaller raise to 20,000 or so? Ugh, but if I’m wrong, I’ll be crippled. Losing this pot would leave me only about 10,000 chips. Visions of the 2006 main event, where I ran Queens into Aces pre-flop early on day 4, danced through my head. “Call.”

“If you can call, you can win,” the guy told me with a frown, turning over a pair of 4's. So far so good. I’m an 80% favorite to win the pot, but still I hold my breath as the dealer turns over the flop. KT8, still ahead. No 4, no 4, no 4... my heart freezes in my chest as I see a small card come off the deck... thank God, just a 3. One more now, fade the 4... uh oh, another little one... but it’s another 3. My hand is good, and I take down my largest pot of the tournament so far.

A little while later, a kind of weak player called 1200. I raised to 6000 with a pair of Aces. To my delight, Jigna called on the button, and then Barry in the small blind started counting out chips. He reraised to 33,000. And I am holding the best possible hand. Pinch me, I must be dreaming.

I asked how much he had left. He moved his hands so I could see, but I really needed an exact count to figure out how to play my hand, so I asked him to count it. He seemed annoyed by that but kind of half complied. He had about 50,000 behind. I felt like at this point I was going to get all his money whether I called or re-raised pre-flop, so my thoughts turned to Jigna. I’m representing a ton of strength whether I call or raise, and she’s probably going to fold almost anything no matter what I do. But I had to at least give her a chance to make a mistake. After much thought, I just called the raise. Jigna folded instantly.

The flop was JT7, not exactly what I wanted to see. If Barry had Jacks or Tens, he’s now a huge favorite. And my call of his reraise is so suspicious that he might be able to get away from Queens or Kings despite the size of the pot, since he can no longer count on being ahead of Jacks or Tens himself. Ugh, why didn’t I just reraise him pre-flop and get all the money in then? I got greedy. “All in,” he announced.

“Call!” I blurted out. The die was cast.

“You make a set?”

I shook my head and flipped over my Aces. He turned up Queens. Wowowowowow, there were nearly 200,000 chips in this pot, and I was an 88% favorite to win. Things got a little hairy when an 8 fell on the turn, as now a 9 or a Q on the river would give him a win, but it came a 7 and I eliminated Barry Greenstein from the tournament. He took it very well, shook my hand, and gave me an autographed copy of his book with his bustout hand illustrated inside the front cover. It’s a very nice troph... er, memento. I put up pictures at http://www.thinkingpoker.net/Bookpics.html if you want to see for yourself.

I want to emphasize here that I in no way outplayed Barry. In fact, I may have misplayed the hand and almost given him a chance to escape. This was just an unlucky spot for him, what poker players call a cold deck. If I had had Queens and he Aces, the hand would have gone down the same way, and I would have been the one to lose a monster pot. It was pure luck of the draw that I got dealt the best preflop hand when he was dealt the third best.

Here’s what Barry had to say about the hand on his blog:

“The very next round someone limped and the player in the cutoff raised. The button called. This time in the small blind I had Q Q. It was $6,000 to me and I had to decide to play them fast or slow. I decided he had been raising enough and had a good stack. He had been a decent player, and usually showed good hands. So I decided to play it fast. With three people in there I didn't want to call and see and ace or king come off. I raised big and he just called, which made me think he was trapping with aces. I was hoping he had A K. I just decided if an ace or king didn't come I would have to go for it. It was a bad flop - J 10 7. Now if he had jacks he also beat me. I kind of got myself stuck in the pot. I moved in my last $60,000. He did have aces. AND that was it.”

He says I was “a decent player”, so that’s kind of cool. But he also confirms my fear that on certain flops, he actually would have gotten away from his Queens. There’s no way he folds them pre-flop, so I think I really screwed up by trying to sucker Jigna in. And in fact, I’m lucky that I failed to rope her in, because she told me she folded 99, which would have made a straight.

Barry and GLGE were the two players who most concerned me at the table, and with one gone and one crippled, I was ready for total table domination.

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Thursday, July 12, 2007

Day 3 Table Draw

I'm at Table 26, Seat 6. Here's the full lineup:

1. Olav Prinz von Sachsew (101,700)
2. Justin "Jurollo/WPTHero" Rollo (238,500) Justin's blog
3. Dale Michael (123,500)
4. Matt "Matt24/Mattster24" Sterling (137,000) Matt's website
5. Andy Stocker (261,500)
6. Me (344,100)
7. David Lee (74,700)
8. Randall Amiel (179,700)
9. Bette Carswell (160,800)

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Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Quick Day 2A Update

I had a huge day today, up from 30K to 344,100. I'm not sure when I'll get around to posting the write up, so please be patient. Hopefully I'll be tied up for a few more days :-).

Thanks to Darren and others for the updates on here. That hand against Barry, wow, I think I nearly blew it. I felt like I had his stack no matter what and that I should do whatever I could to entice the player behind me (a very nice woman named Jigna), to call or shove over the top. I'm glad I didn't, because she told me folded 99, which would have made a straight. But on a JTx flop, Barry can ALMOST check-fold Q's. And it sounds like he would have folded some flops. I guess I shouldn't have been so cavalier about his stack and just gotten it in pre. He was obviously disappointed but a very nice and classy guy, gave me the standard copy of Ace on the River with the bustout hand drawn on the inside cover.

Peace,
Andrew

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Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Conor Tate

Here's a good tibit from Conor Tate, who will be at my table today. Apparently he's a pro with some British coaching site, but I found his blog from his first day's play both interesting and informative. Two highlights:

"I immediately get the impression my table is going to play quite tight at first but I don't get a pair or a decent ace for the entire first level to take advantage of this."

???? and

"...I get dealt 77 under the gun. I flat call for 800.... I can't believe it when I see 774 with two clubs! ... I decide to just check the flop and the other three players do likewise. The turn brings the 10 of clubs so I'm now praying someone has either hit the 10 or made their flush or even picked up a flush draw. I check again and Willie bets 3400. The button and big blind both fold and now I decide to make a small raise hoping to get a call if I make it cheap enough. I make it 7k..."

Heh.

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My Day 2A Table Draw

Looks like a tough lineup, and I'm not thrilled with where I'm sitting relative to the big stacks and specifically Barry G:

1- Me 31K
2- Barry Greenstein 93K
3- Scott Yeates 163K
4- Miles Dooly 57K
5- couldn't find a listing, maybe empty?
6- Conor Tate 109K took 12th in the 2005 main event for 600K
7- Michael Homony 101K
8- Michael Leah 29.5K
9- Raudy Holland 53K

At least I'm not the short stack?

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Monday, July 9, 2007

WSOP 2007 Main Event: Day 1A

I left the house around 11AM on Friday bound for the Rio and the main event of the 2007 World Series of Poker. Vegas is experiencing record highs for the weak, with the thermometer topping out near 120 degrees. It's enough to leave me sweating after a two block walk to the car. As I cruised up I-15 with A/C on full blast, George Thorogood came on the radio. I'm not generally the sort to sing out loud, but this seemed like a good way to get pumped up, so I declared along with him that I was, "B-b-b-b-b-aaaaaad. Bad to the bone!" Then, sadly, an even more fitting song came on: Elton John's "Don't Go Breaking My Heart".

This year, 6000 people are expected to enter the $10,000 poker tournament. If that number proves accurate, then there will be 5999 broken hearts. No one enters the tournament without a dream of winning it, and in fact, everyone has a chance, no matter how slim, of actually taking home the bracelet. One of the keys to poker's appeal is that it blends elements of skill and luck. The best players win often enough to show a profit, but they still lose often enough to give everyone else a chance. Even though I believe I had a substantial edge over last year's field, I was still very fortunate to finish in the money. There were many players better than I who did not do as well, and many players worse than I who did better. That's poker, and heart-breaking as it can be, it's also the beauty of the game.

In the last year, I've improved a ton as a poker player. Nevertheless, it is more likely than not that I will win nothing in this year's tournament. After all, only 10% of us will win anything. A top player, and I am not quite in that echelon, might have a 25-30% chance of taking home a prize. This is why it is so important to focus on winning the largest prize possible, even if this means slightly increasing your chances of winning nothing at all. Since you will cash infrequently, it is crucial to make the most you can when you make anything at all.

After reporting on the three preliminary WSOP events that I played without cashing, I got a few concerned e-mails or phone calls asking me what was wrong. Not to say that I played flawlessly, but there's really nothing at all out of the ordinary about losing several tournaments in a row. I've played hundreds of poker tournaments on the internet this year and finished in the money in only 17% of them. This includes streaks of a dozen or more tournaments played without winning anything. Nevertheless, I've seen a return of about 35% on the money I've invested in this way. That's just how poker tournaments work: you lose most of the time, but occasionally you win big. Really big. The winner of the 2006 WSOP main event took home $12 million, the largest cash prize in sports history.

So that's what's at stake as I slide into my seat just before noon. When the tournament director announces "shuffle up and deal", four of the ten seats at my table are still empty. This is not a good sign. Only very good players can afford to be blase about showing up on time for a $10,000 poker tournament.

This year, we start with 20,000 chips, and the blinds begin at 50-100. I try to size up my table immediately. I identify at least two players who, though unknown to me, seem to know what they are doing. Thankfully, they are both to my immediate right, meaning that they will almost always act before I do when we play pots together, which gives me a tremendous information advantage.

My goal is to avoid playing pots out of position against these guys, but as it goes with the best laid plans, this one was quickly laid to waste. The guy two seats to my right was very young, probably younger than I am, and very aggressive. He was opening literally 50% of the pots with a raise to 350, which meant that if I wanted to play any hands at this table, I was going to have to tangle with him. Early on, he raised to 350 on the button (meaning he was last to act before the blinds, and could therefore raise an even wider range of hands than usual), and the other good player called in the small blind. In the big blind, I had Ace-Queen, which is a huge hand relative to the stuff these guys could be playing. Still, I'd be happy taking the pot down pre-flop, so I made a pretty large reraise to 1500. Thankfully, the button folded. The small blind called, but that was less worrisome, because I had position on him.

The dealer spread a flop of Q95, all different suits. This gave me top pair with the best possible kicker, which is a monster hand in this situation. There were so few draws on the board that I felt comfortable checking as well when my opponent checked to me, figuring that he'd be more likely to pay off with worse hands if I didn't bet the flop.

The turn was a 3 and put a possible diamond flush draw on the board. My opponent bet 3500, which I called. The river was the 8 of diamonds, and he checked to me. I contemplated betting my pair of queens for value, but his turn bet was so big that I think it's almost impossible for him to put me on a worse hand than the one I have. If the diamond draw had missed on the river, I could bet hoping he would put me on a busted flush draw, but here, I just turned over my hand. He mucked, and I won my first pot of the 2007 WSOP, and a sizeable one at that.

The young guy two seats to my right kept up the aggression, and I reraised him once pre-flop as a bluff. His constant raising had not gone unnoticed by the rest of the table, either, and they started playing back at him as well. Around this time, I found myself holding pocket Tens one off the button and staring at yet another raise from this guy. I should have reraised him, but for whatever reason I elected to just call and play a pot in a position. A Danish guy who had been quiet and seemed like a solid player also called in the SB, and the three of us saw a 8d 6d 3h flop. The aggressive guy bet 800, I raised to 2500, and then the Dane, whom I expected to fold instantly, started counting chips. That's not good. Finally he put out 2500 for a call, and the other guy folded.

Wow. I stared at him, trying to figure out what he could have to call that raise from out of position. He wasn't getting the right odds to play just a flush or straight draw, and he seemed smart enough to know that. But with so many draws possible, I'd expect him to put in another raise with a monster hand like three of a kind rather than give two players a chance to outdraw him on the turn.

It seemed to me his most logical holding would be either 86 for top two pair or something like 9d 7d for both a flush and a straight draw. Based on that read, I should have bet the 9h that fell on the turn, but his call scared me so much that I feared a check-raise and declined to bet. The river was the 7d, making the final board 36789 with no flush possible. My pair of T's had suddenly turned into a straight, the second best possible hand. The Dane bet 3000, and I raised to 11,000. On the one hand, this is a really big raise that I can't expect him to call very often. However, when I raise here, I am representing either a straight or a bluff. Whether he calls with worse hands depends on the frequency with which he thinks I am bluffing. If I make a smaller raise, it will be harder for him to think I am bluffing, and consequently easier for him to fold. Thus, I raise big because that is the only way my bet could plausibly be construed as a bluff. He folded 9d 7d face up, and I won another big pot.

Just as I was starting to feel good about things, a young guy in a Cardrunners sweatshirt sauntered over to take one of the empty seats. Cardrunners is a subscription-based website where you can watch instructional videos, with commentary, of some excellent internet poker players as they do their thing. This sweatshirt already identified the new player as one of a few individuals, and now I just needed to figure out which he was. I watched as he passed his seat card to the dealer, and I saw the name I was praying not to see... Brian Townsend, AKA aba20, AKA sbrugby.

Brian is the best poker player you've never heard of, and if you have heard of him, well then he may just be the best player you have heard of. He's a regular winner in the largest poker game available online, which is a no limit hold 'em game with $300 and $600 blinds. The buyin for the game is $60,000, and readers of Brian's blog (http://www.cardrunners.com/fusetalk/blog/index.cfm?forumid=31) know that it is not unheard of for him to win or lose hundreds of thousands of dollars in a day. This guy voluntarily plays nosebleed stakes heads up with Phil Ivey... and wins.

I was not thrilled to be at his table. Thankfully, he was playing very tight, and I was able to stay out of his way. Nevertheless, I decided to investigate a rumor I'd heard that you could request a table change at the WSOP. I stood up from the table, found a floor man, and asked him if this was true. He looked at me like I had two heads. Oh well, guess I'm stuck with these guys.

To my great joy, however, our table was one of the first to get broken down so that we could be redistributed into recently vacated seats. My new table looked much less scary, populated primarily by a bunch of middle-aged small business owner types. These guys are great because they are usually poker enthusiasts with substantial non-poker income who can afford to play the main event even though they often cannot count on having a positive expectation.

To my left was a young, very tricky, loose, and aggressive player who was either Mexican or from the Mississippi Delta, I never did figure out which. He knew a bunch of the staff at the Rio and was almost certainly a professional poker player. He gave me a ton of headaches at this table, and I left with a lot of respect for his game.

To my right was one of the strangest looking men I have ever seen in my life. I think he was either an oil tycoon, a pirate, or both. He was a short, rotund, well-dressed, heavily-jowled older man sporting a large white Stetson hat and, I kid you not, an eye patch. This wasn't one of those temporary deals you get when you have eye surgery, this was an honest-to-goodness shiver-me-timbers pirate patch. Here's a picture, though unfortunately the patch is a little tough to see: http://www.printroom.com/ViewGalleryPhoto.asp?userid=worldseriesofpoker&tcount=26&scount=7&gallery_id=753475&image_id=6.

To his right was a guy from Eugene, Oregon with a shaved head and goatee who looked eerily like a tall, white version of my friend Dave. Also like Dave, this guy was a Raiders fan. Unfortunately, Tall White Dave didn't last long, and he was replaced by a kind of annoying guy named Cory. I didn't play many hands at this table, but still managed to go into the first break with over 30,000 chips, an increase of 50% from my starting stack and a great spot to be in relative to the average, which was only like 22,000 at this point. I even heard a rumor that the chipleader had less than 40,000, though that seems unlikely.

