Nitting Out

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($5294)
BB ($4588)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 5
Hero bets $60, BB calls $40

Flop: ($120) 9, 8, 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $77, BB raises to $240, Hero calls $163

Turn: ($600) K (2 players)
BB bets $400, Hero raises to $1444, BB calls $1044

River: ($3488) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $3488 | Rake: $0.50

Results:
Hero had 7, 5 (straight, nine high).
BB had 9, 8 (two pair, nines and eights).
Outcome: Hero won $3487.50

This is a crappy river for a number of reasons. It downgrades my hand to the 3rd nuts, it makes it a lot easier for Villain to have the second nuts, and it polarizes my range to the point where the only worse hands that call a shove will be bluff-catchers. The big sticking point for me is Villain’s flat call on the turn. I expected him to shove his value hands, so when I called, I thought he’d often be drawing. He’s not calling a river shove with a busted spade draw, and if he had something like TJ or Tsxs, he got there. I was surprised to see 98, though I actually think this is a good way to play it. It just wasn’t what I was expecting.

1 thought on “Nitting Out”

  1. Hi Andrew,
    This comment is not related to this post, but i was reading some articles of yours and looking for some of those you wrote for 2+2 magazine (actually the one you wrote in May about hand reading). But it is not possible to access articles older than 4/5 months on their site. Do you have a way to put these older articles on your site so we can read them all.
    I really think you are the best at explaining hand reading, so i hope you’ll go on with these good articles.
    Thanks
    Regards
    FrenchF (Fabien)

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