Actually you spoke for me quite well 🙂

I guess I expected him to bet the river with AK. Plus, as you mention, I think betting might be OK even knowing he plays AK like this.

Yeah, flop is close, but he’s got position on at least one of us, there’s a fair chance the turn checks around, and his AK could be good, in which case he has one of us dominated. I don’t think this would be a bad line with TT and JJ, and I certainly don’t know for sure that this player isn’t capable of it, but I would (and did) bet against it.

I can’t speak for Andrew, who might have a different read on this opponent, but given the facts as stated, UTG1 might well have a bluff-beater like AQ or AJ, or even 88 or 87s, in which case he bet the turn trying to rep AK or maybe KQ.

From UTG1’s point of view, Andrew is unlikely to have an overpair because he didn’t 3-bet pre. That tends to polarize Andrew’s range and makes it very hard to fold a bluff-beater.

This assumes UTG1 would play those hands the way he did, but as Andrew made one of his irresistably sexy underbets on the flop, it’s not at all unreasonable to think UTG1 would float a loose call, especially if he has a big diamond.

That doesn’t mean he has AK or that you shouldn’t v-bet, but in the absence of any useful information about this opponent, I think I’d have given him more credit for AK than you did.

River seems okay, semi thin. I can see him checking here w/ TT and JJ some % not wanting to get raised in a multi-way pot, so I wouldn’t say he never has a hand you don’t beat.

Obv betting 99 makes you harder to play against.

What were you looking to get called by? I guess it does look like he can have a weak TP, although he may not have mmany of those in his UTG1 opening range.