Posts Tagged ‘polarized range’
Drop It Like It’s Hot
Honestly I can probably even fold the flop. Granted I have one of the best bluff-catching hands, but it’s just so unlikely Villain is bluffing here. Calling the flop to see what he does on the turn reduces the chance that I end up folding to trips with a worse kicker, but he’s one of the better Rush players, so I kind of doubt he’s overvaluing such a hand this way in the first place.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP3 ($648.60)
CO ($602.05)
Button ($160.90)
Hero (SB) ($420)
BB ($413.50)
UTG ($452.90)
UTG+1 ($219)
MP1 ($400)
MP2 ($860.90)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 7
, 8
5 folds, CO calls $4, Button calls $4, Hero calls $2, BB checks
Flop: ($16) 8
, 4
, 8
(4 players)
Hero bets $16, BB raises to $48, 2 folds, Hero calls $32
Book Review: The Poker Blueprint by Tri Nguyen and Aaron Davis
My One Minute Recommendation- The Poker Blueprint gets an 8.5/10 for content but a 5/10 for presentation. It contains plenty of great material for players who need help beating smaller stakes online short-handed games, but I fear the often terse, jargon-laden explanations will be too confusing or overwhelming for many players who would otherwise benefit greatly from reading it.
Had Tri Nguyen and Aaron Davis published their e-book The Poker Blueprint several years ago, I would have recommended it in the strongest possible terms. It’s reminiscent of the Cardrunners videos of that era: an opportunity to peer into the mind of a great player but with no real effort at teaching rather than simply reciting information. The information is valuable, no doubt, but processing and making use of it will require a lot of work on the part of the reader. In this day and age, the same material is available in more user-friendly books and videos, so while the content of The Poker Blueprint is easily good enough to warrant the $47 price tag, I can’t offer a whole-hearted endorsement.
Well, He Can’t Have the Ace Flush
Button ($3902.35)
SB ($1434)
BB ($911.25)
Hero (UTG) ($2747)
MP ($1000)
CO ($1242.25)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A
, J
Hero bets $40, 2 folds, Button calls $40, 2 folds
Flop: ($95) J
, 4
, 8
(2 players)
Hero bets $77, Button calls $77
Turn: ($249) A
(2 players)
Hero bets $222, Button calls $222
River: ($693) 5
(2 players)
Hero bets $555, Button raises to $1850, Hero folds
Total pot: $1803 | Rake: $3
Results:
Button didn’t show
Outcome: Button won $1800
Pretty gross spot. I feel like he actually shouldn’t be raising low flushes, since I could easily have the nuts myself. Maybe he has the straight flush? On the other hand it’s also a weird spot for him to turn a hand into a bluff, since again I could easily have a flush. Ultimately his aggression wasn’t that high, and I’m at the bottom of my value range, so I folded suspiciously.
One Mistake
I’ve been taking a beating in heads up games recently. There were one or two cases of bad game selection, but for the most part I don’t think I’ve playing or running all that badly. I’m losing to people against whom I’m pretty confident I have an edge, not because of bad luck or consistently bad play, but because I keep making like one big mistake per match. And the thing is, no matter how well you play 99% of your hands, you can’t afford to make a 100BB+ mistake, not even once. That just isn’t a handicap you can overcome.
Here was tonight’s. I was up about four buy-ins across on this guy across all the tables we were playing when this happened:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $50.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (SB) ($8949.50)
BB ($28887)
Deep Bluff
BB ($1000)
Hero (SB) ($1807.80)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 10
, 6
Hero bets $12, BB calls $8
Flop: ($25.60) 3
, 5
, 6
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $19, BB raises to $64, Hero calls $45
Turn: ($153.60) 4
(2 players)
BB bets $72, Hero raises to $211, BB calls $139
River: ($575.60) J
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1520 (All-In), 1 fold
Total pot: $575.60 | Rake: $0.50
Results:
Hero didn’t show 10
, 6
(nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $575.10
Day 3 Recap
What a run. In the last two days I’ve 20x’ed my chips without ever seeing TT, QQ, KK, or AA. I did have AK quite a few times today, though, and I connected with a few flops when it counted.
I stole more than my share of pots for a few hands, then made a questionable 4-bet shove with AKo. UTG+1 had raised to 2500, and I called with AKo next to his act. Then Brian Jensen re-raised to 8500, the raiser folded, and I shoved like 55K. He snap-called with KK, and then though I turned a flush draw, I couldn’t get there on the river. I probably should have just 3-bet the original raiser, and that would have had the added advantage of being able to get away if Brian cold 4-bet. Anyway, that didn’t help.
WSOP Day 2: Fun and Profitable
Today was everything that Wednesday was not, namely fun and profitable. I had a very enjoyable table and showed a handsome profit to boot.
Early on I doubled up with Q’s vs. 9’s on a 4h 4s 3h 2h board. We both had a heart, so he was in real bad shape there.
Then after getting a kind of aggro image I opened to 1100 with Ad 9s UTG+1 at 200/400/25. Two loose guys on my left call and decent tourney player on button makes it 4400. I 4-bet him to 12K, and he called quite quickly. I was ready to be done with the hand, but I flopped Qd 6d 5d, so I had to go with it. I get 16K, and he quickly called again. The turn was 4s, and at this point even if I knew he had a pair I was basically committed to the pot, so I shoved my last 25K. He tanked for a long time and made what I think was a good call with JJ no diamond. Unfortunately for him I drilled the Jd on the river to double up again.
I Was Bluffing the River Anyway
Villain and I had been heads up for a while, and based on how he’d been playing, I was pretty confident he had either a flush or a bluff on the turn but not a full house. My intention was to shove over a river bet and rep the full house myself if the hearts missed. On this particular card, of course, he can’t bet a flush, so I got to make a far cheaper bluff.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (2 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($2692.50)
Hero (SB) ($5191.75)
Preflop: Hero is SB with A
, 2
Hero bets $30, BB calls $20
Flop: ($64) 6
, 4
, 7
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $44, BB calls $44
Turn: ($152) 6
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $111, BB raises to $350, Hero calls $239
River: ($852) 7
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $555, 1 fold