After break, blinds doubled to 100/200 and things went downhill quickly for me. I finally got dealt a pair of Aces and raised to 600 from early position. Two guys who both owned car dealerships called me, one from late position, the other from the small blind. I bet 1500 on a Tc 7s 5c flop, and only the small blind called. He checked and called 3000 on a 6d turn. The river was an ugly Qc, completing a possible flush draw. My opponent bet into me for 7000, and I reluctantly folded. He later got caught bluffing in a similar spot, so I may have folded the best hand, but it seemed reasonable at the time. This, combined with a few aggressive moves that got snapped off by the tricky guy on my left knocked me down around 20,000.

Not a whole lot more happened in this level, and I went to break with a slightly below average stack of 22,000. I came back to find that blinds had doubled again to 200/400. This Cory guy I mentioned who had replaced Tall White Dave at the table seemed like he was going to be annoying. There were two car dealers at the table, and although Cory wasn't one of them, he sure looked like a man who could sell you a used vehicle. Here's a picture: http://www.pokerstarsblog.com/2007/07/2007-world-series-more-glory-for-cory.html. As soon as he sat down, he started running his mouth about nothing in particular, just kind of trying to loosen up the table and saying stuff like, "Who's having fun? Everyone's so serious. Eh, look at this guy, he keeps looking at me like he wishes I would shut up. Hahaha." He was talking through even really straight-forward decisions every time he played a hand and generally wasting everyone's time.

Most of that stopped after a little while except when the cameras were around. I didn't know this at the time, but this Cory guy made the final few tables at the 2005 main event and went deep in a few other tournaments (there's a little bio of him in the link above). For whatever reason, ESPN was always checking in on him, and even though he mostly quieted down at the table, he'd always start yammering again when they were around. I tried to call him on it but to no avail.

I spent most of this level pretty card dead, and the few times I did make a play at the pot, nobody believed me. Then I finally got a pair of Aces, raised, and everyone believed me.

There was this Frenchman at the table who was intermittenly reading a book (specifically I think it may have been a Star Wars novel!) while at the table. He'd shown down some weird hands after raising from early position, so I wasn't giving his raises a ton of respect. He opened to 1100, but from what I could tell, though he didn't have his book out at the time, he wasn't paying much attention to the hand in question. A kind of loose, middle-aged guy from Washington State called the raise, and the action folded to me on the button. I was holding King-Queen and sitting on a stack of 16,500. This seemed like a good spot to make a squeeze play, because I'd be putting in 25% of my stack against an early position raiser, which looks very strong, and although I would appear committed to the pot, I'd actually have room to fold if the Frenchman moved all in.

I raised to 4500 after some thought, and the Frenchman folded quickly, as I believed he would. Then the Washingtonian stared me down and called. Those who don't play tournament poker may not grasp the significance of this, but it is very odd just to call a big bet like this out of position. At this point the size of the pot is about equal to the size of my stack, so I would expect the guy who is going to be out of position post-flop either to fold or to move all in on me rather than putting himself in an awkward spot.

Based on how he's played the hand, it looks an awful lot like he has a medium pocket pair. Pre-flop, my hand is essentially a coin flip against any pair Jacks or worse, so I would have been willing to call his all in. I would rather not flip a coin for my tournament life, but at this point there was a lot of money in the pot, so it would be worth it. However, the flop came out J83, and only then did my opponent bet into me. While I could have gotten all in pre-flop, with five cards to come, I now had only two chances to hit my King or Queen and consequently had to fold to his bet. It really sucks to have to fold at this point, leaving myself with only 12,000 chips, but I do think it's the correct play, and it's what I did.

If he's going to call my reraise with a medium sized pair, then this is actually a really good way for him to play it. However, I think he should be folding to the reraise, which is why I made it in the first place. If I have two high unpaired cards like KQ, AQ, or AK, he's got 50% equity in the pot, so given the hand I actually had, he played well. However, the problem for him is that I might also have a pair higher than his, in which case he has only about 20% equity. I could very easily have JJ, QQ, KK, or AA with this preflop action, in which case he is going to lose a big pot. But in this case, he was fortunate that I had indeed missed the flop with my overcards, and he won the pot.

So I went into the dinner break with 12,000 chips and a bad taste in my mouth. It was really frustrating, after getting off to such a good start, to find myself short-stacked so quickly. On the plus side, though, my dad and brother had come out to Vegas to watch me play and generally to hang out, so it was good to see them. We got dinner at the Sao Paolo Cafe. Well, actually, just I ate, as they'd already eaten, but I bought my brother a beer, because he is now 21. When they came to watch me last year, he kept getting carded and kicked out of the Rio. He was like three months shy of 21 at the time. This year, now that he's legal, no one's carded him yet.

Blinds were still 200/400 after dinner, but now every player had to ante 50 chips every hand as well, which made stealing the pot pre-flop even more important. My chip stack would afford me barely ten times around the table, meaning I wasn't quite desperate, but I needed to get some chips soon. I folded for the first orbit or so, then got dealt the King of hearts and the Queen of clubs in middle position. I came in for a raise of 1100. The tricky guy on my left called, and the Frenchman called in the small blind. Man, I am just getting no respect at all. I raise 10% of my stack and get called twice?!?!?

The flop came out J84, all hearts. Holding the K of hearts, I was satisfied with this. There was now 4200 in the pot and 10,000 left in my stack. My goal in this situation to get someone to take a stab at the pot, at which point I can raise all in. I may get the better to fold a pair, and even he does call, I'll probably have an almost 50% chance of winning the pot. The Frenchman checked, and I checked, hoping the aggressive guy would bet. He did not oblige, but the turn card was a King, giving me top pair with a good kicker and also the second best possible flush draw. I checked again, as the pain in my neck on my left seemed almost unable to keep himself from bluffing after getting checked to twice. But still, he didn't oblige. The river was something irrelevant, and possibly I should have just bet my hand for value at this point, but I checked one more time hoping against hope that the guy might bluff. No such luck, though. He checked, and I won the pot but no further money. It's really the hallmark of a good player that he was always betting and raising when I didn't want him to but that I couldn't induce a bluff from him when I needed it.

Captain Ahab on my right got eliminated and was replaced by a pretty well-known tournament player who's had success both live and online. I don't know his real name, but he plays under the online moniker UGotPzd. One of the car dealers at the table recognized him and pronounced his screen name "You Got Pezzed." Uh, sir, I don't think that's what he was going for, but it's cute that you thought that.

The car dealer, it turns out, was none other than internet player brsavage, who has in the past been ranked the number one tournament player online by both Poker Stars and an online site called Pocket Fives that tracks such things. Brsavage has recorded some videos for PokerXFactor, a site similar to the Cardrunners one that I mentioned before. I actually stirred up some bad blood with him by publicly questioning some of his advice in a kind of flippant way on an internet forum, but quite a few very strong players agreed me about the content of what I said, and Savage himself didn't even really dispute it. He's got no idea who I am, but I've got some idea of how he plays, which is nice. He certainly held his own at the table, but I didn't think he was anything special.

I also had a bit of history with UGP. From what I know, he is a smart and courageous player who is very willing to make a heroic call if he suspects you are bluffing. Though he had no idea who I was, just from the fact that I was wearing a Poker Stars hat he could probably make some informed guesses about how I play. He was open raising quite a lot pre-flop, but I knew he knew that with my stack I was going to be looking for an opportunity to make a move on him. The implication was that I needed to play a wider range of hands for value and not look to bluff him.

Fortunately, I got dealt a pair of Aces on one of the many occasions when he opened to 1200. I very rarely slowplay a hand, in part because it's unnecessary and in part because I am so aggressive with weaker hands that I can usually get action on my monsters. With about 14,000 chips, however, it was going to be awkward to reraise here. Even UGP's penchant for heroic calls might not be enough to get me action if I raised. So, I just called. We went heads up to a flop of 7h 4s 3s. He bet 2200, and I moved all in on him. This was going to be a key hand for me. If I could get a call here, I'd be a huge favorite to win and double my stack, which would get me back to average and buy me a lot of breathing room. I knew UGP was expecting me to make a move on him, and this was a great board for it, as there were a lot of draws I could be semi-bluffing.

As he stared me down, I did my best to remember how I felt, and hopefully therefore how I looked, when I made my unsuccessful bluff against the Swede in the 5K event. I planted my face on my hands, which were balled into fists obscuring my mouth. Through my dark sunglasses and under the rim of my black Poker Stars hat, I stared hard at the felt. My heart was legitimately pounding, because although I knew I had the best hand, I was nonetheless putting my life on the line for the first time. If my opponent did call and got lucky, he could eliminate me right here. And even worse, there was the risk of him folding when I so badly needed the double up. I just hoped that UGP, seated next to me, could feel the heavy, rhythmic thumping through the table.

Author Mike Caro, known as the mad genius of poker, argues that players have a "calling reflex." It's more exciting to call than to fold, so everyone looks for excuses to call. If you suspect your opponent is about to fold, he suggests, you might as well do something to trigger his calling refles. If it doesn't work, well, he was going to fold anyway, so no harm done.

I swallowed hard and shifted in my chair. "Call," UGP announced, tossing 10,000 chips defiantly into the pot and flipping over a pair of 9's. I turned up my Aces, and he nodded. "I was afraid of that." When the money went in, I was a 90% favorite to win the pot. Only if the turn or river was one of the last two nines in the deck could my opponent pull ahead. It is very, very rare to get your money in this good. I was fortunate both that my opponent had a pair as good as 9's and that we got a flop with no cards higher than his pair, making it easier for him to make a big call against me.

My hand held up, and suddenly I was back in good shape. Still, you can see what a role luck plays. Even after a lucky pre-flop match-up and a lucky flop, there was stil a 10% chance that I could have been eliminated from the tournament right there. And to win an event like this, a player will need to survive much worse than 90% odds many times. So there's a lot that can go wrong to cause you to get your money in bad, and a lot that can go wrong even after you've gotten your money in good.

But I digress. I was rolling now, and when I got another chance to play a pot with UGP, I took it. He open raised to 1200 from the small blind, and I called 800 more with Queen-Jack in my big blind. The flop was a very favorable KQT. He checked, and I checked also. The turn was an 8 and put a second spade on the board. He checked and called a bet of 2000. The river was the Qs, giving me trips. It also completed a possible flush, but there wasn't much reason for me to worry about that. UGP checked, I bet 6000, and he called and mucked his hand disgustedly when I showed. I'm thinking he probably made a pair of Kings.

Next orbit, I reraised one of his raises with a pair of Tens. He looked at me, said, "Oh you're going to be trouble, aren't you?", and called. The flop was a beautiful Kh Th 7s, giving me three of a kind. There were way too many draws out there for me to trap, and with him already suspicious that I was bluffing, no reason I'd want to trap anyway. I guess he didn't have anything, though, because he checked and folded. Oh well.

I got moved away from the table before UGP could take any revenge on me, and the new table looked pretty favorable for me. There were a lot of short stacks and only one guy who had more than my 50K. That guy, however, had well over 100K and was probably at that time the chipleader in the entire tournament. Everything I observed about his play in the next few hours suggested that he completely deserved it.

Adam was in his early 20's and wearing an old Ramones t-shirt that hung shapelessly on his skinny frame. What really struck me about him, though, was the intensity with which he focused on everything that happened at the table. He didn't excessively waste time on any decision the way Cory had done with his grandstanding, but Adam always took a second or two to consider his options before doing anything. Often, his brow would furrow and his eyes narrow as he pondered all of the facets that might affect how a hand plays out: which players are involved, from which positions, how many chips do they have, who looks uncomfortable, who's been playing tight, who just lost a pot, who seems to have what level of poker knowledge, and on and on. I've just never seen someone so intensely focused on a poker table before (thought I've heard Phil Ivey has a very similar table presence), and it was really impressive/intimidating to watch him. The term 'shark' was invented to describe poker players like Adam.

For the most part, I was staying out of his way. Early on, I took a few flops against him when I was in position since we were the two big stacks at the table. I won most of these pots, but he got away cheaply every time I had a strong hand, so I didn't take him for much. When two good players clash, losing the minimum can still be considered a victory for the player who is out of position, so I did not take great pride in outplaying him, though I was glad to have the chips.

I went into the fourth break with high spirits and 50,000 chips, more than four times what I'd had two hours ago and the most I'd had all day. When we returned, blinds were 300/600/75, and this is when things started to go downhill again. I wasn't doing much steal raising, but nonetheless, I was getting called or raised almost every time I opened the pot. My good starting hands kept getting bad flops in multi-way pots where I pretty had to give up.

I wussed out of making a big river bluff against Adam in one hand. I had gone for an early position steal with Td 8d, as early position raises usually get a ton of respect in live poker and I wasn't having much luck from late position. But no such luck here, either, as one guy called in position and Adam called from his BB. The flop was 994 with two clubs, but I bet at it anyway, because my early position raise represented a big pair. The first guy folded, but Adam called. This is a tricky spot here because Adam could have a 9, a pocket pair, or a club draw, and he would play all three differently on the turn. The turn was an off-suit K, and we both checked. This is a good card for me to represent, but not on the turn. If I had hit the K, I'd probably check it because of the chance that Adam has or chooses to represent (since he knows I will rarely have) three of a kind. The river put a third club on the board, and Adam checked it again. A bluff here was going to cost me 25% of my chips, and of the hands that I put him on after the flop call, I felt he would only fold the pocket pairs, not trips or a flush. So I checked, and he showed me 66 for a winning hand.

The bluff probably would have worked, but even that isn't a guarantee, and just because it would have worked doesn't mean it would have been a good idea. I have to play against a range of possible hands my opponent could have, not just the one that he turns out to have, and in this case, I felt like there were a lot of ways for him to have hands that were not going to fold to a river bet. That's what makes good players so tricky to play against.

I was card dead for the entire two hour level, and between the blinds and antes eating away at me and a few aggressive moves not working out well, my stack got ground down to around 28,000.

An interesting dynamic can occur on the last hand before a break. For this particular one, we were going to get only 15 minutes, so a lot of people were looking for an excuse to fold and cut out a few seconds early to dodge lines at the bathroom or food store. Because of this, smart players will often steal raise very aggressively, expecting that no one will play back at them without a stronger than average hand, electing instead just to give up and go to the bathroom.

The first six players all folded and stood up to leave. Adam open raised to 1700, his standard raise size, with only three players left to act behind him. I was one of those players, in the small blind, where I held King-Jack. I contemplated my options. King-Jack is a good but not great holding, but I felt like Adam could be raising almost anything here. If that's true, then I'm going awfully easy on him by just calling and letting him see a flop in position rather than reraising and putting some pressure on him. But if I do reraise, I open myself up to getting re-re-bluffed if Adam suspected what I was up to. Finally, I decided I didn't want to play out of position against him and that it had been so long since I had played back at him that my reraise should command some respect. I announced, "re-raise" and pushed 5500 chips into the pot.

