Post Archives Tag: thin value bet

Quads Full of Fours: Results

This hand generated some really interesting comments and discussion both at Thinking Poker and at Cardplayer. Thanks to everyone who participated. Some of you have seen the results already, but for those who haven’t, here’s what happened:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool … Read full post

Another Tight Fold

You guys put me in my place earlier this week, so let’s see what you think of this one. All of the Villains, but especially the big blind, are among the tighter and more straight-forward regulars who play in this game.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $6.00 BB (7 handed) – … Read full post

Visualizing An Opponent’s Range

A lot of you probably get these “pro tip” e-mails from Full Tilt from time to time. I’ve glanced at a few and they were always very rudimentary and sometimes wrong. The title of this one caught my eye, though, and while it’s not a very sophisticated concept, it’s well-executed:… Read full post

Book Review: Harrington on Online Cash Games

I’ve just finished reading and reviewing Harrington on Online Cash Games, certainly one of the most anticipated poker books of the year. Here’s the two-minute version:

HOCG is the single best resource I’ve seen for anyone just starting out online or still learning to beat the microstakes games (i.e. stakes

Read full post

WCOOP Hands

Believe it or not there weren’t too many interesting hands from yesterday’s WCOOP. I was always at really aggressive tables, so generally the best strategy for me was to hunker down and play good cards. Here was one sort of neat spot with one very short-stacked player all-in:

PokerStars No-Limit … Read full post

Book Review: Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time, Volume 1

Winning-Poker-Tournaments-One-Hand-At-A-TimeMy Two Minute Recommendation: Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time scores a 9/10. Three top players discuss nearly 200 real hands and address dozens of common mistakes that even experienced no-limit hold 'em tournament players make. Read Harrington on Hold 'Em first for a theoretical foundation, but read this book next to see the ideas in action.
I am one of those cash game players who likes to deride tournament specialists as uncreative "tourney donks" whose poker skill is limited to an encyclopedic knowledge of pre-flop shoving ranges. I half-expected that that would be my reaction to Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time by Jon "Pearljammer" Turner, Eric "Rizen" Lynch, and Jon "Apestyles" Van Fleet. I must say that I was pleasantly surprised.

These guys are among the best in the world at beating online tournaments full of weak players. There's a temptation to look down my nose and say they don't understand concepts like 3rd-level thinking or balancing, but honestly those just aren't particularly important skills in these events. I wouldn't stake these guys in a high rollers' event or hire them to teach me cash game poker, but they beat the snot out of large-field poker tournaments, and in this book they teach you how to do the same in remarkably clear fashion.

This isn't a beginner's book, and it won't do much for anyone with the postflop skills to beat 100NL, but for the tens of thousands of players in between, Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time is an invaluable resource. I would say that it's required reading as soon as you finish the Harrington on Hold 'Em series, and even if you consider yourself an advanced tournament player, do yourself a favor and read this book just in case. It addresses so many of the mistakes that I most commonly see among intermediate tournament players that you're very likely to learn a thing or two. Chief among these mistakes is an inability to read hands and make disciplined folds. Although these players' hand-reading skills are not uniformly fantastic, they provide a very solid introduction to the concept, and they are particularly adept at interpreting betting lines commonly employed by weak players. Granted beating weak players is easy, but there's a difference between beating them and maximizing your advantage against them. This book is full of examples that clearly and concisely illustrate the reasoning behind some seemingly tough folds and surprising bluffs. In fact, examples are all that there are. Although the authors discuss many important concepts in the context of the hand examples, the book is organized around 194 real hands. Most are discussed only by the author who played them, but 20 feature input from all 3 authors. This is a very effective format that provides insight into a variety of perspectives and styles and that mirrors that poker training videos of which all three authors are experienced producers.

When There Are No Bluffs to Catch…

I expect Villain’s flop raise to be his only barrel if he is bluffing. That is, he’s usually going to check down his air and bet only if the river improves his hand to one that beats mine.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (4 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from … Read full post

Book Review: The Poker Blueprint by Tri Nguyen and Aaron Davis

My One Minute Recommendation- The Poker Blueprint gets an 8.5/10 for content but a 5/10 for presentation. It contains plenty of great material for players who need help beating smaller stakes online short-handed games, but I fear the often terse, jargon-laden explanations will be too confusing or overwhelming for many Read full post

Day 3 Recap

What a run. In the last two days I’ve 20x’ed my chips without ever seeing TT, QQ, KK, or AA. I did have AK quite a few times today, though, and I connected with a few flops when it counted.

