
More ArticlesAttacking and Defending Dead Money in Tournament Poker Hidden Costs in Tournament Poker Game Selection for Tournament Players Your First World Series of Poker How to Bluff a Calling Station Your Opponent's Arsenal Part 1: The Flop Your Opponent's Arsenal Part 2: The Turn and River Ten Tips for Improving Your Bubble Play
|
|
Your First World Series of Poker The main event of the World Series of Poker is more than just a poker tournament. It is an adventure, a marathon, a challenge, a thrill, a learning experience, a game, a gamble, and so much more. Making the most of the experience, by which I mean the most profit but also the most enjoyment and the most educational value, requires coming into it with the proper mind set. I’m about to play my second main event, so while I’m hardly a wizened veteran, I remember my first vividly, and I hope I can offer some helpful insight to those who will play for the first time this year and those who just want to learn more about the experience. To Play or Not to PlayThe first thing you’ll have to consider is whether to enter the tournament at all. In past years, this was generally not a question, if you won a seat through an online poker site. But a change in policy this year means that third-parties may not register you for the tournament. Thus, the online sites are simply providing you with the cash value of the seat and “requiring” you to buy-in for yourself. I will be very blunt: many people who won a seat this way should probably take the $10,000 and not play the tournament. You need to consider what the totality of the WSOP experience is worth to you versus what else you could do with the money. If you are a winning player at higher buy-in online tournaments, events with $100+ buy-ins, and/or at mid-stakes online cash games, probably 3/6 NL and above, you will likely have a positive expectation in the WSOP. But that doesn’t mean you should play, since your bankroll will likely be woefully insufficient to absorb the variance. Even the best players will have no more than a 25% chance of making the money and a significantly less than 1% chance of reaching the final table. This means you must enter the tournament prepared to leave without your $10,000. If you are over-rolled for the games that you currently play, such that an additional $10,000 would not allow you to move up and start winning at higher stakes, then you should be more inclined to take a shot in the main event. However, if $10,000 is just the shot in the arm your bankroll needs to increase your hourly rate by $10 or so, then dropping it on an entry fee for a single tournament could end up costing you a lot of money in the long-term. The experience of playing in the main event may be worth something to you beyond your real money equity, though. Spending a few days immersed in the game and culture, potentially meeting and playing with some of the best players in the world, could be a valuable learning experience. If nothing else, it may boost your confidence to know that you held your own against a well-known professional, and that is worth something. Finally, you can factor in some entertainment value from the experience itself, but don’t delude yourself. You could take a nice vacation for $10,000, and there is a fair chance that the WSOP will be short and frustrating for you, no matter how good of a player you are. Assuming that you’ve decided you’ll be a winning player in the tournament, can absorb the variance well enough to make taking a shot worthwhile, and want to play the WSOP more than you’d like to do something else with the money, let’s talk about how to approach the tournament. Physical ComfortThe WSOP main event is a grind, mentally and physically. Should you be lucky enough to survive an entire day of play, you could easily end up in the same seat for six two-hour levels, punctuated only by short breaks. Get plenty of rest in the time leading up to the tournament, and bring some snacks and water with you, as you may need to spend nearly your entire break waiting in line for the restroom. If you are relatively new to playing live poker, feel free to play a tight, straight-forward game for the first hour or so as you get your bearings. Practice handling your chips, looking at your cards without giving off any physical tells, vocalizing your actions, and studying your opponents. This may not be optimal poker strategy, but it is better than making a costly mistake as a result of your inexperience. If you find yourself mentally exhausted towards the end of the day, it is similarly better to tighten up and avoid putting yourself in situations where you may have to make a tough decision. Again, you may be passing on some marginally profitable opportunities, but you do not want to risk mistakenly calling a big bet because you failed to see that the river had paired the board. Psychological ComfortProfessional poker player Amir Vahedi, who final tabled the main event in 2003, famously stated, “In order to live, you must be willing to die.” If you believe you will be unwilling