Adam stared at me for a few seconds, and then grabbed a tall stack of orange chips, worth 5000 each, and deposited it into the center of the table. He was putting me all in. While it's possible he was bluffing here, I also think he would play most if not all of the hands that dominate mine, such KQ, AJ, AK, JJ, QQ, KK, and AA, like this as well. The presence of those hands in his range meant that I couldn't call off the rest of my chips here. I sheepishly folded and left for break with just 22,000.

It was more of the same when I returned, except blinds now were 400/800/100. I managed to steal a few pots to keep my head above water, but all in all it was an awkward stack size to play, as I couldn't afford to open pots without a legitimate hand but was a little too deep to reraise all in on a semi-bluff. Plus, there were a lot of shorter stacks at the table getting desperate and moving all in at the drop of a hat, so mostly I was just hoping to get dealt some cards that would enable me to snap one of them off.

That never happened, but the experience of sweating out these last two, grueling hours (the round began at about 1:30 AM) helped the table to bond a bit. Also, since we knew we only had a few more hours of playing together, we were less guarded than we'd been earlier in the night. Across the table from me were two Mexican guys, one a real friendly and funny middle-aged man named Javier, and the other an older guy who didn't say much, in part I think because he didn't speak English very well. The rule is that only English can be spoken at the table once cards are in the air, so Javier would be talking in Spanish with the other guy while the dealer was shuffling, and then as soon as he picked up the cards, Javier would transition seamlessly into English without missing a beat and continue his story. He amused the table several times with this little trick.

I wasn't aware of any stereotype about old Mexican poker players, but this guy turned out to play just like most of the old white men and the only old black man I've every played with, which is to say that he was very very tight pre-flop. Consequently, I was not thrilled to find Ace-Queen after this guy had already open raised to 3200. However, the raise was coming from middle position, I had a good stack size to shove on him, and Ace-Queen was the best hand I'd seen in four hours (that last point shouldn't matter, but psychologically, hands start looking stronger than they otherwise would when you've had nothing but garbage for hours). If he was really tight, he might even fold something 99 or TT that would have 50% equity against me. So I moved all in for about 22,000, and he stared at me for a moment before pitching his hand. Phew.

After that, I got away with another steal or two, including taking a pot away from Adam on the flop, and ended the day with 31,100 chips, less than I had at the end of level 1 and about half the average stack. That was a little discouraging, but at dinner I didn't even think I was going to make it through the day, so I can't really complain. I had a good time, got to play with a wide variety of players, met some interesting characters, and played solid poker. The first day was a real roller coaster ride, where some times everything went my way and other times I couldn't catch a break. On the whole, though, I don't feel I made any big mistakes, and I've lived to fight another day.

I play again tomorrow, at which point two thirds of the field will already have been eliminated. Blinds will start at 500/1000/200, so with a stack of 30,000 chips, I'll be in jeopardy from the get-go. A lot will depend on how things go in the first few hours. If I can get off to a good start, I could easily double or triple up and be right back in contention.

It was 4AM when I left the table, and 4:45 by the time I had parked the car and begun walking down the street to the house where my girlfriend is staying. Even at night, Vegas in July is stiflingly hot, easily in the high 90's, but it can also be quiet and beautiful. The desert sky was crystal clear, with rarely a cloud in sight, and the sun, just beginning to rise, painted the distant horizon a brilliant bluish pink.

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Saturday, July 7, 2007

Still Alive

I'm working on a longer write-up, but I don't know when that will be done, so just to let you all know, I did survive Day 1 of the main event. It was a real roller coaster, as evidenced by my chip stack relative to the average at the end of each break.

We started with 20K chips.
At the end of level 1, I had over 30K, and average was like 22K.
At the end of level 2, I had 22K, and average was about 25K.
At the end of level 3, I had 12K, and average was around 30K.
At the end of level 4, I had 50K, and average was around 35K.
At the end of level 5, I had 22K, and average was about 45K.
I finished the day with 31,000, which is about half the average of 60K.

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Thursday, July 5, 2007

WSOP or Bust

I arrived at the Rio around 3:30 PM on July 4th. I had $4000 in tournament lammers in my left pocket and $3400 cash in my right. My objective was to play satellites (they were running a bunch of $500 and $1000 megas, including one at 4PM) until I was up to $10,000, at which point I would register for the main event and then either pick up my gear from the Poker Stars suite at Treasure Island, or, if it was too late, head home and swing by TI the next day.

When I arrived, however, I found a tournament registration line stretching out the door and around the corner. I knew the sats were going to be soft, but that also meant they were going to be boring, and waiting in this line would crush my hourly rate. The line for single table sats didn't look much better, so I decided to check out the cash game scene. 5/10 NL had open seating, so my mind was made up.

I bought in for $1500, and as I was stacking my chips, I watched a young Asian kid with a big stack, probably like $4000, get 100 BB's all in with AK no flush draw against an old man on an A-high, monochrome flop. Yipes, this is live poker 101: don't stack off to old men with top pair and no draw. Target acquired.

I was playing my usual game of raising limpers with position and firing at flops to chip up, but then lost a sizeable pot to a Brit who slow-played KK and found myself with about $1000. The guy who had limp-called KK before limped to a straddle, a loose guy who was Swedish by citizenship but not by ethnicity limped behind, and I made it $120 with KTo. They both called, and the flop came out KT8r. Checks to me, I bet $250, they both call. Turn off-suit deuce, they check to me, I shove my last $650 or so, and the first guy tanks. The Swede folds out of turn, which is pretty rude but actually helps me in this situation since I want the call. After like 5 minutes the Swede calls the clock on the Brit (they had played together before and the Brit thought it was funny) and the guy finally calls, telling me he has no pair. Whoops, maybe I didn't want that call after all. Turn is another deuce, though, and I'm shipped a nice pot.

A little while later, this tool takes a seat next to me. He's got the sunglasses, the hair gel, fashionably unbuttoned shirt, and a ball cap that reads "Philly" in what I guess was supposed to look like graffiti letters. He clearly thinks he's hot [censored] as he takes a fat roll of bills from his pocket and peels off twenty. Then, in completely unballer fashion, he thinks better of it, puts half the bills back, and buys in for $1000.

Meanwhile, his girlfriend is pulling up a seat slightly behind him and to the right. Note that this still takes up some space at the table, as the guy is sitting considerably closer to me than he otherwise would be, and because he is lefthanded, he jostles me several times as he stacks his chips.

His lady didn't have to be unattractive. She had blonde hair, blue eyes, and large breasts. But she was a thickalicious girl in a very short skirt that highlighted her thunder thighs. Her plunging neckline revealed quite a lot of cleavage, but her completely unsupportive bra gave her a bad case of pancake boob.

I was not happy with this guy for depositing his stubbly face and his busted girlfriend in my peripheral vision, and I resolved to make him regret it.

He posts $10 in the CO, and another new player at the table has already posted $10 as well. Action folds to the tool, who raises his post to $50. I resolve to pop him with any two from the button. I find 72o, but a deal's a deal, so I make it $150. He glances at my stack, ponders a moment, and calls.

The flop comes 444, and immediately he asks me "Did you make a full house, too? I made a full house. I check." I hate it when people run their mouths during a hand. After a few moments of thought, I bet $180, and he calls.

Turn is a T, and he checks. [censored] Zeebo Theorem can I really get this tool to fold whatever [censored] full house he has? If I really had a big pair I'd just price him in on the turn and river since he's only got a pot-sized bet left in his stack and probably no understanding of what "pot odds" actually means. But that's exactly why I can't run a bluff that way, and if I just shove now, he'll probably put me on AK like the live "pro" tool that he is. So after much thought I check behind.

The river is a K, and I get as excited about this as I would if I really had AK. "Damn," he says with deliberately, conspicuously bad acting. "I let you get there. You got AK. I should have bet the turn, huh? OK, I check." As I am pondering, he keeps mentioning AK, and every time he does, I have to wait a few more seconds before I can bluff. Finally he shuts his stubbly mouth long enough for me to announce a bet of $350. Dickface turbo-mucks and sneers at me with an intolerable air of superiority, "Do you think I'm an idiot?"

I flip my 72o, and his face drops like a rock as the implications of this hand become clear to him. Here he has taken his filly to come watch him own this "high stakes" poker game, and not only has he lost, not only has he been bluffed, but some kid took one look at him and decided that it would be profitable to play the worst hand in poker against him. It's not like I missed a flush draw and had no choice but to bluff the river. Having never played a pot with this guy in my life, I took one look at him and decided to run a multi-street bluff from scratch with seven-deuce off-suit.

His girl starts consoling him with thigh stroking, but of course her pity is the last thing he wants right now. She is supposed to be in awe of him, not feeling sorry for him. "I wish you had flopped two pair. I would have taken all your money," he tells me. 77 I guess? Yeah, if the case seven and a deuce had flopped, you probably would have stacked me. Congratulations. I kind of half shrug but still have not said a word to him.

Now he puts $1000 more in bills on the table and is on mega-tilt, limping into every pot, calling any raise, and firing at lots of flops. Amazingly, the table is letting him get away with it, and I can't pick up anything to play against him. Finally a nice guy on my left cold calls a reraise from the kid with A's in the SB, leads a rag flop, and shoves over the kid's raise. The kid calls but mucks when the dude flips his hand on the river and storms away from the table with his woman tripping after him in her skinny heels.

Meanwhile, the guy who just stacked him, who was already up for the session, is now up quite a lot. He calls his wife to tell her the good news and starts racking his chips. We'd been friendly, so I tell him it's been good playing with him. "I'll play another round," he tells me. Live poker 102: Always bluff a guy who has already bragged to his wife about how much money he has won.

Unfortunately, the guy is on my left, and I can't get him to enter a pot. Finally, he raises $35 UTG in what is likely to be his last hand. A super-loose, short-stacked kid who looked half Japanese and half Filipino calls, and I call out of the BB with 93o. I would have reraised, but didn't want to commit my stack against the kid. Flop K94. Hmmm, maybe I won't need to bluff after all. I check, my buddy bets $60, the kid folds, and I call. Turn 5, I lead $120, and the guy folds. I was probably good all along, but I was ready to bet 2x pot on the river if called.

Now I've got a nice, wild image and nearly $3000 on the table. Time to run this table. My sights turn back to the young Asian kid who stacked off with AK. He opens for $30 UTG+1, a really loose and spewy older Asian man calls, someone else calls, and I raise to $160 with J9o in the CO. Only the older man calls, leaving himself a pot-sized bet left in his stack. I'm prepared to shove a lot of flops, but leads into me on an Ace high board that misses me completely, and I fold.

A few hands later, the loose Swede limps, a quiet guy in sunglasses and a black t-shirt with skulls on it limps, there was probably another limper in there somewhere, and I raise to $75 with QJo. The Swede and the metalhead call. Flop J45r, Swede checks, and the metalhead leads into me for $120. WTF is this? I call, and the Swede calls.

Turn is a blank, and now the guy shoves his last $360. Ugh, is he really shoving worse than QJ after getting called twice on the flop. Apparently he is, because after I fold, the Swede calls and his 67 is good when a 7 rivers. Bastard!

After like four limpers, I raise to $100 with Ac Kc and get called by the spewy old Asian man and by a very young, very quiet Swede. He was at the table when I sat down two hours ago and hasn't played many pots since. From the little bit that I've seen, he plays well post-flop. He's got about $2000 and seems to respect my play, ie he hasn't tangled with me and has complimented me on a few hands.

Flop As Qd Jd, they check to me, and I bet $200, ready to get it in with the SOAM for $800 or whatever he's playing. However, he folds, and the Swede calmly drops six $100 bills into the pot.

On the one hand, he didn't seem at all inclined to force action at the table and in particular seemed to be staying out of my way. Plus, this seems like a pretty bad spot randomly to make a move on me. But on the other hand, what hands over-limp, over-call a raise, and then drill a flop like this? After much thought, I folded, and he showed me the 8h. I nodded with a thin smile on my face, and he said, "I had an A to go with it, of course."

All this spewing has been expensive, and suddenly I realize I've only got $1700, barely what I started with. Time to rectify that situation. I open 4s 3s UTG for $35, and the action folds to the young Asian kid I targeted a while ago, who makes it $140. Everyone folds to me, and I figure with $1700 effective stacks and a good read I can justify this call.

Flop As 8d 6s. This development has exciting implications. I check, he bets $150, I call. Turn Qs, and I peel $400 in bills from behind my stack and drop them into the pot. He stares me down for a long time before calling. There are a lot of rivers I don't want to see, including any spade and anything that pairs the board. Thankfully, it's a harmless deuce. After a pregnant pause designed to invoke the memory of my big bluff against the tool from Philly, I shove the rest of my stack. The kid calls so quickly that I momentarily fear a higher flush, but instead he just looks disgusted when I table my hand, and the dealer ships me a nice pot.

After another orbit, I take a break to hit the restroom, get some food, and count my money. It's 7PM, and I'm still $600 short of my goal. I don't plan on playing poker tomorrow, and I want to play day 1A of the main event, so I need to get this [censored] taken care of tonight. I return to the table with a fruit salad and a mission.

Even thought I could come in CO-1, I decide to wait for my BB and enjoy my fruit. As I'm waiting, some guy in a Dead Money hat with a press pass around his neck takes a seat in the SB. He orders a beer, which the waiter spills across his chips. From what I saw, very little beer got on the guy, but he gets all pissy anyway. Jesus christ, these servers are delivering thousands of drinks each in a cramped, chaotic environment. Sometimes they are going to spill, it pretty much only got your chips, it's nothing to get worked up about, so just sit back down you [censored] [censored] [censored]. People like this are what I hate most about live poker. New mission: bust this clown.

Two limps to me, I raise to $75 with black TT. The Japapino calls, the soggy journalist calls from the SB, and both limpers call. [censored] me, this is a big pot, please Lord show me a sweet sweet ten. Flop Ah Qh Td!!!!! And to make the moment even more orgasmic, the journalist leads out for $200. Folds to me, and after a moment of thought, I raise to $700. Folds to him, he insta-shoves, I call, he flips AQ YES YES YES YES THANK YOU GOD AND THANK YOU KARMA FOR STICKING IT TO THIS POS!!! Usually in big pots like this I sweat it until the river, but this time I know that my hand is going to hold. The universe will not let this guy suck out, the universe will not let this guy suck out.

The universe does not let this guy suck out. He walks away from the table without saying a word or finishing his replacement beer. It takes me five racks to carry all my chips over to the cage, and that's after shoving like twelve bills into my pocket. Losing at live poker is way more frustrating than losing online, but there is nothing more rewarding than owning two live assholes and then carrying a mountain of chips over to the cage.

It's official: I'll be playing Day 1A of the World Series of Poker Main Event.

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Wednesday, July 4, 2007

$1000 Single Table Satellite

Went out to the Rio last night, primarily to meet Nate from 2+2. Traffic was atrocious, so it took me like twice as long to get there as it should have, but I still had about two hours to play. I got a seat in a new game, and when I got there, there were like five people at the table and three other piles of chips with no player in sight. The dealer asked if we wanted to get started, and I was of course all for it, but this thirty-something Jewish dude on my left who looked like a giant prick said he wouldn't play until a sixth got there. He sounded like a giant prick when he said it.