I stole more than my share of pots for a … Read full post

Call That Down

Villain is a high-stakes MTT and SNG player who’s recently been sitting in the shallow high-stakes cash games as well. Despite his success, my opinion of him is that he makes a lot of borderline-bad calls and shoves. Probably I just think that because historically he’s run well vs. me … Read full post

Overbet -> Spaz Out

This is one of my favorite spots for an overbet, either with a very strong hand like this or with a draw, because Villain’s hand is so clearly defined as marginal showdown value. To be honest, given what he shows up with, I don’t understand why he raised the turn:… Read full post

Least I Lost the Minimum

It freaking sucks to river the second nuts and have to make a crying call with it. I’m pretty surprised the guy wasn’t more aggressive with it when I showed so much weakness on the turn, but I can’t see what else he plays like this on the river, let … Read full post

I Hate Good Players

I should probably just fold pre-flop. I ran my time bank down all the way before finally deciding I’d pretty much never have a hand stronger than this and so needed to call here. When I saw his hand, I felt totally owned:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (4 handed) … Read full post

Classic Story: Little Old Lady Owns Me at 2/5 NL

I’d been playing a 2-5 NL game at the MGM Grand for about two hours when Mary came to the table. She looked to be in her early 60’s, with a sweet face and the perfect little old lady vestments: a beige sweater with an oversized ceramic image of a Read full post

SCOOP Event #22-M: $300 NLHE 4-Max

I ended up doing quite well in this one, finishing 5th out of more than 1400 runners. On the whole it was a lot of fun to play so short-handed and I felt I played well, but a monumental error in my final hand left a bad taste in my … Read full post

Check Me Out on the 2+2 Pokercast

Last night, as I was sleep-deprived and caffeine-jittery and getting deep in the $300 SCOOP 4-Max, I was also on the phone with Mike Johnson and Adam Schwartz, hosts of the 2+2 Pokercast on which I am this week’s feature guest! You can search for it on iTunes or listen Read full post

FTOPS 25 Final Table Hands

Don’t Try to Bluff a Guy Named Psycho

This one’s a little embarrassing. I shoved turn here hoping to get him off a mid-pair, but here’s what happened instead:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em Tournament, 6000/12000 Blinds 1500 Ante (8 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (CO) (t497480)
Button … Read full post

FTOPS Event 25 Day 1 Hands

We played for 10 hours, so obviously there were a lot of hands, but here are two that stick out in my head:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em Tournament, 250/500 Blinds 50 Ante (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG (t55790)
UTG+1 (t36186)
MP1 (t27509)
MP2 (t15323)
MP3 (t15790)… Read full post

FTOPS Event 18: $300 Rebuy NLHE 6-Max

Like the $100 rebuy, this one ran with an overlay. I was only in for $900, so I had like $240 in overlay.

It went down basically the way I expected it to: got some fish to clown off their stacks to me early, then had to play poker with … Read full post

Tournament 3-Betting Dynamic

I ran deep in the $300 6-max on Full Tilt today. For much of the end-game, I had a player on my right who I recognized from the 2+2 forums but whom I’d never played for. To the best of my knowledge, he is a successful tournament pro and also … Read full post

Dude, That’s My Bet

Hopefully these new suit characters will solve the problem of people not being able to see suits at work (pun):

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($1799.75)
Hero (SB) ($2339)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2♦, 4♦
Hero bets $30Read full post

A Bet I’m Not Supposed to Make

A good player is never check-calling this river. Weaker players will, though, and they rarely check better. This guy was new to me but seemed decent and had an aggression factor of 7 over a small sample. Good reason, in other words, to think he’s not a check-caller.

PokerStars No-Limit … Read full post

PLO-Style

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (5 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($400)
UTG ($400)
MP ($300)
Button ($414)
SB ($425)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, A
2 folds, Button bets $12, 1 fold, Hero calls $8

Flop: ($26) 6… Read full post

Disciplined Check

My range for 3-betting an UTG raiser from UTG+1 isn’t going to be all that wide, and by the river, AK is probably closer to the bottom of it than the top:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $50.00 BB (6 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($4925)
Button ($6246)
SB … Read full post

NAPT Day 2 (Busto)

My starting table had not a lot of chips but a couple of notable players, including Owen “ocrowe” Crowe, Andrew Chen, Jonathan “driverseati” Tamayo, and Lauren Kling. We broke after less than an hour, but I still managed to play a few interesting pots. Also, a very friendly reader … Read full post

More NAPT Day 1 Hands

75/150 I limp UTG with Ac Qc. Folds to the SB, who completes, and BB checks.

Flop Js Td 9s. Checks to me, I bet 300, SB calls. I think he can have any pair and even a few draws that I’m beating.

Turn 2d. He checks, I bet 900 … Read full post

Thin Turn Check-Raise

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $8.00 BB (3 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($816.20)
Hero (SB) ($2062.85)
BB ($2710)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, 6
1 fold, Hero bets $32, BB calls $24

Flop: ($64) 5, 6, 5 (2 players)Read full post

Level 2 Bet Sizing

This is a blatant example of a guy who is thinking about my hand and what he wants me to do but not about what I will be thinking or what his hand will look like to me:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (5 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool … Read full post

Oh Live Poker

After two hours of 5/10 NL this evening, I was up about $800. By my rough count, I’d voluntarily put money into the pot 16 times, won 13 of those pots, and saw exactly 1 showdown. I was going to leave at the next time collection, but then I played … Read full post

The River Squeeze Play

This is a rare situation, so I can’t promise you’ll get a chance to use it, but it’s a fun brag:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($1000)
Hero (CO) ($1272)
Button ($1000)
SB ($1090.30)
BB ($1479)
UTG ($2129.15)

