Even on the River, Your Bluffing Range Matters


…because sometimes, you aren’t bluffing:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($14268.50)
Hero (SB) ($4179.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, Q
Hero bets $60, BB calls $40

Flop: ($120) K, J, J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $77, BB calls $77

Turn: ($274) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($274) 2 (2 players)
BB bets $210, Hero calls $210

Total pot: $694 | Rake: $0.50

Results:
Hero had 7, Q (one pair, Jacks).
BB had Q, 9 (one pair, Jacks).
Outcome: BB won $693.50

Although I didn’t recognize his name, this guy played very well, and it didn’t take me long to quit him. He’d been making a lot of good, thin value check-raises on dry flops like this, and he very rarely folded them. Thus, I thought his flop call represented either very marginal showdown value or a float with the intention of bluffing the river. Turns out it was both, which is really as it should be. I think he doesn’t turn Ax into a bluff on the river, which is why I call with Q-high, but I think this is exactly the right way for him to play Q9.

2 thoughts on “Even on the River, Your Bluffing Range Matters”

  1. Damn, that’s a thin call with just Q high. And I’m sure that’s like a +EV play too, right? HU sure is excitingly crazy. Can he call if you raised him?…hahahha that’d be such a fishy line.

    • It’s not a terrible call, but no, I’m definitely not sure it’s +EV. I was a little tilted because he was playing back at me on every paired board. It depends how wide his range for doing this is, which I can’t be sure of, but if I don’t even beat his entire bluffing range, then he’s got to floating awfully wide out of position.

      If I raised river and he called… yeah that would be pretty sick.

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