Table didn't look too wild, mostly solid-looking guys who weren't smiling or talking or laughing or anything. A few were in for as little as $500, but there were a couple with $1200-$1500, and the prick on my left (the only guy at the table wearing sunglasses, and they were prick sunglasses) had bought in for $4000.

The table played like a tight/standard live game, plenty of limping and calling, not a lot of betting and raising. Easy but not especially profitable or interesting. The prick on my left was mostly folding and not saying anything, occasionally he would he would grumble quietly to me about the limpers, but unlike me, he never raised them light. He seemed to think I was the only decent player at the table and wanted to have a bitch session with me about how bad everyone else was, but he seemed like a giant prick and also kind of bad in his own way so I just kind of nodded.

On my right was a Brazilian guy in headphones who didn't like how tight the table was playing and kept initiating deals where the entire table agreed to straddle for an orbit. On my straddle, there were a few limpers, and I raised $100 on top with whatever two cards I was holding. Everyone folded, and the Brazilian complimented me on my steal. I smiled and mucked.

Later in the orbit, I raised his limp, he called and check-folded to a bet on a TT9 flop. He asked what I had, and I told him an Ace, which was true.

A few orbits later, everyone folded to him in the BB, and he completed my straddle. I knew he expected me to raise, and I was prepared to do it with a wide range, but I decided just to check 76o. Flop KQ8cc, we check it through. Turn offsuit 5, he checks, I bet $35, he raises to $75. Easy call. River offsuit 4 that's gin baby! He checks. Now there's very little chance he's bluffing with such a small turn check-raise, and all the most obvious draws missed, so I know he's checking cuz he thinks he's good and wants me to bluff at it. So I oblige and bet $250 at a pot of like $190. He tanks for a minute, calls, and mucks when I table the nuts.

A little while later, I completed 98o from the SB after a few people had limped a straddle. Flop 567r, I lead for 100, some dude raises to 250 with 150 behind, and calls off the rest. A 7 on the river worries me, but he shows 65, and I scoop the pot. The prick on my left, who had played like three hands in the last hour, complained that all the donkeys were giving me their money. Can't win if you don't play, sir!!!!

The table still sucked, and I was up like $850 at this point, so I called Nate to see if he wanted to go early for dinner. He did, so I cut out before my next BB, and we went over to the Sao Paolo Cafe.

The Sao Paolo isn't anything spectacular, but they are close to the Amazon Room and will give you a pretty tasty meal fairly quickly and cheaply. I haven't been many other places in the Rio, but none of them look spectacular, so Sao Paolo is a solid staple. Highly recommended for WSOP dinner breaks.

Nate is hands down my favorite 2+2 poster. There are plenty of people who have won a lot more money than he has and are probably better at poker, but few of them have his range of expertise (he can discuss betting strategy after the second draw in Badugi as intelligently as he can re-stealing at a MTT final table) or his ability to express ideas in a clear and concise way. It was a pleasure to meet him, as he seemed to be an interesting guy in real life as well.

After dinner we got coffee at Starbucks with his roommate, 2+2 poster Pete Fabrizio (sorry, Pete, despite asking you twice, I forgot your real name), who had been sweating the $10K PLO final table. Pete is apparently a PLO genius.

We didn't get to talk much PLO, but he did say something interesting in response to my complaints about the tight prick at my 5/10 table who inexplicably bought in for $4000: "The last $1000 in his stack is usually going to go in as a big dog." This concept isn't revolutionary, but I'd never thought about it in that way before. A super tight player usually gets his money in good for the first few bets. I mean, if I'm open raising 50% of hands from the CO and this guy is only calling top 10% on his button, then obviously he's going to be ahead pre-flop the times he calls me. But with the cards he's playing, he's not going to make a lot of 400BB hands. When that much money goes in on a 9QK flop, for instance, it's likely that I've made a straight against his set.

Anyway, I watched the final three of the PLO tournament for a little while, but it was moving pretty slowly, so I went and got myself on a 5/10 NL list. It was a long list, though, and while I was waiting, I heard them call open seating for a $1030 single table satellite. That'll do.

This guy who looked like an Arab Andy Bloch organized a $300 last longer, and I thought about getting in on it, but decided it would be in my interest to have other people at the table concerned about busting so that I could shove into their BB's. It certainly didn't affect Arab Andy's play, because while the rest of the table was tight to a fault, he was making absurd calls and shoves left and right and sucking out pretty consistently.

We didn't lose a single player until the 200/400 level, which with 5000 starting chips is unheard of. Across the table from me was some bearded dude in his 40's who was pretty consistently in a grumpy mood. He complained about the dealer exposing cards, the speed at which we were moving, the way others were playing, etc.

The second player to go out was this kid on my right shoved 4600 with T9o on his BB when Arab Andy opened for 1600 at the 300/600 level. Andy thought for a while and ended up calling with QJ. Obviously he should have been calling any two, but Beardy made fun of him for that call. A few hands later another guy shoved 3600 or so and I snapped him off with AA which put me second in chips behind Andy.

Then Beardy opened for 1600 and the SB shoved 2200 more. "Why do I feel like I'm dominated?" he started hemming and hawing over the most straight-forward call ever and nearly folded. He looked at AAB and said, with an air of superiority, "I've got the same hand you had, it's half as much for me to call, there's three times as much in the pot, and I'm still thinking about." Well sir that just makes you six times as much of an idiot, doesn't it? Finally he called with QJ and beat A6 (which he criticized the guy for shoving).

When blinds hit 500/1000, we were 6-handed, and I shoved KQo UTG for 8500. The guy to my left called pretty quickly, and then the guy to his left tanked and finally called. Whoops. First guy shows AK, second shows... 55!!! Well that just pads the pot for my inevitable suckout. Flop JJT, turn 9, BINK! I dodge a Q or 5 river and bust two players to take back the chip lead. A few hands later, with blinds capped at 2000/4000, the guy in last shoves, Beardy calls all in, and Andy calls them both with KJs. First guy had A3, Beardy had TT, and Andy makes the flush to bust them both.

As soon as we got heads up, I offered a 50-50 chop. I had only 40% of the chips, but the last satellite I played, the last two standing chopped 50-50 when one dude had 75% of the chips, so I figured it was worth a shot. AAB wanted 60-40. I proposed 55-45, but he wouldn't take it, so I just took the even chop. Even though he had been the worst player at the table, his stupidly loose aggressive tendencies were probably going to help him play well with huge blinds, and I didn't want to flip a coin for $10,000. I would have expected a skill edge against Beardy the old nit and probably insisted on getting an edge in a chop, but with AAB, I think it really was going to be a crapshoot who won.

I'm off to play some more satellites now, wish me luck!

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Tuesday, July 3, 2007

Riverboatking Final Tables the WSOP $10K PLO Championship

Jonas Flug-Entin, 2+2's Riverboatking, is at the final table of the $10,000 World Series of Poker Pot Limit Omaha Championship event. It's a pretty sick line-up:

Seat 1 - Doyle Brunson - 510,000
Seat 2 - Patrik Antonius - 650,000
Seat 3 - Marco Traniello - 420,000
Seat 4 - Rene Mouritsen - 775,000
Seat 5 - Tommy Ly - 1,895,000
Seat 6 - Jonas Flug-Entin - 445,000
Seat 7 - Steve Sung - 175,000
Seat 8 - Stephen Ladowski - 360,000
Seat 9 - Robert Mizrachi - 1,090,000

I'm pulling for Jonas, but a win for Brunson would give the legent his 11th WSOP bracelet, tying the record recently set by Phil Hellmuth. Seeing Phil's glory temporarily squashed would not break my heart.

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Saturday, June 30, 2007

Funny Johnny Chan Story

I heard this story from Bond, who heard it from someone else, so I have no idea how true it is, but I think it's hilarious, regardless.

Some NLHE tournament or something, guy raises pre-flop, Chan calls out of the blinds. On the flop, Chan check-raises all him, and the guy starts agonizing over his decision. He's grunting, groaning, staring at Chan, asking what he's got, holding his head in his hands, just making a big production out of it. Finally, after like two minutes of this, he goes, "Bang! Bang! God you!" and flips over bottom set. Then, as the dealer is pushing him the pot, he takes out his cell phone, and, with Chan still at the table, calls up his buddy, and says, "Hey, dude, guess what?! I just slow-rolled Johnny Chan!!!"

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WSOP $500 Satellite

After the $5K yesterday, I played a $512+13 ten-handed satellite. It was winner take all in tournament lammers, but since this was live poker, my understanding was that deals were almost always made.

The play was predictably bad. Tons of limping pre-flop, no one ever raised without having AK or TT+. Oh except one guy who raised A8 then stacked off on a 764 flop, losing to a set of 6's.

Half the table was comprised of a group of Mexicans who were all friends with each other. One lady was concerned about collusion, but I think she was just a racist, cuz the guys only spoke English at the table and weren't like constantly getting involved in the same pots or anything. One of the Mexicans, a kind of fat guy with a goatee and some badass tatoos, got into a little spat with some European donk who was insisting that a guy who called all in on the river (European wasn't involved in the pot) had to reveal his cards even though he mucked when the better turned over the nuts.

The Mexican guy seemed mostly to be messing with the European, who was taking it way too seriously. They called over the floor, who confirmed that the hand should have been shown. The Mexican made a big show of apologizing for questioning the European.

A few hands later, once again a pot the Euro wasn't involved in, some guy who barely spoke English through in a five hundred chip and held up five fingers. The dealer announced a raise, and the European asked if it shouldn't be a call, since the guy didn't say raise. The dealer ignored him, but the Mexican guy laughed and said, "I bet you were the hall monitor at your school. Always run to the principal's office and tell him when people are smoking in the parking lot." Whole table laughed at the fuming European.

Still at 25/50 (2000 starting chips, 15 minute levels, shit structure), the funny Mexican opens for 250. I flat call with QQ cuz from what I've seen he's capable of reading hands and can probably play pretty well against a 3-bet when he's opened so large to begin with. Two other guys call, whoops. Flop T 8 5, check to the Mexican, he bets 850, I shove 1600, guy to my left (the one who doubled with set of 6's) insta-re-shoves, and I know I'm toast. I'm sure any of these donkeys is capable of calling my all in cold with worse than QQ, but they'd have to think about it. The insta-call is scary.

THEN, the Mexican starts going on about how sick this is and how he's got a big hand and finally he shoves in too and I have to be just smoked. But nope Mexican has JTs, other guy has 97 for an open-ender, and my hand holds up.

We get down to four-handed, and I've got half the chips in play, though blinds are humongous. The 97 guy to my left is second in chips, then there's some white kid and one of the Mexicans both kinda short. 97 guy proposes a 500 chip save. Are you insane? The kid has 2 BB's and no idea how to play a stack that size, we would just be giving him $500 for no reason. I decline the chop, and instantly win some enemies at the table.

I bust the kid with A2s on my button v his last BB, and again decline a $500 save, since I still have half the chips in play. Mexican open completes from the SB, I find AK and shove, showing it when he folds (since I'm going to be shoving a lot). "Thought so," he said. "I folded A9." Wow, how terrible to open complete that and then fold to a shove. No way I am dealing with this guy still in it.

Amazingly, he shoves at his next five opportunities, and every time, he shows an Ace. Must be nice. At this point I'm blinded down to just below average, and I tell the guys I'm now willing to do the $500 save. "Why now but not before?" 97 asks.

"I had a lot more chips then."

He stares at me like I just raped a nun. "Oh, so now that you have less chips, you want to make a deal?"

"Yes," I tell him very simply.

They both agree, and we play on. I shove A3 from the button for 7 BB's, and the Mexican tanks. What now? He finally calls with AJ (tough spot there, amigo), but I spike my 3. "Why you put all those chips in there with A3?" he asks me disgustedly.

"It wasn't really that many chips." We play on, he keeps picking up shoving hands. I correctly muck A9 when he standard raisies the button, and he shows us AJ. Must be nice.

Blinds go up again, I shove A3 for 6 BB from the button, now 97 insta-calls. Christ, how do these weak-tight nits get dealt premiums every fucking time? He's got KK, and I'm down to 500, which is only half the BB I now have to post. 97 open limps the button, Mexican completes, and on the flop they agree verbally to check it down and have the dealer just put out the board all at once. Blatant collusion, but whatever. I make two pair to triple up.

Next hand, Mexican min-raises the button, I've got 1/3 of my stack in the pot blind so I try to call as confidently as possible with 94o, but BB calls the min-raise anyway. Board is 875, BB is going to check, but then Mexican bets out of turn. BB is a little offended Mex wasn't going to check it down with him, but then decides he's going to do the betting. He bets, Mex shoves 66, he calls with K7. Mex spikes on the turn to eliminate me and collect 75% of the chips in play.

The second I'm eliminated, they agree to a 50/50 chop. I mean, they agree instantly, no haggling or anything. My head explodes thinking about how much equity the Mexican is giving up here. Each of them pays me 250 from his half and they both leave happy.

Oh, and just to be clear, 76 was not one of the Mexicans. These guys weren't buddies or anything, just live players who enjoy making awful deals. The atrocious deal making in these things alone is probably enough edge to justify playing them, never mind that the play is terrible at all stages. The only problem is that I had to stand in line for like 45 minutes to get a seat in one.

Oh the low rake is a sweet deal, too. Factor in a $10 meal voucher, and you're only paying $3 juice.

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Friday, June 29, 2007

WSOP $5000 6-Max Trip Report

I am both pretty good at poker and kind of arrogant, so it is rare for me not to be one of the best players at any poker table and even rarer for me to admit it. In yesterday’s $5K 6-max event, I was not one of the best players at my table. I probably was not even in the top half.

While waiting for the tournament to start, I recognized Grayfx (from the 2+2 forums) walking into the Poker Kitchen. We caught up for a minute, then headed into the Amazon Room, where he introduced me to Bond18, who to my great disappointment was not wearing one of his trademark suits. His shirt had buttons on it, though, which still made him one of the best-dressed players in the room. Superfluous Man joined us as well, and we all speculated about the size and difficulty of the field before taking our seats.

“So where’s everyone sitting?” Bond finally asks.I glance at my card. “Table 71, Seat 3.” He shoots me a look, glances at his own card, and then shows it to me. It reads, “Table 71, Seat 2.” The day is not off to a good start. At least I’ve got position and someone to talk to.

This sucks for Bond and me, because we'd both prefer not to have the other at the table, but it really sucks for the two guys who are backing both of us. I know we're not the only two horses they've got in this event, but it's a major beat for them to have the two of us playing against each other with the same money.

Our whole table turns out to be very solid, probably one of the toughest in the whole tournament, especially based on some stories we hear from others. In the 1 seat is a very solid Swedish player. Swedes have a reputation for being super-aggressive, but this guy was just very, very solid. As Bond put it, “I haven’t seen him get one wrong yet.”

Then there was Bond, then me, then to my left a guy in his mid-20's who was getting some attention from the Pocket Fives people covering the event. Rounding out the table were two middle-aged white guys in cheap polo shirts.

