Honestly I can probably even fold the flop. Granted I have one of the best bluff-catching hands, but it’s just so unlikely Villain is bluffing here. Calling the flop to see what he does on the turn reduces the chance that I end up folding to trips with a worse kicker, but he’s one of the better Rush players, so I kind of doubt he’s overvaluing such a hand this way in the first place.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP3 ($648.60)
CO ($602.05)
Button ($160.90)
Hero (SB) ($420)
BB ($413.50)
UTG ($452.90)
UTG+1 ($219)
MP1 ($400)
MP2 ($860.90)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 7
, 8
5 folds, CO calls $4, Button calls $4, Hero calls $2, BB checks
Flop: ($16) 8
, 4, 8
(4 players)
Hero bets $16, BB raises to $48, 2 folds, Hero calls $32
Turn: ($112) J (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $92, Hero folds
Total pot: $112 | Rake: $3
Results:
BB didn’t show
Outcome: BB won $109
What’s your thinking about betting vs checking the flop?
foucault you were up so much what happened 🙁
Okay, I’ll bite: how are you so confident that BB has a better 8 here?
There are no draws to speak of on this flop, and it’s a small pot, plus I will very often have an 8 when I bet the flop, all of which make it unlikely he is bluffing the flop. And I don’t think he ever raises flop for value with less than an 8, because my range for continuing to a raise consists of exactly trips or better. The only reason I don’t give up on the flop, which I really probably should, is the chance that he’s raising a worse 8. If he were, I think he’d have to slow down after I call. Again, there are no draws to protect against, so if he has trips with a rag kicker, he is way ahead/way behind.
Cliff notes: The board is dry, and the pot is small.