to bet or even call all-in in marginal situations for fear of being eliminated, then it would probably be best if you did not play the tournament at all. That being said, however, no one wants to be eliminated after two hours or on the money bubble, especially if you are playing the tournament in part for the experience. What I recommend, then, is that you do what you can to avoid close situations where you may have to put your tournament life at stake without sacrificing any meaningful edge. I’ll give you an example from my own tournament last year: blinds were still 25/50, and everyone at the table had roughly the 10,000 chips with which he started. Several players limped in, and an aggressive player raised to 350 from his button. I was in the big blind with a pair of Tens. I felt that my opponent’s range could be relatively wide in this situation, as attacking limpers from the button is a favorite move of many aggressive players when stacks are deep, but also that it would certainly include all pocket pairs that dominated mine. Re-raising in this situation would be justifiable, but stacks were so deep that my opponent could probably even call my reraise with a somewhat wide range since he would be in position post-flop. This could result in my having to make a large continuation bet on a scary board and/or call a large bet that would often, but not often enough to warrant a fold, come from a hand that had me beat. In short, I did not trust myself to handle a decision like this well during the first hour of my very first WSOP main event. I elected simply to call instead, inviting the limpers to call as well. Pocket Tens are a strong hand, and I was surely losing some value by not reraising them pre-flop. However, I felt I could gain this value back the times that I flopped a set. Given that I was likely to see a flop against several opponents, including one aggressive player who was at least representing a big hand, I felt I could win a fairly large pot the times that I flopped a set and get away cheaply otherwise. This was a lower variance line that made my hand much easier to play and avoided a potentially dangerous situation without sacrificing much if any expected value. As we approached the money bubble, I found myself in a similar situation. The prize money for even the lowest pay-outs was $15,000, which would have been a tremendous boon to my bankroll. At the same time, however, I promised myself before I even began playing satellites to the main event that if I played, I was going to play to win, even if that meant an increased risk of winning nothing at all. The chip leader at the table was very aggressive and throughout the day had shown a willingness to put people to decisions for all of their chips. He definitely had a good understanding of bubble dynamics and had been picking on some of the more scared players at our table. Prior to the bubble, I had played back at him a few times, so he knew that I knew what he was up to. I had about 42,000 chips at the 400/800 level, whereas he had well over 200,000. From middle position, he made his standard raise to 2500. The big blind was rather weak, and I felt the chip leader could raise him with a very wide range. I, in the small blind, had a pair of 5's. I contemplated a reraise, but felt my opponent was very capable of four-betting a wide enough range that I would actually have a difficult decision with my measly pocket pair. I then considered calling and playing for set value, as I had done earlier with the T’s, but this time it was likely to be a heads up pot against an opponent who had not shown very much strength so far. Thus, I was going to be bluffed off of the best hand often but not necessarily win a big pot if I did hit a set. Ultimately, I elected to fold, as I could not devise a profitable way to play what was likely to be the best hand. The important thing here is that I folded pre-flop, giving up in equity what was at most a fraction of the antes and my opponent’s raise. I did not 3-bet and then reluctantly fold what may have been the best hand in a much larger pot, and I did not call planning to check-fold the 85% of flops that did not contain a 5, which would have cost me a large fraction of my bet. I did my best to avoid the rough spot altogether. It is also important to note that with a larger pair, say pocket 9's, I would have played more aggressively and been willing to take the increased risk of elimination on the money bubble. With a better pair, folding pre-flop is simply sacrificing too much. ConclusionThe WSOP main event has the potential to be fun, educational, and profitable. In fact, only the combination of all three of these factors can really justify the decision to spend a large chunk of one’s bankroll on a single tournament. Once you make the decision to play, you must be honest about your potential weaknesses and the adaptations you must make to maximize your pleasure and your profit. Best of luck, and I’ll see you at the Rio!
|
| ©2007 Andrew Brokos | Home Blog WSOP 2006 WSOP 2007 EPT Barcelona 2006 |