Stereotyping alone led me to think that these two would be the weakest players at the table, which isn’t to say they would be bad. The second guy was pretty tight and straight-forward, but the first one, whose polo read “Legends of Sports”, seemed sorta spewy. He was just a little too loose passive, limping into a lot of pots, calling raises, checking, betting too small, etc. Oh, and there was this hand: he limps UTG+1, button limps, SB completes, I check Ts7 on my BB. Flop KsQs3s. I lead 150, Legends calls, everyone else folds. Turn is an off-suit T, I check, he bets 200, I decide I could have a lot of outs and am getting a good price, so I call. River blank, I check, he shoves. Huh? Yeah, he shoves his 9K stack at this <1K pot. I turbo muck and roll my eyes at Bond.

That was the only pot I played for the first 3-4 orbits, not even making position raises from the button or completing in the SB. I just wasn’t getting playable hands, and there was no one at the table playing so badly that I was looking for excuses to play pots with him. Finally, I found what looked like a good spot to make a play. The Swede, who’d been opening kind of aggressively pre-flop at first, raised to 150, and Bond called. I decided it was a good squeeze spot and made it 750 from the button. Legends quickly through 4-bet me cold to 2000 from the BB, and I turbo-mucked my 2-4s.

A few orbits later, blinds were up to 50/100, and Bond opened UTG. I hadn’t been messing with him much except in our blind battles, but with JJ, I had an easy reraise to 900. The p5'er on my left, however, thought for a bit and made it 2400 (Bond claims he made it 2100, but I was pretty sure it was 2400). Either way, I didn’t feel I could stack off for 100 BB’s with JJ against a cold 4-bettor, so I mucked.

Around this time, I notice Legends talking to some guy in a Full Tilt shirt and hat. From what I overhear of their conversation, it sounds like the guy is complimenting Legends on something he wrote. “...nice counterpoint to Ferguson’s more mechanical chapter.” Wait a damn minute. Is that... yeah. The guy I pegged for table fish is none other than world renowned poker player Ted Forrest. I must be missing something.

One of the last hands before break, I raise to 300 with Jc8c in the CO and Forrest calls in the SB. Flop Qd Jd Ts. He checks and calls 500 on the flop, then checks and folds to 1500 on a blank turn.I tell Bond how I didn’t recognize Forrest until right before break, and he laughs at me. Although he agrees Forrest looks different in person, he figured it out in about 10 seconds. Oh, well. Then I tell him I figured Forrest for the soft spot at the table, and to my surprise, he agreed. “I don’t think he’s been playing well at all.”We get back from break with blinds at 100/200. After folding an orbit or two, get Ad-Qd on the button with an 8400 stack and open to 550. The p5'er calls in the SB, everyone else folds. Flop Qc 8d 4c. He checks and calls a bet of 800. Turn is the 6h, he checks and calls 1600. Then he bets 3600 into me on a 9c river. Ugh. I’ll have fewer than 10BB’s if I call and lose. Did he really check-call twice with a flush draw? I could see doing it on the flop, but the turn was a pretty big bet to call on a draw. Maybe he picked up a pair also? OK, well if he’s bluffing, what’s he bluffing with? There aren’t any other draws out there that missed. It’s hard to put him on a flush, but I just can’t see any other hand that makes sense. How did he get to the river with a hand that needs to bluff? I finally fold, and he shows me a pair of 3's. Huh? I guess he outplayed me on the river, but even if he successfully bluffs every club river, he’s still losing money on the turn call. I’m baffled, but I think I did a good job of not letting it tilt me.

The very next hand, I open KQ to 600 UTG, and the same guy makes it 1800. Then Ted caps his cards, thinks for a minute, and shoves 4200. Easy muck with KQ, right? P5'er is priced in to call with any two, but has AQ. Who wants to guess Forrest’s hand. Anyone? AA? KK? AK? Would you believe a pair of deuces? He wins the flip, and the p5'er is absolutely floored, but manages to avoid any outright berating. There was plenty of other stuff I saw Ted do sometimes that seemed bad to me, but I could give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he knows something I don’t. But there is just NO WAY that 4-bet shoving deuces there can be anything but a spew, and not a small one, at that.

I work my stack back up to 6000 when Forrest raised my BB to 550. I was just thinking how I was a little too deep to re-steal, but then I found AA. I’d need a narrow range to 3-bet him here, and at the time that seemed like a good reason to flat call, but thinking back on that 22 hand, maybe I should have reraised. Anyway, the flop came Kd Qx 5d, I checked, he bet 500, and folded when I raised to 2000.

After another pot or two, I was back up around 8000. Stakes were up to 100/200/25, and I made it 600 UTG with A-Qo. The other middle aged guy who wasn’t Ted called in the SB, something he’d do with a wider range than he should, and the Swede called in the BB, which I figured could be a wide range since he was kind of priced in to a 3-way pot. Hence, I bet 1400 on a Ts 8s 3d flop. The Swede called after a moment of thought. Turn was a blank, and we checked it through. River was the Js, and he quickly checked again. Based on his timing alone, I didn’t feel he would have a flush here, so I bet 3200. This bet-check-bet line is so often a pot control line with a good one pair hand that I’ll often bluff whiffed overs on the river against a certain type of player, not to mention that scare card falling on the river.

But as soon as the chips left my hand, my brain started shouting at me, “What are you doing?! This is bad! Bad! He knows you’re bluffing. He’s suspicious. He’s going to call!” The negative thoughts burning through my head were making me paranoid that I’d give off some tell. I stared hard at the felt, trying my best not to flinch beneath the Swede’s calm, casual gaze. He counted off the chips for a call, and I tried not to look sick. He moved them forwards, then pulled them back again. Then he confidently set them in the middle. “Call.” T9 is good, sir. Nice call. I thought this hand over afterwards, and I don’t feel it’s a bad spot, intrinsically, to bluff. I could and would play JJ+, AJ, and flush draws like this some of the time. However, I think I had a bad feeling about it because my timing was wrong. I checked too quickly on the turn, whereas with an overpair or a flush draw I would probably need to think about what to do with it. And again, while my river range is much wider than flush or air and includes a lot of hands that beat T9, I probably think for at least a second or two before making a thinnish value bet (and compared to the river ranges of most live players, any one pair hand is a thin value bet). Also, the Swede hadn’t seen me make bets like this before, which may have made him more inclined to figured me for flush or bluff. I felt thoroughly outplayed.

After an orbit or two of looking for a good resteal spot, I find A9 in the SB facing a button raise from Bond. “All in.” Much to my dismay, Pocket 5's caps his cards and shoves over the top from his BB, tabling AcQd. Ugh. But wait is that a 9c in the door? Followed by another 9? And the Jc? Trips on the flop puts me way out in front, and he shakes his head in frustration and gathers his things. The table calls him back when the Qc turns. Suddenly he’s got 10 outs on the river. I grimace as a 3c rolls off and puts him back in action. He was even shorter than I, so I’ve still got a little to work with. I open shove once or twice to get up around 2800, then get A4 in the SB against another Bond button raise. I shove, he makes a good call with Kd Td, and as soon as I see a diamond in the door, I know I’m in trouble. He flops a flush draw, but my A-high miraculously holds up.

Next orbit, I raise to 600 with K-Qo, and Forrest calls. Flop AK5. I check, and he bets 400. Easy call. Turn blank, I check, he bets 900, and I call. River A, I check prepared to call a bet of any size, but he checks back and my hand is good. Based on how Forrest had been playing, I was 99% confident in my hand on the flop and turn. He’d always been playing one pair hands for pot control on early streets and betting larger with his monsters, so I really couldn’t think of a possible holding for him that beat me. That was a bit of a confidence booster.

Blinds are 150/300 after break, and an orbit or two later, I’m sitting in the BB with 4800. P5's opens UTG to 800 and Forrest calls. P5's was capable of pretty aggressive pre-flop play from any position, and Forrest had been taking a lot of flops in position, so I was looking for an excuse to squeeze. K-Jo was plenty good, and I had the perfect stack size for it. P5's folded, but Forrest tanked and counted it down. Once he didn’t call instantly, I figured I was in decent shape, cuz he isn’t going to turn over JJ+ or AK. He flips A-Js afhsakhgklashgkla’jfdsahglkahgag why do they never have AQ or TT or something that’s good but still gives me a ****ing chance?!?!?! Flop A T x, but I can’t drill the gutter ball and Forrest eliminates me.

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Wednesday, June 27, 2007

WSOP $5000 6-Max Tomorrow

I'd been going back and forth on whether to play this. I've been frustrated with how few prelim events I've played and how little playing time I ended up with in the two that I did play. However, my bankroll can't really handle more shots right now, especially since I still need to buy into the main event and want to have 100% of my own action in that. I don't generally like taking stakes, but I really wanted to play tomorrow's event and was able to line up a deal that met my needs well. I sold 1/3 of my action to two different people for $2500 each, so I'm freerolling tomorrow for 1/3 of anything I win. If I'm lucky enough to win a big prize, I'm sure it will be frustrating to give away 2/3 of it, but playing what should be one of the best events in the series without denting my bankroll will be nice.

Wish me luck!

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Sunday, June 24, 2007

Ray Coburn Eliminated in 8th Place

Ray "ExitOnly" Coburn busted from the WSOP $2000 PLHE tournament in 8th place when his 44 lost to AK all in pre-flop. That's worth $22,000 and change. Congratulations, Ray!

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Life Fish

Just read a good post from Taylor Caby (Green Plastic) over at Cardrunners that captures very well my sentiments towards at least one segment of the WSOP scene:

"I'm already really tired of the whole live poker scene. I don't HATE vegas by any means, but i do hate the tourney circuit and all the bs that goes along with it. For the most part, these players are miserable. They berate dealers, act like they are celebrities, look down on players who aren't in the "in" crowd, etc. It's almost like high school all over again, except it is a bunch of grown men (and occasionally women, who often times i've found are even worse with this stuff)."

He goes on to draw a distinction between live and internet pros, and while I certainly agree that the latter tend to be better players, I'm not sure they're necessarily better mannered. Internet pros are so accustomed to having a good game available whenever they want it that they take it for granted and often have little concern for the ethics of poker. The anonymity of the internet, combined with the fact that many of these guys are very young and not accustomed to being popular, seems to give them license to run their mouths, berate other players, act cocky, etc. A lot of them are very willing to bring that behavior with them when they play live.

Case in point is the guy I called "Izod" from my $2500 6-max trip report. It turned out he was a member of 2+2, as I suspected he was, and he responded to my trip report basically to defend his behavior because he said he was trying to tilt the fish. In my opinion, this misses the point entirely. Essentially, he was saying, "No, no, I was acting like a complete douche because I thought I could make some money by doing it!" Congratulations, you're a life fish.

I also think is a lie, or at least an exaggeration. I'm pretty sure the kid acted exactly the way he wanted to act, making fun of Dogtown and laughing at his play to his face, and then attached some ad hoc "justification" to this shameful behavior. It certainly wasn't the case that this guy needed any encouragement to make a loose call, and even if it were, well, it would take a lot more than a small edge in a poker tournament to cause me to make a complete tool out of myself.

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Saturday, June 23, 2007

ExitOnly Final Tables the $2000 PLHE

Ray Coburn, 2+2's ExitOnly, has final tabled the $2000 PLHE event at the WSOP (yeah, the one I scrubbed out of in like 2 hours). He's coming in as the short stack, but this kid is so good, he's probably the favorite to win anyway.

Check out his blog, too. Good luck, Ray!

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Friday, June 22, 2007

WSOP $2000 Pot-Limit Hold 'Em

Today I played my second preliminary event in the 2007 World Series of Poker. The game was pot-limit, rather than no limit, Texas Hold 'Em, with a $2000 buy-in. As the name implies, a player may not at any point bet or raise more than the amount in the pot. The game still plays very similarly to no limit hold'em, especially given the relatively shallow stacks we get to work with. The most important difference is that antes are never used in pot limit games, so that the forced blind bets drive the action exclusively. This means pots are smaller pre-flop, and therefore a tighter, more conservative strategy is generally correct. That's not a 100% good thing for me, because although I'm capable of adapting, that's not my preferred style of play. However, smaller pots also mean there are more decisions to be made in any given hand, and since I expect generally to make better decisions than my opponents, that's a source of profit for me.

On the way to the Rio, I had to stop at Bank of America to get some cash. I hate Bank of America. Unfortunately, I got stuck with them after they bought out Fidelity, with whom I'd previously had an account. They constantly mail me credit card offers inside envelopes labeled "Important Account Information!" Jesus Christ, you are a multi-billion dollar financial institution, why are you resorting to fly-by-night, Publisher's Clearinghouse scam tactics?

Anyway, I go up to the teller, swipe my card, enter my PIN, and tell her I want to withdraw money from my checking account. "Would you like to open a Nevada account now that you live out here?"

What in God's name are you blathering about? "I don't live here, I'm just out here for about a month." I made one other withdrawal a few days ago, and I have no idea, even if the teller knew that she would conclude that I now live in Vegas. And even if I did, why would I want to change my account? Because I've always wanted a Nevada routing number on my checks?

"Oh, are you visiting family?"

What? Why do you care, just give me my money. "Kinda, my girlfriend."

She smiles. "Have you heard about our blahblablah credit card?"

Ugh. "Yes." Any chance that will spare me the spiel?

"Great, well you can get blah blah blah APR..."

"Not interested," I interrupt her.

"Maybe just for overdraft protection?"

"No thank you."

"OK, I'm just going to have to get my supervisor to authorize this, one moment." As we are waiting for the supervisor, she looks at me with a smile that tells me more inane badgering is on its way. "Can I ask why you're not interested in the credit card."

Good @#$% God, enough with the credit card! "I'm really not interested."

"It's an $8500 line of credit," the supervisor interjects.

This is unbelievable. I'm a very level-headed guy, and it takes a lot to get an abrupt response out of me. "Seriously, I don't want the credit card."

"OK, then, here you are, sir." The bitch finally signs the form to authorize my withdrawal, and I leave with my money.

My starting table in the tournament was fairly solid, with at least two other young, appropriately aggressive players. The softest looking spots were a middle-aged man with a big brown moustache and an older guy in blue sunglasses. The older guy largely fit my stereotype of loose passive play, but he turned out to have a bit of crazy in him.

We started with 4000 chips and blinds of 25/50. With fewer than 100 big blinds in the starting stacks, this is a pretty shallow structure that doesn't allow a lot of room for mistakes or bad luck. The first pot that I played, a few people still had not taken their seats, and one of the empty spots at the table was in the big blind. The action folded to the old guy, who just called the blind in late position. This is generally a weak play, but even more so when there's no one in the seat to defend the big blind. I decided I was going to raise with any two cards, but then i turned out I had Ace-King anyway. I raised to 275 and took it down. As I was planning on raising thiis guy quite a bit, often as a bluff, I showed him the Ace-King, hoping it would buy me a little credit next time.

Next orbit, one of the better players on my immediate right open raised to 150. This was the first time action had folded to him in late position, and I had a feeling he was going to be opening a pretty wide range. I was prepared to reraise him light, but then found Ace-Queen, which against a late position open is a legitimate reraising hand anyway. I made it 450, and he folded.