Preflop: … Read full post

Nitting Out

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $20.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($5294)
BB ($4588)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 5
Hero bets $60, BB calls $40

Flop: ($120) 9, 8, 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $77Read full post

Some 40/80 Hands

I played a pretty long session at 40/80 over the weekend, definitely one of the longest I’ve played at such high stakes. It was a surprisingly tight game, with one guy who was not a fish but was noticeably weaker than the rest of us. But there really wasn’t a … Read full post

Owned Hard

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($1027)
MP ($980)
CO ($1442.40)
Hero (Button) ($1471.25)
SB ($1000)
BB ($1336)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J, J
UTG bets $35, MP calls $35, CO calls $35, Hero raises to $165Read full post

A Case of the Sundays

The tournament cold-deckings continue, with me busting the Sunday million set under set after accumulating an above average stack three hours in, losing a huge pot with set under set in the $500 WCOOP satellite (which had a remarkably small and tough field, hopefully that will change with time), and … Read full post

SCOOP Event 14: 6-Max NLHE ($500)

I made a decent run in the $500 6-max on Wednesday, and though I didn’t do as well in the $5K, there were interesting hands from both, so I’m going to do two different posts.

I lost about half my stack early on in the $500, but managed to recover. … Read full post

SCOOP Event 13: Razz

Unlike most players, I enjoy Razz. Yeah, it can be infuriating, but it’s also kind of elegant in its simplicity. I spend most of this tournament catching well, so even though I didn’t cash, it was fun. The only really interesting hand to come up was this one, where I … Read full post

SCOOP Event 10: NLHE Heads Up

Edit: Fixed title. This is SCOOP, not FTOPS. Was tired and tilted last night when posting this.

I was really looking forward to this event, as I’ve been working on my heads up game of late. I played both the $1500 and the $150 and had reasonable tough first round … Read full post

Sexy River Value Raise

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (2 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($1836.25)
Hero (Button) ($2411.75)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8, A
Hero bets $30, SB calls $20

Flop: ($60) A, 10, 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $44Read full post

Recent Publications

This month I’ve got two publications to report. First, my latest article for 2+2 Magazine, titled Float On, is now appearing in the March issue. It’s an analysis of when, whom, and how to bluff-call, including an in-depth example:

Suppose that when your opponent bets, you think there

Read full post

Heads Up With a Maniac

This guy was decent in some ways but pretty insanely loose and aggressive. I don’t think he ever folded to a 3-bet pre-flop (I probably should have made my raise size bigger), and there was a lot of 4-betting going on. For the most part, I just hung back, made … Read full post

Good Reads

It’s embarrassing how, after three years of playing poker very seriously, I’m still affected so dramatically by short-term results. For two weeks, I was getting brutalized, doubting my instincts, and not playing my best. Then I have one big day and I’m back to making good reads and following through … Read full post

The Third Barrel is the Value Barrel

Not my best double barrel ever, but the A is a good bluff card on the river. That makes it a good time for him to call down light, which makes it a good time for me to value bet light, which makes it a better bluff card in the … Read full post

Some Shit Spots

These are all from tonight. Fair warning: this is pretty much a whine post, but I’m trying to include at least some insight into how precisely running bad can lead to playing bad (aside from the obvious straight-up frustration/tilt). This is the worst one of the night, one of two … Read full post

A Boat I Can’t Bet

This is a pretty specific situation nearly 400 BB’s deep against a phenomenal player (CardRunner’s instructor/FTP red pro Eric “P3achy_Keen” Liu

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($1945)
UTG ($1015)
UTG+1 ($4483)
MP1 ($991.45)
MP2 ($3100)
MP3 ($1609.25)
Hero (CO) ($3782.50)… Read full post

Just a Sexy Value Bet

There were nine 25/50 cap games going tonight! And I was playing all of them. This is against a guy who can’t read hands very well and never believes me:

Full Tilt $1500.00 Cap No-Limit Hold’em, $50.00 BB (4 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($6815)
Hero (SB) … Read full post

You Got Potrippered!

Of course I couldn’t actually see my opponent’s hold cards, but it sure looks like I could when you see the results:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($3706.55)
MP ($1875)
Hero (CO) ($3852)
Button ($4474)
SB ($1325)
BB ($2872.95)

PreflopRead full post

Note-Taking Pays Off

Until recently, I didn’t play HSNL very often on Poker Stars and consequently did not remember anything about this player. However, I had a note on him indicating that I had previously observed him fail to make a thin value bet. Thus, I felt comfortable calling him down here:

PokerStars … Read full post

Big Night

Last night was my biggest to date playing exclusively cash games, topped only by the WSOP (obviously- not sure that even counts since it took two weeks) and my win in the UB 200K last November. Funny thing is while I wasn’t playing badly I don’t think I was playing … Read full post

Two Overbets

In light of my recent article on Creative Bet Sizing, here are two river check-raise overbets I made against the same player. The situations are similar: I have an unlikely monster hand and my opponent has a well-defined strong-but-not-too-strong hand. By “well-defined”, I mean that he probably realizes that … Read full post

Looking for the latest content?

...or want to keep exploring?

Explore other archives by category:
Search