Posts Tagged ‘double barrel’
WSOP Trip Report Part 2
The second installment of my trip report from the main event of the 2010 World Series of Poker, covering Days 3 and 4, has just been published in the September issue of 2+2 Magazine. Here’s an excerpt:
I came into Day 4 with a monster stack relative to the field. I had over 500,000 chips, when the average was about 180,000, ranking me 27th among the more than 1,200 players who remained. Day 4 was a particularly good day for this, as it was also the day that would separate the players who would win nothing from those who would take home at least $19,000. With 747 players to be paid, no one wanted to be eliminated in 748th place (or 762nd, for that matter), which meant that most people were playing more conservatively than usual.
Sources of Value in a Bet (Revised)
Thanks for all your help so far in generating this list. Now that I’ve got a revised version of it, let me try to explain a bit more about what I’m going for here.
I believe that a bet or raise should always have an objective (or objectives), and that you should know your objective(s) before betting. This is crucial both to decide whether to bet at all and to size your bets appropriately. In theory, one ought to be able to write an equation for the value of a bet as a function of some combination of factors on this list.
For example, if I make a pot-sized shove with As Qd on an Qh Ts 5s flop in a heads up pot, I believe the value of that bet would be equal to
Value + Protection + Deception
Same Satellite, Similar Bluff
Last week’s double float cost me about half my chips on the first hand of the $700 NAPT-Los Angeles satellite and was not so popular with the commenters. Here’s a similar bluff somewhat deeper in the same tournament this week. Our Villain is a slightly better target: I couldn’t tell you much about his playstyle, but overall I believe he’s a better player than last week’s Villain. I described the previous opponent as a 3rd tier Pocket Fiver, and this guy would be closer to top tier, maybe tier 1.5
PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, 530 Tournament, 250/500 Blinds 25 Ante (8 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP2 (t38150)
CO (t19145)
Button (t46070)
Hero (SB) (t15484)
BB (t40291)
UTG (t10654)
UTG+1 (t16138)
MP1 (t29062)
Hero’s M: 16.30
Preflop: Hero is SB with A
, K
1 fold, UTG+1 bets t1250, 4 folds, Hero calls t1000, 1 fold
Bluffing Out a Medium Pair
This first hand is an interesting juxtaposition to the failed bluff that I posted yesterday. On the one hand, this player was more of a known quantity than was yesterday’s Villain. On the other hand, my range is way wider in this situation, and I think calling with something like 99 is far more justifiable:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($400)
Hero (UTG+1) ($456)
MP1 ($1143.80)
MP2 ($650.90)
MP3 ($451.50)
CO ($58.30)
Button ($197.10)
SB ($446.20)
BB ($960.50)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A
, K
1 fold, Hero bets $16, 5 folds, SB calls $14, 1 fold
Flop: ($36) Q
, Q
, 6
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB calls $30
Turn: ($96) 3
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $77, SB calls $77
River: ($250) 8
(2 players)
My Title is Up for Grabs
I won’t be a back-to-back champion in the $2000 2-day FTOPS. I actually had quite good luck with my table draws, recognizing no one at my starting table and only two players over the course of the three and a half hours I played: Eric Froehlich and Tmay. The two big pots I lost were with AA and KK:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em Tournament, 30/60 Blinds 7 Ante (6 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB (t1851)
BB (t2250)
UTG (t8364)
MP (t15220)
CO (t6557)
Hero (Button) (t5577)
Hero’s M: 42.25
Preflop: Hero is Button with A
, A
UTG bets t150, 2 folds, Hero raises to t444, 2 folds, UTG raises to t1095, Hero calls t651
Flop: (t2322) 4
, 9
, 8
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets t777, UTG calls t777
Turn: (t3876) K
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
River: (t3876) A
(2 players)
UTG bets t3876, Hero folds
Book Review: The Poker Blueprint by Tri Nguyen and Aaron Davis
My One Minute Recommendation- The Poker Blueprint gets an 8.5/10 for content but a 5/10 for presentation. It contains plenty of great material for players who need help beating smaller stakes online short-handed games, but I fear the often terse, jargon-laden explanations will be too confusing or overwhelming for many players who would otherwise benefit greatly from reading it.
Had Tri Nguyen and Aaron Davis published their e-book The Poker Blueprint several years ago, I would have recommended it in the strongest possible terms. It’s reminiscent of the Cardrunners videos of that era: an opportunity to peer into the mind of a great player but with no real effort at teaching rather than simply reciting information. The information is valuable, no doubt, but processing and making use of it will require a lot of work on the part of the reader. In this day and age, the same material is available in more user-friendly books and videos, so while the content of The Poker Blueprint is easily good enough to warrant the $47 price tag, I can’t offer a whole-hearted endorsement.
Well, He Can’t Have the Ace Flush
Button ($3902.35)
SB ($1434)
BB ($911.25)
Hero (UTG) ($2747)
MP ($1000)
CO ($1242.25)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A
, J
Hero bets $40, 2 folds, Button calls $40, 2 folds
Flop: ($95) J
, 4
, 8
(2 players)
Hero bets $77, Button calls $77
Turn: ($249) A
(2 players)
Hero bets $222, Button calls $222
River: ($693) 5
(2 players)
Hero bets $555, Button raises to $1850, Hero folds
Total pot: $1803 | Rake: $3
Results:
Button didn’t show
Outcome: Button won $1800
Pretty gross spot. I feel like he actually shouldn’t be raising low flushes, since I could easily have the nuts myself. Maybe he has the straight flush? On the other hand it’s also a weird spot for him to turn a hand into a bluff, since again I could easily have a flush. Ultimately his aggression wasn’t that high, and I’m at the bottom of my value range, so I folded suspiciously.
One Mistake
I’ve been taking a beating in heads up games recently. There were one or two cases of bad game selection, but for the most part I don’t think I’ve playing or running all that badly. I’m losing to people against whom I’m pretty confident I have an edge, not because of bad luck or consistently bad play, but because I keep making like one big mistake per match. And the thing is, no matter how well you play 99% of your hands, you can’t afford to make a 100BB+ mistake, not even once. That just isn’t a handicap you can overcome.
Here was tonight’s. I was up about four buy-ins across on this guy across all the tables we were playing when this happened:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $50.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (SB) ($8949.50)
BB ($28887)