A few hands later, the old guy raised to 150, and the kid on my right reraised him to 400, which he called. On a flop of Q94, all different suits, the guy checked and called a bet of 600. The turn was something irrelevant, the old man checked, the kid bet 1000, and then the old man put him all in for 2500 more. Wow, that kind of action from a loose passive old man is usually a pretty strong hand. The kid must have the same thought, because he thought for a long time before calling with a pair of Aces. And the old man has... King-Ten, for nothing more than a gut shot straight draw! Like I said, he had a little crazy to him. The river paired the board, and the kid took down a nice pot.

Soon after, the old guy, who still had a fair number of chips, called the blind bet of 50, the same young guy called also, and I raised to 275 with Ace-nine of spades. The old guy was the only caller, and we saw an AK5 flop. He checked, and I decided to check also and give him a chance to launch some crazy at me. He bet 500 on an 2 turn, which I called. The river was a 3, and he checked. I thought it was unlikely he'd call a bet with anything worse than my top pair weak kicker, so I just turned over my hand, and he mucked.

Next orbit, I opened from late position with a raise of 150 holding Ace-King. A guy on my left who'd been quiet and pursed his lips like a duck bill whenever he played a pot called, and one of the more aggressive players in the small blind reached for some chips. I don't think I had a particularly aggressive image, but nonetheless, some players will often reraise light in this spot with what is called a 'squeeze play.' Basically he is hoping that I will fold often because I'm worried about the guy left to act behind me, and that the guy behind me will not often have a strong hand since he elected not to reraise me the first time. With the blinds plus my raise and a call already in the pot, that's a lot of chips to take down without a fight.

Given that Ace-King is a strong hand in its own right, and that there was some chance the kid was just on a squeeze play, I was prepared to come back over the top of his raise. However, he ended up raising very small, making is just 400. This made me suspicious, because the fact that he's offering such good odds on a call suggests he could have a very strong hand like AA or KK. I opted just to call his reraise after all, as I could get away cheap if I was behind and might be able to keep dominated hands like AQ and KJ around, whereas they would probably fold if I put in another raise. On the right flop, those hands could lose a lot of money to me. The flop was all rags, though, something like 753, and I folded to a bet. Oh well.

Despite his occasional crazy tendencies, the old man was still my best source of chips, so I kept hammering at him, raising his next call with a pair of 9's. The flop was KQ9, all clubs. Trips 9's is a very strong hand, but with all those clubs out there, slowplaying is too risky. I bet 400 into a pot of about 600, and much to my disappointment, he folded.

At this point, the table broke, and we all got moved to empty seats at other tables. Blinds went up to 50/100, and I didn't get much in the way of playable hands. I did open to 300 once with a pair of Queens, and an Italian (actually from Italy, not an Italian-American) called out of his BB. The flop was 7c 5d 2c, he checked, I bet 400, and he raised to 1000. It's pretty unlikely I'm beat here, but there are a lot of scary cards that could fall on the turn, and even if I just call, my opponent may slow down with worse hands than mine anyway. So, I moved all in for about 4000 more, and he folded.

On the last hand before our first break, the action folded to me on the button. I opened for the maximum, which was 350, holding a pair of 4's. The thing is that with a pair of 4's, I probably have the best hand, but anyone holding two overcards, even something as weak as 65, has the odds to call. Hence, I raised a little more than my usual 300. The big blind called anyway, and then he led into me for 500 on a Td 5h 2d flop. Hmmmm. When people call out of position pre-flop, they almost always check to the raiser on the flop, because the raiser usually bets the flop whether he hit it or not. Then the out of position player can raise if he likes his hand. The fact that this guy did attempt to check-raise me made me think he could be trying to steal on the cheap, and although there are two cards higher than my pair on the board, I felt I could still be ahead, so I called.

The turn was the 7h, putting two flush draws and several straight draws on the board. The guy bet 500 again. The pot was now 1750, and he was betting less than 1/3 of that, which gives me good odds if I'm on any kind of draw. This could mean that he himself is on a draw and wants to prevent me from making a larger bet, or that he is worried about the strength of his hand, or that he is bad at poker and trying to 'trap' me. Unfortunately, with about 5000 chips in my stack, I was in an awkward spot. I felt that if I just called the bet, it would be clear I was weak (since I'd passed up two opportunities to raise on a board where a lot of draws are possible), and he'd be able to bluff me on a lot of scary river cards. I also felt that even a small raise could be threatening to some of his better hands, because he will then be in the same situation on the river: even if he suspects he's ahead now, unless he wants to risk 5000 chips to find out, he'll be out position and potentially facing an all in bet on a scary river card. So I made a small raise, to just 1500, prepared to fold if he moved all in.

But he just called, and the river was the Ad, completing the flush that was the most likely draw for him to have had. He checked, which is actually bad to do if he just made a flush, but live players do this all the time anyway. There was about 5000 in the pot, and I had 3500 left in my stack. I contemplated moving all in to represent the flush and possibly knock him off some mid-pair hands that were beating me, but I decided the turn raise wasn't very consistent with me having a flush draw, and so I just gave up and checked. He turned over Ace-five offsuit, exactly the kind of thing I was hoping I could make him fold on the turn. Oh well, he probably would have snapped off my river bluff anyway. Not a great way to start the break.

When we came back, blinds were 75/150, meaning I could afford only 12-13 more orbits if I didn't pick up some chips. I stole the blinds once with A2 in late position and with KQ first to act. Then when I was in the big blind, the A5 guy made a pretty weak raise to just 350 from early position and got one call. I decided I was going to make a squeeze play with any hand that had sufficient showdown value, something like a pair or two big cards. But then I found a pair of Aces, the best possible starting hand! I reraised 900 more, but they both folded. At least that validates my feeling that it would have been a good time to bluff.

That put me back around 5000 after paying the blinds. After another orbit at the table, the first player to act just called 150, and I was next with Ace-Queen. I raised to 600, everyone else folded, and he called. The flop was Ah 3s 4h, giving me top pair with a good kicker. To my surprise, the other player led into me for 1000. There was now 1425 in the pot and about 4500 in my stack, so at this point my only objective is to get as much money in the pot as I can. If I'm beat, there's nothing I can do about it- we're too shallow for me to fold a hand this strong.

So how do I do that? Even my opponent was bluffing or semi-bluffing, there's a good chance he'll give up once I call that big bet unless he improves to a hand that beats me. This is what poker theorists call "reverse implied odds"- if he has this kind of hand, I stand to lose the rest of my chips if he does improve while winning nothing further if he does not. That's an argument to raise now, just to keep him from improving on a semi-bluffing hand.

If he has top pair with a worse kicker, I also think raising is the best way to get paid off, as there are a lot of turn cards that could scare him, and he may think that I am semi-bluffing if I raise. If he has a better hand than mine, well, then he is just going to win a big pot, and there's not anything I can do about it. So I raised, he moved all in, I called, and he showed me pocket 4's for three of a kind. The turn put another heart on the board, and since I had the Qh, this actually gave me a chance to win on the river, but alas, it was not to be. I lost the pot and was eliminated.

This last hand actually presents a very interesting situation, because although I was never the statistical favorite to win the pot, not pre-flop and certainly not on the flop, I believe that the way the hand as a whole will play out results in me showing a long-term profit. Allow me to explain:

When my opponent calls the raise to 600 pre-flop holding a pair of 4's, he is hunting for that third 4 on the flop to make three of a kind. He knows I'm likely to have fairly strong hand to be raising him from early position, and the times that he catches trips, he'll have a well-disguised monster and expects me to have something strong enough to pay him off. This is what poker theorists call "implied odds"- although his 44 is actually a slight favorite over my AQ, he has to realize that I could easily have a pair bigger than his 4's, in which case rather than being a slight favorite, he's going to be a big dog. He is not counting on the strength of his lowly pair winning the pot unimproved. Rather, he is speculating, making a small investment pre-flop with the intention of either winning a big pot when he makes his trips or getting away cheap when he doesn't.

But does he actually get paid off often enough for this strategy to be profitable? I think that he does not. Since he has already called 150, my raise charges him 450 more to see the flop. The times that he doesn't flop trips, he's generally going to have to check and fold to a bet, and I'm going to bet most flops, whether or not they improve my hand. So for example on a K85 flop, he will be folding the best hand, but he has to fold, since I could easily have AK, KJ, AA, or many other hands that have him drawing nearly dead. He'll only hit that 4 only about 15% of the time, which means that he'll be checking and folding about 85% of the time.

I have 4500 chips left in my stack, so if he wins all of them the 15% of the time that he does hit the 4, he'll come out alright. However, he isn't going to get my stack anywhere near that often. If the flop had been K84, he would have gotten one bet at most out of me, because once he bet or called a bet, I would have given up on my AQ and kept the rest of my money. He got a "perfect storm" flop that gave me a strong hand and him an even stronger one. Much more often, he'll miss and get bluffed out, or he'll hit, but I won't have a hand that can pay him off. In short, the implied odds aren't there for him to make that call pre-flop, even though he happened to win a big pot this time simply because the stars aligned in his favor.

Although this is analysis of the situation is a little rough around the edges, I think it illustrates an interesting point. Even though 100% of my money went into the pot when I was behind in the hand, I'm actually the one who stands to make money in this situation long term. Having won a big pot, however, my opponent will likely never realize that he was in fact making a marginally losing play. That's the magic of poker, and what makes it such a difficult game to master: losing plays work often enough to deceive players into thinking they are winning strategies. And winning players often find themselves playing Monday morning quarterback from the sidelines.

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Monday, June 18, 2007

WSOP $2500 6-Max

On Monday, I played my first WSOP preliminary event, a $2500 6-max tournament. This is a little beyond my bankroll, but there are so few opportunities to play 6-max tournaments, and I'm not playing many other events, so I decided to go for it.

The dealer at my first table was a bit of a character himself. As I sat down, he was talking with a dealer at the next table over about Ben Affleck (who, for those who don't know, is an avid poker player and at the WSOP). After finishing that conversation, he explained to us that he had a movie script that was going to "make millions" and he just needed to get it under Affleck's nose to escape the drudgery of poker dealing forever. Someone asked him, sarcastically, why he would want to leave this job, to which he replied, "I am so sick of getting cussed at and having cards thrown at me and all that bullshit. It's like, why are you getting angry at me? I dealt the cards, but I didn't tell you to call that raise with 76s."

To the dealer's left, in the 1 seat, is a young surfer dude with blond, spiky hair, dark sunglasses, and a goatee that juts out several inches below his chin. "Gnarly", as I’ll refer to him, worries me a bit just because guys our age don’t usually have the disposable income that would allow them to play a $2500 poker tournament with a negative expectation. He isn’t bad, but he does play very straight-forwardly, and his table talk demonstrates a rather shallow level of thinking about the game.

To his left, and my right, is a black guy in his early 30's. For reasons I’m not going to speculate about here, there are very few black poker players. I’ve played with only a handful (that I know about- obviously I usually have no idea about race when playing online), and with one notable exception, they’ve all been quite bad at poker. However, the ones I’ve played with have almost all been flashy, wearing expensive sunglasses, big jewelry, etc. In this way, they’re like a lot of the young Italian guys who play at Foxwoods, fundamentally gamblers looking to splash around and show off how much money they have. The only talented black guy I can recall playing with is also much more conservative in his dress and mannerisms, so I think this is primarily a sample size issue. The guy at this table is both quiet and dressed in a subdued fashion, wearing a black sweatshirt that says “Dogtown” in small letters on the sleeve, so I’m not prepared to assume he’ll be a weak player based on his demographics alone, the way I would if he were, for instance, an old white man.

I’m in the 3 seat, which at a 6-handed table, puts me in the center, across from the dealer and slightly to his left. To my left is a young, pudgy guy in an ill-fitting Izod shirt. He talks quite a bit about what’s going on, and from the things he’s saying, I’m able to gather that he’s pretty knowledgeable about tournament play and poker in general, almost certainly the best of my opponents at the table. We’ll call him Izod.

To his left is a guy I’ll call Vinny. Vinny looks straight out of the cast of the Sopranos: track suit, gold chain, slicked back hair, etc. Then again, I say that about every poker playing Italian from Long Island, so that says something either about me or about Long Island Italians. Regardless, Vinny actually turns out to be a pretty even-tempered, friendly guy.

Next around the table is an older gentleman who shall henceforth be known as Gramps. In my experience, old guys are almost always tight passive (meaning they play very hands, and rarely bet or raise when they are playing) or loose passive (they play a lot of hands, but still are almost always checking or calling other people’s bets rather than forcing the action themselves). Gramps turns out to be of the latter variety, and is no worry to me whatsoever.

Despite my reluctance to assume he will be, Dogtown quickly makes clear that he is, in fact, not only a fish, but one of the worst poker players I’ve ever played with. He hates to fold, will play almost any two cards pre-flop, call almost any raise, rarely fold if he catches any piece of the board, randomly bluff in awful spots, and make it very obvious when he has a good hand. In short, I love having him on my right, and love watching him get lucky over and over again against the better players at the table. In particular, he takes a lot of chips from Izod by rivering a lucky two pair.

Izod was very vocal in criticizing Dogtown’s play, and finally, in his own defense, Dogtown said sheepishly, “If you concentrate, you can feel which cards are going to come.”

That just fueled the fire. Now Izod and Vinny are both openly mocking him, laughing and making jokes about his play while he’s sitting right there. He’s taking it well, but it’s annoying the hell out of me. For one thing, it’s bad for business to make fun of bad play. The old agage is, “Don’t tap the glass,” a reference to a common aquarium warning against disurbing the fish. Professionals make money based on the mistakes of bad players, so we benefit from an atmosphere where mistakes are accepted and encouraged, not mocked.

More importantly, though, this is just rude. Guys like Izod give all internet poker players a bad reputation with their lack of class. It's ironic how many pros will justify their profession ethically by saying that losing players are compensated for their money with entertainment while at the same time behaving so rudely to someone who is clearly a losing player.

After reducing him to 500 chips, Dogtown doubles up Izod up by calling his all in (with blinds still 25/50) with 98 offsuit. Izod’s AJ holds up, much to my dismay, but he goes out fairly soon anyway.

Early on, I’m not getting much in the way of cards, and with Dogtown on my right calling everything, I don’t have a lot of room to steal pots. He does eventually donate most of his chips, though, and finds himself with only about 1700 at the 50/100 level. He just calls the big blind, and I look down at A5. This is far from a great holding, but I’ve been looking to get involved with Dogtown before he loses the last of his money, and just the Ace is enough to put me well ahead of his range right now. I raise to 300, and he, of course, calls.

The flop of 842 is a good one for me, giving me a inside straight draw. However, there are now 750 chips in the pot, and 1400 in Dogtown’s stack. He checks, but I know he’ll never fold better hands, and he’ll occasionally put me in a tough spot with worse. I don’t want to get all in with him right here, but I don’t want to bet and fold what could be the best hand, either, so I check as well. Awkward spots like these are why I shouldn't make plays this like this.

The turn is an Ace, giving me top pair, though with one of the worst possible kickers. Admittedly, Dogtown doesn’t much like folding, but given how scary this Ace ought to be to him, I think he’s more likely to bluff at the river (or call a river bet with worse) than to call the turn with a worse hand than mine. So, I check again.

The river is a T, and now Dogtown announces, “All in.” Ugh. I wanted him to bluff, but he’s just bet twice the pot, and all I have is top pair with a weak kicker. Whatever, I can’t fold now.

“Call.”

“Good call,” he says, looking unhappy before he's even seen my cards. He turns over KT as he’s exiting the table. Wow, now that is beyond atrocious. On the river, he picked up a hand that could very possibly be good, and then he turned it into a bluff by moving all in for two times the pot. I’m not going to call that bet with worse than KT, and he knew that, because he knew he was beat before I turned over the winning hand. With his hand, he ought to make either a smaller bet that I could call with worse, or check and give me a chance to bluff. Oh well, I guess that’s just the kind of thinking that bad poker players can’t or won’t employ.

The best hand I see at this table is AJ, which I raise to 300 first to act. Vinny calls on the button, and then Gramps reraises to 850 from the SB. A reraise from loose passive Gramps? Even with AJ, it's time to get out of the way. I fold, and Vinny grumbles to me good naturedly, "300 and fold? You put me in a helluva spot. I call."

Flop 643, Gramps bets 2000, and 1500, and Vinny calls, telling me, "You owe me 2300 chips."

I'm tempted to respond, "I didn't tell you to call a raise with 76s," but I catch myself, realizing that speculating about his hand, even in reference to the dealer's earlier comment, would be inappropriate.

Gramps moves all in on a Q turn, and Vinny deliberates for a while before folding 76s face up! Heh. Gramps, of course, shows him a pair of Aces. This is why I say I'm not worried about him: certainly he can be dealt good cards, but he'll never give me a tough decision, because his play is just too straight-forward.

This table breaks, and I'm moved to another, slightly tougher looking table. There are a few more young guys here who look like they could be competent and no obvious fish. On closer inspection, though, there are two white guys in their early 30's who give signs of being little more than ardent enthusiasts with lucrative careers that enable an expensive hobby. One in particular is wearing a corporate polo shirt with a World Series of Poker visor. Come to think of it, I'm not sure I've ever seen anyone wearing poker clothing (except for gear worn as part of an endorsement, obviously) who was any good at the game. Only amateurs wear tee-shirts that say "I went all in at the World Series of Poker!"

But I digress. The three players on my right, the aforementioned pair included, turned out to be pretty loose passive, so I was raising their limps with a lot of medium-strength hands. Generally I'd win the pot with a flop bet, whether or not I hit anything, and sometimes I'd fold if they played back at me. Nothing complicated. Once, the guy to my immediate right just called the big blind of 200 first to act, and I raised to 900 with A9. One of the corporate amateurs in the big blind called, as did the limper, which was not the result I wanted.

I got a flop of A87, which is actually kind of tricky when I have A9. If I bet the flop, I'm pretty much only going to get action from people with two pair or top pair and a better kicker. So, I check, reluctantly giving a free card to two players. The turn brings a T, potentially making more two pair hands for others but giving me an open-ended straight draw. They all check to me again, and now I bet 1700, prepared to call a check-raise, though I wouldn't be happy about it. The BB calls, while the other guy folds. We check it through on a K river, and my A9 prevails over his A2. Excellent, that's exactly why he shouldn't be calling a raise with an easily dominated A2.

I'd just been thinking how nice it was that I was able to get away with all this raising because even when the table thought I was bluffing, all they would do was call me pre-flop and then give up if the flop missed them, which is exactly what I wanted them to do anyway. Then I got dealt a pair of Kings, and thought how nice it would be if someone did re-raise me, and sure enough I made my standard raise to 600 and the button, who'd been giving me the stink-eye every time I raised, made it 2500. Niiiiiice. I had about 16,000 chips to start the hand, but I was worried he'd fold most worse hands if I moved all in preflop because live poker tournaments are like that, so I just called his raise, deciding to check-raise all in on the flop.

The flop was a lovely 852, and I figured it was very unlikely my opponent could get away from another overpair. I checked, he asked what I had left, and then bet 5000. I moved all in for like 7000 more, and he folded. Oh well, it was still practically a double up.

A little while later, though the same guy gave me some actual trouble. After winning that pot and getting up a nice stack, I was playing more aggressively than ever. I raised 6s 5s, the kid (Jewish, with stylish sunglasses and clothing and such) called in the SB, and one of the corporate amateurs called from the BB. Flop Qc Jc 6d, and they checked to me. Bottom pair not good enough on this board, I check, too.

Turn 5h, they check to me again, and I bet 1200. Now the kid in the SB check-raises to 2500. Blech. I have the worst possible two pair, and the size of his raise, barely the minimum possible amount, suggests that he's got at least a better two pair. However, there aren't a lot of ways for him to have that. QJ is the most plausible, then 65, but my holding makes that unlikely. I doubt he'd play Q6 or Q5, I think he would have reraised QQ or JJ preflop, which makes high three of a kind unlikely, and again, with me holding 65, it's unlikely he has 66 or 55. I had seen him raise before on a draw, but in that case he was in position, which he isn't now. Our effective stacks were over 20,000, so even though I thought he could have a draw, I didn't want to 3-bet him and commit my entire stack to this pot. So I called.

The river was an ugly K, improving hands like KQ and KJ that I was beating on the turn. Now he bets 3200, which is like half the pot. I only have to be good about 25% of the time, and I decided he could be on a missed draw or even value betting like KT or something that he had semi-bluffed on the turn and then made top pair with. So I called, and he showed me QJ. Nice hand.

We had our second break of the day, and then the guy to my right was busted and replaced by a pudgy dude with a short stack. My Jewish friend asked how much the guy had, to which the man dejectedly replied, "Like $5." I eyed his stack myself and counted only about 3000 chips. Blinds were now 150/300 with a 25 ante, so he didn't have a lot of room to maneuver. He moved all in from late position a few times to pick up the dead money and grew his stack to about 4000.

He was moving in with such frequency that, combined with his pessimistic statement when he first sat down, I knew he was ready to give up and I was going to have to call him with a somewhat wide range if the opportunity arose. Sure enough, he shoved all 4000 chips second to act, and I looked down at 99. I only had about 12,000 chips, so I was a little reluctant to flip a coin with him if he had two overcards to my pair. However, based on my read, I had to figure him for a wide range that could include smaller pairs and stuff like A8 that I was way ahead of. So I moved all in over the top of his raise. I turned over my 99, and to my delight, he turned over 75s. With more than ten times then big blind and four players to act behind him, that's a pretty bad move, and I'm in great shape with a pair higher than either of his cards.

Buuuuuuuut a 963 flop is not good new for me, even though it gives me three of a kind, and I groaned audibly when I saw it. The turn, of course, is a 4 to give my opponent a straight. I could still improve to a full house if the river pairs the board, but that doesn't happen, and I'm down to 8000.

Next hand, the same player open raised to 1000. I had AQ, and moved all in for my last 8000. He folded, and after that the table broke, and I was moved to my toughest table yet. There was one mustachioed old man to my left who was quite bad, but then there were two young Asian guys and a pretty competent Brit.

One of my first hands at the table, the Brit opened for 1000 on the button and folded when I reraised to 3000 with AKo in the SB. I only had like 6000 behind, but there are plenty of live players who will and fold to a flop shove, so I figured that would be more +EV than shoving pre-flop.

On my first button, I raised to 850 with QJo, and one of the Asian kids called from the BB. He checked and called a bet on an A34hh flop. I caught a J on the turn and checked it back, but the river blanked, and I folded to a bet.

Next orbit, I opened with KJo and folded to a reraise from the other Asian kid. Then, first to act, I opened to 850 again with AJs, and again got reraised, this time by the first Asian. I had like 7500 behind, and thought for a while about what to do. It was annoying to get reraised again, but I felt like the fact that I'd just been reraised actually made it less likely that he'd be doing it light here. I ultimately folded, but I wasn't happy about it, and I'm still not sure it was correct.

After paying another round of blinds and antes, I was getting rather short, and started looking for a chance to reraise all in over someone's open. The Brit on my right, probably the most aggressive player at the table, made a small raise from middle position to 800, and I decided I was going to move in with anything halfway decent. I found K9 and shoved for 5400. He stared me down and kept shaking his head. "I just don't think you have anything. I haven't got much," he said apologetically as he called and turned over KQs. Ugh. Q on the turn puts the nail in my coffin.

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More WSOP Final Tableage

Justin ended up chopping the $2000 NLHE with three players remaining. Rumor is that he got like $370K, but that's not confirmed. I'm sure it was a sick score regardless. Way to go, J!

In other news, 2+2'er T_Mac has final tabled the $1500 NLHE. I haven't been reporting on all of it, but I'm pretty sure there's been someone from 2+2 at the final table of damn near every NLHE event so far.

I'm playing my first prelim today, the $2500 6-max NLHE. I think this field may be a bit tougher than some, since live fish don't like playing short-handed, but there are so few opportunities to play a live, 6-max tournament....

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Sunday, June 17, 2007

Jurollo at Final Table of WSOP $2K!!!

I invited Justin to a lunch with Andy Bloch and Howard Lederer (more on this later) like two weeks ago. Here was his response:

"Andrew, I should be available that day. I am in Vegas on June 12th. I can take that day off from tournaments if it is definitely going to be on the 15th. Sounds interesting. Yes that is my number still. ~Justin"

I sent him an update with more details the day before, and here was his respone:

"andrew, i would love to go but I am playing the $2k tomorrow which starts at noon I believe. let me know if you meet up another night. ~justin "

At the time, I was like, 'What a degen, this guy can't skip one day to have lunch with two of the best poker players in the world?' Guess it worked out well for him. Last I checked he was like 3/8, first place is nearly $600K!!!! Gogogogogogogo!

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Sunday, June 3, 2007

Live Poker Updates

Thayer finished up 4/228 in the WPT Mandalay Bay event, winning $131,170. Nice job, kid.

Meanwhile, Steve Paul-Ambrose has final tabled the $5000 mixed hold 'em event at the WSOP. Good luck today, Steve!

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Thursday, May 31, 2007

Leaving (for) Las Vegas

As some of you may already know, my girlfriend Emily has accepted a job doing public relations and marketing work for an adventure tours company based out of Las Vegas. Believe it or not, Vegas was in no way my idea, and in fact I was not thrilled to hear she was considering it. I don't want to be a career poker player, and I feel like my window of post-graduation loafing is closing. The next few years are going to be important in terms of setting my life on a trajectory, and Vegas just isn't the direction I want to be going. Truthfully, it is tempting in some ways, so I guess it's more accurate to say that isn't the direction I want to want to be going.

Some background: Emily and I went to high school together, though we didn't start dating until she was in college at Boston University and I at the University of Chicago. We had a long-distance relationship for three years, seeing each other every few weeks and living together during the summer (once in Boston, once in Maryland, where we're both from originally).

After graduating, I turned down a full time job working with the Chicago Debate League and the National Association for Urban Debate Leagues so that I could move in with Emily in Boston. At the time, she was working for one of the few Republicans in the Massachusetts Congress, and she later worked on Kerry Healey's unsuccessful gubernatorial campaign.

Even while making money playing poker, I made an effort to spend a lot of my time doing stuff that I felt was important. I ended up starting an urban debate league in Boston, which has been the equivalent, time-wise, of a pretty substantial part time job for the last three years. The League has come a long way in the last three years, but there's a lot to be done. If I were to leave Boston now, a lot of the time and money I've invested in the League in the last few years would go to waste.

So when Emily first asked months ago about my plans for the near future, I told her I wanted another year in Boston. Healey's loss to Deval Patrick in the gubernatorial race meant that come December, Emily was without a job. Frustrated by months of unanswered applications, she started looking for interesting summer jobs, something that would be a break from the office/political work she'd been doing.

What she found instead was this job in Las Vegas, where her prospective employers seemed like pretty cool people who were very eager to hire her full time, year round. I wasn't happy about it, because I felt like I had given up a very appealing job in Chicago to move to Boston where she had a job lined up, only to get attached to something in Boston and have her looking to leave again.

But I was also forgetting how frustrating it was back a few years ago when I was applying for job after job, pouring hours into scanning listings and sending out resumes to get not so much as an acknowledgement that my application had been received in return. I've been extraordinarily fortunate to end up in a situation where I can make very good money doing something I enjoy, accountable to only myself, and with enough free time for another project that is substantial, fun, rewarding, and valuable. It's only understandable that Emily wants to find something similar, a job where she is appreciated, where she likes what she is doing and who she is doing it with, and where she isn't selling her soul to make a living (remember, she's been working in Republican politics).

It's hard to begrudge her those things, when I've been so fortunate. I make enough money to pay the rent myself, my schedule is flexible enough to allow extended visits with her, and if I'm going to have a home away from home anywhere, it might as well be Las Vegas! It would be pretty selfish of me to refuse to use those benefits to help someone I love achieve similar satisfaction.

So I'm going to spend one more year in Boston while Emily is in Las Vegas. It's far from certain that even after another year the Boston Debate League will be able to survive my departure, but it is a sure thing that it would fall apart if I left now. I honesty thing another year of advocacy will give it a fighting chance, and even if it doesn't work out, I will still have introduced that many more students to a valuable, potentially life-changing activity.

Emily is packing now, and on July 7th, we're going to start a week-long drive to Vegas, taking our time along the way to spend a few half days in places like Niagara Falls and Denver. Unless something comes up to require my presence in Boston, I'm going to stay out there with her through the WSOP main event in early July. I have a lot of research to do, but I'm also looking forward to playing some live tournaments and some internet tournaments on West coast time (100K guarantee starts at 6PM there!!!).

A week ago, I was speculating about some of the non-HE WSOP prelim events and whether I should play them if the conflict with the NLHE ones. But I actually think I have that bass ackwards. There are going to be better NLHE tournaments going on during the same time period (Venetian Deep Stack Series, Binion's Poker Classic, Bellagio Cup III, Orleans Open), with more generous structures and buyins better suited to my bankroll. But often does one have the opportunity to play a big buy-in Razz tournament? Actually, there are some more affordable non-HE games in those series as well, so I may not end up playing many WSOP prelims at all, especially since I want to play some live ring games as well.

I may not update much during the week we're on the road, but hopefully we'll have some fun experiences worthy of a trip report.

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Saturday, May 26, 2007

Another WSOP Seat

I won another WSOP seat tonight in a $650 satellite. Man, these things are soft. I mean, there are some good players, but you don't even have to get first. Plus you get half hour levels, so nice deep stacks to outplay the donks. Three and a half hours into the tournament, I had 120 BB's, which is unheard of for an online poker tournament. I took a brutal beat when I was 2nd out of 16 with 6 seats to pay.

I got 1/3 of my stack in with KK versus 88, and the guy caught. That knocked me down to the point where I had to scrap for my seat, whereas winning that would have pretty much locked it up for me. I stole and restole really effectively, though, and despite winning an important coin flip at the final table, I managed to coast in thanks to some very bad bubble play by others. And in an act of karmic justice, the 88 guy bubbled (in 8th place, no less) when his AKs lost all in preflop to AQo.

I was going to post some hands, but I just scoured the HH and really didn't find anything of much interest. It was mostly straightforward stuff, the structure is good enough that you can wait around for good opportunities early on. The bubble play was kind of interesting, but not in terms of isolated hands. I literally think that my cards mattered in like 2% of the decisions I made during the last 25% of the tournament. I was just open raising or re-stealing very situationally, and other times open folding TT in the SB or A9 on the button. I don't claim to play these spots perfectly, but just recognizing them is so much more than even many otherwise solid players can do.

As of the last seat I won, I've now spent $15,387 on WSOP sats to win a $12,000 prize package plus $2000 cash and W$20,000. In two weeks, I went from basically break-even on these to a greater than 100% return on my money. That's tournament poker.

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Monday, May 21, 2007

WSOP Prelim Events

I'll explain why soon, but it looks like I'm going to be in Las Vegas for most of the preliminary WSOP events. After reviewing the schedule, I've identified these tournaments as the ones I'm most likely to play:

Friday, June 15th. $2000 NLHE 3-day event.

Saturday, June 16th. $1500 NLE 3-day event.

Sunday, June 17. $1000 Razz 2-day event.

Monday, June 18. $2500 NLHE 6-Handed 3-day event.

Thursday, June 21. $1500 NLHE 3-day event.

Friday, June 22. $2000 PLHE 3-day event.

Saturday, June 23. $1500 NLHE 3-day event.

Thursday, June 28. $1000 Stud/8 3-day event.

Friday, June 29. $2000 NLHE 3-day event.

Saturday, June 30. $1500 NLHE 3-day event.

I'm probably going to play 3-5 of these, and I'm trying to decide which. Obviously it will depend somewhat on how I do in the earlier ones and how my work is progressing, but I'm curious to get people's thoughts on this. The non-NLHE events are going to have smaller fields, but I don't know whether the play will on average be more or less difficult. I'm certainly less good at the Stud games than I am at NLHE, but I think that's probably true of the poker population at large, as well. Any thoughts on this?

Also, does anyone have any experience with the structure in the prelim events? Are the $1500's even worth playing?

Lastly, these are somewhat out of my bankroll (thought I do have like $W8500 and hopefully more in a few weeks to spend on this), so I'm probably going to sell some of my action for like 1.33% of the buyin per 1% of my winnings. Let me know if you're interested.

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Monday, May 14, 2007

Booyah!

PokerStars Tournament #49464655, No Limit Hold'em
Super Satellite
Buy-In: $615.00/$35.00
551 players
Total Prize Pool: $338865.00
Target Tournament #43905792 Buy-In: $10000.00
30 tickets to the target tournament

Tournament started - 2007/05/13 - 18:00:00 (ET)

Dear foucault82,

You finished the tournament in 1st place.

This qualifies you for a seat in Tournament #43905792.
As you are already registered in this tournament, your account has been credited
with 10,000.00 W$. W$ can be used to buy into any qualifying special PokerStars event.

Click on the cashier screen to see your W$ balance,
and visit our web site at http://www.pokerstars.com/tournaments.html for more details.

In addition a $1,000.00 award has been credited to your Real Money account.

Congratulations!
Thank you for participating.

Whew, does that feel good. Since Stars started running WSOP sats in February, I've spent $12, 816 to win two seats. The first is effectively worth $12,000, since it comes with a sponsorship deal to get an extra $1000 for wearing Poker Stars gear during the tournament. The second is worth $11,000, with $10,000 paid in $W that can be used only for certain events, such satellites to the WSOP and other major events, preliminary WSOP events, and the World Championship of Online Poker.

Poker Stars ended up giving me $10,000 in cash for the first seat, because Harrah's this year is not allowing internet poker sites to buy players into the tournament themselves. So the best Stars can do is put the money in our accounts and tell us to buy in, which unfortunately many people, including a disproportionate number of those with a negative expectation, probably will not do.

Truthfully, were it not for added $1000 sponsorship, I probably couldn't justify spending the $10,000 to buy in directly, either, once I had the cash in hand. However, the fact that I am really looking forward to playing, have a four and possibly five figure positive expectation, and am getting paid to play is enough for me to buy in even though I don't have to.

What's really concerning to me is that this is going to be very bad for the WSOP's numbers, and I'm sure Harrah's knows that. The fact that they chose not to allow poker sites to register their qualifiers directly, in full knowledge that it could cost them hundreds of thousands of dollars in lost fees and other indirect revenue generated by the tournament, suggests that they have a very concrete and imminent concern about the legal consequences of doing business with online poker sites. If the Department of Justice has been leaning on Harrah's about this, that's bad news for the legitimacy and legality of internet poker altogether.

But hey, for the time being, I'm going to enjoy my win. Here are some interesting hands:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com



BB (t2240)

UTG (t2420)

UTG+1 (t3290)

Hero (t2680)

MP2 (t4360)

MP3 (t2320)

CO (t2140)

Button (t2480)

SB (t3080)



Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Kh, Ks.

1 fold, UTG+1 calls t20, Hero raises to t130, 3 folds, Button calls t130, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls t110.



Flop: (t420) 4d, 3d, 5s (3 players)

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t300, Button folds, UTG+1 raises to t800, Hero folds.



Final Pot: t1520

If we were more shallow or the structure of this tournament were less good, I'd get it in here, as combo-draws are certainly possible for Villain. But those hands are mostly like 50% against me, and if he has a set or better, I'm crushed. With AA I get it in here because of the straight re-draw, but with KK, I didn't feel like gambling.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com



UTG+1 (t1105)

MP1 (t5160)

MP2 (t865)

Hero (t5425)

CO (t4970)

Button (t2105)

SB (t2430)

BB (t660)

UTG (t2290)



Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Qs, Ac.

4 folds, Hero raises to t125, CO calls t125, 1 fold, SB calls t100, BB calls t75.



Flop: (t500) 5d, 8s, 3s (4 players)

SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets t300, CO folds, SB calls t300, BB folds.



Turn: (t1100) Jc (2 players)

SB checks, Hero bets t650, SB folds.



Final Pot: t1750

The main Villain here is SivTec, a pretty solid but straightforward/predictable player. On the flop, I think there's a chance my hand is best, and even when I'm called I generally have 6 outs, so I take a stab. When Siv calls out of the SB, his hand range is pretty narrowly defined. It's very unlikely he has JJ or better, as he didn't reraise pre-flop. I don't think he slow-plays a set in a four-way pot with a lot of draws on board. I'm representing quite a lot of strength betting into three callers on this board, and then firing again on the turn, and there's some chance that the J improved my hand, so I think I can get him to fold virtually his entire range here.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com



UTG (t9935)

UTG+1 (t2430)

MP1 (t8100)

MP2 (t5115)

Hero (t11700)

CO (t5475)

Button (t17663)

SB (t3721)

BB (t9200)



Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5s, As.

4 folds, Hero raises to t600, CO calls t600, 2 folds, BB calls t400.



Flop: (t1900) Kh, 3s, 9d (3 players)

BB checks, Hero bets t1100, CO calls t1100, BB folds.



Turn: (t4100) 5c (2 players)

Hero bets t4000, CO calls t3775 (All-In).



River: (t11875) 8d (2 players, 1 all-in)



Final Pot: t11875

He called down with KJo.

I'd been kind of aggressive lately. Generally when a guy calls off more than 10% of his stack pre-flop, even in position, I put him on a pair. Sometimes he's slowplaying a big pair, sometimes it's a small to medium-pair that wants to see a flop or just use his position before committing. There ought to be few if any Kings in his range, so I felt that although he could peel the flop with a lot of pairs, he'd often fold the turn, and if he did have K, I just picked up two more outs. Whoops.

I posted the whole HH at http://www.pokerxfactor.com/servlet/pxf?a=mv&t=myhand2&handid=61174&filename=535_20070514_112938.txt if anyone wants to see it. I'm happy to answer any questions posted here.

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Monday, March 12, 2007

I'm Going to the World Series


Wooooooooooooooooooo. Double you ess oh pee baby! Picked my way through a ridiculous field today to come first in a double shootout and win my seat to the main event. Now that I've got this one under the belt, I can keep playing the satellites for cash. Apparently, even though I won this seat on Poker Stars, I can still get cash for any seat that I win on Full Tilt. So far, though, the FTP satellites haven't appealed to me too much, most of them pay just one spot and are at kind of inconvenient times. I wish they had more medium-sized ones like the $320 and $650 on Stars, the $1K is a little more than I want to drop.

I added it up, and I spent just $1781 trying to win this seat, which is a $12,000 value (assuming I take Stars' sponsorship deal to wear their gear during the event for $1000, which I will- I'd wear pretty much anything for $1000).

The double shootout today had a small overlay, with just 72 players entered but one package guaranteed. Adding in the sponsorship deal, there was nearly $17 in overlay, meaning that a player of average skill could expect to make about $7 playing this tournament even after paying Stars their rake.

This was a good thing, because it was a tough field. At my first table (in a double shootout, tables are not collapsed as they would be in a regular multi-table tournament. Instead, each table plays until just one person remains, and then the nine winners of the first table play together at the second table) there were three players from 2+2 (ExitOnly, KneeCo, and Crispy) and another pretty successful player named Basebaldy whom I see around a lot. I ran pretty well at this table, including winning a crucial coinflip with JJ versus AK (believe me, Stars owed me a coinflip or two in a WSOP satellite) got heads up with Crispy, and flopped top pair with a better kicker against his top pair to bust him on the first hand of our heads up play.

The final table included a couple of pretty successful players, some of them sit-and-go (single table tournaments that start as soon as 9 players have registered) pros, I believe. The names I recognized were Solody, PlayaPlz, G6Dragon, and SiVTEC.

Fairly early on, I made a play that may have been ill-advised. Blinds were 25/50, and it folded to G6Dragon on the button, who made a minimum raise to 100. I was in the BB with 24s and 1100 chips, which was an akward stack size to reraise with. However, I believed that he made this small raise precisely because he did not want me to shove in on him. Even suspecting this, I didn't feel like shoving 1100 chips after the 175 in the pot, so I told myself I would only move in if the SB, who seemed kind of loose, called as well. The SB did indeed call, so I moved all in with the second worst hand in poker hoping that both of these guys would fold and let me increase my stack by nearly 25%.

G6Dragon folded, but the SB thought for a while and called with AQ. A good call by him, but I flopped a flush and won the pot. I assumed that the better players at the table would recognize this as a squeeze play, and even if they thought it was a bad spot for it or something, would at least understand what I was trying to accomplish. This was not the case at all, however. Solody, Playa, and G6 started going on and on about how bad I was to risk all my chips with 24 and blah blah blah. This really surprised me, but I let them go on thinking I was a fish and even encouraged them by bragging about having all the chips.

I didn't do a whole lot after that, stole a few pots, then got KK in the BB when someone else shoved AJ.

An interesting hand occurred when we were three-handed. With blinds 75/150, Solody raised to 450 and I called with KQs on the button and about 4500 chips behind. Solody had me covered and I didn't want to reraise him for risk of having to call his push with a marginal hand. Besides, KQs plays pretty well out of position. The flop was Q48 rainbow, and I decided that he was so aggressive I would pull out a play I generally reserve for super-strong hands like sets. There was 1050 in the pot, and I bet 565.

Basically, I'm representing either a probe bet or a blatant steal. On a board like this, it's unlikely that either player has anything. Often, the first person to bet at the pot takes it down. However, the pre-flop raiser will almost always bet if checked to, so generally if the caller flopped something, he will wait to check-raise. Knowing that Solody would know this, however, I bet into him, wanting him to think I was too weak to check-raise and wanted to be the first one to bet so that I could steal the pot. Sure enough, he raised to 1200 (which, by the way, I think is the wrong play even if he doesn't believe me, because he isn't really representing a plausible hand either; he'd be better off calling and trying to take the ot later). With a pot-sized bet left in my stack, I called.

My call tells him I have something, but it doesn't necessarily scream strength, because I wouldn't fold anything except a bluff to that small, blatant steal raise. The turn was an another 8, which was a bad card for me, not because I thought he just made trips, but because with my weak lead and call, I'm representing something like middle pair. He could still try to bluff me off of middle pair on some turns, but on this particular turn, he is now going to have a hard time getting me to fold a Q or an 8. He wisely gave up on his bluff and checked behind.

At this point, there was 3450 in the pot. The river was yet another 8, which actually gave me some hope that I might be able to induce one more bluff from him. I made a tiny, tiny bet of 365, leaving myself exactly 3000 chips and hoping to convince him that I would fold to his all in. He didn't take the bait, though, and folded getting 11:1 odds. G6Dragon, classy guy that he is, typed "Nice hand 24" as the pot was shipped to me.

Before long, Dragon busted, and by the 100/200 level, I was heads up with Solody, almost dead even in chips. Although he took part in the mockery early on, he was very polite here on out, and wished me good luck at the beginning of the match. Poker Stars doesn't allow any dealmaking in these, so we were essentially playing heads up for $12,000, with second place winning nothing.

He came out of the gate very aggressively, and I let him have the first few pots pre-flop. Finally I called one of his raises out of position with JTo, flopped top pair, and check-raised him to pick up the pot and get back to even.

A few hands later, he raised to 600 from the Button, and I found ATo in the BB with a stack of 6500. This was an awkward spot for me, as my hand was way too good to fold, but if I reraised, I'd be in a rough spot if he moved all in. So, I elected to call. The flop was 259, and I checked and called a bet, thinking that I could still be good and would have 6 outs even if I wasn't. The turn was an Ace to give me top pair. I checked again, figuring that if he didn't have anything, this would be a good card for him to bluff. He bet, and I called again. The river put up a Jack, we checked it through, and his 66 was no good.

At first I was surprised he bet when the A turned, but in retrospect I like it. If I had a 9 on the flop, I might fold it on the turn. If I floated with overcards, I'll probably fold those as well (but not an A, obviously). Lastly, it prevents me from putting him to a tough decision with a river bet.

With a 9700 to 3800 lead and blinds still 100/200, I got A5o on the Button. I was afraid to raise, since he had a perfect stack size to move all in, and I'd probably have to fold, but it would be a tough decision. So, I just called. Now he raised to 800, which he'd done more than half the time I limped from the Button (which wasn't often). I decided that the possibility of folding out some hands that had about 50% equity against me was enough to tip this towards an all in, so I shoved on him for 3000 more. He tanked and finally called with 33. Unfortunately he won the coin flip and we were back to even.

We went back and forth a bit, with me getting more aggressive and him reraising me intermittently (I folded every time). With stacks nearly dead even (I had 6900, he had 6600), I got AK on the button and raised to 600. He reraised to 1800, and I paused for a moment before moving all in. He went into the tank for a loooooooong time, which surprised me because whenever I reraise with these stacks, I know how I'm going to respond to an all in. He finally called me with KJ, which was weaker than what I expected him to have. He was getting decent odds on the call, and even if I have something very strong like AQ or TT he's in decent shape. I also wonder if the 24s and A5o hands didn't make him think I'd be shoving kind of light here (I'd actually folded some medium Aces to his reraises previously, but he didn't know that. I would have shoved any pair).

Anyway, he did not suck out, thank goodness. I would have found that very difficult to handle, as it would have been one the most expensive bad beat of my life. Afterwards he told me "nice hand" and "good game," very sportsmanlike, which I appreciated.

So look forward to another trip report come July. Yaaaaaaaaaaaaaay!!!

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Monday, February 26, 2007

More Good News for Online Poker

In the wake of last